European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 17. July

by Fran
Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:12:42 PM EST

On this date in history:

1901 - Bruno Jasieński, a Polish poet and leader of the Polish futurist movement, was born. (d. 1938)

More here and here


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EUROPE
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:13:18 PM EST
EU climate proposals hurt industry, says Germany - EUobserver

The German Economy Ministry has attacked EU proposals to tackle climate change as "pointless" if other major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions are not also committed to significant reductions.

If climate polluters such as China, India and the United States are not also on board, the EU's climate package would end up harming German businesses.

Germany's criticisms go to the heart of the EU's climate and energy proposals

"Any success achieved in Europe would be pointless," says statement from the Economy Ministry issued on Tuesday (15 July).

The ministry laid out a raft of strong criticisms of the package, whose legislative proposals were unveiled by the European Commission in January, in a statement following a conference of German officials and business representatives.

Both the industry figures and deputy economy minister Jochen Homann at the meeting had offered reservations about some of the main planks of the climate package because they would hurt German competitiveness, according to a report from Reuters.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:16:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Any success achieved in Europe would be pointless

Doesn't sound to me like a criticism that "goes to the heart of" anything at all. It's just standard let's-go-on-doing-what-we-always-did stonewalling.

When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 03:02:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

EU proposals to tackle climate change as "pointless" if other major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions are not also committed to significant reductions.

That is largely true: what's the point of putting constraints on industry if they can just move out and do the same work while polluting more elsewhere (we've had 25 years of that already, offshoring our polluting activities to China et al)?

And it points to the solution: trade barriers against countries that do not apply the same standards in the relevant industries. Time to try a wedge in the "free trade" ideology that doesn't mind technical and financial rules to be standardised but somehow doesn't accept the same for labor or environmental ones.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:28:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I entirely agree with and support your point against "environmental dumping" enabled by free trade orthodoxy, and the need for tariffs to counter it, but that isn't the thrust of the current German protest against emissions trading.

From the Reuters dispatch referenced by EUObserver:

EU climate package needs improvement, Germany says | Environment | Reuters

- Cutting the quota of emissions trading permits would push up the price of certificates and as a big fossil fuels burner Germany would be especially hard hit.

<...>

"Due to exploding oil and gas prices, further measures to achieve climate goals should be considered only with great caution," the ministry said.

"Rising energy prices are already a strong incentive to investment in renewable energies, energy savings and energy efficiency," it added.

They simply attack the emissions reduction scheme without calling for tariffs. Fran posts here an article from Manager Magazin reproduced in Spiegel that looks like another side of the same campaign. Emissions trading is so costly businesses will relocate, is the message:

The EU's Carbon Trading Scheme: Killing Jobs to Save the Climate - International - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News

carbon trading will have a direct impact on which countries firms chose to locate in.

Here there's just a threat to move to Ukraine if regulation is not eased. And, from the ministry above, a "let-the-market-handle-it" line. They're not campaigning for protective tariffs, they're fighting emissions trading schemes (unless toothless).

In other words, though you're right we need a global approach, I think I'm right too that this banging on the drum is just Germany calling for absence of constraints.

When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Jul 18th, 2008 at 02:41:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EU commission under fire over Slovak nuclear project - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - Green lawmakers in the European Parliament have criticised EU energy commissioner Andris Piebalgs for allowing the extended use of a Russian-designed nuclear power plant in Slovakia.

"It is scandalous that commissioner Piebalgs has given the green light to resurrect an outdated nuclear project," reads a joint statement issued by leading green MEPs, Monica Frassoni and Rebecca Harms.

Green MEPs say Brussels is supporting the "renaissance aspirations" of the nuclear industry (

According to the two parliamentarians, the commission's opinion on the plant, situated in Mochovce, "highlights its complicity with energy giants". "Commissioner Piebalgs is turning a blind eye to the Mochovce project's problems and indulging the renaissance aspirations of the nuclear industry," they said.

The critical statement came shortly after the European Commission on Tuesday (15 July) gave its opinion on the project of Slovenske Elektrarne - owned by Italian energy firm Enel and the Slovak state - to build two reactors for the Mochovce nuclear power plant in western Slovakia.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:16:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The critical statement came shortly after the European Commission on Tuesday (15 July) gave its opinion on the project of Slovenske Elektrarne - owned by Italian energy firm Enel and the Slovak state - to build two reactors for the Mochovce nuclear power plant in western Slovakia.

The two units, type VVER 440/V213 of Russian design, are expected to be up and running by 2012-2013.

It took one year for EU officials to assess "the safety and security aspects" of Slovakia's application to build new reactors, with the country's prime minister, Robert Fico, often expressing frustration over the lengthy process.

VVER is not an outdated design, so it must be nuclear energy itself that is outdated, then. However, it is not passively safe, so that might be a different source of concern.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:06:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Business | Eurozone inflation at record 4%

Rises in food and energy costs pushed up inflation in the 15-nation eurozone to 4% in June from 3.7% in May.

Confirming estimates made two weeks ago, the Eurostat statistics office said the inflation rate was the highest since measurements began in 1997.

A 16% year-on-year rise in energy costs as oil prices headed above $140 a barrel was to blame, Eurostat said.

The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates to 4.25% at the start of the month to try to contain inflation.

The ECB's target for inflation growth is about 2%, but rising food and fuel prices are making it difficult for the central bank to bring inflation back to this level.

At its latest meeting, the ECB increased interest rates to 4.25% from 4% - its first rise in a year - despite evidence that eurozone economic growth is decelerating.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:17:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
is still peanuts in comparison here... SA is at a CPI of 10.9% and counting... SA's inflation ceiling is 6%. I'm starting to feel myself how the increased costs in foodware are pinching at my savings. Luckily my bursary is CPI indexed...

