Russians Look Forward to Global Warming

by JohnnyRook
Thu Dec 27th, 2007 at 09:01:58 PM EST

As part of a series that it ran during the Bali Conference on reactions to global warming around the world, El País, Spain's leading newspaper did an article (in Spanish) on global warming in Russia. In this diary I'll translate parts of the article and summarize others. It is, to say the least, eye opening.

Any visitor who flies in a helicopter over Siberia will notice, from time to time, flares of orange on the immense white plain: it is the gas that is found with the petroleum and which is always burned and wasted. This same traveler, when lodging in Moscow in winter, may find that his room becomes hellishly hot and be forced to open the windows since most of the radiators are not adjustable.

These images illustrate the principal problem that confronts Russia: its lack of conservation and efficiency in the consumption of energy, which is worsened by the warming being experienced in certain areas of the country. The flame seen from overhead and the open window are symbols par excellence of the wastefulness that is the Russian attitude toward energy use.


According to Igor Podgorny of Greenpeace Russia, Russia wastes between 40% and nearly 50% of it's total annual fuel consumption.  Expressed in terms of petroleum, Russia wastes around 250 million tons of petroleum each year, an amount roughly equal to its annual petroleum exports. So, contemporary Russia is little different from the old USSR in its wastefulness and inefficient use of natural resources. Yet, this also means that Russia could make huge cuts in its greenhouse gas emission, not with complicated new technology, but simply through increased energy efficiency.

But to increase energy efficiency you have to want to do it and there are few signs that Russia does. Because of the economic collapse that accompanied the fall of the Soviet Union Russian CO2 emissions although the 3rd highest in the world after the US and China at 1.5 billion tons per annum, are still less than 50% of what they were in 1990. Russian officials can claim to be meeting Kyoto targets, but the reality is that it's happened not because of policy choices but because the Russian economy imploded and its inefficient manufacturing sector collapsed.

According to Podgorny those inefficiencies remain in the current Russian economic system. It takes energy inputs 2 1/2 to 3 times those of a developed nation to produce a unit of GDP in Russia. Russian plans for future energy production rely chiefly on the worst polluter, coal fired power plants with some attention paid to nuclear power and quixotic schemes for enormous and environmentally destructive hydroelectric projects. Current Russian legislation provides no incentives for development of wind or solar power.

In many ways Russia still has a 19th century world view. There is probably no place on earth where more people still believe in a heroic vision of man conquering nature. Some have seen the Russian Weltanschauung as being that of an even earlier era. After this summer's opéra bouffe at the Arctic where the Russians used a mini-submarine to plant a Russian flag under the North Pole, newly accessible as summer sea ice disappears, Canadian Foreign Minister Peter McKay declared in a statement reminiscent of one of my favorite Eddie Izzard routines:

"Look, this isn't the 15th century. You can't go around the world and plant flags and say, 'We're claiming this territory,"  

But even if we grant that Russia still thinks like a 19th century imperial power, how do we explain this lack of concern with global warming? Rodrigo Fernández, author of the El País article puts it thus:

Another factor that contributes to the failure to give the emission of greenhouse gases the importance it deserves is the opinion, widely disseminated even in the highest political circles that warming will benefit Russia.  Even President Vladimir Putin has said that "if the temperature rises 2 or 3 degrees, nothing terrible will happen; quite the contrary, maybe it will be good: we'll spend less on fur coats".

For his part, Konstantin Pulikovsky, head of the Federal Service for Ecological, Technological, and Nuclear Inspection stated in May that he sees no threat to Russia from global warming for the next 100 years.

Next year, Bush will be gone. Meanwhile, Putin and his minions are busy entrenching themselves for the duration. Expect problems, lots of problems.

Crossposted at DailyKos

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"The flame seen from overhead and the open window are symbols par excellence of the wastefulness that is the Russian attitude toward energy use."

Fuel efficiency is increased by new investments and technical developments. Russia is still struggling and will continue to struggle to catch up with modernization. I remember in the 1980s that New York City had in many building these huge immensely hot old unadjustable radiators. But the West has money to modernize and refurbish.

I would not say that the Russian ATTITUDE is like, it is their technology. When you go for your next holiday to a third world capital pay attention to the level of pollution in the air. It is quite unlike the much cleaner air we have in Western capitals. Simply the quality of the petrol is better, it is also more expensive to produce.

