European Tribune

Are Europeans Hiding in the Bush, or is Transatlantic Panacea to Come?

by Kyle Atwell
Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 02:16:34 PM EST

This article was originally published by Kyle Atwell at  Atlantic Review, a website providing news updates and commentary covering transatlantic relations.

There has been speculation on both sides of the Atlantic about whether America's next president will be able to revitalize the acidulated transatlantic partnership.  Con Coughlin has captured a common sentiment in an op-ed published by the Telegraph:

Whether it is a Republican... or one of the two remaining Democrat contenders... none of them will arouse anything approaching the level of controversy and hostility that has been caused by President George W Bush's seven-year tenure.

President Bush has certainly been a divisive figure, both in policy and style.  However, it is hardly a foregone conclusion that there will be a panacea in transatlantic relations once Bush decamps.  As suggested by former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger in a recent interview with Spiegel Online, transatlantic differences run deeper than one administration:

SPIEGEL: Isn't German and European opposition to a greater military involvement in Afghanistan and Iraq also a result of deep distrust of American power?

KISSINGER: By this time next year, we will see the beginning of a new administration. We will then discover to what extent the Bush administration was the cause or the alibi for European-American disagreements. Right now, many Europeans hide behind the unpopularity of President Bush.

Kissinger brings to mind a good question: has European hostility toward the US been solely the response to poor leadership by Bush, or is there a more fundamental schism in the Alliance?

Crispin Williams weighs in at Social Europe Blog, arguing that Bush has left a scar on transatlantic relations that will not easily heal:


... for all the commentary on the advocated changes to US foreign policy by Senators Obama and Clinton, one crucial point seems to have been at best massively understated and at worse, disregarded.  This point regards the changes to the world that have occurred during the tenure of Bush and the limits that they will impose to creating a new style and substance to US foreign policy. Two changes in particular, the loss of the US's moral legitimacy and the rise of the emerging superpower China will have the greatest impact.

This argument sounds fair enough, but then William's loses credibility by continuing with this revisionist view of history:

It may seem like a distant memory, but at the beginning of the 21st century before Bush, many looked to America to fulfill the role of a global policeman. Such arguments would forward that although no country was purely altruistic, when America acted it would be from a position of moral legitimacy because of the principles which underpin the country. High moral and ethical values such as the protection and promotion of individual freedoms, human rights and democracy meant that when there was a global crisis, e.g., Kosovo, people looked to America to lead the world's response.

Did Europe really look toward America with glowing eyes to fulfill the role of global policeman?  At best this is an overstatement; Europe has never been comfortable with the idea of complete dependence on the US, and indeed has long desired (and to a lesser degree, achieved) greater autonomy.  Williams' use of Kosovo as an example suggests a lack historical understanding: Europe did not want America involved when the Balkans first began to dismember, and even ill-fatedly declared that bringing stability to the Balkans would be "the hour of Europe."

It is true Bush has decreased US moral legitimacy, but one should be careful to not view Bush as the sole cause of transatlantic tensions.  There have always been disagreements among the Allies, just as there always will be, regardless of whom the leadership is.  Tension is intrinsic to any relationship.  While accepting there will be perennial disagreements, it is also important to understand that disagreements do not mean the Alliance does not have value. Just because a husband and wife fight, it does not mean they should divorce.

The next president will be able to minimize and even reverse some of the transatlantic drift seen in the Bush years. This is partly because the three major candidates have all argued for a more multilateral foreign policy approach, but also because they all support policies closer to Europe on issues such as improving US human rights records and environmental standards.   For example, see McCain's response when asked if he would  get along better with Europe than Bush in an interview with Spiegel Online:

Yes. I would announce that we are not ever going to torture anyone held in American custody. I would announce that we were closing Guantanamo Bay and moving those prisoners to Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, and I would announce a commitment to addressing climate change and my dedication to a global agreement.

And if many Europeans agree with former German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt that, "We want to be able to love America again," then rapprochement efforts by the next US president will be well received in Europe (Die Zeit op-ed, in German).

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Poll
Has European hostility toward the US been solely a response to poor leadership by Bush, or is there a more fundamental schism in the Alliance?
. Bush's divisive diplomacy and policies have been responsible for a decline in US/European relations 30%
. US and Europe are drifting apart, and there is nothing that can stop that 53%
. US/European relations are better than ever 0%
. None of the above, see my comment 15%

Votes: 13
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Welcome, Kyle. You and Joerg are making a tag-team effort this evening? :-)

Here's an ET take on the Kissinger interview.

When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 02:34:03 PM EST
Just a coincidence... I have been meaning to open my diary at ET for a while now, but realized I needed to learn HTLM first!

I plan to be a regular now :)

Kyle Atwell

by Kyle Atwell (kyle.atwell [at] atlanticreview.org) on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 03:57:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
European Tribune - Comments - Are Europeans Hiding in the Bush, or is Transatlantic Panacea to Come?
I would announce that we are not ever going to torture anyone held in American custody.

