European Tribune

Lazy Links: Radical-ish Ideas

by Metatone
Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 12:59:25 PM EST

Frank, techno and others have been writing about the question of alternative ideas for the future. ET has produced more criticism than positive proposal, say some.

Couple of interesting articles connecting to this theme:

Radical solutions | Comment is free

Radical solutions

Progressives do have answers to the current economic crisis, they just haven't been given the attention they deserve

Mark Braund

Aditya Chakrabortty is right to lament the poor contribution of progressives to the debate about the economic crisis. The only option advanced by contributors to Cif's Economies in Crisis series is a return to Keynesian demand management and tougher market regulation. While this strategy helped the western economies to rebuild after 1945, Keynesian thinking suited the special circumstances of the postwar period, circumstances that hardly apply today. There is no permanent solution to the crisis, and certainly no path to widespread economic justice, in Keynes' prescription.

The problem with economics, whether practised by academics, journalists, politicians or the wonks that staff the thinktanks to which we look for guidance, is that taking sufficiently radical a position to force new thinking onto the mainstream agenda usually constitutes career suicide.

It's not as if there are no alternatives on offer. But the establishment has become adept at keeping ideas that challenge the status quo firmly out of public view. This process is partly directed by the vested interests of minority wealth and privilege, but has also become embedded in the institutions and long-held assumptions which shape today's economic landscape. Perhaps the best example is the concerted campaign against the ideas of Henry George.

Frank and ChrisCook should both read the above one in particular.

Diary rescue by Migeru


Left behind, and unhappier | Comment is free

Left behind, and unhappier

Britain's social recession is having effects which are every bit as painful and unsettling as those suffered during an economic downturn

Jonathan Rutherford

Britain is in a social recession. Three decades of market-driven capitalism have damaged the social fabric of this country. While Labour evades the problem, Cameron's rebranded Conservatives are making it a central plank of their politics. They're staking out ground that once belonged to the left, taking the ideological offensive that will cost this government the next election.

The symptoms and pain of the social recession are often concealed inside our homes. We experience them as our own shameful and personal failings. One in six adults suffer from anxiety or a depressive condition. A quarter of men and a third of women suffer sleep problems. The charity, Mind describes stress in the workplace at almost "epidemic proportions". Mental ill health accounts for a third of all working days lost. To make the problem worse, over 1.1 million people in Britain are dependent upon alcohol. The social recession has contributed to an alcohol culture of broken relationships, domestic violence against women, chronic illness, and street brawling.

Beyond being a linkfest, this is mostly interesting for the concept of a "social recession" which has more detail about it in this Compass document.

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Lazy or not, this is a very interesting area. And thanks for the links.

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Tue Apr 15th, 2008 at 01:45:49 PM EST
Aditya Chakrabortty  may lament the lack of progressive input into the debate surrounding the current financial crisis, but he doesn't actually propose any solutions of his own.

Ulrich Beck goes somewhat further:
This free-market farce proves the state is crucial | Comment is free

There are surprising parallels between the Chernobyl reactor disaster, the Asian financial crisis and the threat of the collapse of the international financial system today. The traditional methods of management and control are proving unreliable and ineffective in the face of global risks. The millions of unemployed and poor cannot be financially compensated; it makes no sense to insure against the consequences of global recession. At the same time the social and political explosive force of global market risks is becoming palpable. Governments are overthrown, civil wars become a threat. As the public begins to recognise the risks, the question of responsibility is increasingly raised. This dynamic leads to a reversal of neoliberal policy - not the economisation of politics, but the politicisation of the economy. Not even the most liberal national economy functions without macroeconomic coordinates. It's with a certain degree of bewilderment that one asks oneself: how could anyone in his right mind assume that the world economy is any different?

Jerome has proposed some state led initiatives around sustainable energy and laments the retreat of enarchs from statesmanship to banking.  Migeru extols the Keynesian road building exploits of Zapatero - saying even environmentally regressive toll roads can be politically progressive if done in a Keynesian spirit.

