Official Energy Reports (3) - the EU: maybe not so depressing after all

by Jerome a Paris
Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 03:45:54 PM EST

Yesterday, on the basis of press reports, I noted that the new EU Energy Strategy was depressing, if predictable. But today, the strategy was actually posted on the EU's website (you can find it here, with all supporting documents) and, reading it, I find it much less offensive than the press makes it to be.

For one, beyond an early reference to the current goals of "sustainability, competitiveness and security of supply", there is not a word about competition and market mechanisms in the whole Memo on the Strategic Energy Review (pdf). Not one. I was amazed. In fact, this memo, beyond a bit of fluff that can easily be ignored, is almost sensible!

Let me get you through it.

see also my recent post on the IEA World Energy Outlook, as well as what's being posted on the Oil Drum on that topic.


The EU approach to energy security

Energy security is an issue of common EU concern. With the integration of energy markets and infrastructures within the EU, specific national solutions are often insufficient. And while each Member State is in the first instance responsible for its own security, solidarity between Member States is a basic feature of EU membership. Strategies to share and spread risk, and to make the best use of the combined weight of the EU in world affairs can be more effective than dispersed national actions.

From a medium to long-term energy security viewpoint, the EU's 20-20-20 strategy is the right direction to go in. An energy system with a diversity of non-fossil fuel supplies, flexible infrastructures and capacities for demand management will be very different in energy security terms than today’s system.

In the short to medium term, Europe's dependence on imports means that effective provisions for preventing and dealing with supply crises must be in place. Europe can and must diminish its vulnerability to energy supply shocks, first and foremost by developing its own strengths, internally and externally.

The focus on solidarity, infrastructure, non-fossil fuel source and - gasp - demand management is not just appropriate - it's downright refreshing! Remember that the "20-20-20 strategy" can be criticized for lack of ambition, but it certainly goes in the right direction (the three 20s refer to 20% share of renewables in energy sources, 20% increase in energy efficiency, and 20% reduction in carbon emissions, ie two of the three are effectively demand-side targets).

EU energy security and solidarity action plan

The Commission proposes a five-point EU Energy Security and Solidarity Action Plan:

  • Infrastructure needs and the diversification of energy supplies
  • External energy relations
  • Oil and gas stocks and crisis response mechanisms
  • Energy efficiency
  • Making the best use of the EU’s indigenous energy resources.
The press has focused on the first items, which include the usual suspects (Nabucco, groan), smart stuff (reinforcing networks connecting the Baltic countries to the rest of Europe) and spectacular announcements (a "supergrid" connecting offshore wind farms in the North Sea to various countries around it), and these, with the dubious exception of Nabucco (which can be built only if gas is found to fill it, the only credible source right now being Russian gas, which rather defeats the stated purpose of reducing dependency on Russia), make a lot of sense.

Large-scale infrastructure and network development is definitely what EU energy policy should concentrate upon, and the parallel plans to increase reserves and crisis response mechanisms can only be applauded (unless what is meant is countries with large reserve capacity - Germany, France, Italy, ie countries with strong long term import policies - being forced to share them with countries that did not bother to build any - the UK and its "efficient" liberalised markets, because that would be looting, not solidarity).

Energy efficiency (with specific focus on construction standards) and "domestic" energy (ie renewables) certainly need to be encouraged and supported - it's smart policy that pays for itself very quickly, and it's good to see it figure here prominently enough.

Even the paragraph on external energy relationships is sensible, with a focus on interdependency:

With producer countries outside Europe - notably Russia, Caspian countries - we need to develop a new generation of “energy interdependence" provisions in our broad-based agreements. As much as Europe seeks security of supply, external suppliers and industry seek security of demand.

This is quite correct - the only thing that's lacking is that acknowledgement that longstanding policies by countries like Germany, Italy and France have done exactly this - and the fact that State-owned, or quasi-monopolistic companies ran these policies needs to be seen as part of the solution rather than part of the problem... but at least the goal is there.

What is heartening is to see this memo dominated by two old-fashioned concepts: energy demand (the side of the balance we actually control) and energy infrastructure (an acknowledgement that public policy is fundamental, both to set rules and to create the field on which other actors play).

What is more depressing is to see the media headlines focused almost exclusively on how that policy is "anti-Russia." But hey, train them long and hard enough, and they will keep on doing it even when you don't actually want them to anymore.

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Thanks for this view.  Despite what the press thinks, we already know that within the bowels of EU energy policy there are many good people working, even if their voice is not the only voice heard.

It's still the sanest look at energy policy of any governmental or quasi-guv agency in the world.  (That doesn't mean there isn't room for improvement.)

