Mark Bell, an Oxford PPE graduate and until recently a policy wonk with the UK "Liberal" Think Tank "Centre Forum" has just published a paper on
Improving the EU Emissions Trading Scheme
and of course we have this article in the "Guardian" today as a result....
Europe's vital step to make carbon markets work
This extract says it all
The European Central Bank removed governments' ability to set interest rates, and therefore to pursue short term political gains at the cost of inflation. The running of Europe's carbon market should be similarly depoliticised.
A central bank-type institution could provide both the political independence and the institutional credibility to reassure investors that a high carbon price will be sustained.
This institution - an emissions trading authority - would distribute national emissions caps to the member states and monitor emissions reductions.
These caps would be set at the level the authority deemed necessary to meet a long term politically defined target (such as a particular percentage cut in emissions by 2050).
This would be similar to the relationship between central banks and governments, with the bank setting interest rates to meet an inflation target.
I posted a comment in response to Bell's article
The measure of emissions trading as a concept was a comment a few years ago at the annual futures market conference in London
"If you want to keep a donkey healthy you don't regulate what comes out of it: you regulate what goes in".
The point is that the value of carbon in CO2 is intrinsically worthless, so that the only way to give it a value in exchange is through a political act and a suitable bureaucracy.
ie it is simply another "fiat" currency, which is why emissions trading is brought to us by the same people who have brought us the "Credit Crunch".
The solution IMHO is to create "Energy Pools" - which would be funded by levies on carbon-based energy at the point of consumption. eg petrol sales, and gas bills.
The resulting funds would then be directly invested in renewable energy (MegaWatts) and energy savings ("NegaWatts"). The key is the concept that returns on investment may be in energy, rather than conventional money..
In other words, renewable energy projects may be funded simply by selling production forward by creating "Units" in a suitable vehicle which are redeemable in energy. Likewise, energy saving investments/loans made in "Energy Units" would be repaid by the purchase of "Energy Units" in the Pool out of the value of energy savings made.
Ownership of the Redeemable Units in the "Pool" would be distributed equally to all citizens as a "Renewable Energy Dividend" and used either in exchange for renewable energy consumed, or in to repay "energy loan" investments made by the Pool in energy savings.
In this way, those with above average use of carbon based energy would make a net transfer to those with below average use, and the investment made in renewable energy and in energy savings would lead to reductions in consumption of non renewables
ie to "contraction and convergence".
The outcome would essentially be a Unit consisting of the value of energy in carbon - which has a value in exchange - rather than the value of carbon in CO2, which has none.
Why not monetise intrinsically valuable energy, therefore, rather than intrinsically worthless waste gases?
What do I know?
Well, for what it's worth I did give evidence to the Treasury Select Committee re Oil markets a couple of weeks ago, and the future of energy markets is something I have been working on for a while.
It grieves me inexpressibly to see that emissions trading continues to be taken seriously.
Can no-one see that this Emperor has no Clothes?