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by technopolitical
There's more to the CO2 problem than warmth and weather. It's making the World Ocean more acidic, and ocean ecosystems are on track to be disrupted in ways that no one predict. With enough acid, shells and coral will dissolve.
For a more reliable source than the above WaPo article, see: From what I've read, the process of ocean acidification is easier to model than climate change. Subject to various modulating influences, the effects of ocean circulation, and so forth, the basic story is that CO2 dissolves in water, forms carbonic acid, and lowers pH. Other influences make the story more complex, but nothing like climate change: acidification isn't nearly as sensitive to unknown forces, counter-forces, feedback loops, and messy, swirling weather patterns. The effects of ocean acidification, however, seem less predictable than those of climate change. Climate change, after all, is business-as-usual for Earth. Some regions become warmer, but most become no warmer than neighboring regions had been before. On the whole, species shift their ranges toward the poles, while polar bears shift their ranges northward past the pole and into the afterlife. Some regions become wetter or drier, but there have always been wet and dry places. Maybe the Gulf Stream shifts and Europe freezes, but little matter -- global climate has seen far greater changes in the last 20,000 years. By some standards (e.g., human) the expected disruptions may be enormous and unpredictable, but by other standards (e.g., planetary deep time), they're minor. Now consider ocean acidification: On a planetary time scale, CO2 concentrations have sometimes been far higher than the highest projections for the next century, but this didn't make the seas more acid. Changes were slow and calcium carbonate minerals have always dissolved fast enough to buffer the ocean's chemistry. This process stabilized pH and kept calcium carbonate levels at saturation. Organisms (plankton, giant clams, coral...) could build up shells of calcium carbonate and not have them dissolve away instead. Today, however, the atmospheric CO2 is rising far faster, too fast for calcium carbonate dissolution to keep up. The oceans are therefore on their way to being more acidic than they've been for... well... Caldeira simply says "many millions of years."
Note the difference: This is the whole ocean shifting outside its prior range. The analogy in the climatic case would be if all the temperature zones now on Earth shifted toward the poles and disappeared, leaving the whole world hotter than equatorial regions are today. And unlike the problem of rising global mean temperature, this one doesn't seem to have a cheap, easy fix. |
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The Ocean Acid Problem | 27 comments (27 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
The Ocean Acid Problem | 27 comments (27 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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