European Tribune

European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 17. September

by Fran
Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:50:34 PM EST

On this date in history:

1820 - Émile Augier, a French dramatist, was born. (d. 1889)

More here


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by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:51:06 PM EST
Orange Revolution Leaders Dissolve Goverment in Kyiv | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
The Ukrainian governing coalition collapsed Tuesday as differences over the recent Russia-Georgia war as well as ties to the West finally split the long-feuding leaders of the 2004 Orange Revolution.

"I officially announce the collapse of the coalition of democratic forces," said parliamentary speaker Arseny Yatsenyuk after a deadline to resolve differences expired.

 

"Come with flowers, come with wreathes to the funeral of the democratic coalition," Yatsenyuk had told journalists in Kyiv, Interfax news agency reported on Monday. "It must be understood that we have very little time to restore the old coalition or build a new one. Let's not pretend that nothing is happening."

 

Parties in parliament now have 30 days to form a new government, after which President Viktor Yushchenko can call new elections.

 

The Revolution's agenda of modernizing Ukraine and engaging in closer ties to the European Union and United States stalled and ties with Russia have been strained. The fallout between the West and Russia over last month's war in Georgia imploded, leaving Ukraine's fragile ruling coalition deeply divided over its identity.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:53:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ukraine government collapses over Georgia war - Times Online

Ukraine was plunged into fresh political turmoil yesterday when its pro-Western Government collapsed, amid recriminations over Russia's invasion of Georgia.

President Yushchenko accused Russia of trying to destabilise the country after the collapse of the coalition Government between his party, Our Ukraine, and the faction headed by the Prime Minister, Yuliya Tymoshenko. "I will not be an idealist who says that there are not intentions to cause internal instability in this or that region of Ukraine. Without a doubt, such scenarios exist," Mr Yushchenko said. "For some of our partners instability in Ukraine is like bread with butter."

He insisted that Russia would not succeed in doing to Ukraine what it had done in Georgia. "Will they repeat the scenario? For sure, no," he said.

Tensions have soared over Ukraine's region of Crimea, where Russia's Black Sea Fleet has its base in Sevastopol. Mr Yushchenko insists that the fleet must leave when a lease agreement expires in 2017.

[Murdoch Alert]
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:14:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Mr. Yushchenko (hopefully, if democracy is what Ukraine wants) will not be leading Ukraine in 2017 so how is he allowed to make decisions for future government of Ukraine?
Instability in Ukraine was "bread and butter" for Mr. Yushchenko when western/USA scenario of "orange revolution" was playing well for him.
I don't think Mr. Yushchenko has a slight idea of what democracy is...
I feel sorry for Ukrainians...for people...It's not their play/show nevertheless...
by vbo on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 11:05:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well I am not sure about 2017 and Mr. Orange...See, in ex YU republics that experienced their "colorful revolutions" trough Balkan wars we still see same old faces on top as we had them 18 or more years ago...talking about democracy...shouldn't they have limited mandates? They do, still they find a way to stay on top...more like Putin...
by vbo on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 11:12:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Pro-Western President Yushchenko must be feeling lonely up top with his 5% support rating.
by blackhawk on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 12:41:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Ukrainian 3-party political world has been completely unstable since it emerged 4 years ago. It has collapsed already a few times, as the alliances between the 3 shift (mostly with Timoshenko switching sides once in a while between Tymoshenko and Yanukovich). Georgia is just another pretext, rather than a core reason for "collapse".

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:09:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Any pretext is valid in an unstable situation. Prodi fell over Mastella's trite accusation that his collegues weren't showing enough support over his legal hassles.

The Georgia crisis undoubtedly changes the relation of forces in Ukraine which has a very large Russian population. Tymoshenko is certainly riding the mood by allying with the pro-Russia forces.

I cannot see Kiev joining the NATO- unless Moscow first does.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:26:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
it's just not the cause of the instability in Kiev.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:38:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree.
by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 07:39:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Analysts Call Russia-Georgia Conflict a "Litmus Test" | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
The recent war between Russia and Georgia would have "profound consequences" on international relations, according to the Swedish Defense Research Agency.

"The Russian actions were the result of deliberate and premeditated choices," researcher Robert Larsson said, noting Russia's decision to enter the conflict, and to use a "relatively large portion of violence" and then to recognize breakaway regions in Georgia.

Larsson made his remarks at the launch of a 153-page study titled "The Caucasian Litmus Test: Consequences and Lessons of the Russian-Georgian War in August 2008."

Larsson, editor and one of 14 contributors to the study, said that while the study did not cast blame, the conflict could be compared to a "litmus test," referring to how Russia likely used its intervention to "test reactions" from the international community to its actions.

