Euro 2012 predictions thread | 81 comments (81 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Where is the contradiction? (4.00 / 2)

This, a computer prediction, is tuly delusional nd a classic example of GIGO

Guardian - England will meet Germany in semi-finals, claims stats guru

They might be riven with injuries, friendless with punters and without their best player for the first two matches but, according to the chair of the Royal Statistical Society's sports section, England fans should not be surprised if their team reaches the Euro 2012 semi‑finals - where they could be beaten by Germany. Again.
After running a million computer simulations of the tournament, Dr Ian McHale, a senior lecturer in statistics at Salford University, says the data suggests that England are the third best team at the championship - behind Spain and Germany - and that they will face Ireland in the quarter-finals before losing to Germany. France and Italy, meanwhile, are statistically unlikely to get out of the group stages.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jun 7th, 2012 at 10:24:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I'll see your silly statistics... (4.00 / 3)

... and raise you a silly market-based valuation, based on the transfer price of players :

FT Alphaville » This one is for you, sports fans

Based on this analysis and the composition of the groups, the semi-finals will be two classics: Portugal versus Spain and Germany versus England. The final will Spain versus Germany.*

_{It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue
- Queen Elizabeth II}

by eurogreen on Thu Jun 7th, 2012 at 10:55:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Ireland will win (none / 1)

They have the crappiest team ever - with the lowest valuation in the finals - and an octogenarian Italian manager who can't speak English. Therefore they have nothing to lose and everything to gain. They play honest unskilful football and have great fans.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Thu Jun 7th, 2012 at 05:46:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Euro 2012 predictions thread | 81 comments (81 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)