European Tribune

A Zero Cost Solution for Energy and Climate Change

by gmoke
Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 01:00:25 PM EST

Thomas Casten of Recycled Energy Development spoke at MIT on September 9, 2008.  He's the author of Turning Off the Heat: Why America Must Double Energy Efficiency to Save Money and Reduce Global Warming and has been working on efficiency and local energy generation for thirty years.

What he had to say was hopeful and exciting.  It wasn't sexy.  It wasn't new technology.  It was nuts and bolts and common sense. He talked about efficiency, specifically efficiency in electrical generation.  He believes, based upon thirty years of successful business practice, that the USA can significantly reduce costs and carbon emissions by applying already available technology to existing power plants today.  

This is not a fantasy by a theorist but a business proposal from someone with a long track record.  The only reasons we haven't done it already are regulatory barriers, a failure of imagination, and a cultural prejudice towards the new and sexy over the old and boring.

Thomas Casten was talking about Second Law energy economics.  I loved it because he used the word "exergy" but that was only because he was at MIT.


According to Casten, energy waste is pervasive and endemic throughout our electrical system but invisible in our policy discussions.  The average US power plant operates at 33% efficiency and throws away 66% of the energy it produces through waste heat, transmission and distribution losses, and other inefficiencies.  There are even greater losses before you get to the end use of that electricity.  For instance, an incandescent light has an end use efficiency of about 3%.  Furthermore, the level of electricity efficiency stagnated in 1960.  For the last 50 years, there has been no growth in average efficiency in our power plants and the conversion of energy to useful work (exergy, exergy, exergy) actually began declining in 2000.

This is not how it has to be.  In fact, Thomas Edison's first power plants operated at 50% efficiency because they used the waste heat from generation, an early example of combined heat and power (CHP), a technology that he tried to introduce on the household scale in a failed joint venture with Henry Ford in 1914.  More recently, Denmark has increased its electrical generation efficiency from 33% to 60% over the last two decades.  Our power plants today could save the US $70 billion annually merely by returning to the efficiencies we achieved in the 1920s.

Electricity generation accounts for 42% of CO2 emissions in the US today, up from 12% in 1950.  Thermal energy production, the heat used in industrial, commercial, and residential buildings, is 27% of our CO2 emissions.  Thus 69% of our CO2 emissions are attributable to heat and power yet we spend almost all of our time discussing the CO2 footprint of cars, only 19% of those emissions.  The opportunity to reduce CO2 from improving the efficiency of heat and power generation, of combining heat and power are enormous but essentially ignored.

Casten's company has captured waste heat and improved efficiency on an industrial scale.  In a steel smelter in northwestern Indiana, his company converted the waste heat from coke ovens to generate 220 MW of electricity and 400 MW of thermal energy, process heat and steam.  He calls this clean energy as it doesn't burn any additional fuel or emit any additional pollutants but simply captures what was once waste.  This saves 916,000 metric tons of CO2 annually, the equivalent of removing 166,000 cars from the road.  This also results in lower energy costs for the plants involved and a saving of almost $100 million annually.

Another project involved recapturing waste energy from an 80 year old silicon processing plant in Alloy, West Virginia.  Recycled Energy is investing $84 million to turn the furnace heat into 45 MW of clean energy, reducing CO2 emissions by 290,000 metric tons per year and lowering energy costs so that this plant will become the world's lowest cost producer of silicon.  The silicon manufacturer will use the savings to open another furnace and add 30 more industrial jobs.  This attention to reducing CO2 reduces costs, increases productivity, and creates jobs.  Somebody please tell that to Senator Imhofe.

Why haven't we increased our electricity efficiencies?  Casten believes that we have developed a regulatory system which selects against efficiency.  Utilities have not been rewarded for efficiency since 1920.  In fact they've been penalized for it.  In addition, the 1970 Clean Air Act ignored efficiency and increased parasitic loads in order to reduce pollution.  New Source Review has resulted in delaying the updating of equipment.  1970 coal plants were on average 10 years old and by 2007 were 35 years old.  Regulation also blocks local generation.  If you want to send electricity (or heat?) across a city street, you have to go through the utility.  A business which has a factory on one side of the road cannot distribute waste heat or power to its offices on the other side of the road without paying the utility to distribute the energy it has produced itself.  In addition, only 8 states count cogeneration, clean energy, as part of their Renewable Portfolio Standards.