"The Russian lesson was that the international community was not prepared, willing or able to add any costs to the Russian actions," Larsson said. Moscow was likely to have felt it "achieved success."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:54:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Opinion: EU Doing Little, But All It Can on Georgia | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
The European Union's response to the Caucusus crisis hasn't been exactly forceful. But DW's Christoph Hasselbach says it's all that anyone can expect given Russia's global strategic importance.

The EU foreign ministers conference in Brussels was an object lesson in vague, diplomatic dithering. The news out of that meeting is that the bloc will send 200 observers to Georgia, but how many of them, people would like to know, will be in South Ossetia and Abkhazia?

The EU isn't answering that question -- for good reason. Russia is never going to allow the observers into the two breakaway Georgian provinces.

Bildunterschrift: Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift:  Christoph Hasselbach

Russia has recognized both regions as independent states, while the majority of the international community still considers them part of Georgia. In de facto sense, though, Georgia has lost them since Russia is highly unlikely to withdraw its troops stationed there.

When EU foreign ministers talk about Georgia, they purposefully evade the issue of that country's precise borders. They may officially insist on Georgia's territorial integrity, but they know that that integrity has been permanently violated.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:03:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The West Begins to Doubt Georgian Leader

Calls in Europe for International Investigation

Wolfgang Richter, a colonel with Germany's General Staff and a senior military advisor to the German OSCE mission, is another expert on the situation. Richter, who was in Tbilisi at the time, confirms that the Georgians had already amassed troops on the border with South Ossetia in July. In a closed-door session in Berlin last Wednesday, he told German Defense Minister Franz-Josef Jung and the leading members of the foreign and defense committees in the German parliament that the Georgians had, to some extent, "lied" about troop movements. Richter said that he could find no evidence to support Saakashvili's claims that the Russians had marched into the Roki Tunnel before Tbilisi gave its orders to attack, but that he could not rule them out. For some members of parliament, his statements sounded like an endorsement of the Russian interpretation. "He left no room for interpretation," one of the committee members concluded. "It is clear that there was more responsibility on the Georgian than the Russian side," another committee member said.

On the strength of all these reports, it was clear to Western observers who had ignited the South Ossetian powder keg. In the heat of battle, the analysts understandably did not take into account the background to the conflict, which includes years of Russian provocation of Tbilisi.

But now it is high time for the European Union to address the reasons behind the war. Moscow has been baffled by the Europeans' refusal to condemn Saakashvili's assault on Tskhinvali and the insistence on pointing the finger at Russia instead. The Europeans, a diplomat with the Russian Foreign Ministry complained, apparently lack the "courage to stand up to Washington and its allies in Tbilisi."

Is Saakashvili Already Dead Politically?

The Georgian president is also coming under pressure in his own country, as the united front that developed during the Russian invasion crumbles. Those who have long criticized Saakashvili and his senior staff as an "authoritarian regime" are speaking out once again. Back in December 2007, Georgy Khaindrava, a former minister for conflict resolution who was dismissed in 2006, told SPIEGEL that Saakashvili and his circle are people "for whom power is everything." A few weeks earlier, Saakashvili had deployed special police forces in Tbilisi, where the opposition had staged large demonstrations, and declared a state of emergency. At the time, Khaindrava expressed concerns that Saakashvili could soon attempt to bolster his weakened image with a "small, victorious war" -- against South Ossetia. [...]

Last week, the heads of Georgia's two major political parties called for Saakashvili's resignation and the establishment of a "government that is neither pro-Russian nor pro-American, but pro-Georgian."



A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive
The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion

-- The Three Johns
by Alexander on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:16:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks Alexander - see also the discussion of this article in yesterday's Salon
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:23:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I see. I shall have to read the Eurotrib more regularly again. ;-)

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive
The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion

-- The Three Johns
by Alexander on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:45:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"government that is neither pro-Russian nor pro-American, but pro-Georgian."

That would be great...but is it even possible? Anywhere , let alone where they are...
by vbo on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 11:23:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Finland was neutral... (Which is not to suggest that the place of Russia in the world is comparable to that of the Soviet Union.)

A bomb, H bomb, Minuteman / The names get more attractive
The decisions are made by NATO / The press call it British opinion

-- The Three Johns
by Alexander on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 11:51:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I realize it's a direct quote, so it may be right to quote "lied", but why does it make it look like the paper doubts the word?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:10:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Substitute the words "Russia" and "Georgia" with any other nation that might come to mind.
by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 05:24:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So what is the Swedish Defense Research Agency (top-level comment above), that uses the term "litmus test" :

referring to how Russia likely used its intervention to "test reactions" from the international community to its actions

and, we may suppose, Georgia egged on by Washington hawks did not attempt to "test reactions" or even deliberately provoke a crisis?

From the website of FOI (Swedish Defense Research Agency), the About and Vision pages:

What is FOI? - Swedish Defence Research Agency

FOI is one of Europe's leading research institutes in the defence and safety area.

