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US Mobility and Poo-Flinging at the Wall Street Journal

by Izzy Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 02:52:21 AM EST

You may have read yesterday's headline that scientists have found that Monkeys Can Distinguish Unfair Situations. Apparently, the Wall Street Journal has yet to catch up with them.

Ironically, on the very same day we learned that monkeys "fuss over inequality" we found the WSJ flinging poo at anyone who dares "fuss" about income inequality.

If you've been listening to Mike Huckabee or John Edwards on the Presidential trail, you may have heard that the U.S. is becoming a nation of rising inequality and shrinking opportunity. We'd refer those campaigns to a new study of income mobility by the Treasury Department that exposes those claims as so much populist hokum.

The article then admits:

OK, "hokum" is our word.

No, sweethearts, it's not just your word, it's your trade.


As if to further prove their inferiority to the monkeys, the article even helpfully puts the word "inequality" in quotes.

All of this certainly helps to illuminate the current election-year debate about income "inequality" in the U.S. The political left and its media echoes are promoting the inequality story as a way to justify a huge tax increase.

I'm not sure if the scare quotes mean they don't grasp the concept, or if they simply refuse to believe in it. When reading the WSJ, one does always get a whiff of the Victorian belief that God put everyone in their rightful place and no one should get uppity about it. And, of course, all this "inequality" is just a "story" evidently.

The "this" that they're finding so illuminating is a study just released by the US Treasury Department. The WSJ speaks glowingly of this "study" -- hey! I can use the quotes, too! maybe they'll hire me and I can assume my rightful place in the natural order of things! -- oh, sorry. Back to the "careful, detailed" (hey, that's them quoting it, not me this time) "study:"

The Treasury study examined a huge sample of 96,700 income tax returns from 1996 and 2005 for Americans over the age of 25. The study tracks what happened to these tax filers over this 10-year period. One of the notable, and reassuring, findings is that nearly 58% of filers who were in the poorest income group in 1996 had moved into a higher income category by 2005. Nearly 25% jumped into the middle or upper-middle income groups, and 5.3% made it all the way to the highest quintile.

Wow! So the study finds that almost half of lower income Americans didn't budge their income in a decade! Surely a sign of mobility -- I'm so reassured! To further reassure us, the article is awash in this sort of thing:

...what [the study] does do is show beyond doubt that the U.S. remains a dynamic society marked by rapid and mostly upward income mobility.

also: Much as they always have, Americans on the bottom rungs of the economic ladder continue to climb into the middle and sometimes upper classes in remarkably short periods of time.

and, of course: inequality is only a problem if it reflects stagnant opportunity

You might note that an even trickier aspect of this study, which the WSJ just tosses out there, evidently not finding it worth exploring, is the demographic.

Starting with people aged 25 and over and taking a look-see 10 years later is hardly proof of anything. I mean, presumably, these are the peak earning years, or so I've heard. Basically, this renders the study meaningless in regards to actually saying anything about the total population.

But, surely, you say, reporters wouldn't allow such a thing to just slide? that there must be something in the actual study itself to back up all this crowing? Well, you say that because you're smart -- smarter than monkeys even. I thought the exact same thing and went to look at the study myself and can now state, conclusively, that the US Department of Treasury also has sub-primate levels of grasping the obvious.

In case any of this "inequality" business is confusing to you, the good people at Treasury provide us with this helpful analogy -- it's not even an original, but I guess you can't just think up this kind of thing at the drop of a crown:

Economic historian Joseph Schumpeter compared the income distribution to a hotel where some rooms are luxurious, but others are small and shabby. Important aspects of fairness are that those in the small rooms have an opportunity to move to a better one, and that the luxurious rooms are not always occupied by the same people.

Get that? You in your small, shabby room -- you listening? You can change rooms! There are PLENTY of luxurious rooms in the hotel and there's different people in them! That's opportunity, my friend! The stuff this country is made out of! All you have to do is listen to your government, get off your shabby ass, and be one of those people!

Well, I'm certainly glad they cleared that up. I was beginning to think that perhaps the Treasury Department was full of political hacks with an agenda, churning out "studies" on the taxpayer dime, trying to convince taxpayers that all this "inequality" was okay.

I mean, sure, there was that pesky thing that came out just this past August:

WASHINGTON — Top Commerce and Treasury Departments officials appeared with Republican candidates and doled out millions in federal money in battleground congressional districts and states after receiving White House political briefings detailing GOP election strategy.

...and Paul Krugman reporting in 2003:

[U]nder the Bush administration the Treasury takes its marching orders from White House political operatives" and "since George W. Bush came into power, the department has suppressed most of that information [about economic policy's affect on taxpayers], releasing only partial, misleading tables."

