Italian Elections Round-up- February 3rd, 2006

by de Gondi
Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 03:57:18 AM EST

Silvio continues to dominate prime time TV with his presence and will continue to do so. In the first three weeks of January he managed to total nearly eight hours (27,441 seconds) in TV with 86 million contacts, according to the Pavia Observatory. The runner-up, Piero Fassino, Secretary of the opposition DS, came in at a distant 3 hours (11,255 seconds). Down the line there is Gianfranco Fini (AN) at 6,936 seconds; Massimo D'Alema (DS) at 5,840 seconds; and Romano Prodi with 4,158 seconds.

 It appears that his media invasion may have some effect according to a poll just published today. Within his own coalition he has gained some ground. The gap between the two poles has reduced half a percentage point from 5,5% to 5% with the center-left stable around 52,2% and the right wing now at 47%. Analysts concur that they do not foresee much change in polls until the final three weeks before elections.

According to experts, in order to have a stable majority in Italy with Berlusconi's new electoral law a coalition must win 53,8% of the vote. Between 50% and 53,8 %, any Italian government will be fragile.

And now for the news.

From the diaries ~ whataboutbob


Berlusconi went over the top on the Italy's main infotainment show the other day. He has now invented a picturesque cabal called the Red Pentagon which consists of red finance, red judges, red coops, red communes and the red ex-reds (PCI-PDS-DS). He neglected to mention the red regions after his unprecedented lose last year. Now that the red judges have archived his unsubstantiated claims related to private dinner chatter he now accuses the coops of being in collusion with the camorra.

This is very promising for B watchers who are all too familiar with his pre-emptive smear tactics. If B is accusing the left of association with the camorra, one can reasonably assume that there is already an investigation underway that involves the camorra and his party, if not himself. Once the hypothetical investigation breaks, he can bray about "clockwork justice", "communist conspiracies", and do the outraged victim routine, preferably on all channels, prime time.

Berlusconi omitted to mention that his red judges are responsible for having uncovered the red Unipol scandal.

Mamma Rosa, B's venerable Mum just turned 95 the other day. We wish her the best. A comic did a sketch on her for her birthday bash for us plebes who weren't invited. Apparently it was funny by regime standards.

Senator Fabrizio Cicchitto, played at being indignant and offended over this clear lack of taste and respect. Cicchitto, for those who would like to know, is an old P2 hand like Berlusconi himself. The P2 was a subversive Masonic lodge that sub-contracted murder, terrorism and corruption from mid-sixties throughout the eighties, both in Italy and South America.

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Communism has never ceased to exist but like the treacherous serpent has only changed its skin; and in this revolting alliance it has espoused Islam. They are the enemies and must be fought without quarter to the bitter end. GOD IS WITH US!

                                 
                                                                            -Gaetano Saya

Image and quote from original Saya site. B is the one in the red cape.


Speaking of subversive lodges, Gaetano Saya is in the news again. He's the extremist wingbat who put together his own subversive parallel police ring that was busted up last year. Italy produces criminal organizations and militia-cake lodges on an industrial scale. His site was ordered down last year for inciting hate and racism but he has now cleaned up his act with a soft-sell version. Anyway, Gaetano founded his own little fascist party- pardon, New Right Party-  the Nuovo MSI. Since he was under house arrest for a while (Saya claimed it ended on January 1st; however he was ordered by the court not to speak in public last July), his wife, Maria Antonietta Cannizzaro, handled proselytizing to the Faithful- and received a Helping Hand from the Saviour of the Nation last October. Antonietta passed a pleasant hour with Cavalier B and should officially enter B's rightwing coalition along with the other representatives of the lunatic fringe, such as the closet goose-stepper, hammerhead Roberto Fiore, who systematically attempts to stage Nazi rallies throughout Italy. The veteran fascist pistolero, Pino Rauti, is on boat along with Miss Mussolini. Everything goes in the final battle against the malignant Romano Prodi and his Islamo-communist hordes.

By the way, this reminds me that Abe Foxman of the Anti-Defamation League thought so highly of B that he awarded him the "Distinguished Statesman of the Year Award" in 2003, despite international outcry by just about everybody who still possessed critical faculties at the time. But what the hell, it makes up for that lost Nobel Peace Prize. Silvio just didn't cut the ice with the Norwegians in that neck-to-neck with Jimmy Carter.  B of course was nominated candidate for the Nobel Peace Prize back in 2002 for his obvious merits. Well, almost. He is by his own account a tireless harbinger of peace who has resolved conflicts throughout the planet, even between Putin and Bush, but certainly not his own mundane conflicts of interest. Just doesn't have the time. The Right Honourable Antonio Gentile, Senator from Calabria for B's personal political entity put the petition together. We hope Antonio got a gold rolex for his noble efforts from the man in person.