The core of evil is a lack of empathy
by Nomad on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 02:54:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Italian air officials identify aircraft prosecutors say was used in renditions flight - International Herald Tribune

MILAN, Italy: Italian aviation officials gave more details Wednesday of how they were able to identify two planes that allegedly transferred a kidnapped terror suspect from Italy to Egypt via Germany as part of the CIA's renditions program.

The officials, giving testimony at the trial of 26 Americans, said they found records at four different agencies of a Learjet flight. They said it left from the joint U.S.-Italian Aviano air base in northern Italy and landed at the U.S. Ramstein Air Base in southwestern Germany on the evening of the suspect's disappearance in 2003.

Brussels-based Eurocontrol -- Europe's air navigation agency -- had information on the final leg, confirmation of the departure of a Gulfstream jet from Ramstein for Cairo a short time later, they said.

The officials said they were able to cull the data some two years after the fact from records kept by Italy's civil air control, the Aviano airport itself, a NATO airport at Poggio Renatico near Ferrara, northern Italy, and Eurocontrol.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:19:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
EU to give extra cash to fishermen struggling with high oil prices - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The European Union has adopted an emergency aid package worth up to €2 billion to help the struggling fishing sector tackle the current fuel crisis, including monies previously announced, with €600 million in extra cash to be added to the existing funds.

"Political agreement was reached by a qualified majority on urgent measures for the fishing sector," said Michel Barnier, agriculture minister of France, the current holder of EU's six-month rotating presidency.

The EU has moved to boost cash for fishermen amid soaring oil prices

The move comes after intense pressure from the struggling sector, which saw militant protests by fishermen extending even to the Brussels, whose European institutions were rocked by violent demonstrations last month amid a jump in diesel prices by 240 percent since 2002.

After a tough debate that dragged until late evening on Tuesday (15 July), ministers agreed that the extra cash for fishermen would come from two key sources: some €1.4 billion from the European Fisheries Fund and national contributions, plus €600 million as part of an emergency plan announced last week by the European Commission.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:22:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hmm, how about a grant for retraining?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:00:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Waste of money.

There's two fundamental problems:

  •  Fish stocks are declining world wide
  •  Oil prices will continue to rise until demand drops

neither are addressed by this action.

Have epistemological model of Complex Information environments. Will Travel.
by ATinNM on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 12:33:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Croatia's EU membership will not be delayed, says president - EUobserver

Croatia will be ready to join the EU in 2009 and its membership is not going to be delayed by the EU's current institutional "crisis", Croatian President Stjepan Mesic has said.

"I understand European countries, including France, which intend to solve the EU's institutional problems before proceeding to any new accessions ... [But] we will speed up the rhythm of our reforms and be ready in 2009 to join the EU as its 28th member," Mr Mesic told French daily Le Figaro in an interview published on Tuesday (15 July).

Dubrovnik - Croatia is hoping to conclude EU talks next year

"The current situation will not discourage us," he added.

Following Ireland's rejection of the Lisbon treaty last month, some EU leaders - including French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel - have said that no further EU enlargement will take place until the document is ratified.

"I will veto any enlargement as long as there will be no new institutions," Mr Sarkozy said again on Tuesday.

Asked if he could imagine his country joining the EU without the bloc having dealt with the Irish No, Mr Mesic said: "No, the EU will find a way out of this crisis. If 26 EU states ratify Lisbon [traty]... they will find a solution for the 27th ... The European institutional crisis will be solved."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:23:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Considering that accession is a new Treaty to be ratified by the 27...

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 07:59:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
why don't we hear calls for referenda on these? Is there no substantial  impact on sovereignty from pooling decisions with new countries?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 10:47:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are some who wants to call for referenda for enlargement too: see the french debate in the senate about how/when call for referenda in UE affairs.
by Xavier in Paris on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 11:26:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Normally they don't include important changes to the existing treaties (though they may incorporate changes to MEP numbers and Council voting). There have been some predictions that Lisbon would be brought in through the back door via Croatia's accession treaty...

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 01:48:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sarkozy says Ireland will have to vote again - EUobserver

French President Nicolas Sarkozy has said that Ireland will have to vote once more on the EU treaty, in a move bound to ruffle feathers in Dublin, which has yet to say publicly how it plans to react to last month's treaty rejection.

According to a report in the Irish Times, Mr Sarkozy told a meeting of deputies from his UMP party in Paris on Tuesday (15 July): "The Irish will have to vote again."

Mr Sarkozy will visit Dublin next week to discuss the treaty options

The phrase was repeated to journalists by several deputies leaving the meeting.

The remark comes ahead of Mr Sarkozy's visit to Ireland on Monday (21 July) to discuss Ireland's options with Prime Minister Brian Cowen.

Speculation has been high about the political room for manuoeuvre open to Mr Cowen since Irish voters rejected the treaty on 12 June. Most analysts suggest that Dublin will have to opt for a second vote with France and Germany, in particular, keen to get the document put in place.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:23:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Europe | Irish unfazed over 'second vote'

The Irish government has reacted coolly to the French president's remark that the Republic of Ireland should hold a new referendum on the Lisbon Treaty.

Prime Minister Brian Cowen said there were "many views across Europe about the problems we face" after the Irish rejection of the EU treaty on 12 June.

But some Irish politicians sharply criticised President Nicolas Sarkozy.

Opposition Labour Party leader Eamon Gilmore said the French leader had "seriously put his foot in it".

Mr Sarkozy is due to visit the Republic of Ireland on Monday to seek a way forward with the Irish government.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:24:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Irish rebuff Sarkozy on second EU vote - International Herald Tribune

DUBLIN: Ireland on Wednesday rebuffed a French suggestion that it hold a second referendum on the European Union treaty, which was rejected by its voters last month.