...as well as quoting tax analyst Martin Sullivan that:

''Treasury's analysis was so embarrassingly poor and so biased, we thought we had seen the last of its kind.''

...but we can all clearly see how very, very wrong Mr. Sullivan was!

But to get back to the WSJ, they're backing this political hackery for all they're worth. In case they haven't fully convinced you that it's your fault if you're stuck in your shabby life in this dynamic, mobile economy -- in case your primate sense of unfairness is tingling and you've got questions -- of course, we need someone to blame:

[The study numbers are] even more impressive when you consider that "median" income and wage numbers are often skewed downward because the U.S. has had a huge influx of young workers and immigrants in the last 20 years. They start their work years with low wages, dragging down the averages.

Yup, it's those immigrants dragging us down. Perhaps even blocking the hallways with their vacuums and mops while we're trying to make our way to the good rooms. AND, just in case one nod to racism isn't good enough for you, there's a second more subtle one included, this one the title of the article we've been hosing off.

I can hardly believe it myself but, yes, it is indeed called "Movin' On Up" complete with the dropped "g" -- and why not evoke a jingle from a show about a low-income black family that makes good? It's just a catchy song from an Archie Bunker spin-off.

I mean, I'm sure it wasn't intentional. Maybe they just didn't think. I mean, surely they wouldn't be rubbing it in or anything. It's not like there's been any mention of black people in the article or elsewhere in the paper or... oh:

Blacks Trail in Growth of Income

Blacks born into the middle class in the late 1960s are far more likely than whites to earn less than their parents, a new study of economic mobility has found.

So I guess all that glowing stuff wasn't about black people. Or immigrants. Just... what did they call it? Oh, yes -- Americans. But evidently only those of us who count or are counted. Now please excuse me while I pack my bag -- I think I'm leaving this hotel and checking into the Monkey House. It's not the shabbiness I mind so much as the stench.

Display:
what [the study] does do is show beyond doubt that the U.S. remains a dynamic society marked by rapid and mostly upward income mobility.

Disturbing finding from LSE study - social mobility in Britain lower than other advanced countries and declining - News archive - News and events - Press and Information Office - LSE

Researchers from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) have compared the life chances of British children with those in other advanced countries for a study sponsored by the Sutton Trust, and the results are disturbing. 

Jo Blanden, Paul Gregg and Steve Machin found that social mobility in Britain - the way in which someone's adult outcomes are related to their circumstances as a child - is lower than in Canada, Germany, Sweden, Norway, Denmark and Finland. And while the gap in opportunities between the rich and poor is similar in Britain and the US, in the US it is at least static, while in Britain it is getting wider.

A careful comparison reveals that the USA and Britain are at the bottom with the lowest social mobility. Norway has the greatest social mobility, followed by Denmark, Sweden and Finland. Germany is around the middle of the two extremes, and Canada was found to be much more mobile than the UK.

Emphasis mine.

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:07:49 AM EST
Well, unless Huckabee and Edwards get the LSE study into their arsenal very soon, the WSJ article will lend credibility to the truthiness that they're lying about social mobility.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:12:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Remember?


In fact, it must be a negative-sum game. (...) social movement leaves society where it started, with a quarter of the population in each income quartile, but it is a costly process. As anyone familiar with English literature or reality TV could tell you, those adapting to a newly acquired social standing incur costs that those born to it do not.

Translation: the rich are used to being rich, and the poor are used to being poor, so it's better to keep it that way because it is disturbing to all to change.

so low social mobility is a good thing overall.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 04:12:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Someone needs to close the link tag in the diary so that every time you click in the text box when making a reply, you don't get sent to the Wall Street Journal article.

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.
by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:29:07 AM EST
Thanks!  I checked and can't see anything wrong, though -- what's going on exactly? Did someone else fix it?

Maybe we can eventually make language a complete impediment to understanding. -Hobbes
by Izzy (izzy at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:33:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Are you sure you have a closing </A> tag after "at those at anyone who dares "fuss" about income inequality" near the top of your diary?

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.
by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:52:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think I fixed it now that you showed me where to look -- it wasn't the closed a, it was that middle bracket.  I never would have found it.

Maybe we can eventually make language a complete impediment to understanding. -Hobbes
by Izzy (izzy at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:59:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
andrethegiant referenced a Reuters article which is no longer online in his diary The American Dream Dies, Economic wolves on the prowl..., quoting:

"America may still think of itself as the land of opportunity, but the chances of living a rags-to-riches life are a lot lower than elsewhere in the world, according to a new study published on Wednesday".