In Eastern Europe many household still burn wood and coal and diesel in the cities, that is the worst combination for our sensitive Western lungs.

"Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity." MMcL

by igor vincha (svjeronimatgmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 11:05:58 AM EST
Russia is not a Third World Country and all of my Russian friends would be outraged to hear anyone say anything of the kind. Nor is it currently poor. Russia is sitting on 750 billion dollars in foreign currency reserves as a result of Russia's large petroleum exports and the high price of crude.

I am not criticizing poor rural dwellers burning word or urban dwellers who have no control over their heating systems.  I am referring to government policy that is blind to energy conservation and efficiency because it sees itself as having unlimited resources and immune from the effects of global warming.

Look at all the gas flares  burning uncontrollably in Siberia, whose numbers satellite imagery shows to be 3/12 what the Russians actually report.  See the following link for more details:  http://www.greencarcongress.com/2007/09/satellite-image.html

The gas is seen as too expensive to capture so it's simply burned.  CO2 levels rise and no one gets any benefit from the burning of the gas.  Makes no sense to me.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 01:48:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why does the gas have to be burned? Can it just be released? What is more polluting? The natural gas or the CO2?

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 01:49:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Methane produces much more greenhouse warming than CO2. Also, releasing large amount of combustibles in a single place is asking for trouble, isn't it ?

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:05:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, I think it's just the controlled burning of flammable waste. This has been going on since the 19th century in oil fields all over the world so it cannot be out of concern for global warming.

The interesting thing is that natural gas used to just be a waste product until it became economical to recover it and use it for energy generation in its own right.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:12:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In many fieldsds, oil and gas can only be produced together. If you want the oil, you need to extract the associated gas alongside and, in places with no infrasturcture to collect that gas, it indeed has to be gotten rid of.

Flaring it is just the safest way to do it.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:49:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You have written about the difficulty and expense of LNG infrastructure, and pipelines are not cheap either.

So, until recently it wasn't just a matter of capturing it but of using it after capture.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:52:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome, you say that the gas is often flared when there is no infrastructure to deal with it, but there must be infrastructure to handle the petroleum.  At today's energy prices is building the necessary infrastructure to utilize the gas really still too expensive?

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama
by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 07:31:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The infrastructure for gas is completely different to that for oil, and needs to be invested into as a separate business decision, and that depends on how much gas there is. It's quite often the case that there is enough oil in a field to justify the exploitation and oil (with the requisite infrastructuree), but not enough gas to justify the parallel investment.

Oil infrastructure is generally simpler, and the contractual structure for oil a lot simpler than for gas. Plus, for a long time, there simply was no market for gas in many parts of the world. This is slowly changing.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 05:50:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
For those reading Russian - here's a short article on problems with utilisation of gas in oil exploration. Easy enough, low internal gas prices is one of the reasons. As the gas prices are slated to increase, the burning is going to come down. Supply and demand in action.
by Sargon on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 09:33:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the link to the article. It was very interesting.

It is good that the domestic price of natural gas will rise. It appears from the article though that it's been a lack of coordination of supply and demand that has lead to 20% of Russian natural gas production being flared off. The author states that holding down the price for domestic consumption made it uneconomical to either process or transport the gas from its production site. Also, apparently there are accounting issues since the oil companies do not consider gas production costs as part of their already existing costs of production.

I wonder about the concluding paragraphs where the author states that the government has the authority to strip companies of their licenses if they fail to fully utilize the natural resources to which they have been granted access.  How likely a possibility do you consider that to be in reality?

Finally, I'd be interested in having your opinion on the following quote from a different article:

The Russian government has repeatedly pledged to reduce natural gas consumption in power generation and increase coal use, in order to maximize gas exports. Earlier this year, Russian President Vladimir Putin also suggested that coal be given a greater role. But this goal would require large-scale construction of coal-fired power generation facilities, totaling some 40 gigawatts by 2020.

Doesn't such a policy sacrifice the health of Russian citizens, given how polluting coal is, (or are there plans to install modern pollution control equipment as well?), and the health of the planet, due to increased CO2 output from replacing natural gas with coal, to the short term financial interests of the Russian state?