It appears that being top wizard in a subversive Masonic lodge has its benefits. Even Venerable Master Licio Gelli would have us believe he was nominated for the Nobel in Literature in 1996, between one trial and another for bank cracks and train station massacres. Alas, it's news of the last hour that his famous Villa Wanda, confiscated by judiciary sentence to pay off the Calvi Bank bankruptcy, is up for auction. Let's hope Berlusconi can cook up another ad personam law before his personal parliament closes to solve Licio's housing problems.

Rumours have it that B is in pole position for Secretary General of the UN when Kofi Annan steps down this year. After all, it's Continental Europe's turn to express a candidate for the job, and no one is as qualified as B to fill the post. At least he'd get the hell out of Italy for awhile.

The most hated newspaper in Italy


L'Unità is a latrine. It's the worst newspaper in the world. It should be closed down. I'd arrest them, everyone of them.

                                                        -Maria Antonietta Cannizzaro, wife of Gaetano Saya, proxy Secretary of Nuovo MSI

Once the staid communist party organ, l'Unità went out of business in 2000, but was back on the stands after three months with a new owner. The new director was Furio Colombo, long-time professor of journalism at the Columbia School of Journalism. He brought fresh air, a new way of making journalism in Italy that recalled the blunt, no-frills style of reporting that was once a hallmark of American and English reporting (Guardian, Independant).

L'Unità is uncompromisingly against Berlusconi and everything he represents, whether it be his mafia henchmen or the vapid pornocracy that now permeates the state and the airwaves.

For Berlusconi l'Unità is an obsession. He rails constantly against the paper, accusing it of preposterous crimes and instigation to murder. Not to be outclassed by Hussein of Jordan or Hassan of Marocco, he has announced that he's had forty attempts on his life, some of them instigated by l'Unità. His genial pundit and gargantuan slob, Giuliano Ferrara, went on a prime time rant accusing l'Unità and Antonio Tabucchi of being the "linguistic commissioners" of his prospective murder.

For someone who has survived unlimited lunch breaks at Pierre's and lugging suitcases full of money around, Giuliano's rage seemed out of place. It certainly has not addressed the arguments brought up by l'Unità such as Berlusconi's durable and mutually profitable relation with the mafia.

As part of Berlusconi's electoral strategy, he has engaged a brutal attack against l'Unità on prime time, in courts and before the journalists' syndicate.

Sadly, last Friday evening the mafia may have exploited the atmosphere.

In Corleone, the mafia burned two cars as a warning. One of them belonged to Dino Paternostro, a correspondent for l'Unità. Dino had published a book two months ago about the Corleone mafia and its involvement in subversive coup attempts against the Italian state. The book did not reveal much that was not already known, but may have brought unwelcome attention. Dino is also involved in labour union activism in Corleone and is presently investigating the waste management business there.

David Lane of the Economist was present in Corleone to attend a public rally of solidarity. If many Italian papers won't discuss these mafia intimidations, at least there's the Economist.

Dino has said he will not cave into intimidations and will continue his investigations. A new edition of his book will be on newsstands in the days to come.

___
For previous diaries on Gaetano Saya and his parallel police (DSSA) go to:

Breaking in Italy- Blitz against subversive parallel police by de Gondi

Breaking: Italian fascist spy network possibly linked to US intelligence by paper tigress

The Plot Thickens by Hannah K O'Luthon

Another Operation Gladio? by gilgamesh.

____
For a background primer on the upcoming general elections in Italy, see this Wikipedia article.

All political and electoral polls conducted by internationally recognized polling institutes are posted here by law.

The Osservatorio di Pavia Media Research Center monitors televised political communication on a permanent basis since 1995 on all national broadcasting companies. Since 1999 it also monitors agenda setting for all televised news. The site also has some interesting lexical analysis (Alceste 4.0, out of Toulouse of all places) in English of the Kerry-Bush debates for those interested in ancient history.

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Once again, a great round-up that informs me on the situation there.

I don't have any insightful comment to make, so I'll just say: Thankyou de Gondi for this article.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 04:25:23 AM EST
...still no mention of any policy issue! What can you do, that's politics in italy.

As of now, only Romano Prodi discussed his projects (if I understand correctly, he did it with an interview on the privately-owned Radio24, that used to be a direct emanation of IlSole24Ore, the italian "Wall Street Journal"... but I've been out of italy for a while so I could be wrong). He explicitly said that he wants to increase taxation of financial earnings and real estate, but only for the top earner (e.g. owners of two or three houses wouldn't be touched). That's a bold move, and he really was talking like the elections were already won, because these times you don't win elections promising more taxation, especially not in italy.

