European Tribune

Out of Africa

by Londonbear
Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 01:59:06 AM EST

Four pieces of news from Africa this week are likely to have significance in the future. One is likely to ignite demonstrations by the religious Right all over the USA from next June.


Lucy in Texas with Demos

The hot news for the USA is the annoucement on Wednesday  that Ethopian officials have completed negotiations with the Houston (Texas) Museum of Natural Sciences to loan a fossil for study. It will also form the centepiece of an 11 city tour of museums.

The remains of the female Australopithecus afarensis are better known as "Lucy" after they were found while the Beatles song was playing to the archaeologists. No transitional speciaes have been found but the Australopiticines are believed to be an important pre-cursor to hominids, including homo sapiens sapiens (that's thee and me) The "family tree" goes something like this.

Of course this goes a long way to demonstrating that the crude version of Darwinian theory, of human evolution from a common ancestor with the modern great apes, has a basis in the fossil record. Even stronger evidence of a close family relation with man was found earlier this year. The skeleton of an immature female was found which included the skull and a sandstone impression of the brain. Those studying it now believe it demonstrates that the species had the long slow development typical of humans. Of course a scientifically based claim merely that the skeleton is 3.3 million years old is enough for Genesis purists to man the barriers. They point to a Tuesday morning about 3000 BC as the time of the Creation. Look forward to fun and games from them when the touring exhibition starts.

An African Nobel Prize

Thursday will see the launch in London of the Mo Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership This project has the support of Bill Clinton, Nelson Mandela and Kofi Annan. An annual prize of $500,000 for 10 years and $100,000 a year for life after that. It will go to the African head of state  whose nation tops an annual table of good governance, 53 countries will be assessed by Harvard University. It will be the world's richest prize.

Importantly, the money will only be given after the head of state leaves office. They will only get it if they hand over to their successor in a democratic process. Its supporters see it as a way of improving governance and removing the motivation for corruption. Some dissenters point out that the mineral riches of Africa could give the corrupt and even bigger booty. To achieve the ideas the rest of the world will have to cooperate with incoming democratic governments to track down and repatriate the riches corrupt leaders have stolen. That way there will be a stick as well as a carrot towards government for the people.

OIL

Where would a report from overseas be with this administration if it did not include a reference to "black gold". The dollar signs must be spinning in the eyes of the State Department that oil and natural gas has been discovered in Zambia. The locations are in the Chavuma and Zambezi districts in north-western Zambia near the border with Angola, itself an oil exporting nation.

Zambia is considered very much a political success story. Although there are allegations of improprieties in the election, the sitting President Levy Mwanawasa was re-elected to a second five year term in September.

When I was there a couple of months before the 2001 election the local press were reporting corruption in the previous administration. Pretty low level stuff compared to Halliburton, Enron etc but significant in terms of the ordinary Zambian. At that time there were financial difficulties and anecdotally I was told by a middle class white Zambia that the best contraceptive was to whisper "school fees".  Mwanawasa is credited in the linked BBC report with tackling corruption and attracting foreign investment to the country. The local currency the Kwacha has strengthened (because of past inflation you never see the sub-unit the ngwee - 100 ngwee = 1 Kwacha - and, at least while I was there, you virtually only saw paper currency)

The principal and virtually only Zambian foreign exchange earner was copper. Dependency on the world price of the metal and the currency strength meant that there is still a lot of poverty. Foreign investment is being used to encourage diversification into tourism and things like oil exploration. Like many developing countries; its capital, Lusaka, is a contrast between office blocks and fancy country club style hotels for the rich and shanty slums besides the railway track for the poor. Millions are below the poverty line and of course AIDS is taking a toll. Nevertheless, Zambia is one of those nations I have optimism for and this oil discovery should go a long way towards providing economic stability so that the worst of extreme poverty can be relieved. Let's hope a new period of economic  "chachacha" will improve the lot of those millions living on under $1 a day.

