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One of the reasons I have consistently expected a hard or no deal Brexit is the Tory's complete lack of allies in Europe. The Tories aren't part of any major Christian, Social or Liberal Democrat party grouping within the EP and which make up the majority of governments in the EU.

Instead they are allied to the Law and Justice (PiS) of Poland who aren't exactly flavour of the month in Brussels or most other EU capitals.

Boris Johnson, Davis and Fox must be about the most unpopular triumvirate of ministers ever to grace the EU halls of power. Brexit minister Steve Baker has called for the downfall of the EU which according to him has "failed on its own terms". Nigel Farage is actually hated within the EP and his alliance with Trump feared as a potential major threat to the EU.

Theresa May herself has been spectacularly maladroit in her discussions with EU leaders and failed to build strong relationships with any of them. Even Ireland's normally obsequious Ministers have not been slow to express their exasperation with their UK counterparts.

Basically nobody in the EU of any significance owes these guys anything, or has anything to lose, politically, if Brexit is an utter shambles. They are best advised to steer well clear of any entanglement. (The potential economic/political fall-out is another matter, especially in Ireland).

Even in this technocratic age, negotiations are still all about relationships, trust, and a willingness to take risks for one another. You have to have a basic respect for your counterparts for the process to work well. That respect is lacking.

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Aug 27th, 2017 at 04:08:27 PM EST

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