[Casten specifically noted that he was not against the Clean Air Act or against other environmental regulation.  He is a passionate environmentalist and a leading industrial ecologist.  He is merely pointing out the unintended negative consequences of some of our laws and regulations.  He firmly believes that "Efficiency is a pollution control device."]

Thomas Casten proposes that we remove the regulatory barriers to efficiency by

  1.  allowing recycled energy and CHP, "clean energy," to qualify for Renewable Portfolio Standards
  2.  adopt Clean Energy Standard Offer Programs (CESOP) - long-term contracts for the purchase of clean energy at 85% of the cost of building the best new electric-only central power plants
  3.  convert the Clean Air Act to an Output Pollution Standard where each emitter has an allowance equal to the production of their annual emission of pollution, to be lowered over time, and create a market to trade those pollution permits between polluters on an equal basis, one carrot of clean energy equalling one stick of dirty power
  4.  allowing local generators to recoup the value of the benefits they create such as avoiding new wires and line losses
  5.  have the federal government purchase all of its power from clean energy sources

Casten is not in favor of carbon taxes as "Losers always scream louder than winners cheer."  He doesn't believe that politicians can determine the long-term price of carbon accurately nor allocate the funds generated by a carbon tax effectively.  As an inveterate viewer of CSPAN, I tend to agree.

These regulatory reforms could generate $400 to $800 billion of investment in clean heat and power, cut US CO2 emissions by 20%, and save consumers $70 to $150 billion per year.  It would increase the demand and use of local, decentralized combined heat and power.  Casten believes we should remove monopoly protection for electrical generation but keep it for distribution as all local power producers should be able to feed into the grid on an equitable basis.

These regulatory reforms would be zero dollar cost and do a great deal toward reducing our carbon footprint, increasing our efficiency and global competitiveness, and revitalizing our economy.

Casten is featured in a recent Forbes article and Grist interviewed him in 2007.

More information on his policy proposals is available from dmunson@recycled-energy.com with supporting papers at Recycled Energy Development.  The World Alliance for Decentralized Energy is an international clearinghouse for information on local generation and CHP.

PS:  I wasn't going to go to this lecture as it came the day after a talk by the Danish ambassador to the US on energy and the day before a panel discussion with Ray Kurzweil and others on energy innovation.  I thought there was already too much on my plate.  Then my friend Marsha Gorden recommended Tom Casten and his expertise.  I am so glad she kicked me in the shins.  This was one of the best presentations on practical solutions for the climate and energy problems I've ever seen.  Casten makes more sense than just about anybody I've seen in the thirty years I've followed this issue.  It was a privilege to be part  of his audience.  Thanks, Thomas Casten and thanks, Marsha.

crossposted to dailykos

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Poll
Is this a zero cost solution to energy and climate change?
. yes 20%
. no 20%
. not yes 0%
. not no 0%
. neither yes nor no 20%
. both yes and no 40%
. don't understand the question? 0%
. none of the above 0%

Votes: 5
Results | Other Polls
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The solution to our energy problem(s) does not lie in thermodynamics, science in general, etc.  It lies in changing our social structure and how decisions are made.  The ultra-wealthy/ultra-powerful movers and shakers want to maintain their control/dominance at whatever cost to society/the planet. After all, they're mortal human beings so they might as well have as great a time as possible for as long as possible.  They care about no-one but themselves, including their trophy children.  Solve the problem by finding/eliminating the ultrawealthy controllers.  Then the planet has a chance.  If not, bye-bye.  

McCain/Palin ... total sacks of SHIT!
by THE Twank (paszeski__aaaaaaatttttt__yahoo.com) on Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 02:59:26 PM EST
Today I went back to MIT for a panel discussion on "Seeking Radical Breakthroughs in Alternative Energy," an event in conjunction with the X Prize Foundation.  Drs Ray Kurzweil, George Church, and Saul Griffith spoke about energy and the need for innovation.  I got the chance to ask them directly about the inability to use the technology we already have to make the changes we need because of the lack of will and imagination and the social structures we have built up.  Kurzweil and Griffith responded but neither addressed the central issue.  Pissed me off.  I spoke with Griffith afterwards and he told me that this is an issue to bring up at Harvard.  I told him I have and have gotten the same kind of pass from them as well.

