UK to privatise nuclear waste?

by Jerome a Paris
Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 07:44:34 AM EST

Nuclear clean-up 'to cost £70bn' (BBC)

The UK's nuclear waste clean-up programme could cost more than £70bn, according to the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA). The authority's previous estimate of the cost was £56bn.

The news came as the government backed British Nuclear Fuels' (BNFL) plan to sell its specialist nuclear clean-up business British Nuclear Group (BNG).

So, as the cost to the taxpayer mounts, it's a good time to make sure that some of that growing pot of money goes to the private sector, right?


The sale of BNG was a "positive strategic move", said BNFL's chief executive Michael Parker.

Trade and Industry Secretary Alan Johnson said he believed a competitive sale was in the best commercial interest for BNFL.

"By bringing in external expertise more quickly, it also contributes to improved clean-up performance for the NDA and is therefore good for the taxpayer," Mr Johnson said.

Of course, the government, which is supposed to regulate waste, set the parameters for decommissioning, supervise the work and pay for the whole thing, does not have all the expertise in that sector. That's heartening to read, isn't it?

And the more expert (and numerous, highly competitive) outsiders are, of course, going to quote to the government the best price around, and the government, expertise-less, will know that it's indeed the best offer, right?

In fact...

The sale of Britain's nuclear giant (BBC)

State-owned British Nuclear Fuels' (BNFL) decision to sell its clean-up subsidiary is unlike any other commercial transaction ever undertaken.

Not only will the sale of British Nuclear Group (BNG) decimate its parent company, which will be left with just a few hundred workers. It will also fail to raise much cash.

Offers in the region of £1bn ($1.7bn) are expected when the auction starts sometime early next year, analysts say. Hence the income from the actual sale will do little to bolster the Treasury's coffers.

(...)

In other words; the people who buy BNG will not acquire a company in the conventional sense.

They will not become the owner of any assets, nor will they become a permanent employer of BNG's current staff. They are basically buying a contract.

"The people who actually work on the site will move to the new owner [of the contract]," explains Sir Anthony in an interview with the BBC News website.

So, the contract doesn't change. The workers don't change. The "assets" (i.e. the waste and other bits of the plants to be dismantled) will not be owned by the company, which will naturally not take over any responsibility for it.

But the contract will be run for a profit. How do you make a profit on an existing contract? Let's see...

  • finance yourself more cheaply than the previous operator? Nope. The private sector still pays more than the government to borrow;
  • pay workers less. Hmmm. Would they really do that?

  • cut corners on safety. That will happen only if the government - through the relevant regulatory agency, in this case presumably the NDA, lets them do it. But now that they've dumped the day-to-day running to the private sector, are they really going to be around to do it?

  • be more "efficient". That's the one that's supposed to justify the whole rigmarole of privatisation. No needless bureacracy, focus on results, business discipline, etc... I suppose it depends on how tightly defined the tasks are under the "contract", but this is a sector where you'd expect specifications to be pretty damn prescriptive and tight, thus leaving little leeway to the operator. So either you have little efficiency, or you have a loose contract, which, considering what it's about, is not so reassuring.

  • pay bosses less. (Bwahaha). Now that might work...

The sad thing is that getting some tasks done by the private sector used to be called "contracting" or "subcontracting". You hire external expertise to do a very specific job you have defined and you supervise the result - and you keep full responsibility for it.

The big issue with this "privatisation" is that it seems to want to muddle the issue of responsibility. It appears to solve the problem of waste, to transfer responsibility to someone competent (and efficient) when in fact the government really keeps the ultimate responsibility, of course, and probably loses some amount of supervision of the work in the meanwhile.

But hey, it brings in some cash, it's in line with l'air du temps (privatisation = good, State ownership = bad), and hopefully for this government, it pushes the real issues far enough into the future that it will be someone else's problem - and that they can in the meanwhile decide to build spanking new nuclear plants and claim to be working to "solve the energy crisis".

As I wrote before, the only way for nuclear to make sense is if the investment is made by the government, because the single most important cost item in a nuclear plant is the cost of financing. Both the interest rate you use and the duration of the investment have a huge impact on the cost of the nuclear kWh. Without sovereign debt pricing, nuclear has no chance in hell of being cheaper. With it, let's say that the debate is still open. It seems possible, like in France, to have an overall cost (including, in principle, decommissioning and waste management) that is pretty low thanks to a fully integrated, centralised State-owned, State-planned and State-supervised and mostly well-run nuclear industry (because engineers are in charge, not managers, and workers are well paid and trained to actually care about security). But take out any item (centralisation, supervision, integration, focus on security, State ownership) and the economics of nuclear become pretty dubious.

Nuclear waste will ALWAYS end up being the responsibility of the State. Nuclear security will ALWAYS be the responsibility of the State, and regulation of nuclear operators will always done by a government agency whether the operators are public or private.

Nuclear know-how must thus always remain in the hands of State bodies at least as much as in that of private operators, if they exist. Why bother with the private sector, then?

Nuclear energy in private hands makes no sense.

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Don't forget also to jump over to Dailykos and recommend the crossposted diary if you care to: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/4/2/7468/60316

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 07:51:03 AM EST
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 07:51:28 AM EST
Actually the real costs are more than more than twice the quoted figure.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 08:24:33 AM EST
Something just struck me about the funding.

(a) Is cleanup technology proprietary and developed by non-UK companies?

(b) Is the Treasury not willing to let BNG borrow to either license or sub-contract the technology?

(c) Is selling BNG to a company with the required technology a cheap way of gaining access to it and at the same time reducing the Treasury's short term public borrowing requirement?

Maybe I have my tin-foil hat on but it would be appear to be one of those short-term financial fixes so beloved of the current government.

Eats cheroots and leaves.

by NeutralObserver on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 09:10:05 AM EST
Citizens must do the sacrifices (pay taxes) in order to let the government organise profits for investers and maybe (new sacrifices?) find a solution for the nuclear waste.

The struggle of man against tyranny is the struggle of memory against forgetting.(Kundera)
by Elco B (elcob at scarlet dot be) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 09:41:27 AM EST
Did you guys all try the Electricity Calculator, available from the BBC article Jérôme links to?

I came up with this (seemed obvious, as the insulation option is costly).

by Alex in Toulouse on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 11:28:58 AM EST
The insulation option is costly, but a great deal of the cost is labour, in other words, a programme of house insulation to reduce energy consumption = a lot of jobs over quite a long period.

The real lesson of that game, anyway, is that electricity isn't going to be cheap.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 04:24:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The cost of actually building all British houses to a reasonable standard of insulation would probably increase housing prices substantially, too. But it would save everyone a bunch in gas and electricity.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 04:27:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This was my result. I went for reducing demand as much as possible: the £600+ per household can be partly subsidized by the government to provide insulations for the poorest households, as (like afew argues) that would be subsidizing industry and labour.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 04:35:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The calculator seems vapid to the point of stupidity though.

Nuclear has significant carbon costs during construction, fuelling and clean-up - unless uranium fuel is mined on-site. So pretending that nuclear is carbon-free is just plain wrong.

Renewables also have a carbon cost, for similar reasons, but obviously it's a very much smaller one.

It also would have been interesting to see what X thousand windmills or Y nuclear power stations would have meant for the UK's available development space.

And microgeneration could have had a mention too.

(And so on.)

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Apr 2nd, 2006 at 06:21:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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