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by geezer in Paris
For months- years, in fact- I and others have been pointing out that the Iraq war was about oil theft as a strategy of the empire. My great fear was that the strategy would succeed, ushering in an era of global resource "management" at the point of a gun. Considering the number of resources that appear nearing the supply-demand crisis point, this scenario suggests an unparalleled resurgence of global warfare. I have also written on the plans to attack Iran, and suggested that it is hard to find a group, political or otherwise, that had the cojones and the power to oppose such an attack.
The most telling point in opposition to this scenario was this: Why do it?
The risks always seemed to outweigh the gains, since, as Jerome has repeatedly pointed out, development of oil fields is a pricey endeavor, and none of the majors who can field the money and know-how to do it would likely be willing to do it in a war zone. Also, if the Straits are blocked, economies tumble as oil prices skyrocket. What's the good of that? Here's a new perspective on that objection, and a new scenario.
Brought across by afew
First, the link to a very good read:
http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/112907R.shtml
The Bush-Cheney shell game that is developing uses Iraq to justify attacking Iran and uses Iran to justify the continuing occupation of Iraq. But ultimately to what end? I think she has a good point, but I suggest this as as more likely strategy: -Assume that oil control is the motive: -Assume we attack Iran, and that Iran retaliates by closing the straights-- or retaliates in any other way that closes off the supply of oil to that part of the world which is dependent on Arab oil. Panic ensues, prices explode. Fear=Opportunity. I agree that in the short term the blame for the price increases will be dumped on Iran- (how convenient). Ignore for the moment the irrationality of blaming Iran for responding to an American attack in a way that results in massive panic-driven oil price increases. Yes, the MSM will flog the demonization of Iran, and the American people will buy it, in the main. I do not see that the scenario will bump the now-acceptable subject of peak oil off the table for long, nor do I see that as a likely part of the strategy. To the contrary. I think that such an interruption in oil and the ensuing panic could be a bonanza for the Neocons every bit as great as the 9/11 event, and this time one need not be a conspiracy theorist to agree that it will be us that creates the event.
The likes of John Bolton have rendered the United Nations ineffective and irrelevant--and that was exactly their job. |
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Oil allocation Authority-- ours, of course. | 26 comments (26 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Oil allocation Authority-- ours, of course. | 26 comments (26 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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