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Matthew d'Ancona: Hammond pilloried for daring to look at the Brexit small print

As it happens, I believe that May's public readiness to countenance a "no-deal" outcome reflects a strategy rather than a secret yearning. She calculates that the EU will not negotiate fairly unless its 27 other member states believe we are ready to walk away without an agreement. But, as the months pass and the talks stall, I also sense that a growing number of Brexiteers see "no deal" not as a threat but as an objective. Before the election one cabinet minister close to the talks told me that "life under WTO rules would be perfectly OK, you know." Really?

At the same time, to take a specific example, there is serious talk of shifting from the jurisdiction of the European Medicines Agency to that of the US Food and Drug Administration: the FDA may be in Maryland, but at least it is not subject to the European court of justice. Again: is this truly what Britons were voting for in last year's referendum?

For daring to look at the small print of Brexit and failing to declare the whole process "doubleplusgood", Hammond is now pilloried by the faction within his party that, whatever its numerical strength, shouts loudest. A senior Tory told me recently that what the country needed was not a new centre party but a proper Conservative party. His point was that the Tory movement, once remorselessly committed to the business of government and the hard realities of office, had sailed off into the seas of ideology, captured by a gang of pirates seeking the imagined treasure of Brexit Island.

[Emphasis mine]

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Oct 16th, 2017 at 10:08:12 PM EST
This is why a No Deal is guaranteed until the UK government gets a grip.

... the EU will not negotiate fairly unless its 27 other member states believe we are ready to walk away without an agreement.

First, to the Brexiters, "negotiate fairly" means "giving us what we want and we give you want we want."  They lack any trace of Cognitive Empathy, or in other words, they don't see The Other having valid dreams, desires, wants, needs, and ideas.  

Second, most of the members of the EU could give a flying fuck about the UK.  Of the minority that does one or two ... Poland? ... Spain ... might be willing to shove the shiv in just because they can.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 03:58:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ireland, Holland, Belgium, Germany etc. are quite dependent on trade with the UK, mostly running up big trade surpluses. European businesses are also quite dependent on the City for financial services.  All of these dependencies can be reduced with time, but the initial disruption could be considerable. Nothing on the scale f the disruption to the UK however.  "Fog in the Channel, Continent cut off" comes to mind...

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 04:49:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In the short run the EU economy will take on nose.  How badly depends on economic policy.  The EU economy needs a dose of Keynesian Stimulus and Brexit is the perfect excuse?

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 09:37:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The EU economy has being growing at quite a health rate recently (by it's own low standards) and can afford to take something of a Brexit hit if need be.

The UK less so...


Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 10:04:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the directly comparable annual growth rate is as follows:


Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 10:07:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
His point was that the Tory movement, once remorselessly committed to the business of government and the hard realities of office, had sailed off into the seas of ideology, captured by a gang of pirates seeking the imagined treasure of Brexit Island.

that is the best description of the behaviour of the Tory party I've seen in ages

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Oct 17th, 2017 at 08:34:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
His point was that the Tory Republican movement, once remorselessly committed to the business of government and the hard realities of office austere fiscal policy, had sailed off into the seas of ideology, captured by a gang of pirates seeking the imagined treasure of Brexit Island fucking over everyone not already wealthy and capable of bribing them..

Welcome to America. Now if only California would wake up, use their brains, and grow a pair.

They tried to assimilate me. They failed.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Thu Oct 19th, 2017 at 07:37:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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