Inequality is making Americans poorer than the French or the Brits

by Jerome a Paris
Mon Feb 13th, 2006 at 12:54:08 PM EST

Look at this graph, from the (now virulently anti-French, and thus not suspect of bias here) Economist:

France and Britain, when inequality is taken into account, are actually richer than the USA. And the FT, also nos suspect of bias, explains why:



it was not a rise of profits or other non-labour income that squeezed the middle-ranking US citizen but an increase in the share of the top 10 per cent of wage and salary earners who have captured almost half the total income gains in the past four decades. Within that, there has been a vast increase of the share of the top 1 per cent, who gained more than all of the bottom 50 per cent.

Back from the front page


Let's go into more detail.

First, a little bit more form the FT article:



Superstars snap up American growth (Samuel Brittain, the FT's well respected senior economics columnist, Feb. 10)

US left-of-centre journals are full of calculations showing how a middle-income earner would have to work more hours today than five, 10 or even 25 years ago to obtain basic modern necessities.

The stock Republican reply has been to point to the increase in productivity and average real income in which the US has outpaced most other leading western countries. But what is true of the average is not necessarily true of the median - the person in the middle. One of the American economists whom I most trust in this dense jungle, Robert J. Gordon, estimates that real median earnings per hour have hardly increased at all in the US - not merely under the wicked George W. Bush administration but over the preceding period, 1966-2001.*

The question is: who has benefited from the trend annual increase of around 2 per cent in US output per hour? Prof Gordon shows that there has been little long-term change in labour's share in US income in the past half century.

What, then, was the source of the increased skewness of the income distribution? Prof Gordon is rightly suspicious of the conventional explanation that it has been mostly due to the pressure of skill-based technical change on the least skilled workers - the ratio of median earnings to those in the bottom 10th has hardly changed.

He concludes that it was not a rise of profits or other non-labour income that squeezed the middle-ranking US citizen but an increase in the share of the top 10 per cent of wage and salary earners who have captured almost half the total income gains in the past four decades. Within that, there has been a vast increase of the share of the top 1 per cent, who gained more than all of the bottom 50 per cent.

I went to the original sources mentioned in this article (The Polarisation of the US Labor Market, pdf) , and found some spectacular graphs, which simply have to be shown here...

In the past 30 years, there has been a steady increase in the gap between the rich (the "90") and the median (the "50"), whereas the gap between the median and the poorest (the "10"), which also increased in the 70s, has now stabilised. (you could even argue that it imporved under Clinton and got worse the rest of the time)

This graph shows that everybody did better in the last 15 years than in the 15 years before that; in both cases the rich did better, but in the last 15 years, the poor did as well as the middle classes. The problem is this:

The middle is getting thinner. Jobs have been created at both ends of the spectrum, instead of throughout. So having a poorly paying job that sees its salary increase as much as that of the middle classes is a pretty small consolation from falling from the middle classes into the lower classes.

Which brings us back to our original graph, with a more detailed version below, from the OECD original study (this page allows you to explore the study, the actual graph is here (pdf)):

I have not been able to find the exact methodology for this graph, but the OECD is a pretty serious institution, and from what I can see, it looks like they have simply taken out of the calculation of the GDP the highest x% (with various values for x depending on "inequality aversion").

What this says is that America is richer because America's rich are richer than Europe's rich. Take the very rich out, and America and Europe have pretty much the same standards of living (according to GDP numbers anyway).

As the FT's columnist points out:



In any case, we can no longer say with as much confidence as before that redistribution will achieve very little. Tony Blair, prime minister, once said that reducing the earnings of football star David Beckham was not a priority. But if Beckham's corporate equivalents now account for a substantial proportion of the national income, the matter looks different.

Does that mean another "soak the rich" campaign? One is indeed likely in the US. Republicans will not be able for ever to divert attention to religious and "moral" issues.

Thus, the conservative economics columnist of Europe's foremost business newspaper expects a "soak the rich" campaign, and indeed seems to think that it would be pretty justified. What are you guys waiting for??

You are already poorer than the French, with no free healthcare, no permanent holidays, and no pains au chocolat. What more do you need to act?!

Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password

Display:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/2/11/1225/93901

for your recommendations, as usual.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 12:34:18 PM EST
Thus, the conservative economics columnist of Europe's foremost business newspaper expects a "soak the rich" campaign, and indeed seems to think that it would be pretty justified. What are you guys waiting for??