I was, however, heartened by the fact that Griffith knew the book on solar history, A Golden Thread.  Still, the lack of response to my question soured my attitude for an hour or two.

Solar IS Civil Defense

by gmoke on Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 11:36:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Inventors / innovators / tinkerers self-select against pursuing the slower, more practical societies that will make sense in an energy-scarce world. They're not "interesting."

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Thu Sep 11th, 2008 at 01:28:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Analogy time.

You and I are hanging out in the cytoplasm of a dying cell.  We're coming up with ideas for better ribosomes, a more efficient golgi, etc.

Guess what?  The problem lies in the DNA in the nucleus, and if you don't change that, forget it.  

McCain/Palin ... total sacks of SHIT!

by THE Twank (paszeski__aaaaaaatttttt__yahoo.com) on Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 03:11:43 PM EST
These regulatory reforms could generate $400 to $800 billion of investment in clean heat and power, cut US CO2 emissions by 20%, and save consumers $70 to $150 billion per year.

Or to put it another way:  the investment would cost $400 to $800 billion and save consumers $70 to $150 billion per year. In 6 years the investment turns profitable.

It is not zero-cost. It is a wise investment and worth doing all the same.

by A swedish kind of death on Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 07:56:01 PM EST
Regulatory reform is close to zero cost.  What's the expense - a new set of rule books?  However, I do take your point.

Solar IS Civil Defense
by gmoke on Wed Sep 10th, 2008 at 11:30:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Since most renewable energy, and all energy savings, "cost" nothing - and yet have intrinsic value - if we can "monetise" them by "Unitisation", then we have a "zero cost" solution to funding the investment necessary.

Step One: sell forward part of the future production (MegaWatts), of a renewable energy project,or of the future energy savings ("NegaWatts"), from investment in energy efficiency within a "Pool" legal framework.

Step Two: we issue to the Investors "Units" in that Pool (denominated in - say - KiloWatt Hours).

The outcome is an asset which is not only redeemable against energy supplied but also - as a result of this redeemability for intrinsic value) totally "fungible" ie easily exchangeable.

So, Units sold to fund energy savings will be redeemed over an agreed period of time - at market price in conventional "money" ($) or "money's worth" - by whoever received an interest free investment from the Pool.

Units sold to fund renewable energy projects will be redeemed over the lifetime of the assets out of their production.

In the period before redemption these Units will circulate as Energy-based Money, and/or be kept as a "hedge" against energy price inflation (aka a "store of value").

The outcome is that - as with all monetary systems - we all  benefit from the phenomenon of

Seigniorage

which is that benefit that accrues to the issuer of money while it is in circulation.

The role of Banks in this system would be as service providers appraising investments to ensure that they stack up in "energy accounting" terms, and who bring Investors into the Pool to be matched with investments.

This "investment banking "service provider" model is pretty close to what Jerome does now, except that the money would be ""energy-based" (and zero cost) rather than "deficit-based" (at an arbitrary "Cost" set by Central Banks) and supported by a nominal amount of Bank capital.

So the simple solution - it really is not Rocket Science - is for energy to be "Unitised" on a networked basis, creating eventually what would be a "Pool of Pools" from Neighbourhood scale, all the way up to International scale, projects.

Seems too good to be true?

Well, it's based upon exactly the same magic performed by the conventional Banking system, the difference being that this form of money has the intrinsic value of energy, while conventional money has the intrinsic value of another piece of paper or electronic blip.

 

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Thu Sep 11th, 2008 at 04:54:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
....but as I say, savings are only part of the solution.
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Thu Sep 11th, 2008 at 05:00:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Here in Sweden pretty much all cities use it to a very large degree.

I have another even simpler plan to solve the climate issue (if it even is a real problem): ban construction of new coal fired power plants.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Sep 11th, 2008 at 03:41:32 PM EST


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