European Tribune

Mood for Reforms

by DoDo
Fri May 12th, 2006 at 04:47:34 AM EST

Lookee what I read this morning:

There is a widely articulated mood for reforms ... said the finance minister at a conference, which was also organised under the influence if strong mood-for-reforms.

Another minister ... opined that the alignment of stars is beneficial for reforms (then according to the second line of the report, it is the "alignment of the star-clock", that's even more enigmatic, and thus we like it especially). ...he also said that - we better quote this - "the thinking of economic actors, analysts and economists points in the same direction"...

Oh my.

Some pundit noticed what we constantly rail against! Read on below the fold.


Regarding the mood for reforms, older persons (for example the parents of [the minister]) could give further data points on that. The ... mood for reforms didn't begin now.

[...]

...the second wave of the mood for reforms ... now this one was an economic reform that could truly be felt ..., it's special significance lies in the fact that from this time on ... the populace hated reforms more fervently than anything else. The true nature of the mood for reforms could best be captured in the circumstance that the population hates already the word "reforms", as [a former PM] acutely observed. ...in the public mind, the misconception that reform = inflation took root. The subsequent giant waves of the mood for reforms also brought inflation, ever greater ones, thus it is not easy to explain to the populace that reforms are basically blissful things, for the populace only sees as far as the counter of the butcher, not further. Cato already had to face this problem, two thousand years ago: "Yes, citizens, it is difficult to speak to the stomach, because it lacks ears", he chided the people of Rome, but the people, as we see, still don't learn.

Nothing came of this reform either ... again ten years' pause came.

...the mood for reforms again gathered strength, then already under the patronage of the IMF and the World Bank. It was then that the populace realised that economic reform is not a single act, but is cyclical in nature, like flu, and its complications are ever uglier. At any rate, the ... third wave not only brought inflation, but something else: "it went along the redistribution of capital ownership licenses (...) to the extent that groups of leaders began to treat formally state-owned ... capital goods as private capital"...

...then came the [austerity reform] Package, which solved the top-most important things to solve, and left the rest untouched. The populace experienced the fourth paroxysm of the mood for reforms again mostly as a worsening of conditions of living, from here comes the enthusiasm with which they laid their hopes in the fifth wave.

Now comes the final and sweeping-everything-aside reform tsunami, something the world has never seen before... Everything will be very nice, everything will be very good, we'll be satisfied with everything, and when the leaves fall, it will be even better.

...We are certain that the present outbreak of the mood for reforms will again solve the topmost important things, just like the Package did ten years ago, or not exactly the same way, because we now have more things to solve, and the situation is somewhat more complex. Later, of course, the rest will be solved, too, independently of the alleged fact that in the special commissions (these are the secret and unapproachable sanctuaries of the mood for reform), one can already sense moves ... in the direction that if the package of measures will be unpopular anyway, then at least it shouldn't have long-term benefit either.

It could even be that in two years' time, the mood for reforms will subside in such a way that everything stays the same.

The sixth bubbling-over of the mood for reforms is due around 2018, the seventh and also last around 2030. There won't be any more, as on 13 April 2036, the asteroid named Apophis arrrives, and will wrap up everything once and for all.


This sarcastic op-ed appeared on the front page of Hungarian literature-and-public-life weekly Élet ÉS Irodalom [=Life AND Literature], from the pen of a pundit named István Váncsa. I think it is significant because:

  • This is a liberal paper: though pluralist, it is very much sympathetic to the Bliarite and neoliberal elites('s views). A few weeks ago, they published a big call for 'reforms' from the pen of four prominent economists who were former ministers or in similar top jobs, this week they carry one further there-is-no-alternative piece, and a depressing appraisal of Tom "Flat-Earth" Friedman as a role model of an 'independent' pundit (but also a critical piece by my favourite hard-left philosopher).
  • The pundit is not a usual suspect from the marginalised Left, but one from the Central European tradition of quibbling pundits. The latter write from the position of 'the little man', priding themselves to be ideology-free and critical of all power (while in truth often falling for a lot of spin, and attacking weak activists of this or that cause). That this guy noticed something is wrong with all the reform-talk is something.
  • Finally: this is supposed to be 'reforms'-loving NuYurp.
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...or at least a note for recognition.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 05:22:18 AM EST
I'm having great difficulty making sense of your translation. Sorry. Mind you, it might very well be because I haven't successfully had any coffee yet.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 05:31:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am having visions of you "unsuccessfully having coffee" all over the whiteness of your iBook and it's not pretty.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 05:32:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm sorry about that - it must be my failure, for the original article reminded me just of your sarcastic pieces (say, like the classic about Paris burning).

I tried to shape up some parts.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 10:02:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It makes sense now: I guess my caffeine deprived brain missed the sarcasm.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 10:13:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Did you just add the bit that mentions that it's sarcasm or do I need to get a caffeine drip?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 10:14:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I added it :-)

I guess "alignment of stars" followed by "position of star-clocks" in the original was anotherconfusing bit, so was not giving at least hints as to what the 'Package' was, and I did some other small changes where my English was bad.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 11:44:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Did some further small improvements BTW, and bolded my favourite passage.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 11:51:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The one unnoted part of the cycle (at least in the transated part that you provide) is that on each "passage", there is an irreversible growth of the anti-system parties, usually of the extreme right/populist kind.

Sometimes, I despair that the only way to get rid of the "reform" disease in France (and the sclerotic political class that lives off it) is for Le Pen to get 40% of the votes at some election. But I suspect that the wrong lesson would be "heard" from such a vote.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 05:57:41 AM EST
We may yet see that next year, especially if Zarkozy comes out of the Clearstrem affair badly damaged.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 05:59:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh yes, I expect that in a Le Pen - Royal (or other socialist) face off, the right would not vote as loyally for the socialist as the left voted for Chirac against Le Pen, and he would get a lot closer to 40% (especialyl considering that he is likely to start from 20+% in the first round)

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 06:38:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Royal may have worse prospects that others, because despite the parity laws even the PS has shown itself to be full of sexist men.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 06:43:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
especialyl considering that he is likely to start from 20+% in the first round
So we are assuming that LePen will make it to the second round?

This time around it won't work for France to be "shocked, shocked". Some serious soul-searching would be necessary.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 06:45:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I've been saying (and writing here on ET) for months now that I expect Le Pen in the second round... You need to catch up on your reading on the site ;-)

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 08:31:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You need a "Countdown to President Le Pen" series.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 08:35:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's actually a good idea.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 08:40:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's surprising coming from me.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 08:41:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The one unnoted part of the cycle (at least in the transated part that you provide) is that on each "passage", there is an irreversible growth of the anti-system parties, usually of the extreme right/populist kind.

True, though note: intent to not give away the source until the end, I left out every passage that could have indicated that the author writes about Hungary - and the first three reform waves he writes about were pre-1989.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 10:05:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Reform seems to be such a political buzzword now, that it has become meaningless. Almost everyone favours reform in the abstract, but you have to look at what change is proposed to know if the effect of the proposed change is positive or negative.

Reform, in nineteenth century Britain, was a political term which had a specific meaning. It referred to the extension of the elective franchise to larger groups of the population and redistribution of Parliamentary electoral districts to make them more equal.

Nowadays Blair's government seems to whitewash everything with the label 'reform' whether the change is good, bad or indifferent.

by Gary J on Fri May 12th, 2006 at 12:08:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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