Anyone remember "America doesn't torture?"

The plural of anecdote is bullshit.

by generic on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 03:05:09 PM EST
America doesn't torture... we use "freedom tickles."  You can even buy this sweet "patriotic poster" from the White House to prove it.

I suspect McCain will be getter on limiting US use of torture than Bush has been, especially given his legislation on torture from 2005 and his verbal commitment to close Guantanamo.  However, his vote last week opposing legislation that would put limits on the interrogation techniques the CIA can use, including waterboarding, is suspect... it is interesting because his original 2005 legislation would have banned torture techniques by all US personnel, but then he had to get an exemption for the CIA in order for Bush to sign it... I wonder if McCain really wanted to support extending this ban to the CIA, but decided instead to honor a deal with Bush that he made in 2005?

Kyle Atwell

by Kyle Atwell (kyle.atwell [at] atlanticreview.org) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 11:51:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Just because a husband and wife fight, it does not mean they should divorce.

Not necessarily, but if the husband starts saying things like "Western Europe, you're such an old bitch! The hot new chick down the block, Eastern Europe, she knows how to treat a man right!", at the very least a couple of therapy sessions might be in order. Or a slap in the face.

Anyway, I would expect a certain honeymoon period for the next president, but whether he or she can restore American credibility to pre-Bush levels remains to be seen. One would think the lesson learned from the past eight years is that placing so much power into the hands of so few people is a recipe for disaster. It's not so much about the best person to occupy that office, as it is about the worst person to occupy it. What are we all gonna do when Jeb Bush defeats a Carterised Obama four years from now?

As for McCain and Europe...he has all but promised that "there will be more wars", a point of view that's not like to go over well with...well, anyone. He may be against torture, but it seems he's essentially in agreement with the central tenets of the Bush doctrine.  If he's the president, I wouldn't want "reconciliation".

"The basis of optimism is sheer terror" - Oscar Wilde

by NordicStorm on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 04:23:40 PM EST
I am interested by your suggestion that the US would be the abusive husband.  Your comment seems to reflect an assumption that the US has been the source of all tensions in US/European relations... I do not know if this was your intention, but one thing I have learned in my discussions between Americans and Europeans is that both sides have pretty severe grievances and feelings of let down from the other.  

Not sure what you mean by "Carterised Obama"?

As for McCain and Europe...he has all but promised that "there will be more wars"

I agree... McCain is a little too trigger happy for my comfort.  I mean, it is one thing to say that you will support a strike against Iran if it manages to develop nuclear weapons or is imminently close.  But what kind of idiot sings a song going, "bomb bomb Iran"?


Kyle Atwell

by Kyle Atwell (kyle.atwell [at] atlanticreview.org) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 12:08:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I was mostly riffing on the analogy. It was an oblique reference to the run-up of the Iraq war and Rumsfeld's division of Europe into "new" (read: "acquiescent") and "old".

"The basis of optimism is sheer terror" - Oscar Wilde
by NordicStorm on Mon Feb 25th, 2008 at 05:30:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Kyle Atwell:
I am interested by your suggestion that the US would be the abusive husband.  
Don't get me started on the way the US treats its NATO allies.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Feb 28th, 2008 at 05:09:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My gripe with these nice husband-wife comparisons is that there aren't just two partners in NATO. If the allieance would be between the USA and the EU, that would be interesting. But as things stand, we are the USA's harem of pigmy women. I am not interested in the gripes of the pasha.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Thu Feb 28th, 2008 at 05:42:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As an answer, here is an excerpt of a diary I posted almost a year ago on Daily Kos:

Daily Kos: US Foreign policy: Coke-Republicans vs Pepsi-Democrats?

The hubris of the Bush/Cheney administration has brought such a maelstrom of failures, corruption and crimes, it has lead the world so close to a global disaster (it could still happen...) that, in comparison, any other administration will look like angels come on earth to save us. But I don't believe in angels.

While I reasonably (optimistically?) trust the Democrats for restoring democracy and civil liberties, implementing (slightly) more responsible socio-economic policies and promoting environmental awareness within the United States, I still wonder if they will bring any change to the United States foreign policy doctrine. So far, I have little hope.

My doubts have been nurtured by Tony Smith's editorial in the March 11 issue of the Washington Post



"Ne te courbe que pour aimer..." René Char
by Melanchthon on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 06:20:58 PM EST
Great piece in Daily Kos.  

It is a good point that the Democrats don't seem to have agreed on what position America should take in the world, but it is an overstatement to say that they are not different from the Bush-Cheney doctrine.

