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For all his money, organisation, endorsements and establishment support, the Republican base just can't get to like Romney. Next up is Michigan, which is unlikely to vote Romney (even though his father was a popular Governor there).  The reason? Romney's New Yourk Times' Op ed piece "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" is unlikely to play well there even amongst conservative GOP voters. Clint Eastwood's "Half time in America " ad during the Superbowl final couldn't have come at a worse time for Romney. Eastwood, a lifetime Republican voter, didn't explicitly endorse Obama.  But he sure endorsed Obama's message that the Auto bail-out worked.
Your analysis is very close to booman's
Romney is supposed to be the nominee because he has the money, organization, endorsements, and temperament that his opponents lack. But it turns out that people don't like his face, he can't organize worth a damn, no one cares about endorsements, and his temperament is off-putting. Meanwhile, his money advantage is blunted by the Citizens United ruling that allows Super PACs to keep his opponents going on a shoestring budget. Romney's advantages have so far turned out to not be advantages after all. Even the conservative media has failed to unite behind him.


tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Feb 9th, 2012 at 04:03:46 AM EST
I have been reading Booman, and taking part in discussions there, so my piece is merely synopsising a number of stories and discussions there and adding a bit of data from Pollster to evidence some assertions. My point is that the main winner so far has been Obama, although the slightly improving economy has also helped.  

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Thu Feb 9th, 2012 at 07:07:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The question is whether asdf is right that
The only reason the Democrats aren't having this same sort of problem is that they aren't running primaries this year.
I don't remember the 2008 Democratic primary to be as much of a clown parade as the Republican one was already then, even though it did degenerate with unseemly attack ads when only two contenders were left standing. Would a Democratic primary this year or will the one in 2016 be as much of an affront to reason?

tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Feb 9th, 2012 at 07:10:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It all depends on whether Super PACS remain legal or whether citizen's united is overturned by a revamped Supreme Court. At the moment all the attack ads are funded by Super Pacs which don't have to disclose their donors or even their affiliation and thus they can go negative and anti-factual with impunity.

I have argued that Obama may even be disadvantaged by not being primaried from the left this year because Romney is being defined as a moderate centrist by the attacks coming from his right. Without an effective attack from his left, Obama remains defined as the leftward edge of the known political universe by the MSM, and not as the pragmatic moderate centrist he actually is.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Thu Feb 9th, 2012 at 08:03:21 AM EST
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