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by DoDo
Jumping in for the regular German crew, with just one news: in two of the last four polls published, the combined conservative-(market-)liberal poll number has fallen back to the critical level where even the slight non-proportional slant of the German mixed election system (worth about 2%) won't give them majority in parliament.
Both the poll published by the generally neutral Infratest-Dimap last Friday and the one published by the CDU-close Emnid yesterday put CDU/CSU+FDP at 47.5%, while the percentage points of the other three, leftist future Parliament members SPD, Greens and Left Party combine to 49.5%. (The also neutral Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has a leftist lead of only 48%:49%, the CDU-close Allensbach has 48.5%:48.8%.)
Update [2005-9-12 7:21:44 by DoDo]:
Today Forsa, the polling institute associated with SPD, released its latest:
CDU/CSU 42% (+-0)
Hence the two blocks unchanged for this institute: Meanwhile, on Saturday, the Bundestagswahl 2005 site updated its prediction for direct mandates:
Legend: On the main page, there is the seat distribution prediction based on the above map, with the so-called overhang mandates in parantheses:
SPD 214 (4) Note that the non-PR advantage of the right, i.e. that in the overhang mandates, melted to just one seat.
Overhang mandate: |
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Countdown Germany: Day -7 | 6 comments (6 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Countdown Germany: Day -7 | 6 comments (6 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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