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 03:40:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Have a look here. It doesn't seem that the forecast of huge additional coal generation is likely to happen.
by Sargon on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 06:02:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.  I'll take a look at it.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama
by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 08:33:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
if they would only make the choice to use it in this way.  The wastefulness is, well, convenient.

Blogging regularly at Get Energy Smart. NOW!!!
by a siegel (siegeadATgmailIGNORETHISdotPLEASEcom) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 10:34:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I was writing the same response when I noticed that you had beaten me to it.

Natural gas is 70-90 methane by weight. This makes it's short-term greenhouse effect very great.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:17:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
JOHNNY: "I am not criticizing poor rural dwellers burning word or urban dwellers who have no control over their heating systems.  I am referring to government policy that is blind to energy conservation and efficiency because it sees itself as having unlimited resources and immune from the effects of global warming."

Many of the companies you are criticizing may not owned by the govt any more. Their presidents were/are people like Robert Owen, followed by a Rotschild,... you might as well complain to your local MP and achieve better results. I am saying that it is the overall level of pollution that is bad, everything is a contributing factor. Even though Russia is energy rich, you can see from the examples of Dubai and other Arab states that it takes a lot of time before money is re-invested properly. Unfortunately Russia will now have to deal with problems like American missiles in Poland and the Czech Rep, before they can reinvest into efficient non-polluting industries.

RE: "Look at all the gas flares  burning uncontrollably in Siberia." Have you ever flown over the Middle East, especially in war-time? Who has been exploiting those sources over the past century?

"Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity." MMcL

by igor vincha (svjeronimatgmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 04:15:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Once again, Russia is not a 3rd world country and it's gas and oil reserves are for the most part in the hands of the state.  I won't defend the US missile deployment in Poland, which I regard as utterly stupid and counterproductive.

As to other parts of the world, I haven't said anything about them and I am baffled as to why you would assume my criticism of Russian inefficiency and wastefulness to be an endorsement or justification of greed, exploitation, inefficiency or incompetence any where else in the world.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 07:21:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Russia Had the Warmest of 150 Years

Year 2007 has become the warmest in 150 years of hydro-meteorological survey in Russia, said Roman Vilfand, chief of the country's Hydro-Meteorological Center.
"For Russia, one may say it with the 99-percent certainty, it will be the warmest year in nearly 150 years of instrumental observation," Vilfand announced Thursday during the news conference dedicated to hydro-meteorological results.

According to Vilfand, 2007 will be one of five, or perhaps, one of three warmest years in the world history. "It shows the climate warming obviously continuous," Vilfand pointed out.

Russia had quite a lot of so-called hazardous weather conditions past year. The storm in the Kerch Strait that happened early November caused the greatest damage, the chief meteorologist said, specifying that the overall losses blamed on the dangerous weather were not so hefty as in 2006.

January of 2007 was very warm, Vilfand went on, but the temperature sank to -250C in February.

Vilfand also emphasized that the fact that Alexander Bedritsky, who heads the Federal Hydrometeorology and Environment Monitoring Service (Rosgidromet) was reelected as the chief of World Meteorological Organization manifests acknowledgement of Russia's achievements in forecasting the weather and hazardous events related to it.



"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 11:22:06 AM EST
I don't understand the purpose of this quote unless its to inform us that Russia has some good meteorologists, which is not in doubt.

Of course it's getting warmer in Russia.  The world is getting warmer. My point is that the Russians don't take this seriously.  I don't know what they're thinking, maybe that they will end up with a climate like Spain's.  What does concern me is that the world's 3rd biggest CO2 emitter could cut it's emissions by at least 40% (and save itself a lot of money in the process) but doesn't even care about the problem.

Even worse, Russia is planning on increasing it's coal-fired electricity from 25% to 40% of its total electricity output. See here. Why? So that it can export more natural gas, which is the fuel for many current Russian power plants. It's hard to imagine a more short-sighted economic policy.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:03:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Uh, I take comfort in the fact that they acknowledge that it is getting warmer?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:18:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe they think it's a good thing that the tundra is turning to mud.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:22:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hm.  If they're burning coal to stay warm, and global warming will make it less cold, doesn't that mean that they will have to use less energy as  result of global warming?  ;o

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:26:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
James Hansen (and thousands of other American scientists) believe in global warming.  It doesn't mean that Bush and his flat-earth cronies do.  Look at what Putin says and, most importantly, what Putin and his government do if you want to know what they think about global warming (or civil liberties, or democracy, or the rule of law, etc.)