The Irish Times newspaper described "quiet fury" in the government after President Nicolas Sarkozy of France said Tuesday that Ireland would have to hold a second vote on the pact intended to overhaul EU institutions.

The no vote in Ireland plunged the EU into crisis because the treaty - envisioned as a replacement for a proposed constitution rejected by French and Dutch voters in 2005 - cannot come into force until it has been ratified by all member states.

"It is far, far too early to be talking about a referendum or about some specific policy to go forward," the European affairs minister, Dick Roche, told Newstalk radio. He said that "rash" proposals were "not helpful."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:28:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Irish Times newspaper described "quiet fury" in the government after President Nicolas Sarkozy of France said Tuesday that Ireland would have to hold a second vote on the pact intended to overhaul EU institutions.
Sarko, ever the fine diplomat and statesman, is doing a heckuva job as president of the EU Council...

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 07:57:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You mean that the Irish won't be happy to have Sarkozy tell them how handle their own treaty negotiations?  I can't ever see that going wrong...

Thanks, Sarko!  You just finished off Lisbon.

by paving on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 03:37:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sarkozy scraps public meeting with Lisbon opponents

French President Nicolas Sarkozy has reportedly scrapped plans to hold a public meeting in Ireland with opponents of the Lisbon Treaty.

Mr Sarkozy was understood to be planning the event when he visits Ireland next Monday.

However, reports this morning say the plans have been abandoned due to "nervousness" on the French side.


by det on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 03:05:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, you mean he can't handle unscripted events?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 07:58:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Could Ireland demand that France vote again until it gets the right answer in its presidential election?
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 05:49:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EU to encourage `green consumption' with new eco-labelling - EUobserver

The European Commission unveiled on Wednesday (16 July) a slew of proposals aimed at convincing consumers to buy `green'.

Whether the consumer is a dad buying cans of pop or a new shower-head, or a local authority making a decision on what paper to buy for its photo-copiers, the commission wants to make it easier to know which products are better for the environment and which ones are worse.

Eco-labels to help consumers know which products are 'greener' would be extended to a wider range of items

Currently, all products that use energy - such as TVs or washing machines - are already governed by a set of compulsory minimum requirements under the `Eco-Design directive' - although companies can voluntarily go even greener.

However, products that do not consume energy directly but have a big impact on energy use - like water-saving taps or shower-heads - remain outside the directive's scope.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:25:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Brussels proposes EU tax hike on cigarettes - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The European Commission has suggested that the EU's current minimum excise duties on cigarettes and tobacco should be increased to reflect inflation, in a move aimed at helping to cut consumption as well as narrow price differences across the bloc's 27 member states.

"Substantial differences in tax and price levels of tobacco products lead to considerable cross-border shopping and intra-community smuggling," EU tax commissioner Laszlo Kovacs told journalists as he was introducing the proposal on Wednesday (16 July).

Brussels says the EU's tax rules on cigarettes need a brush up as they are over 30 years old and do not reflect current reality

"These differences undermined the budgetary and health objectives of the Member States and resulted in a distortion of the functioning of the Internal Market," he added.

According to the current rules dating back to 1970s, the EU's excise duties levied on cigarettes must account for at least 57 percent of the price, and must be at least €64 per 1000 cigarettes of the "most popular price category" - the prevailing brand in a country.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:25:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bulgaria to lose EU money over persistent corruption problems - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - Bulgaria is next week set to lose pre-accession funds following concerns over possible fraud cases, according to a report from the Reuters news agency.

The European Commission will next Wednesday (23 July) publish its annual reports on justice and home affairs problems in Bulgaria and Romania as part of its ongoing monitoring process for the two member states.

Sofia could lose some €500 million in pre-accession funds.

Additionally, Brussels will publish a third document on the handling of EU funds in the two states.

Both Sofia and Bucharest - EU members since 1 January 2007 - are expected to be criticised for their levels of corruption, but only Bulgaria is to be punished by losing funds, according to the press agency.

The funds are worth some €500 million and have already been frozen due to investigations by the European Anti-Fraud Office (OLAF).

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:29:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
following concerns over possible fraud cases,

I have no idea how that "possible" slipped in. Anyone who's been to Bulgaria knows there is no doubt whatsoever

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:13:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Due process, presumption of innocence, diplomacy, all that good stuff.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:29:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Windmills coming around again in the Netherlands - International Herald Tribune

AMSTERDAM: The Dutch are building windmills again. Up and down the coast, out from port cities like this one, you can see them: white and tall and slender as pencils, their three slim blades turning lazily in the North Sea breeze.

These ones generate electricity, of course, rather than grinding grain. The government has already built one enormous farm of mills far off the coast, where they are inoffensive to tourists, and plans a second. Yet it is also building, and rebuilding, mills like the squat, homely ones that have seemingly always dotted the Dutch countryside and reflect as much the nature of the country as do tulips or Gouda cheese.

"Revival might be a bit strong," said Leo Endedijk, director of The Dutch Mills, a group that supports mill restoration. Yet last year, the government, concerned that one of the foremost symbols of the Netherlands was about to disappear out of neglect, approved an $80 million program to build or restore 120 mills, of roughly 1,040 still standing. That has created a backlog of work for the country's previously strapped mill restorers.