You are already poorer than the French, with no free healthcare, no permanent holidays, and no pains au chocolat. What more do you need to act?!

Isn't this what I've been saying all along?  I've been banging on that drum so long I'm wondering if anyone can hear anymore!

Maybe we can eventually make language a complete impediment to understanding. -Hobbes

by Izzy (izzy at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 01:56:01 PM EST
LOL Izzy, you're not the only one banging this drum you know... And no, no-one has been listening so far, so the drum must go on...
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 02:08:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But I'm getting so tired...

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

Maybe we can eventually make language a complete impediment to understanding. -Hobbes

by Izzy (izzy at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 02:42:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If you used the proper batteries...


By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 02:46:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome:
The paper you cited has a thesis it wants to prove: computerization eliminated many middle level (middle class) jobs. This drop in demand caused the sag in wage growth for this sector. They do not prove a causal relationship, however.

I think a stronger case for the decline in wage growth for the typical blue- and white-collar worker can be made by tracking the loss of organized labor as a power center in the US. The evidence for this is more striking when similar job categories in western Europe are compared with those in the US. The European workers did better over the period. Presumably the efficiencies of computerization should have affected the US and Europe similarly.

Perhaps someone can supplement BTowers ongoing series about US wage growth with similar stats from Europe to round out the picture.


Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 02:04:04 PM EST
I respectfully disagree, in that the unionized jobs are just disappearing through offshoring etc.,  WHat little replacement there's been has been in lower level service jobs.  See Jobs in America Vol. III posted today, and a preview from Vol. IV below.

by btower on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 05:43:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sorry, the bottom chart is average weekly wages by sector.
by btower on Sat Feb 11th, 2006 at 05:45:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BT: I'm not sure what you are disagreeing with?
Are you saying that wages in the unionized manufacturing sector stagnated about the same amount as in the non-unionized services sector? This doesn't prove anything one way or the other.

With a stronger union movement there might have been controls put on how much labor could be shifted off shore. There might have been tariffs put on imports. There might have been public works projects established to employ displaced workers. I'm not saying that these are good or bad ideas, just that with organized labor having no clout they weren't even discussed.

Another point is that organized labor only has to be about 30% of the work force for it to create a positive influence for all workers. Non-unionized companies need to be roughly competitive or they won't attract workers. Notice also that in the few service areas where unions have succeeded they have improved the working conditions for the sector. Some recent examples: janitors, home health care workers, and hotel employees.

I belong to the school of though that says "might makes might". There are three factions in an economy: government, business and labor. If one is noticeably weaker than the others its interests will get short changed. That's what has happened to labor in the US in the past 30 years and appears to be happening in Europe now as well.


Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 09:47:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Great, Jerome.

What exactly caused this gap? Only technology, which eliminated many jobs, and the rich getting richer? America seemed to have it all. But then, we have a brand-new, big idol to admire: China.

Katrina was one occasion that clearly exposed this gap.

In a way, the US poor suffer more than the European ones. People here can live without a car.

by Brownie on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 11:45:44 AM EST
I suppose in one respect US poor are worse off than in Europe, however, it may be one of perspective too. People are fond of saying that the poor were exposed by Katrina but I found it amusing that when the news would show the devasted poor neighboorhoods in NO, I noted with some irony more than a few houses adorned with satellite dishes.

Of all the states in the Union, Louisiana is by far the most corrupt. It is also worth nothing that Louisiana has also been run by the Democratic party for roughly the last 100 years, the party of the working class and poor no less yet, if Katrina exposed anything, it was that government handouts on a massive scale do little to improve the lives of the recipients.

I am all supportive of government aid to the less fortunate, however, our system of welfare has devolved into system that perpetuates complete dependency on the goverment and creates generation after generation of a class that counts on the government for its sustenance. Then again, some would argue that was the point all along.

All that is necessary for evil to succeed is that good men do nothing. Edmund Burke

by Imperator (wittman67@gmail.com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:18:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
All that is necessary for evil to succeed is that good men bust their brains out trying to understand comments like this one.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:42:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is it possible that some in the US government benefit from perpetuating the government dependency of certain people? Or is this just a problem that the government is still seeking a solution for?
by Brownie on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 09:30:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Awesome graphs, as usual.

