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There's plenty of time until Sarkozy loses in May for Merkel's nonsense to be entrenched in the legal systems of more and more countries, or in the treaties.
Even if the Euro goes away, austerity won't. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
The latest round of jostling is between Rajoy and the regional governments in Spain: Rajoy tells regions no way out of cutbacks as government prepares budget
The regions, which were largely responsible for the blowout in the country's finances last year, will have to contribute 15.6 billion euros to the total estimated by De Guindos. The country's two biggest regions, Andalusia and Catalonia, on Sunday called on Rajoy for some slack in the target in order not to have to cut back on essential services such as health and education. However, after a meeting Monday with the OECD's secretary general, Ángel Gurría, Rajoy said the regions would have to make a "significant effort," adding that the central government had no intention of relaxing the target set for the regions of a deficit of 1.5 percent of GDP. That figure, he pointed out, was up from 1.3 percent last year when the actual shortfall was 2.94 percent. ... Rajoy insisted he did not have to get Brussels' permission to announce a deficit higher than that agreed with the previous Socialist administration. "We have done what seems to us to be logical and reasonable, and we will be evaluated in April when we will speak with the Commission," he said.
However, after a meeting Monday with the OECD's secretary general, Ángel Gurría, Rajoy said the regions would have to make a "significant effort," adding that the central government had no intention of relaxing the target set for the regions of a deficit of 1.5 percent of GDP. That figure, he pointed out, was up from 1.3 percent last year when the actual shortfall was 2.94 percent.
...
Rajoy insisted he did not have to get Brussels' permission to announce a deficit higher than that agreed with the previous Socialist administration. "We have done what seems to us to be logical and reasonable, and we will be evaluated in April when we will speak with the Commission," he said.
I don't see why countries that have regained monetary sovereignty would feel endlessly constrained by this pact - unless the austerity ideology is so persuasive. Which brings us back to the primacy of ideology again.
The wall we come up against is the success of neolib/austerity ideology. The right supports it, and a large chunk of the left goes along. If we want to change the epiphenomena (the laws and amendments and treaties) we will only be able to do so by means of a change of ideology.
The hangover theory, then, turns out to be intellectually incoherent; nobody has managed to explain why bad investments in the past require the unemployment of good workers in the present. Yet the theory has powerful emotional appeal. Usually that appeal is strongest for conservatives, who can't stand the thought that positive action by governments (let alone--horrors!--printing money) can ever be a good idea. Some libertarians extol the Austrian theory, not because they have really thought that theory through, but because they feel the need for some prestigious alternative to the perceived statist implications of Keynesianism. And some people probably are attracted to Austrianism because they imagine that it devalues the intellectual pretensions of economics professors. But moderates and liberals are not immune to the theory's seductive charms--especially when it gives them a chance to lecture others on their failings.
One is based on something that occasionally resembles the scientific method, the other is used as an excuse for social pogroms against people we don't like. (Usually poor people, but occasionally entire countries.)
You have to remember that in the same way that slavery was founded on racial discrimination, theocratic economics is founded on economic discrimination, and the belief that some people and activities are essentially and irredeemably bad.
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