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Which in this case implies that the Conservative party will be torn apart in a fratricidal strife as the neoconservative near-UKIPs slug it out with the more liberal One-Nation Tories. I'm sure there will be some defections to UKIP, but tories as a breed are much less inclined to jump off a cliff into principled obscurity if it is likely to isolate them from the lucrative extra-parliamentary revenue streams which come as part of the remuneration package of a modern conservative MP.
so the fighting may be more savage as all sides are defending their corner. And thus more entertaining keep to the Fen Causeway
A total disruption of the Conservative Party, leading to a major reconfiguration of the party constellation seems quite unlikely.
A more likely possibility is of Cameron being deposed and spending the rest of his career as a discontented backbencher. However, if the Tories in the cabinet remain united, it is not obvious who would trigger a leadership contest.
The most likely thing is for the Conservatives to remain more or less united, until the next general election. If Cameron wins that, then he continues as leader. If not, he will then be replaced, with far less risk to the aspirants for leadership than a challenge in mid Parliament..
It's becoming more obvious now. The wayward curls, the sagging jowls, the general air of world-weariness and dogged determination. Just as animals and their owners grow to resemble each other, so George Osborne is slowly morphing into the man he most loathes in British politics, Gordon Brown.But the emerging physical similarities are where comparisons between Brown and Osborne end. Unlike most of his predecessors, Gordon managed to seamlessly move from Number 11 to Number 10. Osborne, exposed as less fleet of foot in recent times, looks increasingly like he will be forced from office amid the utter collapse of his economic policy as we sink back into recession.All of which presents an interesting dilemma for the government. In order to restore their credentials on the economy when `Osbornomics' becomes so discredited that even Michael Fallon refuses to take to the airwaves to defend it, the government will need a new salesman to flog its new economic direction.
It's becoming more obvious now. The wayward curls, the sagging jowls, the general air of world-weariness and dogged determination. Just as animals and their owners grow to resemble each other, so George Osborne is slowly morphing into the man he most loathes in British politics, Gordon Brown.
But the emerging physical similarities are where comparisons between Brown and Osborne end. Unlike most of his predecessors, Gordon managed to seamlessly move from Number 11 to Number 10. Osborne, exposed as less fleet of foot in recent times, looks increasingly like he will be forced from office amid the utter collapse of his economic policy as we sink back into recession.
All of which presents an interesting dilemma for the government. In order to restore their credentials on the economy when `Osbornomics' becomes so discredited that even Michael Fallon refuses to take to the airwaves to defend it, the government will need a new salesman to flog its new economic direction.
(Simple answers, etc.)
The closest thing seems to be Ed Balls.
Which is not necessarily a recommendation.
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