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by rdf
There has been lots of discussion on the reasons the US invaded Iraq. The publicly offered ones by the current administration have been widely dismissed. However, the neo-cons running foreign policy are not stupid, so there must have been some other motivations which have not been revealed.
My speculations below.
The standard arguments given by the administration have been:
To eliminate Weapons of Mass Destruction (and imminent threat of use). To overthrow a dictator and bring democracy to Iraq. To sever the alliance between Saddam and Al Qaeda as part of the world-wide war on terrorism. I've always assumed a different set: To install a friendly government which will oversee a customer oriented oil policy which will help keep world oil prices moderate. To establish a new military base of operations to replace the lost capability in Saudi Arabia. To use this new base to intimidate other Arab states in the region. The score card on my assumptions: Friendly oil production is still a work in progress. Recent news points to sweetheart deals with Exxon and Shell being prepared for release after the upcoming elections. Somewhere between 17 and 19 permanent bases have been built in Iraq or are in final stages. Recent discussions such as those by Rep. Murtha on "withdrawal" have been misunderstood. He, and others, are not talking about leaving Iraq, just about moving to the permanent military installations. Intimidation has been working. Syria, Libyia, Lebanon and Jordan are much more pliable since the invasion. Changing Iran's behavior is still a failure, however.
Recently I've thought there might be another reason for the invasion. The rise of China is seen as a potential economic (and perhaps military) threat in the upcoming decades. So, we wish to have the benefits of cheap manufacturing, but we don't want their economy to become too robust. Putting these two factors together leads me to wonder if the invasion was not so much to secure the source of oil for the west as to prevent China from making a deal for it. Notice the upset over the agreements China has been making with several South American countries. After all the US didn't need to invade to have access to the Iraq oil, it just had to buy it on the open market like everyone else. So the "War for Oil" idea doesn't hold up. But, preventing competition from China is something that would have to be done by bilateral agreements as a way to thwart the operation of a free market. The goals are met. Cheaper energy for the west and limitations on the growth of Chinese economic competition. |
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Why US invaded Iraq | 47 comments (47 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Why US invaded Iraq | 47 comments (47 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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