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They've explicitly threatened to suspend autonomy again until the "right" people win: http://www.catalannews.com/politics/item/re-application-of-article-155-threatened-in-case-of-pro-ind ependence-election-victory

They're also moving to ban pro-independence parties to ensure that outcome.

While we can hope it doesn't happen, it is not looking like Catalans will be allowed a free, fair, or meaningful vote.

by IdiotSavant on Mon Nov 6th, 2017 at 03:58:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re-application of Article 155 threatened in case of pro-independence election victory
Support for an independent Catalan state has soared since the October 1 referendum, according to a poll carried out by the Catalan Centre of Opinion Studies. People in favour now stand at 48.7% while those against at 46.3%. In June, a poll revealed that 41.1% were in favour of independence, and 49.4% were against.

Pro-independence parties would also win the elections again with Together for Yes winning 60 to 63 seats, and the far-left CUP winning between 8 and 9, the poll showed. 68 seats are needed to make a parliamentary majority.

Anti-independence parties would fail to win a majority in the elections if the poll proves to be correct. The unionist Ciutadans party would win 25 to 26 seats, the Socialists 17 to 19, with the People's Party coming in last with 10 to 11 seats.



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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Nov 6th, 2017 at 11:46:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is no shortage of hardliners among the PP and Ciudadanos base, but I doubt the Spanish government would either apply Art 155 again or move to make the separatist parties illegal only on an adverse election result.

The separatist parties fully intend to continue defying the Spanish constitution, so it's possible there will be another round of escalation afer the election. For instance, if a regional government supporred by a separatist majority tries to start implementing the voided law on the legal transition and Foundational of the republic.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 8th, 2017 at 12:29:09 PM EST
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