"We have special companies, very specialized mill makers and restorers," said Endedijk, in an office in the shadow of De Gooyer, a soaring 18th century mill now housing a popular brewery. "They would not have the capacity to restore 120 mills."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 01:38:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Beppe Grillo's Blog
They are like Ginger and Fred but they don't dance on a film set. They dance on the brink of crashing. Their shares have fallen in the month of July.
If Fannie and Freddie were to go bankrupt they would leave a hole of 5000 billion dollars, half the American Public Debt. The State should intervene and nationalize them with an automatic increase in the cost of money and in taxes. In Italy it is as though there were the bankruptcy of most of the companies quoted on the Stock Exchange all at the same time. Fannie must pay back 216 billion dollars within a year, Freddie a bit more than that, about 291 billion. The money's not there. For two reasons. The mortgage repayments are no longer being paid and no one is underwriting the new mortgages. Basically the property market has disappeared.
People no longer have money and the cost of money has gone up. Furthermore, the value of houses has collapsed and the banks are full of mortgaged houses. In the stomach of the banks' balance sheets there are still properties with values that go back to before the "subprime" crisis. The banks don't want to devalue, some can't allow themselves to do so, their share values would collapse. Fannie and Freddie represent a financial tsunami that in one way or another will arrive here. The prices of property in Italy are drugged by a cartel of property companies. The city centres are no longer for habitation but for making money. The price of apartments has no connection with reality. The property companies for some time have been in a strange media silence, losing their value on the Stock Market. Since January 2008 the top 9 companies in the sector lost 2.4 billion euro, about half of their capitalization. Pirelli Real Estate, a bit more than the average: 57.82%. The fall in the property market had already happened in part. Anyone who had a one Euro share at Christmas finds themselves with 50 cents before the holidays.
The value of houses is kept high artificially. The big cities are invaded by "For sale" and "To Let" signs and meanwhile new homes in the outskirts are still being built.
The astonishing thing is that the true crisis has not yet arrived. In the United States there are about 90 banks risking collapse. One of them, Indy Mac, closed on Friday. The third most important collapse in the United States since the war. The queues of people who were taking out their savings are an image of the situation.
A bit of advice: don't buy property; don't do debts; don't take out new mortgages; if you can, pay off the mortgages that you have; don't buy shares in property companies; don't buy funds with shares in property companies. Fannie and Freddie are arriving.


"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:02:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I just read in a Finnish online newspaper that Google uses rather a lot of electricity. I couldn't find the NYT article that was referenced. According to the report one Google search can use as much power through their infrastructure as an energy saving light bulb in an hour.

TeliaSonera the Finnish mobile data operator uses 55.000 mwh pa representing 4500 carbon tons. The main data centers together use as much power as a small town including industry.

I'm sorry, but we're going to have to give up blogging ;-(

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 06:01:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
WORLD
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:13:40 PM EST
With Soviet enemy gone, NATO polishes its brand - International Herald Tribune

BRUSSELS: A top executive at Coca-Cola, Michael Stopford, spends much of his working life guarding its image. But in August, he starts working on an even more powerful global name: NATO.

A British-born American, Stopford is a specialist in managing reputations. His career combines time at Coca-Cola and Exxon Mobil with two decades in the public sector, including the United Nations and the British Foreign Office.

By hiring Stopford, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has shown how determined it is to revamp its image as it approaches its 60th anniversary in 2009.

Eighteen years after the fall of the Berlin Wall and confronted by evidence of ignorance or indifference among many in its 26 member nations, NATO is rethinking how it communicates with the taxpayers who pay for it.

For example, at its headquarters here, the alliance has created an Internet-based service called NATO TV and established a media operations center just for Afghanistan, with 14 media officers.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:14:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Exxon Mobil?! Well yeah, their reputation is just swell!

Anyway, seems someone forgot to tell certain members of NATO that the Soviet Union is no more. With the Soviet Union gone, maybe NATO has outlived its purpose. Just maybe.

"The basis of optimism is sheer terror" - Oscar Wilde

by NordicStorm on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 02:47:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
German Agent Mediated Israeli-Hezbollah Prisoner Swap | Germany | Deutsche Welle | 16.07.2008
Wednesday's swap of prisoners between Israel and Hezbollah planned was mediated over an 18-month period by a German secret agent.

German involvement had been reported all along in the Middle East, but was not confirmed by Berlin until Tuesday, July 15.

 

Quoting an internal document compiled by Chancellor Angela Merkel's office, the sources said the "facilitator" was a staffer with the BND, the German foreign intelligence agency, who was authorized by the United Nations to manage the secret contacts.

 

Over the 18 months, he flew a total of 700,000 kilometers (435,000 miles), shuttling between UN headquarters in New York, Tel Aviv, Beirut and various European capitals.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:15:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israel swaps prisoners for bodies

Israel has confirmed that human remains handed over by Lebanese militant group Hezbollah as part of a prisoner swap are those of two of its soldiers.

Eldad Regev and Ehud Goldwasser were seized in 2006 but until now there had been no confirmation of their deaths.

Their capture sparked a month-long war between Israel and Hezbollah.

Israel has handed over five Lebanese prisoners, including a man convicted of killing a child, and the bodies of 200 Lebanese and Palestinian fighters.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I thought the story from both sides was that they were captured alive?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:14:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What I read suggested "alive but dying" in that they resisted capture and received fatal wounds doing so.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:15:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Fears over safety of savings triggers panic in America - Times Online

America's banking crisis reached new levels of hysteria yesterday as police ordered angry customers of IndyMac, a Californian bank on the brink of collapse, to remain calm or face arrest.

Police waded in to quell unrest among anxious IndyMac depositors as they queued outside the bank's San Fernando Valley branch in a desperate attempt to withdraw their money.

The scenes reflected the growing panic that Americans are feeling over the safety of their savings, as every day brings a further dose of dire news about the deepening housing slump and the worsening outlook for US financial industries.

After the US Treasury moved at the weekend to throw an emergency $15 billion (£7.5 billion) funding lifeline to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the stricken giants that underpin a vast slice of American mortgage lending, fears that the US economic turmoil is entering a dangerous new phase also spilled over into London's stock market, sending shares plunging again.