Skennah Kowa

by Crazy Horse on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 03:56:36 PM EST
they also provide an analysis of electricity costs from various sources. They present a "low fuel cost" and a "high fuel cost" scenario in this document (PDF). Given that their "high" scenario has lower prices than the most recent IEA oil scenario, I've taken the liberty to focus on it:

The conclusion is simple: wind is cheaper, has fewer associated greenhouse gas emissions, and no fuel price risk (and no long term waste problem). Wind is, as our American friends say, a "no brainer."

And this is using a discount rate (the effective cost of financing the upfront investment) of 10% for all technologies, which is a number that penalises wind (and nuclear) and favors gas and coal.

Oh, and the IEA also agrees:



In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 04:05:22 PM EST
(this one, you can say you heard it here first)

A regulatory decision by the EPA on the "Bonanza" coal power plant (at the Sierra Club's behest) is an extraordianry decision - it essentially kills all coal power plant development in the US for the foreseeable future.

Yey.

More later as I get it.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 04:24:17 PM EST
This is very important, check background here.

Skennah Kowa
by Crazy Horse on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 04:40:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

In a move that signals the start of the our clean energy future,  the Environmental Protection Agency's Environmental Appeals Board (EAB) ruled today EPA had no valid reason for refusing to limit from new coal-fired power plants the carbon dioxide emissions that cause global warming.  The decision means that all new and proposed coal plants nationwide must go back and address their carbon dioxide emissions.

"Today's decision opens the way for meaningful action to fight global warming and is a major step in bringing about a clean energy economy," said Joanne Spalding, Sierra Club Senior Attorney who argued the case. "This is one more sign that we must begin repowering,  refueling and rebuilding America."

"The EAB rejected every Bush Administration excuse for failing to regulate the largest source of greenhouse gases in the United States.  This decision gives the Obama Administration a clean slate to begin building our clean energy economy for the 21st century," continued Spalding

The decision follows a 2007 Supreme Court ruling recognizing carbon dioxide, the principle source of global warming, is a pollutant under the federal Clean Air Act.

"Coal plants emit 30% of our nation's global warming pollution. Building new coal plants without controlling their carbon emissions could wipe out all of the other efforts being undertaken by cities, states and communities across the country," said Bruce Nilles, Director of the Sierra Club's National Coal Campaign. "Everyone has a role to play and it's time that the coal industry did its part and started living up to its clean coal rhetoric."

The Sierra Club went before the Environmental Appeals Board in May of 2008 to request that the air permit for Deseret Power Electric Cooperative's proposed waste coal-fired power plant be overturned because it failed to require any controls on carbon dioxide pollution. Deseret Power's 110 MW Bonanza plant would have emitted 3.37 million tons of carbon dioxide each year.  

"Instead of pouring good money after bad trying to fix old coal technology, investors should be looking to wind, solar and energy efficiency technologies that are going to power the economy, create jobs, and help the climate recover," said Nilles.

To get background information and see how the case unfolded visit http://www.sierraclub.org/coal/plantlist.asp

A copy of the decision can be found here: http://yosemite.epa.gov/oa/EAB_Web_Docket.nsf/PSD%20Permit%20Appeals%20(CAA)C8C5985967D8096E85257500006811A7$File/Remand...39.pdf (pdf)



In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 05:18:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Isn't the fucker going to push a last minute executive order around this? He seems to be doing that a lot lately.

A 'centrist' is someone who's neither on the left, nor on the left.
by nicta (nico@altiva․fr) on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 07:27:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe, but Obama has said that he would rescind such executive orders, so that risk seems covered.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Nov 14th, 2008 at 03:53:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Discussed on dKos. This is worth giving some visibility:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/11/13/165245/96/511/660557


In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 05:19:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

EU plan to loosen Russia's grip on energy

The European Commission has proposed a new company to bring gas from central Asia to Europe via the Caspian Sea in a move likely to raise tensions at Friday's meeting of EU and Russian leaders.

The Caspian route, which would require the construction of a new pipeline, would enable the EU to bypass ­Russia in order to access the resources of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, which last month announced it had ­discovered one of the world's biggest gas fields.

The plan was launched as a centrepiece of an energy security plan that seeks to cut EU member states' reliance on Russia.

The strategic energy review comes at a delicate time as the EU will on Friday try to restart talks with Russia over economic and energy agreements that were cancelled in the wake of its invasion of Georgia in August. It also comes after steep rises in energy prices, and internal squabbling over an EU climate package that would force member states to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20 per cent by 2020.

The EU's strategic energy review also sets out plans for making buildings more energy efficient, bolstering emergency oil stocks, and connecting electricity from North Sea wind farms and Mediterranean solar panels to the European grid.



In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Nov 14th, 2008 at 03:52:27 AM EST


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