<...>

The likelihood that a child born into a poor family will make it into the top five percent is just one percent, according to "Understanding Mobility in America", a study by economist Tom Hertz from American University.

By contrast, a child born rich had a 22 percent chance of being rich as an adult, he said.

<...>

He also found the United States had one of the lowest levels of inter-generational mobility in the wealthy world, on a par with Britain but way behind most of Europe.

That same month, Colman wrote Martin Wolf is worried by the new gilded age. in which Financial Times columnist Martin Wolf discusses a December 2005 National Bureau of Economic Research paper "Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income", commenting:

... income mobility does not offset the rising inequality. As the two Northwestern university authors note, "not only are half the penthouse dwellers still there a decade later, but the differential opulence of the penthouse keeps increasing relative to the basement". The chances of leaving the basement are low. Moreover, intergenerational opportunity is also adversely affected.

while the message of entrenched and increasing income inequality is going mainstream, i think most Americans are still not grasping that the American dream of social mobility is most likely a false myth.

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 05:02:49 AM EST
Tom Hertz's study of mobility is here.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 08:13:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The NBER paper Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income by Ian Dew-Becker, Robert J. Gordon can be downloaded free from here.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 08:21:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Excellent essay, Izzy!  Thanks.

You reminded me of this.

Devo - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The name "Devo" comes "from their concept of 'de-evolution' - the idea that instead of evolving, mankind has actually regressed, as evidenced by the dysfunction and herd mentality of American society."[1] This idea was developed as a joke by Kent State University art students Gerald Casale and Bob Lewis as early as the late 1960s. Casale and Lewis created a number of art pieces in a vein of devolution satirically. At this time, Casale had also performed with the local band 15-60-75. They met Mark Mothersbaugh around 1970, who introduced them to the pamphlet Jocko Homo Heavenbound, which includes an illustration of a winged devil labeled "D-EVOLUTION" and would later inspire the song "Jocko Homo".

The pivotal moment for the formation of Devo was the Kent State shootings of May 4, 1970. Casale knew two of the students who had been killed, and even claimed to see one student, Allison Krause, with exit wounds from the M1 Garand rifle. At this moment, Casale claims he changed the idea of Devolution into a serious concept.



Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 05:22:57 AM EST
that the WSJ pushes forward:

This looks wonderful for income inequality, right? The poorest gained the most and - gasp - the rich even lost out.

Except, of course, that we're talking about following a snapshot of population through a 10-year period - a snapshot of the 25+, tax-filing population.

Who are the richest in that group? In all likelihhod, older people in their peak earning years, plus those with wealth. It's likely that many of them retired, and saw their income go down. many have also started transfering assets to children, or using them to increase their spending during their pensio years.

Who are the poorest? In all likelihood, to a significant extent, young people on their first job. Ten years later, many got married, promoted and earn more. No real surprise there that their tax filings show progress.

And no mention of what has become of those that are out of the system, and no mention of course of those that have joined up the population in the meantime as the new lower quintile.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 05:31:21 AM EST
But... But... But... That's not a meaningful way to compute what they claim to be computing... <head explodes>

And it looks like they don't even grasp the difference between median and average...

The stupid. It burns.

<sigh> One more file for the How To Lie With Numbers schedule.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 05:55:17 AM EST
They're not stupid - it's just propaganda.

It makes exactly as much sense as Soviet-era Pravda did, for exactly the same reasons.

The whole point of a piece like this is to misrepresent the truth. It's the only reason things like this get written.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 08:36:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And precisely because the need is felt to muddy the waters on this very point: where is the growth money going?

It's a weakness in their armour such that the truth has to be Swift-boated.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 09:09:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Less.

And at least some of the people at Pravda had their hearts in the right place.

I would be ashamed to admit that I had risen from the ranks. When I rise it will be with the ranks, and not from them Eugene Debs

by redstar on Fri Nov 16th, 2007 at 12:04:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
West Coast Poverty Center :: Research > Overview
In 2005, 12.6% of the US population - about 37 million people - were living below the poverty line . The percentage of the population that was poor in 2005 was unchanged from the level in 2004, but had increased in each of the years from 2000 to 2004. The increase during these years reversed a trend in declining poverty between 1993 (15.1%) and 2000 (11.3%). Since poverty was first measured in 1959, the highest levels of poverty both numerically and in percent of the population, were in the years from 1959 to 1961.
by Solveig (link2ageataol.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 07:35:27 AM EST
Amazing diary .. Izzy at her best (or his or his).