[Murdoch Alert]
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:18:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There will be more of this and I really don't know what tools the Fed possesses to stop it short of wholesale nationalisation of the banking industry.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:17:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Enforcing banking regulations has always been popular.  

http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/07/16/fbi.indymac/?iref=hpmostpop

by paving on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 03:39:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Fannie, Freddie spent $200M to buy influence - Yahoo! News

If you want to know how Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have survived scandal and crisis, consider this: Over the past decade, they have spent nearly $200 million on lobbying and campaign contributions.

But the political tentacles of the mortgage giants extend far beyond their checkbooks.

The two government-chartered companies run a highly sophisticated lobbying operation, with deep-pocketed lobbyists in Washington and scores of local Fannie- and Freddie-sponsored homeowner groups ready to pressure lawmakers back home.

They've stacked their payrolls with top Washington power brokers of all political stripes, including Republican John McCain's presidential campaign manager, Rick Davis; Democrat Barack Obama's original vice presidential vetter, Jim Johnson; and scores of others now working for the two rivals for the White House.

Fannie and Freddie's aggressive political maneuvering has helped stave off increased regulation and preserve special benefits such as exemption from state and local income taxes and the ability to borrow at low rates.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:19:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
US to establish diplomatic presence in Iran | World news | guardian.co.uk

The US is planning to establish a diplomatic presence in Tehran for the first time in 30 years, a remarkable turnaround in policy by president George Bush who has pursued a hawkish approach to Iran throughout his time in office.

The Guardian has learned that an announcement will be made in the next month to establish a US interests section in Tehran, a halfway house to setting up a full embassy. The move will see US diplomats stationed in the country.

The news comes at a critical time in US-Iranian relations. After weeks that have seen tensions rise with Israel conducting war games aimed at Iran and Tehran carrying out long-range missile tests, a thaw appears to be under way.

The White House announced today that William Burns, a senior state department official, is to be sent to Switzerland on Saturday to hear Tehran's response to a European offer aimed at resolving the nuclear standoff.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:20:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Al Jazeera English - Americas - US diplomat to attend Iran talks
An envoy from the US will attend weekend talks with Iran and other major powers over Tehran's nuclear programme.

The announcement on Tuesday that William Burns, the US under-secretary of state, is to attend a meeting in Geneva with Saeed Jalili, Iranian nuclear negotiator, is a switch in position for the US.

Burns will join Javier Solana, the EU foreign policy chief, and envoys from China, Russia, France, Britain and Germany, at the meeting, due on Saturday.

They will discuss Iran's response to an offer made by world powers last month to give up nuclear work that the West believes is aimed at building an atomic bomb and Tehran says is for peaceful power-generation purposes

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:24:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
When I read stuff like this, I can't help thinking of Obama's change candidacy.  What many people do not see is this:  While Obama claims to represent change, the change has already come!  

"Where, pray tell?", someone might ask.  

Within the Bush Administration!

Out went Rumsfeld, Bolton, Rice of the "Birth Pangs" persuasion and Feith and in came Robert Gates and Rice of the "Negotiations instead of confrontation" persuasion.  Diplomacy has replaced confrontation (to some extent) within the Bush regime, plus it also embraces US troop reductions in Iraq.

Obama will just build on these already made changes.  In a sense, both he and McCain (whichever of the two wins) will give continuity to these changes that have already occurred.  The difference each candidate represents will be marginal in terms of substance, although their styles will be different.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne

by maracatu on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 04:25:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe if Bush were in office for another decade or two, he would gradually figure out how to run a country...
by asdf on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 01:00:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ha!  He might destroy the world in the process...

Bush's own changes show how bankrupt his [original] policies were from the beginning.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne

by maracatu on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:20:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Blair says peace deal is being undermined by doubts over Ehud Olmert - Times Online

A day after he was prevented from visiting Gaza because of an assassination threat, Tony Blair for the first time raised doubts that a peace deal could be concluded between Israel and the Palestinians by the end of the year.

Mr Blair, who is the international community's envoy to the Middle East, said that the uncertain political future of Ehud Olmert, the Israeli Prime Minister, was undermining efforts to conclude a deal, which President Bush had pledged would be signed by the end of this year.

"The political situation in Israel makes it difficult to continue being optimistic about reaching a peace treaty between the Israelis and Palestinians by the end of the year," the former Prime Minister told the Palestinian newspaper Al-Quds.

Mr Olmert is expected not to stand for re-election in party primaries in September after becoming engulfed in a corruption investigation that has severely damaged his popularity. He is suspected of having received hundreds of thousands of dollars in bribes from Morris Talansky, a Jewish American businessman, over 15 years before becoming prime minister.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:22:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It isn't the uncertainty about Olmert causing problems. The problem existed decades before him and will continue after him. The problem being a complete disconnect in Israeli society between the Orthodox right-wing settler movement and the rest of Israeli society for which the palestinians or Olmert of whatever/whoever is just a proxy.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:20:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Obama's brave (new?) world - Asia Times Online :: Middle East News, Iraq, Iran current affairs
WASHINGTON - Democratic presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama is the man with the plan for Iraq and Afghanistan. Presidential in tone and delivery, quoting Harry S Truman and Dean Acheson, George Kennan and George Marshall - the greatest generation - Obama, in a major foreign policy speech in Washington on Tuesday, outlined what he calls his "new overarching strategy".

He said he would "focus this strategy on five goals essential to making America safer: ending the war in Iraq responsibly; finishing the fight against al-Qaeda and the Taliban; securing all nuclear weapons and materials from terrorists and rogue states; achieving true energy security; and rebuilding our alliances to

meet the challenges of the 21st century".

To say that Obama's plan - sketched earlier in an op-ed piece for The New York Times - is more realistic, thoughtful and sensible than that of rival Republican Senator John McCain's "road to victory" in Iraq would be an understatement.