My problem is that we now live in a Unipolar world where the USA calls almost all the shots - and the US financial elite at that.  They have successfully destroyed almost all US and international regulation so that there is now effectively no global financial governance.  This will probably cost the US$ its pre-eminence as the global reserve currency but it is anything but clear that the Euro/ECB will pick up the slack.  

Financial speculators will move from derivatives to commodities like oil - increasing the price out of all proportion to what the actual  supply/demand curve might otherwise do.  Poorer countries will feel the pinch most, as oil will simply become unaffordable for many primary producers and a severe world depression seems unavoidable. (NB - a depression in sub Sahara is another word for famine).

In the meantime the "world community" will fiddle anxiously but ineffectually as it is now over completely avoidable famine in Zimbabwe.  It took two World Wars to lead to the formation of the League of Nations and the UN.  This latest crisis is a lesson in Global Governance for slow learners.  We will need a far more effective EU and UN if it is to be managed and overcome.  And yes - did I forget to mention:  A revolution in the US.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Tue Apr 15th, 2008 at 02:43:19 PM EST
Spain should take this juncture to deal final and complete conversion of gauge railroad to the width of Europe. I know that politicians are afraid to address the issue dramatically.

When Procrustes looks after you, you're sure to fit in.
by PerCLupi on Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 04:04:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome has proposed some state led initiatives around sustainable energy and laments the retreat of enarchs from statesmanship to banking.  Migeru extols the Keynesian road building exploits of Zapatero - saying even environmentally regressive toll roads can be politically progressive if done in a Keynesian spirit.

<Sigh>Lemme explain...

I wrote this diary because user:alv pointed out the story about the new toll roads and seemed in despair at the wrong-headedness of the policy. I wrote the diary as a way to frame and introduce to him Keynes' quote

'wasteful' loan expenditure may nevertheless enrich the community on balance [...] if the education of our statesmen on the principles of the classical economics stands in the way of anything better
which (the miseducation of our statesmen, not the wasteful expenditure) is what the links in Metatone's diary are all about. As such the diary was somewhat tongue-in-cheek, including the title which mocked the way "reformists" like Sarkozy are described in the media. However, kcurie quickly pointed out that this is on top of an earlier pledge to stimulate the modernization of the housing stock (by improving the energy efficiency of existing buildings) by €9bn and also fiscal measures. The only thing that's missing is rail development.

Maybe we should go back 30-40 years before Keynes to Henry George, but Keynes is the best we're getting from any European government, by a long shot.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Apr 27th, 2008 at 03:56:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
De Clarke and Stan Goff have some radical solutions to some of the problems that we face.  They start their post  The Politics of Food is Politics this way:
In recent days, we have seen the rising price of oil and the devaluation of the dollar create two quantum shifts in the economy: the beginning of the collapse of the air travel industry and a global crisis of food-price inflation. These are related in ways that are crucial to understand -- because we are seeing the outlines of an historic opportunity to change the terms of theory and practice for a politics of resistance. As air carriers have gone bankrupt, the knock-on effects on travel agents, airports, airport-colocated hotels, "package" vacation resorts, etc. are considerable.

This is how one cascade pours into another, as the manifold contradictions of our global system merge and co-amplify. Tourism, which was supposed to be a relatively benign, non-extractive industry for colonized nations -- an alternative to brutal extraction and cash cropping -- turns out to have been just as extractive all along due to the climate (and cultural) damage done by commodified air travel.

The end of cheap air tourism may seem like a good thing. And yet the collapse of tourism, in economies where the culture and scenery have become a last-ditch cash crop, can have effects just as disastrous as the collapse of any other external commodity market in a country that has been sucked into the undertow of global capitalism.

How much more devastating is the catastrophic cascade of food price inflation? (It's also directly related, by the way, to the plateau of global oil production in the face of relentless expansion of "demand" -- more on this below.) They're intertwined; the downsizing of air tourism reduces money income for populations dependent on the global capitalist economy for staple foods, just at the moment when scarcity, uncertainty, and rampant speculation are causing staple food prices to spike.