Besides, I didn't accuse him of denying global warming.  I accused him of not taking it seriously, which is a whole other question. Cheaper fur coats, indeed.  There's one worthy of Bush himself.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 03:44:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You're being defensive.  I posted an article from yesterday's Kommersant, basically say, yes, it is getting hotter, even in Russia, and you're upset about it.  It's really pretty common for people to post related content in the threads of diaries.  This is a non-issue.  

You're angry with Russia, with Putin for not doing more, or anything, about global warming.  So am I.  Get in line.  And yes, I am also mad at my own leaders.  My solution is not to simply bitch about it.  Like a lot of Kossaks, I've been busting my ass for 7 years trying to be part of the solution.  I'm not sure it's doing any good, but I find it preferable to just complaining and doing nothing.  So...  again, besides complaining about Putin's inaction re:the environment (and using it as an opportunity to add something about or civil liberties, or democracy, or the rule of law, and old-style Soviet party bosses and Empire fetish), what can we do about it?  Diplomatically we've burned our bridges and exhausted our leverage, just when Russia doesn't need us to pay the bills for them.  And rather than leading by example and creating a movement so strong that Russia's lack of cooperation could have real repercussions for that country, our own leaders are doing little to give Russia any motivation to be more environmentally responsible

Look, I try to remain optimistic and constructive about the situation.   Probably, like the US, Russia will have to see real tangible negative impacts of climate change and be swayed by financial incentive before they proceed to do anything about it.  Given their geography and economic situation, that could be a long time coming.  What to do in the mean time?  I don't know.  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 04:10:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There are (too) many in Russia who view Global Warming as opening opportunities for Russia; that Russia will be a winner.  As if there really is such a thing.

Blogging regularly at Get Energy Smart. NOW!!!
by a siegel (siegeadATgmailIGNORETHISdotPLEASEcom) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 10:36:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My point is that the Russians don't take this seriously.  

Maybe if you lecture them loudly enough they will listen to you.

Or, did you have a better solution?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:28:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I've worked with Russians in Russia and the US for decades both in academia and business. I KNOW you achieve nothing by lecturing them.

My diary wasn't a lecture. It was meant as information for the readers of this blog and those at DailyKos.  Isn't it shocking to find out that Russia wastes as much energy as it exports?  The Russians should be encouraged to change, at times perhaps pressured, which in the right circumstances they do respond to. Am I lecturing when I write diaries about the corruption and stupidities of the Bush administration?  Would you be more upset if it were Germany or Portugal or Spain that was wasting energy on such a massive scale?

This isn't about politics, it's about saving the planet, and everyone, the Russians included is going to have to do their part.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 03:28:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, saving the planet is going to involve some politics, so I disagree a bit.  Everyone has to do their part; how do we convince them to do it?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 03:38:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't have the answer to that one, a few ideas, yes, but no definitive answer.  I keep asking myself the same question.  Of course we can all make the lifestyle changes that bring us into harmony with a sustainable future, but beyond that on a policy level, we in the US need to throw the buffoon in the White House out with as many of his partisans in Congress as well. Then we'll be able to cooperate with the Europeans and start working at bringing India and China on board.

We'll also need to develop low cost, energy efficient technologies to transfer to the Third World.  I see confronting global warming as an opportunity to correct many of the mistakes of the past and to rebuild the world in a more sustainable, kinder, and more just way. From my perspective it's not just a question of finding an alternative power source and then continue doing the same stupid things we've been doing.  We need to reorganize our priorities and our societies. There are other crises out there, fresh water and population being chief among them, that will still be there if we treat global warming simply as a question of energy independence.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 03:57:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"I've worked with Russians in Russia and the US for decades both in academia and business. I KNOW you achieve nothing by lecturing them."

Q. I wonder innocently, does lecturing the Westerners produce any results?


"Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity." MMcL

by igor vincha (svjeronimatgmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 04:18:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Look, I wrote a piece about Russian inefficiency and waste.  It wasn't about anybody else.  I write about other country's bad policies, most often my own, but that's not what this was about.  If I critique Peru do I have to to critique Bolivia as well?