And recognizaton of fairness could be universal.. go figure... if a group of monkeys can recognize it.. it is certainly possible than a minimum social interaction is enough to trigger it...

It could be liks something like fire.. almost wired in everybodys brain that a minimum socail itneraction trigger the causation...

It rings a  bell with the distinction between love and empathy.. empathy is universal (or antrhopologists think so) but love is highly developed invention of France in the Middle Ages (well not actually France you know) which spread like fire.. it could be that this recognition is als universal..and then all the social complex theories to force upon us that it is correct to ave unfariness ina society... Wanting to eradicate extreme unfairness would be like love.... and wanting to increase it and fuck them all would be like the counterpart of love.. some kind of disdainful uncaring.

really nice.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 07:37:26 AM EST
kcurie:
empathy is universal

Not on Wall St. Or among Republicans.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 08:34:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ja ja ja jjaajajja

well actually, this can be certainly true.. the group of people you project empathy can be extremelly reduced.... sometimes it clsoes down to your mother or father, soemtimes just a son...Normall is mepathy for the member of your collectivity.. so I think Wal street brokes probably have empathy for the general status of the business..

and sometimes..w ell it seems empathy can be socially + biologically anihilated completely... it seems that sociopaths really exist....

and maybe wall street has more than one socipath.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Sat Nov 17th, 2007 at 04:58:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
when reading the WSJ, one does always get a whiff of the Victorian belief that God put everyone in their rightful place and no one should get uppity about it

Exactly. Reminds me of Max Weber's theory of Calvinist ideals as basis for capitalist behaviour.

To put inequality in quotes is... I don't know how to put it... a really extreme form of propaganda, closely related to censorship.

/killing liberté, egalité and fraternité one ideal at a time.

"If you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles." Sun Tzu

by Turambar (sersguenda at hotmail com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 11:52:44 AM EST
I can't help but recall a lecture in intermediate macroeconomics from about 25 years ago where my professor put a graph of income by age on the projector.  As individuals age income tends to follow a skewed bell curve.  Much like these googled from government agencies of other OECD countries.














Japan Netherlands Canada Australia France

In other words, what the Treasure Department confirmed was something that was known 50 years ago - if it was in my textbook 25 years ago, it was well known before then - namely: the longer you stay in the game, the further along the very well known curve you move and the more your income should increase...

...until you retire.

For inequality of income distribtion I'll still go with Gini

I wonder if my old economics prof would still recommend his students subscribe to the WSJ...

L'inteligence sans volonté n'aboutit à rien, n'est-ce pas?... Mais, la volonté sans intelligence?... Catastrophe!... Celine

by kagaka (kagaka [zav] yahoo [tecka] com) on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 03:05:35 PM EST
Just for the record.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Nov 18th, 2007 at 09:45:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This is wonderful, Izzy.  Doubly enraging because the treasury and the WSurinal are supposed to be unquestionable sources.  

Given the information we read everyday and the falsification history of the current USG, I´m sure the treasury "study" is a fake, ordered by the whouse.  Nothing else makes sense.

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.

by metavision on Thu Nov 15th, 2007 at 04:08:07 PM EST
The WSJ comes with a Murdock alert now, right?

Karen in Austin

'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher

by Wife of Bath (kareninaustin at g mail dot com) on Fri Nov 16th, 2007 at 07:43:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Brilliantly written and a painful pleasure to read.  

I've lived here in the USA and traveled all over the country, mostly on business.  The WSJ has just said I should believe THEM over my own eyes and ears, essentially denying my own experience.  Things are in the toilet over here (to continue the "poo" theme.)

John Edwards must really be shaking them up.  And they studied a "huge" sample of less than 100,000 tax filers?  They have the stats on all the tax filers in the country available to them, and computers to run the numbers, why do they have to use such a small percentage?  Maybe so they can choose them to skew the outcome?  Would they do something like that?  Ya think?

I'm so sick of all this.  Thanks for at least making it enjoyable to read; great writing is reason enough to keep returning to EuroTrib.

Karen in Austin

'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher

by Wife of Bath (kareninaustin at g mail dot com) on Fri Nov 16th, 2007 at 07:17:36 AM EST
It's not the shabbiness I mind so much as the stench.

The unnamed author´s blog had ZERO comments on it, so I directed him over here.  His blaring ego is up on top and his self-anointed delusions of representing the ´real world´, are hilarious!  ´greensrealworld.blogspot´

By the time stamp, he´s on the west coast, so I hope he doesn´t live near any of you/us.
http://tinyurl.com/yq2m6w


Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.

by metavision on Fri Nov 16th, 2007 at 02:20:16 PM EST


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