But ... the devil in those (brave) details
Does Obama's proposed redeployment in Iraq automatically translate into no US troops in Mesopotamia by the summer of 2010?

No. It translates into "a residual force to perform specific missions in Iraq: targeting any remnants of al-Qaeda; protecting our service members and diplomats; and training and supporting Iraq's security forces, so long as the Iraqis make political progress."
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 03:52:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The US population may be getting fed up


Americans may be losing faith in free markets

Things are hard all over the financial landscape, and politicians and experts are now looking with favor at more, not less, government involvement in the economy.

By Peter G. Gosselin, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
July 16, 2008

WASHINGTON -- For a generation, most people accepted the idea that the core of what makes America tick was an economy governed by free markets. And whatever combination of goods, services and jobs the market cooked up was presumed to be fine for the nation and for its citizens -- certainly better than government meddling.

No longer.

-skip-

Spurred by the continued housing crisis, turmoil in financial markets, spiking oil prices, disappearing jobs and shrinking retirement savings, the nation and its political leaders have begun to sour on the notion that the current market system is the key to a fair, stable and efficient society.

"We're at a hinge point," said William A. Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington who helped craft President Clinton's market-friendly agenda during the 1990s. "The strong presumption in favor of markets, which has dominated public policy since the late 1970s, has been thrown very much into question."

Now, to a degree not seen in years, politicians and outside experts are looking with favor at more, not less, government involvement in the economy.

-skip-

Yet the sheer volume of setbacks that people have been dealt has sent consumer confidence to some of its lowest levels in half a century, according to Reuters/University of Michigan surveys. A remarkable 84% of Americans are convinced that the nation is on the "wrong track," according to a recent Gallup poll.

In just the last week, the financial markets have provided ample new evidence that markets are not working smoothly.

Washington had to ride to the rescue of two government-chartered mortgage giants -- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, .....

Meanwhile, federal regulators seized IndyMac Bancorp...

And the already battered stock market took another sharp dip.

The fact that experts keep pushing back the date when conditions may improve and the failure thus far of any national leader -- including either of the major-party presidential candidates -- to offer a convincing vision of how America will make its way back to sustained prosperity suggest that the current crisis will probably be very different from other recent economic bad patches.

So may Americans' reaction to it.

-skip-

When Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are government-chartered but investor-owned, began to teeter last week, the (Bush) administration quietly went to work on possible government action.

"If the pendulum swung away from government toward much greater confidence in markets during the last generation, the pendulum is clearly swinging back again now," said Daniel Yergin, whose 1998 book with coauthor Joseph Stanislaw, "The Commanding Heights," chronicled the worldwide spread of the free-market credo.

"Everything is weighing in at the same time, and that affects how people view markets and government," Yergin said.

"Nobody in this country really believes in unfettered free markets, and nobody really believes in socialism," said UC Davis historian Eric Rauchway, but economic crises of the past have produced constituencies favoring the reining in of markets and regulation of the economy -- constituencies that ultimately grew large enough to produce change.


 

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 05:20:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Wide spread bank failures are definitely the final straw. Declining job security and income is one thing, having your money and life savings vanish in to thin air due to unconscionably bad business practices is quite another.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 07:42:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
To which I should add the decline of the middle class has occurred slowly over a number of decades which can be adjusted to or normalized by the mind(the old frog in a slowly boiling pot), whereas widespread banking crises too sharp a shock to avoid unrest and new political demands.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 08:10:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"For a generation, most people accepted the idea that the core of what makes America tick was an economy governed by free markets."

Uh, no. FDR's changes during the 1930s were counted as socialism by quite a few people, and the situation then was much worse than it is now...

by asdf on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 01:03:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
He's talking about the domination of Reaganomics and the neoclassical marginalist consensus over the past 30 years.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:12:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm reminded of a bumper sticker I used to see a lot: "If you're not pissed, you're not paying attention."

Where's your motherf*%&ing flag pin?
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 06:33:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
nice'n'chewy

Michael Hudson Why the Bail Out of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae: is Bad Economic Policy

We are not in a cycle but the end of an era. The old world of debt pyramiding to a fraudulent degree cannot be restored, despite the repeal Glass-Steagall Act in 1999 that unleashed financial conflicts of interest when the Clinton Administration backed Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin and financial lobbyist Greenspan in claiming that financial markets would be self-regulating and law-abiding. The real estate bubble was made possible by the unique degree to which America's population emerged from World War II relatively debt free. Each recovery has taken off from a higher debt level. This something like trying to drive a car with the brakes pressed tighter and tighter to the floor each time there is a stoplight (recession). We have now reached the debt limit, and the economy is stuck. The class war is back in business, with a vengeance. Instead of it being the familiar old class war between industrial employers and their work force, this one reverts to the old pre-industrial class war of creditors versus debtors. Its guiding principle is "Big Fish Eat Little Fish," mainly by the debt dynamic that crowds out the promised economy of free choice.

This is being portrayed as a post-industrial economy, but it is a much older story. No economy in history ever has been able to pay off its debts. That is the essence of the "magic of compound interest." Debts grow inexorably, making creditors rich but impoverishing the economy in the process, thereby destroying its ability to pay. Recognizing this financial dynamic most societies have chosen the logical response. From Sumer in the third millennium BC and Babylonia the second millennium through Greece and Rome in the first millennium BC, and then from feudal Europe to the Inter-Ally war debts and reparations tangle that wrecked international finance after World War I, the response has been to bring debts back within the ability to pay.

This can be done only by wiping out debts that cannot be paid. The alternative is debt peonage. Throughout most of history, countries have found again and again that bankruptcy - wiping out the debts - is the way to free economies. The idea is to free them from a situation where the economic surplus is diverted away from new tangible investment to pay bankers. The classical idea of free markets is to avoid privatizing monopolies, such as the unique privilege of commercial bankers to create bank-credit and charge interest on it.