Bush-Cheney embody the neo-conservative belief that US power is omnipotent and the US military can be used globally without restraint.  This has led to a belief that the US can extend its military resources extensively abroad without concern for failure.  This leads people like McCain to think we can stay in Iraq 100 years, maintain a war in Afghanistan, attack Iran, and possibly maintain "other wars" as well.  

The Democrats seem to have a better grip on the reality that US power has its limits.  They accept that unilateral action is acceptable in the face of imminent danger, but also realize that for the problems of today cannot be solved by one country alone.  They recognize that record defense budgets (save WWII era) are not sustainable (although there has been some debate about whether Dems will actually decrease budgets at AR recently).  They seem more open to talking with countries like Iran, where the Bush administration has been recalcitrant.

These seem like major differences from the Bush-Cheney years--US "hubris" will decline if a Democrat is elected president.


Kyle Atwell

by Kyle Atwell (kyle.atwell [at] atlanticreview.org) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 12:32:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For the changes in the global geopolitical context, ther was an excellent paper by Parag Khanna in the January 28 issue of the NYT:

Waving Goodbye to Hegemony

Turn on the TV today, and you could be forgiven for thinking it's 1999. Democrats and Republicans are bickering about where and how to intervene, whether to do it alone or with allies and what kind of world America should lead. Democrats believe they can hit a reset button, and Republicans believe muscular moralism is the way to go. It's as if the first decade of the 21st century didn't happen -- and almost as if history itself doesn't happen. But the distribution of power in the world has fundamentally altered over the two presidential terms of George W. Bush, both because of his policies and, more significant, despite them...


"Ne te courbe que pour aimer..." René Char
by Melanchthon on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 06:33:56 PM EST
Rene, I have some serious objections to Khanna's arguments.  Here is a snippet from a post I wrote about it at Atlantic Review titled, Parag Khanna: "Europe's Influence Grows at America's Expense" (received 44 comments):

There are a couple problems with Khanna's view of transatlantic relations:

First, fumbling at nation building is just as much a European activity as it is an American one.  Several European countries are involved in or are leading major nation building projects - in Afghanistan, Iraq, Kosovo, etc.  If anything, a more powerful and centralized EU would benefit the United States because it could contribute more effectively to these operations.  Instead, the US is working with a hodge-podge of allies, each with varying levels of commitment and each demanding their own say at the table.  What a pain.

Furthermore, Europe "locking peripheral countries into its orbit" does not hurt the United States.  If anything, the higher human rights and rule of law standards required to join the EU makes these countries more stable, and therefore better strategic and economic partners for the United States.

Overall, Khanna has described a zero-sum relationship between the United States and Europe that is overstated.



Kyle Atwell
by Kyle Atwell (kyle.atwell [at] atlanticreview.org) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 12:40:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It implies we have something to hide; something to be ashamed of, as if having divergent interests from the US is not an ethically correct position to take.

Curious choice of words coming from a public figure whose reputation as regards humanity (and crimes there against) is anything but pristine; one would think Kissinger the last person in America to be giving out moral lessons to anybody. But then, I suppose, nothing Kissinger says should be taken at face value.

The reality is, and I suspect the cited Doctor sees this clearly enough, European and US interests intersect less and less. The arch of US power is in its descent, and so Chancellor Schmidt's fond wish is a bit like James Ivory cinema: a very polished, well ornamented nostalgia piece.

Europe trains our mastery of the sort of soft power skills at which other rising powers (like China) also are beginning to excel, while the US can afford less and less the sort of hard power it has grown to depend on over the past three or four decades, especially the past two as sole world "hyperpower".

Unfortunately, hard power is not an aspect of a flowering society, but at best one nearing the end of its universal state, heading towards decline.

As a European, I fear that a generation on, we might be worried about nuclear bombs getting loose from US missile installations and into the hands of unsavory characters in much the same way worries were once expressed of the same sort for installations across the former Soviet Union. And as an American, I can but put my hands over my eyes as I watch that country walk in slow motion towards what appears to be a coming hard fall.

Atlanticism will mean something quite different to my children, I suspect, than it does to me. Much as what it means to me is quite different than what it means to Chancellor Schmidt.

"C'est un scandale !"

by redstar on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 07:29:14 PM EST
Are we allowed to use quotations from the Bible?

"And why beholdest thou the mote that is in thy brother's eye, but considerest not the beam that is in thine own eye?" -- Matthew 7:3

America's quite a ways from perfect, but so are the various countries in the EU...

by asdf on Sat Feb 23rd, 2008 at 09:59:07 PM EST
What do you want to say with this? Do you really think that one can equalize any current European country with the US with regard to torture/warmongering/hypocracy/externalisation of economic/environmental damage?
At least the last 4 presidents of the US are arguably mass murders. Anything similar in a European country?

Lich King/Caribou Barbie 08
Pain brings Katharsis
by Martin (weiser.mensch(at)googlemail.com) on Thu Feb 28th, 2008 at 06:16:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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