It's not a pretty picture, and the mainstream media are reporting on it with breathless alarm and utterly unjustified surprise; commentators from various  perspectives (left, environmental, anti-colonialist, even libertarians) have seen this coming for a while.

I'm having a hard time trying to offer a coherent summary.  Saying "go read it" isn't too compelling, but it's the best I can do.

by Bruce F (greenroofgrowers [at] gmail [dot] com) on Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 01:39:29 PM EST
  1. Henry George (who I like) based his ideas on a system which no longer exists. This is one where land is the primary source of wealth. He was looking backwards to the days where agriculture was the most important economic activity. This is no longer true. Land devoted to agriculture is not a significant portion of the total stock. Taxing land, therefore, does not capture the type of wealth concentration he was after.

  2. Herman Daly (who I like even more) was cited with regard to steady-state economics. I've written about this often, so I won't repeat the links, the essays are on my web site, if anyone is interested. Daly, correctly, identified the fact that the planet is finite. He hasn't been able to come with a viable alternative economic system, even with 40 years of trying. Diagnosis and cures are different phases of treatment.

  3. Jeffrey Sachs (not mentioned) can be taken as representative of the technology fix school of economics. The argument runs something like this. Malthus was wrong because technology solved the problems he foresaw, therefore neo-Malthusian ideas are also wrong. Unfortunately historical analogy is not a proof. There are no solutions at present which are comprehensive enough to address the issues of resource depletion coupled with overpopulation and the need to control pollution simultaneously.

The successes of science and technology over the past 150 years have left people with the impression that disasters are behind us. This is especially true in the US which has not had to fight a war on its own soil since the civil war. In addition modern medicine has almost eliminated most causes of childhood death, so most people have no experience with loss and devastation. Perhaps, even in Europe, the wars of the 20th Century are now too distant to affect the thinking of most people, so they also remain complacent.

What if the looming disasters are really unavoidable? How will the resources be apportioned? Who will be thrown overboard? Will there be some plan or will it just be dog eat dog? The US military has been planning for several decades for this scenario. There are complete plans on how to deal with China and the Middle East militarily, if required.

The support of the present level of militarism in the US shows that the population approves of a world where the strong take what they need from the weak - even if they won't admit it openly.

The public in the developed nations is being desensitized. Nowadays the death of a million or more in Darfur, or Congo, or Rwanda hardly makes the news. When the numbers go up to 100 million will people be more concerned? Will the press devote any more attention to this than it does to such cases at present? A loss of 100 million people would be made up in 18 months a current rates of growth.

If all the options are bad, then what?

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 02:30:55 PM EST
rdf:
Henry George (who I like) based his ideas on a system which no longer exists. This is one where land is the primary source of wealth. He was looking backwards to the days where agriculture was the most important economic activity. This is no longer true. Land devoted to agriculture is not a significant portion of the total stock. Taxing land, therefore, does not capture the type of wealth concentration he was after.

A couple of points in response to this.

Firstly, it may not be as important as it was, but land value still exists all right. Over two thirds of money in existence in the UK and US came about through Money as Debt=Credit created by banks and backed by land - ie mortgage loans.

So land value is hardly de minimis, although the conventional wisdom would have it that it is. Sure, land value has been decreasing in importance relative to other types of value since George's day, but I think  George's approach applied to land would still lead in the developed world to maybe a third of the resources necessary for a civilised State, and to a much higher proportion in the Third World.

That at least has been Denmark's experience of land taxation until the current government got in and froze it.

But "Land" is about more than just location. It's about "Commons" generally including non-renewables and knowledge as well, and here I think that George's approach - ie that those who have exclusive rights of use of a Commons should compensate those they exclude - should be applied to these Commons,too.

eg a Carbon Tax on energy (not the complete bollocks of carbon content of CO2) applied at the clearing level, and used to fund massive investment in renewables and resultiong in an energy dividend to all.