Just get over it.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 07:49:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Interview with Time Magazine

QUESTION: Mr President, you know that in America, being `green', ecologically-minded, is the new religion, and the chief hierarch is former Vice-President Al Gore. I have two questions in this respect. How do you view the `green movement' as it is developing in Russia, and what is your policy in this area? And the second part of my question: in America and the West there is a need to use alternative energy sources so as to reduce dependence on fuels such as oil.

VLADIMIR PUTIN: Regarding the ecology movement, I very much support it and share their ideas very much.

Protecting nature, protecting the environment in which we live is one of the priorities for all of humankind. People who devote their time and their lives to this work unquestionably deserve our support. It is also clear that we cannot stop human development. There will always be a conflict between development and environmental protection. It is important that humanity realise the dramatic nature of the events taking place and channel development in such a way as to cause minimal damage to nature, or try to find ways of excluding all such damage.

Modern technology can help us to achieve this. It is easier to resolve these problems today than it was even 15 years ago, because in a situation of confrontation between two rival blocs such as we had back then, confrontation that threatened total mutual destruction, people were not much concerned with what happened to the environment during this competition, which was a struggle of life or death.

But today we have left this situation behind and there is no need to destroy the environment in the way we did previously. Today we therefore have a unique political opportunity to look after what God has given all of humankind.

Our eco-system is very vulnerable. It is amazing that the Earth still survives today. Our planet evolved through a combination of billions of circumstances and continues to exist thanks to the fact these billions of circumstances somehow interact and work together. Our planet, which is in constant movement through what is essentially the hostile environment of outer space, is faced with the constant threat of destruction. It could be hit by large cosmic bodies. We have a very thin ozone layer and our atmosphere in general is really quite thin. There is a very fine line beyond which damage becomes irreversible, and we might not even notice that we have crossed this line.

In this respect we must always remember this and always strive to minimise the possible negative consequences for the environment. But what I do not like is that people sometimes use environmental issues as an instrument in competition, particularly in economic competition, in order to stifle competition. This undermines trust in the environmental protection organisations and their work.

This is the negative side of the question. But overall, we must strive to come up with rules of behaviour that would protect the environment for humankind in the long term.

... obviously they have some work to do here.


"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 11:26:17 AM EST
It is so obvious, but it's great that he says it so clearly. And by doing so points out what a shit Bush and the other deniers are.

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 11:47:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If you take Putin's platitudes about the environment, which sound just like the old Soviet platitudes about the environment, seriously then I'd like to talk to you about buying a bridge.

He's just plain wrong when he blames earlier environmental degradation on the Cold War. That was just an excuse for doing nothing about the horrifying air and water pollution in so many Russian industrial cities.

Here's the key thing that Putin says in the excerpt from the interview (and don't forget the quote from my diary):

In this respect we must always remember this and always strive to minimise the possible negative consequences for the environment. But what I do not like is that people sometimes use environmental issues as an instrument in competition, particularly in economic competition, in order to stifle competition. This undermines trust in the environmental protection organisations and their work.

So, we should be concerned about the environment, but it shouldn't limit the economy. Shades of George Bush! And any environmental organizations that make demands that limit the economy are untrustworthy.  Hmm, maybe we'll have to ban them...

I've lived in the Soviet Union and been going there since the Brezhnev era.  Putin sure looks like an old-style Soviet party boss to me.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:33:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, you sure look like an old-style Cold war monger to me (unfortunate, because this is a serious and important subject, but you seem unable to discuss it without resorting to rhetoric...) so let's not go judging each other on what we all look like.  And I don't need a bridge at the moment, but thanks.

I've kinda already addressed everything in my comment below, but if you agree to not resort to rhetoric I will agree to not bring up our own appalling lack of leadership on the subject, and then ...

we can talk about what are some of the solutions to our problem here?  Bitching about Russia won't fix anything.  What good options are out there?  How can we create incentives for Russia to address this problem?  Do you have some ideas?  I don't.  Someone must...

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:43:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have responded to every one of your comments by presenting my evidence and reasoning.  In the case of the Time interview, I provided a different interpretation of your evidence. You have not responded to my specific arguments.

Instead you have accused me of lecturing, of being defensive and of being a Cold-War-style war monger. You jump to the conclusion that because I criticize I have no interest in nor do anything to promote solutions, a complete non sequitur.