The agency is financed on contracts' basis and is responsible to the ministry of defence. The core business is research, method and technology development and studies.
 
FOI is prominent when it comes to developing sensor systems such as radar, laser and optics with sophisticated image and signal processing. We carry out security policy studies and analyses, evaluate different types of threats and develop tools for, as an example, adaptation of society due to climate change. FOI develops systems for crisis management in connection with major accidents and catastrophic events. We develop control and command systems for the defence sector and for international peace-keeping efforts. We develop methods for the handling of dangerous substances and contribute to safer IT systems.

Vision and mission - Swedish Defence Research Agency

Vision and mission Our visionFOI - an internationally recognised research institute for defence, safety & security and technology development. Our mission
Our core business is research, development  of methods and technologies, and studies for the Swedish defence.

Our competence is to be used beyond the Swedish defence to support the manufacture and export of Swedish defence systems.

We act with relevance, integrity, scientific quality and efficiency.

"Neutral" international relations analysts or Swedish arms merchants? You decide.

(And I didn't even say Rysskräck...)

When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:30:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Despite Expansion, Europe Still Can't Define "European" | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 31.08.2008
What do Kazakhstan, Israel and the north-eastern corner of South America have in common? Some people count them as European. So why do other countries fail to make the grade?

Kazakhstan, despite being in Central Asia, is a member of the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA). Israel is in both UEFA and the Eurovision Song Contest -- competing in the latter rather more successfully in recent years than, say, France or Britain.

And the South American area of French Guyana is legally a province of France, which makes it officially a part of the European Union.

Of course, critics would say that it takes a lot more than just joining a European organization to count as properly "European."

But the problem with that criticism is there is, in fact, no commonly agreed definition of "European" to confirm it.

And that is far more than just a linguistic problem, because for some countries, the question of whether or not they count as European is a vital matter of foreign policy.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:54:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is not news...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:10:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EU to pool anti-pirate efforts off Somalia - EUobserver

EU foreign ministers on Monday (15 September) agreed to set up a special unit aimed to protect shipping from pirates off the Somali coast, as the number of piracy-related incidents in the area has been increasing lately.

The "coordination unit" will be based in Brussels and have "the task of supporting the surveillance and protection activities carried out by some member states off the Somali coast."

Piracy-related incidents have been increasing off Somalia's coasts

The unit should be established "in the next few days," the ministers said. They also agreed to plan a possible full-fledged EU naval mission to the waters off Somalia, if needed.

The move follows an increasing number of pirate attacks in the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean.

According to figures from the International Maritime Bureau, maritime piracy acts committed against fishing boats or ships increased by 10 percent in 2007, French daily Le Figaro reports.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:55:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hostages Freed from Somali Pirates as EU Mulls Military Option | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
French special forces have freed a French couple kidnapped earlier this month by pirates off the coast of Somalia, the office of President Nicolas Sarkozy announced.

One pirate was killed and six others captured in the military operation, which was ordered by Sarkozy late Monday, according to the announcement issued on Tuesday, Sept. 16.

Jean-Yves and Bernadette Delanne, originally from Polynesia, were abducted on Sept. 2 in the Gulf of Aden as they were convoying a sailboat from Australia to France.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:56:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I seem to recall that there was a previous Somali government that managed to deal with this problem.  Oh yeah, that's right, they were evil Muslims.  So, Somalia must be better off without them.

Right?

by Zwackus on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:49:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indie labels outraged as EU approves Sony BMG deal - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The European Commission has given Japanese electronics giant Sony the green light to purchase outright the record label Sony BMG in an €840 million ($1.2 billion) buy-out from German media firm Bertelsmann.

The EU executive sees no competition worries resulting from the merger, but indie music labels say Brussels is missing the point - it is cultural diversity concerns that are under threat from the creation of such a music titan.

Danish indie band Mew at record signing

On Monday (15 September), the EU executive said that after examining the deal, it was unlikely that the transaction would harm competition, over howls of protest from independent music firms.

In August, Sony announced it intended to purchase Bertelsmann's 50 percent stake in Sony BMG, jointly owned by the two companies, for €630 million ($900 million), as well as some €210 million ($300 million) in cash of Sony BMG revenues.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:56:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
US bank crisis smashes hole in European markets - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The US banking crisis wiped billions off the value of European stock markets on Monday (15 September), with the European Central Bank and EU institutions trying to calm nerves as traders fear more bad news.

Among Europe's largest trading floors, the FTSE exchange in London and Euronext 100 in Paris lost around €81 billion each in value while the DAX trading floor in Frankfurt lost €27 billion.

Shares in Spain, Italy, the Netherlands, Austria, Greece, Poland, Romania, the Czech republic, Slovenia and Lithuania also fell by 3.5 percent or more, with only Sweden, Finland and Estonia emerging relatively unscathed.