Current proposals would replace bad debts that are not publicly insured (except by an "implicit" guarantee that relevant legislators have bought into) with new debts, and new suckers are to be left holding the bag. Bahrainis and Saudis in particular are being courted.

But most of all, there is a public campaign being waged by the FIRE sector (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate) to convince the American public that, in the infamous words of Margaret Thatcher, TINA, "there is no alternative." (See for instance the Wall Street Journal's excellent coverage of the FNMA/mortgage crisis on July 11, 2002, p. A12.) When one hears this, it means that political censorship is being mobilized to flood the popular media with the intellectual equivalent of sterile fruit flies being released to stop the spread of a threat. All one hears is a barrage of claims that the government must preserve the financial fictions of FNMA and Freddie Mac in order to "save the market."

But what is "the market" that is to be "saved"? To Wall Street and its Congressional advocates, it is the mass of bad debts growing at compound "magic" rates of interest, beyond the ability of debtors to pay. If the debtors cannot pay, then the Government - "taxpayers" are to pick up the check to Wall Street. Meanwhile, more tax breaks are to be given to leave the finance, insurance and real estate sectors with enough money to "earn back" their losses, by extracting yet more rent and interest from the industrial economy's consumers and wage-earners.




"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 09:57:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sounds like the economic rationale to euthanize Wall Street.  All US citizens should send e-mails to their congressman and senators demanding that Fannie and Freddie should be taken off life support.  This will almost certainly be to your advantage unless your net worth exceeds $10,000,000.00.  It has the further advantage of starting the recovery instead of prolonging and intensifying the agony.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 12:35:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
but if you can push the problem past January its someone elses problem, and they can be Blamed.

Interviewer: What do you believe is behind this recent increase in terrorist bombings? Helpmann: Bad sportsmanship
by ceebs (bunchofwankers (at) gmail (dot) com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 06:09:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And we will be well and truly screwed.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:54:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
melo:
the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999

Nine years. It's taken just nine years to create this disaster.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 05:55:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As I've said: If America gets credit for nothing else, it gets credit for doing things big.

Where's your motherf*%&ing flag pin?
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 06:36:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But the trouble was creating money and giving credit.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 08:59:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Big Picture | Idiots Fiddle While Rome Burns

This is financial incompetence writ on a scale far grander than anything seen for centuries.

As a nation, our institutions have failed us: Under Alan Greenspan, the Federal Reserve slept through the most reckless and irresponsible expansion of bank lending in history for reasons of ideological purity. His opposition to the Fed's regulatory role reached the point of malfeasance long ago.  History is unlikely to be kind to the Maestro.

There is a choice to be made: Either we regulate the Banks, or leave it to the vagaries of the free markets to punish those who trade with, or place their assets in the wrong institutions. But for God's sake, do not give us the worst of both worlds -- do not allow banks the freedom to make horrific but preventable mistakes (i.e., only lending money to those who can pay it back), but then expect the taxpayers to foot the trillion dollar bill.

That's not capitalism, its not socialism, its not regulation, and its sure as hell isn't what free markets are. Our language is insufficient to describe this hodge-podge system, other than to call it a random patchwork of quasi-capitalism, quadrennial-socialism, and politics as usual. Ideological idiocy is the only phrase I can muster that has any resonance with the daily insanity.

We have entered into a fit of Orwellian madness: The American Capitalists, long the globe's leading advocates for free markets, have become near Socialists. Halfway around the world, the Chinese Communists have picked up the baton, and are moving rapidly towards a form of Capitalism. Ironically, it is the once largest communist nations -- the Chinese and the Russians -- who holds much of Fannie and Freddie's paper.

Hey comrades, who's selling the rope to whom?

Perhaps the rescue of "Phony and Fraudy" are not so much a bail out of American homeowners as it is a desperate attempt to stay in the good graces of our friendly global bankers. We are the world's largest debtor nation, and as such, we depend upon the kindness of strangers -- be they Japanese or Europeans or Abu Dhabians -- or even former communists.

Back in the States, something beyond cognitive dissonance is occurring -- this is full blown case of dementia unfolding in the public sphere. When this era of excess and absurdity is treated by historians in the future, the question I expect to be asked most is not why many of these people weren't jailed for their financial felonies. Rather, I expect them to wonder why so many of these folk weren't placed in protective custody, and heavily medicated, for the only rational explanation for their statements and behaviors is that they have gone so far beyond the bend as to be completely and totally insane.

Massively over-leveraged companies? Blame short sellers.

Wildly under-capitalized financial firms? Blame rumors.

Heinously poor corporate management? Blame a Senator.

It is as if someone is running around Washington D.C. with a ball-peen hammer, smacking senior government officials on their skulls. If you find the standard finger pointing hard to fathom, perhaps blunt head trauma is a better explanations for the absurdities proferred.

Books will be written about this period of time, and our descendants will wonder in awe as to how this was allowed to happen. Tulips got nothing on us! Its not just the total dollar value of the losses that have exceeded all other global fits of financial madness combined, but rather, how so many warning signs were so blithely ignored by so many and for so long. What was wrong with these people, the authors and historians will wonder. Did the antibiotics in the food supply drive them mad? Did the High Fructose Corn Syrup compromise their ability to think? Some form of viral plague? Roid rage? What else could have created such a mass delusion amongst not just the populace, but their leadership and institutions?

Indy Mac goes belly up, having lost $900 million this year alone. Its shares fell 87% in 2007 and then its value dropped (on top of last year's collapse) another 95% this year-to-date. The stock fell to 28 cents yesterday. Some estimates of the total bad loans made by this somewhere in the neighborhood of $30 billion dollars -- and the Office of Thrift Supervision blames a senator who is investigating how much of the FDIC's $53 Billion this is going to eat up, with Wall Street estimates ranging from 15% to 30%. The towering incompetence of OTS is incomprehendable, but it is their colossal gall that is truly stupefying.