In case you are wondering why Zambias seem to be fixated on ballroom dancing (a main road in Lusaka is named it), it was the name given to the period of time in which the Zambian people fought for and gained their independence in 1964. It alludes to a steam locomotive starting up.

4000% Inflation

If Mwanawasa looks like a strong contender for a Mo Ibrahim Prize, his immediate southern neighbour must be a strong contended for the booby prize. More evidence this week of the basket case the Zimbabwean economy has become under Mugabe. The cost of tickets on Air Zimbabwe were increased by 500% putting air travel out of the reach of all but the richest. Many of those are anyway banned from travelling to EU countries because of their connection with the government and its repressive tactics.

Last month the official annual inflation figure for August was announced as 1204.6% This is expected to reach 1,800% by the end of the year. Unofficially the annual rate is already believed to be 4000%. The price of an return air ticket from Harare to London of Zim$ 1,865,000 (US$ 7,460) hides the recent currency reform when three zeros were knocked off the end. Thus new Zim$1,865,000 equals old Zim$1,865,000,000. Even today you only need carry 10 pieces of paper to have a million (Zimbabwean) dollars in your pocket.

 

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I really appreciate hearing this news...please keep these Africa news posts coming (and I'll try to add, as I can).

Half the population is under the age of 18. Tanzania's future is NOW...join the 50% campaign!
by whataboutbob on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 03:40:06 AM EST
Zambia is one of those nations I have optimism for and this oil discovery should go a long way towards providing economic stability so that the worst of extreme poverty can be relieved. Let's hope a new period of economic  "chachacha" will improve the lot of those millions living on under $1 a day.

Amen to that.  Mwanawasa should hop over to Norway for some ideas on how to manage this "windfall":

Norway has pursued a classically Scandinavian solution. It has viewed oil revenues as a temporary, collectively owned windfall that, instead of spurring consumption today, can be used to insulate the country from the storms of the global economy and provide a thick, goose-down cushion for the distant day when the oil wells run dry.

Less than 20 years after they started producing oil, the Norwegians realized their geological good luck would only be temporary. In 1990, the nation's parliament set up the Petroleum Fund of Norway to function as a fiscal shock absorber. Run under the auspices of the country's central bank, the fund, like the Alaska Fund, converts petrodollars into stocks and bonds. But instead of paying dividends, it uses revenues and appreciation to ensure the equitable distribution of wealth across generations.



Un seul mauvais exemple, une fois donné, est capable de corrompre toute une nation, et l'habitude devient une tyrannie.
by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 07:51:48 AM EST
I was shocked to learn from a colleague, who traveled to Zambia to study psychosocial sports programs, that more than 40% of Zambia is aged 15 or less!!! Almost half the country under 15! How can you have leaders and teachers when so many older people have died from AIDS?

I can only hope that the government will truly use any new money to help every Zambian equally...<and I can only hope that it doesn't lead to serious corruption...>

Half the population is under the age of 18. Tanzania's future is NOW...join the 50% campaign!

by whataboutbob on Thu Oct 26th, 2006 at 09:54:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Of course a scientifically based claim merely that the skeleton is 3.3 million years old is enough for Genesis purists to man the barriers. They point to a Tuesday morning about 3000 BC as the time of the Creation. Look forward to fun and games from them when the touring exhibition starts.

Don't know why this would be so.  I received a degree in anthropology from a "Southern" US University in the heart of the "bible belt", over 38 years ago.  The finding of the australopithicus remains was heralded there with the same acclaim as any other scientific discovery.  There will always be persons who disagree with the interpretation of certain scientific evidence, one of the rights of free speech, but I do not see much in the way of fun and games here other than perhaps literary. The "monkey trial" ended long before my time.  Thanks for passing on the information because I do look forward to seeing the remains should they be brought to Washington.


I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears

by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Fri Oct 27th, 2006 at 09:03:59 PM EST


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