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by DoDo
The Italian elections drama took the limelight from everything else happening at the same time, so I'll wrap up the week of big surprises in/after the first round of the Hungarian parliamentary elections only now. But let's begin with the grotesque and grotesquely funny.
"There are only 2% of Hungarians in Hungary!!!"
...this is how the collapsed-into-himself leader of the Hungarian far-right party MIÉP (middle on the photo above from Index) commented another (for him) disastrous election result. Another displeased right-winger greeted the crowd at a Socialist campaign event on Monday in a way fitting for the level of political discourse today (photo from Stop.hu):
And below is another, very very fitting comment on political discourse here (heard by a Hungarian pundit from a British businessman):
"For Hungarians, if there is a good explanation for failure, that's of equal value to success."
Regarding depressed right-wingers, given the polarisation, sadly it was to be expected in advance that a third of the country will be out of his/her mind whoever wins. Indeed on Monday morning on the tramway, I could tell who is a Fidesz (or MIÉP) voter, never saw so many long faces. And at dinner that day in a cheap restaurant, an older man started to insult and wanted to start a fight with a younger guy.
The big loser was large right-populist opposition party Young Democrats (Fidesz), a party led by a cabal of a dozen yuppies around the young power-conscious leader (and 1998-2002 PM) Viktor Orbán. Due to the latter's attempt to cut up & eat MDF, there are strong animosities. So what everyone expected was long tough negotiations on the Right for the second round, with MDF asking for a high price. Instead, both leaders chose to do something not in anyone's calculations:
The dagger in the heart
Sacrify the leader1
Oh, and they also dropped the man who shot a salvo in Fidesz's foot, but that's no surprise.
I have to disagree, already theoretically: in PR you can at least choose to vote for a smaller rival of a party with crooks on the list. While in FPTP, it is still a parliamentary majority that will govern, thus I'd expect people to vote on candidates primarily by party preference - even if it is a crook. Sadly, the present elections (it's a mixed system with both PR and FPTP vote and seats) are another proof for my theory. MSzP, SzDSz and Fidesz (but chiefly MSzP) all had candidates running for single seats who came back after political or corruption scandals - and a number of them has been elected (=they got 50%+1) already in the first round. Meanwhile, Ibolya Dávid got less than 13% in her district even though she's the most popular elected politician; similarly SzDSz leader Gábor Kuncze, also rather popular, got less than 20%. The solutions I could imagine for this problem, whether one has PR or FPTP, involve mass participation in party life. E.g. either mass party membership, or open primaries (as practised less well in the USA, or in a better form recently in Italy). That, or switch to Single Transferable Vote (but then with multiple candidates from each party among the choices).
Participation: 67.83% (record was 70.53% in 2002) List votes above 0.1%, with those entering parliament bolded (percentage point change from 2002; note: back then Fidesz+MDF had a joint list, present partner KDNP is a sub-1% Christian Democrat party):
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The Laughing Fourth (& down with FPTP) | 5 comments (5 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
The Laughing Fourth (& down with FPTP) | 5 comments (5 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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