by Drew J Jones
Mon Oct 2nd, 2006 at 04:00:53 AM EST
In case some of you -- or, for that matter, all of you -- have not heard the news out of Washington this week, a prominent Republican congressman, Mark Foley of Florida, whose district begins roughly two and a half miles North of my parents' home in Palm Beach County, has resigned after sending emails to under-18 pages that apparently lead us to conclude -- along with the resignation -- that he may be a pedophile. The Republican leadership in the House, as we now know, has been aware of this for years and did nothing. Foley, for you lovers of irony, was the chairman of the Committee on Missing & Exploited Children. The Religious Right, already severely depressed, is sitting in silence, of course. The FBI is now investigating.
That's one more seat that just went from "Toss-Up" to "Likely Democratic". Daily Kos's sister website, MyDD, is now also producing projections (House here, Senate here) for the two chambers. The probability of Democratic control in the House is now up to 90%, and that comes prior to the Foley case turning potentially into a massive scandal. (Investigations are being launched.) The Senate story isn't as strong, but it looks like we'll end up with a tie at this point, depending on how you count Lieberman: 50 Republicans, 48 Dems, Lieberman, and Bernie Sanders (who is an independent socialist from Vermont). But, if the Dems can close the deals in Missouri and Virginia, as seems increasingly likely, you can toss another two into the Dem column at the GOP's expense.
All in all, good news. Oh, and the NYT has a profile on Howard Dean and the 50-State Strategy.
Update: The NRCC Chairman's Chief of Staff apparently tried to convince ABC News, which broke the story, to cover up the more hideous conversations between Foley and a sixteen-year-old. The Speaker of the House now refuses to answer questions. This is exploding.
New poll shows Democrat Tim Mahoney has already cleared the 50% mark in the race for Foley's seat. The fat lady may not be singing, but that's only because she's late to work.