The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
As you know, opinion polls on contentious issues are often a proxy for general happiness/unhappiness with how things are going, and so this may simply reflect disillusion with how the government is handling the negotiations.
It is by no means certain, based on that data, that a referendum held now would reverse the original result.
I have little doubt that public opinion may well develop in the direction you suggest, but without another general election or referendum there is no direct way that any swing in opinion can re-structure how the talks are being conducted. The Tory government can carry on regardless unless it losses it's Commons majority.
If the Brexit talks were to break down completely and Theresa May's leadership was in imminent peril I could imagine her calling another snap general election to ask whether the people wanted a "clean break" from the EU without any deal. I could see her losing that election and Corbyn resetting the talks provided he had enough time to do so before the A50 period expires.
In that scenario he would look to remain in the Single Market and Customs Union and avoid many of the complications bedevilling the current talks.
My problem with that relatively benign scenario is that (in my view) the talks are unlikely to break down completely until we get much closer to March 2019 and by that time there will be all the problems I instanced above about time extensions requiring unanimous approval.
Unlike fjallstrom , I don't believe the EU Council would simply accept a revocation of the A50 notification if the intention was simply to delay leaving and start Brexit talks all over again. The EU27 have had quite enough of Brexit already.
So if Corbyn tried to revoke the A50 notification, they would ask him simply, "are you in or out?" , and if he wants to stay in they will insist that the UK commits to not invoking A50 again for at least another 10 years.
Would Corbyn be agreeable to that?
Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 21 3 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 16 41 comments
by Oui - Mar 14 25 comments
by ARGeezer - Mar 7 26 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 8 16 comments
by Oui - Mar 9 3 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 28 112 comments
by Oui - Mar 3 4 comments
by Oui - Mar 23
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 213 comments
by Oui - Mar 212 comments
by Oui - Mar 20
by Cat - Mar 19
by Oui - Mar 191 comment
by Oui - Mar 177 comments
by Oui - Mar 171 comment
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 1641 comments
by Oui - Mar 15
by Oui - Mar 1425 comments
by Oui - Mar 93 comments
by Oui - Mar 91 comment
by Frank Schnittger - Mar 816 comments
by ARGeezer - Mar 726 comments
by Oui - Mar 5
by Oui - Mar 34 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 28112 comments
by Bernard - Feb 246 comments
by Oui - Feb 23