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There is indeed someone whose expectations about how this would play out have been spot on: John Michael Greer.
The corollary is that his style of preparations (and things like transition towns) are probably the best thing to do... Political/societal effort is therefore less impactfull
Interestingly Portugal has a fairly active transition town movement (at least a couple of years ago): critical mass, smart people...
The general systems principle of information overload tells us that we should decentralize what we may in order to conserve on government management capacities for those things that requires government steering. But subsidiarity does not mean that we should decentralize tasks below the level at which they can be effectively accomplished. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
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