From beyond the grave, Adam Smith does not know whether to weep or retch. 

>

mighty hacks at the tree of ignorance...

"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 16th, 2008 at 10:04:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Great catches, melo.  These should be combined into a diary, IMHO.  This has been my greatest fear.  That the MSM, beholden to or owned by the people who brought us this calamity, will continue to lay down a thick smoke screen in a futile attempt to shield their backers.  In fairness, many do not fully realize what is happening and think the system can be saved.  

I think Hudson is right and only by writing down the value of the mortgages on which the bubble is based by an amount close to the increase caused by the bubble can the economy be saved.  Badly damaged but possibly saved. The beneficiaries of the bubble would be left with about 30-40% of their vast wealth, still far more than they and their progeny can possibly consume, and the other 99.9% of the population can conceivably clean up the mess.

Else it is the abyss.  What will all of their paper assets be worth when no one can afford to pay any part of the mortgages?  When government can't afford to enforce the laws?  They can hire private security, but how will they pay them? There is not enough gold and silver in the world to go around.  Paper money will be worthless, first in the USA and UK, then elsewhere.  International trade will collapse.  Where is Bruce when we need him?  Perhaps he can show why I am all wet and make me feel better.  Hopefully after he has read the two articles to which you have provided links.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 12:52:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That the MSM, beholden to or owned by the people who brought us this calamity, will continue to lay down a thick smoke screen in a futile attempt to shield their backers.  In fairness, many do not fully realize what is happening and think the system can be saved.

That's exactly what's happening, foaming b.s. by way of anesthetic on one side, the python squeeze of inflation on t'other.

will the patient wake up before his organs are harvested and his fluids run dry?

thank Guin and Guinness there are still some who dare tell the truth

(and it's our hallowed bounden duty to find and circulate their screeds...read up, lurkers, join the hunt!)

"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 05:12:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed, great articles melo.

So here we are, at the end point of Reagan's folly, with his kitchen cabinet of whining millionaires. The credit card binge that the US never recovered from, attributed to breaking the backs of the Soviet Union, finally breaking the back of the US. I think it was that last aircraft carrier that they thought they would be so clever with, budgeting only the boat, but leaving the planes as a hole for the next administration to deal with. But there were many such excesses along the way.

They still sneer at Jimmy Carter. I wish it felt better, sneering at them back.

The only lucky part is that history is so much sped up these days. Just as empires come and go in less than decades, the recovery from all this will not have to be so extended as from the Great Depression, or rely upon war writ large to recreate a newly balanced system. 10 years from now, the US will be back, hopefully embracing wise state control of entities best served by that, and 800 fewer military bases around the world. Of course, Yellowstone and Yosemite will have been sold off for debt financing as well, but what's a few mountains and rivers?

It's a wonder that people wonder why the aristocracy lose their heads in revolutions.

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 04:30:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 Of course, Yellowstone and Yosemite will have been sold off for debt financing as well, but what's a few mountains and rivers?

the original settlers of the usa would say it doesn't belong to anyone...

if only jimmy had been more macho!

get your winter sweaters ready

"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 05:05:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I love Barry Ritholtz, he's so much more awake than most of the financial commentators. One of his recommended books is Nicholas Nassim Taleb's 'The Black Swan' about the unpredictibility of prediction and it shows. Big Picture is my no 1 economics blog to go for.
by darrkespur on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 05:21:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Jesse's Café Américain

The New York Times
Citigroup Regrets Bond Trades in Europe
By HEATHER TIMMONS
September 15, 2004

Citigroup told employees on Tuesday that it regretted executing a $13.5 billion bond trade that has raised the ire of rival traders in Europe and led to an investigation by regulators in Britain.

In an memorandum to all 40,000 employees of Citigroup's global corporate and investment bank, the chief executive for global capital markets, Thomas G. Maheras, said the trade was an "innovative transaction, that sought to access the liquidity in the European bond markets," but that it "did not meet our standards."

As a result, "we regret having executed this transaction," he said.

The bond sale, executed Aug. 2, caused widespread concern in Europe's markets. Citigroup sold 11 billion euros ($13.5 billion) of European government debt within minutes, mainly through electronic trades, then bought some of it back at lower prices less than an hour later, rival traders say.

Though the trades were not illegal, they angered other bond houses, which said the bank violated an unspoken agreement not to flood the market to drive down prices.

Citigroup "failed to fully consider its impact on our clients, other market participants and our regulators," Mr. Maheras said in the memo...


"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 03:09:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Wow~! kinda shows how desperate they are for some profits, no?

I think it is time to pull my savings from there. I always felt a little bad going into the belly of the beast, but it was the only simple international choice I could figure out when I started living abroad. And all the reasons that I thought they would be better have not proved correct in practice.

I just haven't figured a safe place to put cash though. Not that I have that much. Just enough that if a bank goes bust, I'd rather be in line outside than online...kinda no where...or not be in that jam at all.

It's a wonder that people wonder why the aristocracy lose their heads in revolutions.

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 04:47:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
it's just not cricket, old chap...

i hear ya, i have vivid memories of my parents having their italian bank accounts frozen during the 60's.

"These days, there's nothing more ridiculous than the truth." Leonard Pitts Jr

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 07:38:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am considering US Treasury Inflation Protected Bonds.  Granted they exclude food and energy, where we have already had lots of inflation, but if I can get them with one year terms it would protect me from some of the coming inflation.  Any thoughts?

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer@yahoo.com) on Thu Jul 17th, 2008 at 09:07:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]