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Jamie Dimon's SNAFU: JPMorgan's Other Derivatives' Losses   Janet Tavakoli  HuPo

In an August 2010 commentary about JPMorgan's losses in coal trades I wrote: "The commodities division isn't the only area in which JPMorgan is vulnerable. Credit derivatives, interest rate derivatives, and currency trading are vulnerable to leveraged hidden bets. Ambitious managers strive to pump speculative earnings from zero to hero."

At issue is corporate governance at JPMorgan and the ability of its CEO, Jamie Dimon, to manage its risk. It's reasonable to ask whether any CEO can manage the risks of a bank this size, but the questions surrounding Jamie Dimon's management are more targeted than that. The problem Jamie Dimon has is that JPMorgan lost control in multiple areas. Each time a new problem becomes public, it is revealed that management controls weren't adequate in the first place.

JPMorgan's Derivatives Blow Up Again

Jamie Dimon's problem as Chairman and CEO -- his dual role raises further questions about JPMorgan's corporate governance -- is that just two years ago derivatives trades were out of control in his commodities division. JPMorgan's short coal position was over sized relative to the global coal market. JPMorgan put this position on while the U.S. is at war. It was not a customer trade; the purpose was to make money for JPMorgan. Although coal isn't a strategic commodity, one should question why the bank was so reckless.

After trading hours on Thursday of this week, Jamie Dimon held a conference call about $2 billion in mark-to-market losses in credit derivatives (so far) generated by the Chief Investment Office, the bank's "investment" book. He admitted:

"In hindsight, the new strategy was flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored."




As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 12:38:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
JP Morgan has biggest derivative exposure of US banks.   Business Insider

JP Morgan Chase has a derivative exposure of $70.151 Trillion dollars. $70 Trillion is roughly the size of the entire world's economy....

JP Morgan is rumored to hold 50->80% of the copper market, and manipulated the market by massive purchases. JP Morgan is also guilty of manipulating the silver market to make billions. In 2010 JP Morgan had 3 perfect trading quarters and only lost money on 8 days. Lawsuits on home foreclosures have been filed against JP Morgan. Aluminum price is manipulated by JP Morgan through large physical ownership of material and creating bottlenecks during transport. JP Morgan was among the banks involved in the seizure of $620 million in assets for alleged fraud linked to derivatives. JP Morgan got $25 billion taxpayer in bailout money. It has no intention of using the money to lend to customers, but instead will use it to drive out competition. The bank is also the largest owner of BP - the oil spill company. During the oil spill the bank said that the oil spill is good for the economy.
JP Morgan Chase also received a SECRET $391 billion dollar bailout from the Federal Reserve.


A 1% loss of that position would be $700 billion - larger than TARP.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 01:01:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
JP Morgan Chase has a derivative exposure of $70.151 Trillion dollars.

Quite aside from being purely magical thinking based on an utterly fictional concept, can someone explain to me how this is any different from a counterfeiter printing fake bank notes or a government printing bales of worthless paper currency?  Oh, right, they didn't have to cut down all those trees to make the paper...

Now where are we going and what's with the handbasket?

by budr on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 09:29:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Perhaps it is more like writing insurance on all of the counterfeit others are printing.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 10:17:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is nothing wrong with derivatives. The problem is that banks have managed control enough capital allocation so that states are unable to easily let them fail.
by rootless2 on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 10:22:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's reasonable to ask whether any CEO can manage the risks of a bank this size

Uhhh...

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 05:09:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Come on... Five minutes under the shower in the morning. Easy.

That's why they get paid so much. Do you think the market doesn't know how to allocate resources efficiently, or whut?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 07:20:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy - I command you to leave afew's mind!
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 08:24:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Been having strange headaches lately ;)
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 08:48:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This Is Clearly Going To Cost JPMorgan Much More Than $2 Billion  Business Insider

The main problem JPMorgan may be facing, and the 8% loss in pre-market trading may be a sign players are on to this, is that we probably already know where the loss is. A few weeks ago, the financial sphere was full of stories about the London Whale, a JPM trader in London named Bruno Michel Iksil, who had taken such massive - synthetic - derivative (gambling) positions in a 125 company index that they were moving the market itself.

Back then, some hedge funds took counter positions just for the sheer fact that he had bet so much; they figured he couldn't last forever on all trades. The underlying notion was he was long a bunch of companies; well, not a lot has gone well in the markets lately. And if you have overweight derivative positions in one direction (in this case credit default swaps) , you can make a killing or you can get punished fast and furious. He did the latter.

And since the bank allegedly - for now - can't close the positions (they would move the market against JPM's positions, so JPM's doomed if they do and damned if they don't), there may be a whole lot more to come. A wounded whale oozing blood, and with sharks circling all around it. Given the above, the final tally may be many times higher than the $2 billion announced. After all, everybody knows where the harpoon entered the whale.



As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 11:57:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ARGeezer:
"In hindsight, the new strategy was flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored."

oops, but i'll take the bonus anyway!

The power of knowledge is in mortal combat with the knowledge of power. It really is that simple... That's the Edenic apple we are all munching on.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 12:15:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Apparently Jamie Dimon agreed on Meet the Press that it would be appropriate allow the government to wind down failed TBTFs, to wipe out equity, fire the board, retire the name and pull the company apart should it cause an economy wrecking financial crisis. I suspect he remains confident of the unwillingness of the D.C. politicians and regulators to kill one of the biggest of the golden egg laying geese.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun May 13th, 2012 at 03:54:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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