The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
Romney 32% (sinking from his high of 37%)
Santorum 30% (continually rising)
Gingrich 16% (Another Not-Romney bites the dust)
Paul 8% (Don't laugh, may be a factor in Tampa)
While PPP showing a nation-wide Frothy surge:
Santorum is now completely dominating with several key segments of the electorate, especially the most right leaning parts of the party. With those describing themselves as 'very conservative,' he's now winning a majority of voters at 53% to 20% for Gingrich and 15% for Romney. Santorum gets a majority with Tea Party voters as well at 51% to 24% for Gingrich and 12% for Romney. And with Evangelicals he falls just short of a majority with 45% to 21% for Gingrich and 18% for Romney.
PPP analysis confirms what I've been saying for some time now:
The best thing Romney might have going for him right now is Gingrich's continued presence in the race. If Gingrich dropped out 58% of his supporters say they would move to Santorum, while 22% would go to Romney and 17% to Paul. Santorum gets to 50% in the Newt free field to 28% for Romney and 15% for Paul.
but they've been able to put some numbers to it.
The Santorum surge is a direct result of a closed door meeting of over 150 evangelical leaders early last month.
The move represents an eleventh-hour effort by social conservatives one week out from the crucial South Carolina primary to unify around a single candidate and blunt the momentum of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, whom many evangelicals consider insufficiently conservative.
These leaders represent a significant percentage of GOP primary voters, have established organizations, have people already staffing those organizations, can put "boots on the ground" in the precincts, and have their own money raising networks. Together these people reflect a serious and substantial percentage of the GOP primary vote.
Possibly reflecting this, Santorum has become the Not-Romney of choice in Michigan and has a goodly lead:
But with 50% of voters still willing to change, it's all soft for Frothy and Romney could buy himself another primary win.
No polling I can find for Arizona (Feb. 28, along with Michigan) or Washington state (Mar. 3.)
Three Super Tuesday (Mar. 7) states: Vermont, Ohio, and Georgia, have started voting.
She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 16 22 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 17 71 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 12 30 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 2 34 comments
by fjallstrom - Sep 29 41 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 30 21 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 26 2 comments
by Oui - Sep 23 10 comments
by Cat - Oct 21
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1771 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1622 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 1230 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Oct 234 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 3021 comments
by fjallstrom - Sep 2941 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 262 comments
by gmoke - Sep 24
by Oui - Sep 2310 comments
by Luis de Sousa - Sep 223 comments
by Cat - Sep 1422 comments