I have one question : what is the percentage of wealth held by the most affluent decile in France, the UK, and Germany, to take only a few examples ? Is there such a difference to the US ?

I'm confident that the current government's policy will soon bring France down to US standards.
In France, contrary to the US, nobody is talking about kicking the Right out of the presidential palace.

Hello, wake up, the country is going back to social middle age.

When through hell, just keep going. W. Churchill

by Agnes a Paris on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:37:37 PM EST
Only goes to 1998, but shows that France is not really get more unequal:

(I doubt that the situation has worsened so much since then in France)

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:49:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You can clearly see the Thatcher and Reagan effects on this chart.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:59:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I read the British press on a daily (FT) and weekly (The Economist, The Guardian, the Independent, the Times, Vogue, Harper and Queen ;-)) basis and am suddenly fearing to have been blind for years.
How do ETribers living in the UK sense it  : is there really an anti-French conspiracy in that press, as Jerome feels ?

When through hell, just keep going. W. Churchill
by Agnes a Paris on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 12:42:32 PM EST
Well, in part I will answer with another question... have you read "Manufacturing Consent" by Chomsky?

The reason I mention this is because it's important to understand (and I believe Jerome does) is that "conspiracy" is not exactly the right word, implying as it does, plotters in a smoky room agreeing on a course of action.

Rather, the UK press is in the grip of a groupthink. There has long been a latent xenophobic streak in part of UK society. This has been culturally expressed in part in the UK press in the rivalry with Germany and France.

However, with the advent of the Thatcher era and at the same time the rising right-wing ownership of the UK press, there was a mythical fable created, of bureaucratic, socialist France and dynamic, privatising Britain. (This was also taken up by the right wing press in the US, along with various other attitudes when France annoyed Bush over Iraq.)

Anyway, the result of all this is that there is an identifiable groupthink in the UK press. In the popular press this often just shows up as a set of nasty stereotypes and statements, but you don't read those papers, so we'll say no more there.

In the more serious press, the economic stereotype is much in evidence. France is used to symbolise all the bad that the UK fears in Europe and that bogeyman status is used to paper over the cracks in arguements which are not sound. Of course, economics is politics in part and thus social policy and social attitudes often take the same treatment...

As for the fashion press.. ;-) they tend to be less prejudiced, but then they have little choice. Despite some good British designers (Galliano, etc. and of course, my favourite, Boateng) the truth is that the fashion world lives and breathes France and Italy in ways that mean the xenophobia can't survive in the same way...

I could ramble on about this further, but perhaps it would be better to ask if this makes sense so far? Any questions?

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 01:35:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Great answer. Many thanks Metatone.

When through hell, just keep going. W. Churchill
by Agnes a Paris on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 02:13:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
More to do with fundamentally antagonistic worldviews about the 'worth-whileness' of State involvement in the economy.  The two extremes, of course, are: total domination of the economy by the State versus total elimination of the State in the economy.  The 'French' tend toward domination while downplaying any evidence of the value in elimination.  The 'Anglo-Saxon' tends toward elimination and to downplay any value in domination.

What is happening to the Economist, IMHO, is they have moved from downplaying to hostility to State economic intervention when it lessens the ability of transnationals and other major corporate entities to make money while encouraging State intervention when such actions increase the ability of those entities to make money.  Coupled with this is a psychological presumption that the entire valid purpose, goal, and desire of the human species is completely subsumed in money-grubbing.  Thus the analysis of everything: Art, Science, Politics, Technology, and etc. is cast into their fixation on and obsession with Economic Determinism (rather Marxist of them, actually.)  

Any indication that either of these two idee fixe are questioned, limited, or wrong sends them off into a foaming-at-the-mouth hissy fit -- in an understated British kind of way.  :-)  Since France and Germany are continual living examples that their idee fixe can be questioned, are limited, and might be wrong they must throw foaming-at-the-mouth hissy fits -- in an understated British kind of way -- whenever they can.

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 02:13:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome, Since you seem to have some pull at the Washington Times, I think you should pitch this story to them. ;<) I'd actually pay for a copy if they ran it.

Do not feel safe. The poet remembers.
Czeslaw Milosz
by Chris Kulczycki on Sun Feb 12th, 2006 at 06:57:35 PM EST


Display:
Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]