You have resorted to ad hominem attacks and failed completely to show me why I should not criticize Russia, or any other country, whose energy polices are wasteful, inefficient and, hence, an attack on the well being of the planet and all of us.

You talk about Russia as if it were one of those impoverished African nations who have been victimized by the industrial world's CO2 emissions.  But it's not.  It's a large, wealthy, powerful country with a major role to play in the world.  Unfortunately, it has ceased to be a democracy and that fact, combined with it's leadership's cavalier attitude towards global warming (we'll see how they like having tropical diseases in Moscow when the mosquitoes start showing up) worries me.  Next year, here in the US, we'll throw Bush and his cronies out.  Putin and his cronies, however, are going to be in power in the Kremlin for a long time to come.

That's all.  I'm done. Spacibo za razgovor.  Spokonoi nochi.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 08:20:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have no idea what you are talking about.  I have responded, and almost entirely have agreed with you!!!!

And re: Russia being a 3rd world country, I have no clue where you got that.  I spend much of my time here reminding people that Russia is a "large, wealthy, powerful country with a major role to play in the world. "

Perhaps you have me confused with someone else?  

My intention here was nothing less than to make a thoughtful, constructive contribution.  You don't think I have, and in fact, you have been unnecessarily condescending toward me.  I would have reciprocated the spasibos, because -and I REPEAT!- you've brought up a very important issues.  But after this post, I am absolutely baffled.  

So I will step out of this conversation so as not to annoy you with anymore questions or comments.  You can go back to being the expert and the person who cares more about the environment than me, obviously, and I will go back to uhm, trying to throw out the Republicans, getting progressive energy policy enacted in America, and learning and writing about Russia with an open heart and mind.  I know.  I'm a real jerk, huh?

Ciao.  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 04:14:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In many ways Russia still has a 19th century world view. There is probably no place on earth where more people still believe in a heroic vision of man conquering nature. Some have seen the Russian Weltanschauung as being that of an even earlier era. After this summer's opéra bouffe at the Arctic where the Russians used a mini-submarine to plant a Russian flag under the North Pole, newly accessible as summer sea ice disappears, Canadian Foreign Minister Peter McKay declared in a statement reminiscent of one of my favorite Eddie Izzard routines:

   

"Look, this isn't the 15th century. You can't go around the world and plant flags and say, 'We're claiming this territory,"

In many ways this is a ridiculous paragraph. Despite what the Canadian minister said, Russia never "claimed" the North Pole as its sovereign territory. The flag was planted by the first human who have ever reached the place - compare, for example, Americans planting US flag on the Moon. Despite the fact that the ice in Arctic disappears, it was pretty much present on the Pole, which is one of the reason the submersion and concurrent resurfacing is such a technical feat.

Also, when I heard about this idiocy from Canada, I wondered whether they used the same language in reaction to

1988 - The Danish Arctic Ocean patrol cutter HDMS Tulugaq arrived at the island, built a cairn and placed a flagpole and Danish flag on the island
in the process of a dispute over the Hans Island.
by Sargon on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 11:57:53 AM EST
You''re simply mistaken here.  The Russians do claim the area they were exploring and the planting of the flag was a (silly) symbolic gesture in support of that claim. As USA Today reported:

Moscow has claimed the polar region since at least the days of the Bolsheviks, and argued that the geological data backed up this claim in 2002 in an application to the U.N. committee that administers the Law of the Sea. The U.N. rejected Moscow's application, citing a lack of evidence.

Also see here and here.

Other countries, including Canada, Denmark and Norway make claims here too. The US and most other countries regard these as international waters.

As to Hanns Island.  The dispute between Canada and Denmark is longstanding with both countries staking claim to its 1.3 square kilometers. I have no idea what the Canadian minister might have said about the Danes planting their flag there nor do I think it's particularly relevant. I think most Canadians regards the issue as a joke.

Regardless of what Canada has said on other occasions, I think the Canadian Minister is spot on here. A country trying to stake a claim to 1.2 million square kilometers of international waters, roughly half the Arctic seabed, by launching a couple of minisubs and planting a flag is, I reiterate, opéra bouffe.

