The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
Romney 32% (sinking from his high of 37%)
Santorum 30% (continually rising)
Gingrich 16% (Another Not-Romney bites the dust)
Paul 8% (Don't laugh, may be a factor in Tampa)
While PPP showing a nation-wide Frothy surge:
Santorum is now completely dominating with several key segments of the electorate, especially the most right leaning parts of the party. With those describing themselves as 'very conservative,' he's now winning a majority of voters at 53% to 20% for Gingrich and 15% for Romney. Santorum gets a majority with Tea Party voters as well at 51% to 24% for Gingrich and 12% for Romney. And with Evangelicals he falls just short of a majority with 45% to 21% for Gingrich and 18% for Romney.
PPP analysis confirms what I've been saying for some time now:
The best thing Romney might have going for him right now is Gingrich's continued presence in the race. If Gingrich dropped out 58% of his supporters say they would move to Santorum, while 22% would go to Romney and 17% to Paul. Santorum gets to 50% in the Newt free field to 28% for Romney and 15% for Paul.
but they've been able to put some numbers to it.
The Santorum surge is a direct result of a closed door meeting of over 150 evangelical leaders early last month.
The move represents an eleventh-hour effort by social conservatives one week out from the crucial South Carolina primary to unify around a single candidate and blunt the momentum of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, whom many evangelicals consider insufficiently conservative.
These leaders represent a significant percentage of GOP primary voters, have established organizations, have people already staffing those organizations, can put "boots on the ground" in the precincts, and have their own money raising networks. Together these people reflect a serious and substantial percentage of the GOP primary vote.
Possibly reflecting this, Santorum has become the Not-Romney of choice in Michigan and has a goodly lead:
But with 50% of voters still willing to change, it's all soft for Frothy and Romney could buy himself another primary win.
No polling I can find for Arizona (Feb. 28, along with Michigan) or Washington state (Mar. 3.)
Three Super Tuesday (Mar. 7) states: Vermont, Ohio, and Georgia, have started voting.
Skepticism is the first step on the road to truth. -- Denis Diderot
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 19 1 comment
by Migeru - Sep 21 3 comments
by A swedish kind of death - Sep 15 13 comments
by Democrats Ramshield - Sep 18
by ChrisCook - Sep 14 55 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 11 129 comments
by Luis de Sousa - Sep 9 69 comments
by Crazy Horse - Sep 6 10 comments
by Migeru - Sep 213 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 191 comment
by Democrats Ramshield - Sep 18
by A swedish kind of death - Sep 1513 comments
by ChrisCook - Sep 1455 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 11129 comments
by Luis de Sousa - Sep 969 comments
by Crazy Horse - Sep 610 comments
by Migeru - Sep 438 comments
by Metatone - Aug 305 comments
by Xavier in Paris - Aug 293 comments
by gmoke - Aug 26
by Metatone - Aug 227 comments