by Colman
Tue May 20th, 2008 at 03:49:51 AM EST
Well, the Lisbon Treaty referendum campaign is on here, and I suppose I'd better try to comment on it occasionally.
Martin Turner in the Irish Times has a succinct summary of the no campaign:
More, sadly depressing, bits and pieces below ...
As far as I can tell from my limited media exposure - I don't do much TV or radio - the main themes of the No campaign are:
The Lisbon treaty is bad for workers. Personally, I think voting for governments who promise to follow neo-liberal policies is what's bad for workers, but what would I know?
The Lisbon treaty is bad for business - something to do with red tape or taxes or plague or something. This is mainly pushed by the " employees of a company with links to the US military", as the Irish Times story today puts it. You heard it here first ...
The Lisbon Treaty will undermine Irish neutrality This is a country which has acted as a refuelling station for the US War on Terra, so I'm not sure what they mean by neutrality. This particular accusation has been trotted out for every EU treaty I can remember and we're still not members of NATO.
The Lisbon Treaty is too complicated for anyone to understand Normally followed immediately by a detailed discussion of the other negative consequences of the treaty. Asking how the author/speaker knows what the problems are with a treaty he/she can't understand is apparently uncivil.
The Lisbon Treaty will destroy our freedom Little Irelanders and others with a sovereignty fetish. The posters pushing this line are associated with anti-Abortion campaigners with alleged links to European neo-Nazis.
The Lisbon Treaty will allow Europe to impose abortion / homosexuality /gay marriage / bestiality / atheism or whatever other sins you can think of on Ireland and God will rain fire upon us Uh-huh.
The Lisbon Treaty is bad because other countries aren't having referendums That would be their internal problem, surely? This is often said by staunch believers in national sovereignty.
The Lisbon Treaty will reduce our voice in Europe This is because Ireland will only get to nominate a commission for 10 out of 15 years. The side issue that commissioners do not represent countries - or that the current Irish nominee has been something of a pain in the neck for the government - is ignored.
I may be missing something, but that's what the No campaigns have managed to communicate to me.
The Yes campaign can be summed up as "Europe made us rich. Let's get richer." I haven't actually learned anything from their campaign at this stage, possibly because I'm already well briefed on the topic.
The polls currently stand at 2:1 in favour of the treaty, but with less than half the electorate decided and probably a low turn-out. Turn-out will be crucial - no voters will be more motivated than yes voters and we could easily get a replay of the first Nice treaty referendum where the treaty failed because the yes vote couldn't be bothered turning up. The main political parties will be working hard to avoid that, but I wouldn't be surprised if the treaty falls with a 30% turn-out or something stupid like that.