The Arctic needs to remain international or it will be destroyed. That's the simple truth.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 05:14:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sorry, but you miss the point entirely. At no point did Russia claim the North Pole as a sovereign territory, despite what the "authorities" like USA Today said. An issue at stake was an extension of the "exclusive economic zone", in full accordance with the Law of the Sea - that is, of course, if Lomonosov Ridge could be shown to extend Russian continental shelf.

An "opéra bouffe" is, in its entirety, a creation of the Western media. Russia was working at the moment on collection of the relevant information to be submitted to the relevant UN Committee. In this respect, it's very relevant what the Canada said regarding the Hans Island, which is a true dispute about sovereign territory, not an insinuated one.

And finally, even your amazingly authoritative information source - USA Today - mentioned that "Thick sea ice threatens to thwart the expedition" right at the beginning (2nd paragraph). I find it absolutely ridiculous then that you said "...North Pole, newly accessible as summer sea ice disappears...".

by Sargon on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 09:29:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think you're quibbling over words here.  I don't care whether Russia claims sovereign territory (How could it anyway? It's the ocean.) or an "exclusive economic zone" that covers half the Arctic seabed, it can't be achieved by planting a flag, which it was not necessary to do if the explorers were merely collecting data in support of Russia's claims in this area.

By the way, my personal opinion is that "exclusive economic zones" should never extend  more than 200 miles. Beyond that everything is international. Carving up the world's oceans into national fiefdoms is a recipe for ecological disaster.

You can be snide about USA today if you like, but I gave you two other sources as well, and if you spent 5 minutes on the Internet you could easily find 50 more reputable sources that say the same thing.

As to the Arctic sea ice, the conclusion of scientists at the latest meeting of the American Geophysical Union this month is that summer sea ice will probably be completely gone by 2012.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama

by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 03:55:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm sorry but I'm not nitpicking. It's a legal issue, exclusive economic zone could be expanded according to the international law, and what you or I are thinking on this point is irrelevant.

Regarding North Pole accessibility - it WAS heavily iced at the point in time when the submersion has occurred, and thus projections on what might happen by 2012 are completely irrelevant and cannot diminish the technical feat that has been accomplished.

Yes, I could spend 5 hours on the Internet and find the ultimate source of the words you've cited. It doesn't really matter if they were repeated in a cozillion other "sources" - it's nothing but a herd instinct in action.

by Sargon on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 05:39:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We may just have to agree to disagree on some of these points, but I do want to clarify one thing.  I never intended to downplay the "technical feat" of what the Russian explorers achieved.  It was a brave and skillful operation.  As to ice, you must remember that the melting made it possible to perform this daring exploration.  Ten years earlier when the ice was much thicker no one could have done this.

"My True Religion Is Kindness" -- The Dalai Lama
by JohnnyRook (johnnyrook1@gmail.com) on Sat Dec 29th, 2007 at 08:25:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't claim to be a specialist in a history of Soviet subs surfacing around the Pole, so I don't really know when it was possible and when not.
by Sargon on Sun Dec 30th, 2007 at 06:26:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
People around here think I am a mouthpiece for the Putin Administration or something, but I am concerned about Russia's environmental policies.  I hear/read that small improvements are being made, and see suggestions that this will be a bigger priority in the future.  But who knows.  My clothes were so filthy when I returned from Russia that after 3 washes, my mother decided they were not salvageable.   I hear they've cleaned Moscow up, but a lot more people are driving.  I don't really know if significant improvements are being made.  

Some thinking aloud:

It appears the economy is the number one priority right now.  And there is an argument to be made that keeping people from starving to death and living in chaos is a legitimate priority.  However, the money to do that is coming from non-renewable, carbon spewing natural resources.  A bit of a deal with the devil at the moment.

Russia's not being imperialist.  That's simply unfounded.  A flag under the North Pole?  Who cares.  I suggest that any hesitancy (might be a polite way of putting it) to fight global warming is most probably rooted in a combination of ignorance of the subject and other more tangible and immediate priorities, rather than megalomania or something.

It's taken us how long to come around to the idea?  We still can't get the US to take a firm stand.  So good luck convincing an equally proud, "sovereign," religious and ... well, stubborn nation - and one that is A LOT COLDER - to cooperate with us to fight global warming.  

Actually, we've spent the last almost Century treating Russia like dirt.  That they don't want to listen to us might say as much or more about us than it does about them...