From the right, there is no talking of any real issues whatsoever; they only had a big fuss about marijuana. Gianfranco Fini, the centre-right coalition second-in-command and leader of the ex-fascist party Alleanza Nazionale, admitted he used it when he was a teenager, right after approving a more restrictive law on the subject. Then his party proceeded to whitewash the revelation by accusing everyone else of hypocrisy ("at least he admitted it, not like them !"), and the "debate" obviously degenerated in writing down lists of "who's tried what"...

Everything else is just the usual show by Mr.B, because, as he very well knows, the more people talk about him, the more they get used to his horrendous behaviour and end up voting him...

by toyg (g.lacava@gmail.com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 06:14:45 AM EST
A first draft of the Union's program was published on January 11th. An article that highlights the 12 major points can be read in Italian here. All major Italian dailies have articles on the draft version of the program.

Some of its points are heatedly debated by the centre parties of the coalition such as the PACS proposal for gay couples, similar to the French solution. The modalities of getting out of Iraq are also a matter of controversy among member parties.

The final Union program will not be presented until the official date of the election campaign opening, which should be on the 11th of February. That date is far away, and I have my doubts it will be respected.

The Prodi radio interview is discussed here in Italian.

I will discuss the Union program in a future post.

In the meantime the Union continues its grassroots, "propositive" campaign, generally avoiding national TV. The main leaders appear to take turns brushing off B's hourly rants with brief quips.

Most of the time, they needn't bother since B manages to insult several professional categories a day who respond in merit but not in kind. Yesterday, he insulted foreign correspondents who in general felt honoured by his wrath, and professional polling companies in toto. According to B's imaginary polls he has long since surpassed Prodi and will surpass the Union coalition within hours. This is an excellent sign, as all of his past imaginary polls have proved wrong. Since reality has a hard time ingratiating itself with B's desires, he writes it off as proof of communist voter fraud. Today B managed to insult nearly a half dozen different categories and invent trial verdicts that were never passed.

Other than keeping B and his chums out of jail, ransacking the state coffers, and doubling B's income annually, the centre right has no real program. If you are interested in their drivel you can find something on their sites. I've no intention of wasting my precious time aping their spin.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sat Feb 4th, 2006 at 06:24:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
i'm too hornswoggled to speak!!

wake me up and tell me this is a john cleese take-off....

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 06:29:38 AM EST
I think it's just wishful thinking by some, in and out of his coaltion. He will never ever step down, but he's increasingly seen as a liability by his own allies; his failures are becoming too big to ignore. GWB has the "honourable" escape route (after two mandates, he has to step down), B could be Presidente del Consiglio forever, until he manages to pass a law introducing the direct election for the President and gets himself in the office...
by toyg (g.lacava@gmail.com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 07:13:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for this round-up! And the scathing tone for Berlus & co :-)

I have two questions. One is something I was too late to ask in your last diary. You said that another, non-official Italian site on polls, Il Termometro Politico, is only an on-line poll. However, I find an on-line poll only following the link in the left top box, while the trend graph (below) at center and the averages in the second-from-top box in the left sidebar seem to be summaries of all the real, scientific polls (the same as in your official link). Indeed the link above the left sidebar box ("guarda i sondaggi") leads to a page with a table of what seem to be various poll results (by Ipsos, Eurisko, coesis, ekma etc.), and their average on the left.

Now the trick is that I don't speak Italian, all of this was guesswork; so could you please have a closer look and confirm or correct what I wrote above?

Second question: though toyg writes that no policy is discussed, can you or someone else here dig up something on what the parties say (if at all) on one specific field: regenerative energies?

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 10:15:53 AM EST
it's an average of the last three months of polls for each polling company.
The online poll is only the one on the top-left corner, whose results you can see clicking on the "risultati correnti" link (and they are overwhelming pro-Ulivo).

Who knows, maybe this time the right will really lose. That would be only the second time in 60 years that leftist parties are allowed to form a government.

by toyg (g.lacava@gmail.com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 12:45:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Great Unita report!!!

Thanks

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 10:49:55 AM EST
I know of no similar case in another democracy.

Despite the PR category's denial, l'Unità has been denied advertisements since it re-appeared in 2000. I recall only one strange exception when Montezemolo's Fiat ran a full page ad. It seemed more a message to the government, since Furio Colombo was about to be ousted at the time. (He was, of course.)

B controls over 50% of advertising in Italy and heavily fixes the market.

The harassment of Unità is yet another study-case in modern democratic tyranny.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sat Feb 4th, 2006 at 06:45:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Funny fellow, Silvio. I poke fun at him when I can, and I'm tempted to laugh at his antics.

But the truth is he's horrifying. Please, dear Italians, throw him out.

Thanks for the excellent diary, de Gondi.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Feb 3rd, 2006 at 03:50:27 PM EST


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