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I'm going to assume that the fact that pretty much none of the Russian lineup play in a foreign league means they're not up to standard.
B1: Netherlands B2: Germany
Group B seems rather hard to call, but I drop Portugal.
C1: Spain C2: Croatia
I'm assuming Croatia scores an upset against Italy. Sorry, Ireland.
D1: France D2: Ukraine
Ukraine should qualify as a host nation, and France beat England.
For the knockout stages, qualifiers are bolded:
Q1: Poland - Germany Q2: Netherlands - Czech Republic Q3: Spain - Ukraine Q4: France - Croatia
The quarterfinals seem clear-cut, but who knows. There could be an upset. The Germany-Poland game should be fun to read about in the respective nationalistic tabloids.
S1: Germany - Spain S2: Netherlands - France
The first semifinal is best described by the recent jab from the national team coach to the political class: "winning the Eurocup won't solve Spain's problems". I'm predicting that Germany would have lost to Spain in the last 3 major tournaments (Euro 2008, FIFA 2010 and Euro 2012) which seems interesting in and of itself.
F: Spain - Netherlands
Has anyone won the Eurocup twice in a row? Anyway, Spain should win the Fair play award like last time. If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
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