Remind me who spent the better part of the 20the Century lecturing Russia on the inherent superiority of our wasteful, consumerist, materialist, capitalist culture.  So they took our advice, followed in our footsteps, and now we are shocked and appalled by their shiny new wasteful, consumerist, materialist, capitalist culture.  Let's all give ourselves a pat on the backs.

Why I'm not 100% forlorn about Russia's economic policies (I use the term even though I have no clue what they are....):

Russia has a strong and remarkable history of scientific innovation.  They are not risk adverse to coming up with new ways of making stuff work.  And they are adaptable.

They embrace the whole nuclear energy thing.

Energy efficiency.  It saves money.  Putin doesn't have a record of favoring ideology over financial incentives...

Though I don't know that they'd ever self-identify as environmentalists, they love their nature, and have a pretty significant cultural bond with it.  It might be the same in Europe, but it's not so much in the States.  I feel we see a forest and envision a new Walmart, whereas they look at one ans envision a good mushroom hunt.  Ok, those are stereotypes, but I'm not aware of a bizarre urge to pave everything in sight over there.  It's been heading in that direction, but I'm not convinced of its staying power.  So yes, nature, environment.  I think anyone who has lived there understands who is at the mercy of whom in the battle between nature and humans.  

Why I'm not 100% hopeful about Russia's economic policies (I use the term even though I have no clue what they are....):

Still waiting for that economy to diversify...

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 12:07:14 PM EST
environmental policies, of course.  Though they probably are one and the same at this point.  ;)

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 12:10:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"People around here think I am a mouthpiece for the Putin Administration or something"

Batchushka! I agree with you.
Let people take a look at a Michelin road map of Europe they will see that AUTOBAHNS stop at the borders of Poland. Look at Russia, and compare the miles of super highways they have with the number of miles the SUPER rich Western countries have. See CIA factfiles.

You will be astounded. Then think how much a mile of a super-highway costs. Then ask yourself why doesn't Russia, Ukraine or Byelorussia have super-highways.

The answer is simple. IT IS TOO EXPENSIVE.

Now. You though keep on attacking Russia and Putin for all their shortfalls, but you do not think of how much money has to be put into that infrastructure to make it modern and efficient.

Do you think that they are purposely keeping their roads in such condition? Is it another Russian ploy?

If the US is dragging its feet over green house emissions-and it is, and if it is looking through China's fingers because OUR production lines are there, then lets be clear and ask ourselves: what is it that makes us attack Russia?

ANY ANSWERS?

"Only puny secrets need protection. Big discoveries are protected by public incredulity." MMcL

by igor vincha (svjeronimatgmail.com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 04:31:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
what is it that makes us attack Russia?

I have a theory that we see in them what we don't like about ourselves.  But I'm probably the only person in the universe who feels that way.

I've never had the urge to attack Russia, myself, so I really don't know.   I'm more inclined to be on the defending end of things.  Apparently, even when things are indefensible, because it's always indefensible when it comes to Russia, isn't it?  Sigh...

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 04:49:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
After this summer's opéra bouffe at the Arctic where the Russians used a mini-submarine to plant a Russian flag under the North Pole, newly accessible as summer sea ice disappears

Of course, all we have to prove they did it are the tv pics they released of the event... Oh wait !!

Russian state broadcaster Rossiya had enhanced footage of the Arktika expedition with sequences taken by MIR submersibles for the 1997 film Titanic, as an illustration of the submarines in action, in which the Finnish-built bathyscaphes had explored the wrecked liner on the Atlantic seabed, London's Daily Telegraph reported on August 11.[15] The same images were rebroadcast by Reuters, which mistook them as actual footage of part of the expedition.

A Finnish 13-year-old, Waltteri Seretin, of Kemi, 450 miles (724,2 kilometres) north of Helsinki, had recognized the submersibles used in the voyage to the bottom of the sea as appearing in sequences director James Cameron's Oscar-winning drama



keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:08:22 PM EST
LOL!

You mean the Apollo XI Moon landing was filmed in a movie studio?

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Dec 28th, 2007 at 02:15:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Johnny Rook, I hope your recovery is going well.

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.
by metavision on Sat Jan 5th, 2008 at 05:20:25 PM EST


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