Add to that a tax on other privileges - such as Limitation of Liability - and you are well down the road to a sizable source of collective wealth.

This approach to taxation of "Property" is an arguably progressive "pre-distributive" mechanism applied to "Wealth" rather than a largely regressive "redistributive" mechanism applied to Income, and which is evaded wholesale by those who believe that taxes are for "little people".

I'm an optimist on all this because I think that the centralised, intermediated, hierarchical form of Capitalism 2.0 is finished. "Peak Credit", probably in the middle of last year, and "Peak Oil" (we arethere or thereabouts) marked the high point.

The solution - and a decentralised but connected form of Capitalism 3.0 - comes from an unlikely direction - ie the "Telluric" shift arising from the direct "Peer to Peer" connections of the Internet.

I no longer rail against the morality, ethics etc of the financial system.

I simply observe that it is sub-optimal and obsolescent in the face of emerging mechanisms which are not only complementary to existing tools, but also superior. IMHO those businesses that do not utilise these new mechanisms will be at a disadvantage to those who do.

This would be classic neo-Darwinian Emergence: the "Cooperative Advantage" will beat the competitors at their own game.Capitalism will consume itself and emerge in a new and neutered form.

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 03:09:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In fact, just to supplement my point re land's continuing relevance, the vast bulk of land use value derives from uses other than agricultural use eg industrial and residential.

Hence land rental values are capable of supporting two thirds of the money supply...

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sat Apr 26th, 2008 at 03:21:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The support of the present level of militarism in the US shows that the population approves of a world where the strong take what they need from the weak - even if they won't admit it openly.

They are even in denial about being militaristic.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Apr 27th, 2008 at 03:59:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am not so certain it is denial.  The sheer level of propaganda and outright lying the average American is subject to on a daily basis means that the brightest and most educated just wind up knowing more details of the party line--unless they have SOME mechanism to block out the bullshit.  People who are told that our armies are always virtuous and our motives always just and noble tend to believe it.

Of course, with the advent of the Internet, this excuse vanished.  And trust me on this, it is VERY depressing to live in an ocean of folks who are stuck on stupid when they don't need to be.

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Mon Apr 28th, 2008 at 01:09:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Piling on top of that American myth...

Given how easy life has been for most Americans since WW2, there is little context for what war and suffering are - they are abstract concepts. In addition, the difference between what politicians say and what they do is so vast as to be unfathomable to most people. Bush does look and act like an everyday guy - how can he be evil? I think this applies even when most Americans buy into the "common knowledge" that all politicians are scoundrels.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Mon Apr 28th, 2008 at 11:14:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

But the establishment has become adept at keeping ideas that challenge the status quo firmly out of public view. This process is partly directed by the vested interests of minority wealth and privilege, but has also become embedded in the institutions and long-held assumptions which shape today's economic landscape. Perhaps the best example is the concerted campaign against the ideas of Henry George.

For an excellent example of how and why they became so adept see The Campaign of the Century, Upton Sinclair's Race for Governor of California and the Birth of Media Politics by Greg Mitchell, Random House, 1992.

The homepage, http://www.cooperativeindividualism.org/index.html , of the School for Cooperative Individualism, on whose site  Mason Gafney's fine paper is found is itself a treasure trove of helpful on-line articles.

Social recession is an apt description of the stultifying effects on the body politic of both the The Neo-Classical Strategem as described by Gafney and the "cultural capitalism" discussed in the Compass article.  While perhaps we should not be surprised that the right has made the most effective use of the possibilities inherent in the post modern observation that perceptual reality is a social construct, i.e. to buttress their own position, we should take heart from the more optimistic possibilities.  

Social justice, economic democracy and a more prosperous and sustainable world are possible. As the Bard said: "Nothing is but that thinking makes it so." But that thinking has to be shared among a significant number of people in order for it to have any effect. Another poet said of this dilemma: "Here I stand, ticket in my hand, waiting on the train to the promised land. Waiting for Everyman."--Jackson Browne

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Sun Apr 27th, 2008 at 02:52:17 AM EST


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