Individual European companies took severe hits with the British HBOS banking group losing half its value, Barclays bank losing 10 percent and Sweden's SEB bank losing over 8 percent.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:57:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Return of the Finance Crisis: What the Lehman Bankruptcy Means for Germany - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

The move by US investment bank Lehman Brothers to declare bankruptcy has set off a global earthquake on markets. The crisis is also threatening German financial institutions as well as the country's federal budget. SPIEGEL ONLINE has gathered the most important background information.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange: A Black Monday followed a Black Sunday.

The start of the week saw a banking earthquake, a Jet-Black Monday after a Black Sunday -- at least for the financing sector. Monday's opening on Wall Street saw Bank of America stocks tumble 13 percent, and shares of Citigroup lose 6 percent of their value. Washington Mutual, America's largest savings back, lost over 15 percent of its market value, and Switzerland's UBS dropped over 20 percent. The biggest loss by far was suffered by the American International Group (AIG); in a single day, America's largest insurance company lost almost half of its market value.

The epicenter of the banking and market earthquake was in New York in the headquarters of a venerable banking establishment with German roots. On Monday morning, after a desperate fight for survival, Lehman Brothers, America's fourth-largest investment bank, declared bankruptcy. At the same time, people learned that Merrill Lynch -- America's third-largest and likewise crippled investment bank -- would be rescued by Bank of America.

In conversations with SPIEGEL ONLINE, finance experts have confirmed the seriousness of the situation -- and described the risks for Germany as well. "Lehman poses a risk for the international financial world," said Hans-Peter Burghof, professor of banking at the University of Hohenheim. "It's irresponsible to let a bank of this caliber simply go broke. That sends shockwaves all the way to Frankfurt (Germany's financial capital)."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:59:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ECB Hopes Second Cash Injection Will Cure Credit Woes | Business | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
The European Central Bank again allotted billions of euros to keep banks lending to one another. But questions continue about the depth of the financial crisis and the best solution.

The ECB in Frankfurt on Tuesday, Sept. 16, said it was more than tripling the amount of liquidity assistance available to financial institutions, adding 70 billion euros ($99.6 billion) to the 30 billion euros promised the day before.

 

The massive injection was an effort to head off further bank insolvencies and damage to stock market share prices caused by the credit crunch that has arisen from the subprime mortgage lending crisis.

 

With doomsayers warning that the crunch could wreak havoc further upon the global economy, many of the world's central banks were taking action similar to the ECB's. State reserve banks in Japan, England and Switzerland also said they were making large amounts of credit available to financial markets.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:00:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Liquidity is not credit.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:43:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Especially when they are borrowing short to shore-up their Balance Sheets.  

Very little, if any, of these funds are going to be loaned.  At least in the near term.

Och nu den svenska kocken bakar en Alaskan älg jägare. Bonk! Bonk! Bonk!

by ATinNM on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 12:30:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
French EU presidency wants EU closer to NATO - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER/BRUSSELS - The French EU presidency is to put forward a security package at the December summit aimed at relaunching the European security and defence policy (ESDP) with strong links to NATO, many measures of which were outlined at a Brussels conference on defence on Monday (15 September).

France wants better co-ordination of EU military capabilities

From logistical shortcomings such as aircraft interoperability to stalled national investments for defence and the political "gulf" between NATO and the EU, the current ESDP has a number of areas that are "not satisfactory", Lieutenant General Patrick de Rousiers, France's military representative to the EU, said during the conference organised by Security and Defence Agenda, a Brussels based think-tank. The meeting was laying out the security and defence priorities for Europe during the France's chairmanship of the six-month rotating EU presidency.

At the December EU summit, France will present a series of concrete measures in order to address these shortcomings, including the launch of joint military European training courses modelled on the Erasmus Programme - the civilian university student exchange system.

The EU presidency also hopes to win approval for the establishment of a European Security and Defence College, as well as greater levels of interoperability between the European aircraft producers and the development of a joint UK-French initiative to improve helicopter capabilities. The latter proposal comes in response to difficulties experienced by the EU's mission in Chad in getting enough helicopters on the ground, Mr de Rousiers said.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:58:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
reports that France's top general blew off his NATO counterparts for an important meeting because he wanted to attend mass with the pope...

Not sure if I should comment "LOL" or "Sigh..."

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:07:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Major lobby firms set to join EU register - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - Brussels' biggest lobbying companies are likely to join the European Commission's new register by the end of September, but worries remain about client confidentiality and the details of financial disclosure.

A 10 September meeting at EPACA - the Brussels-based trade body representing PR majors such as APCO, Hill & Knowlton and Burson Marsteller - saw members "generally favourable towards the register" EPACA chairman Jose Lalloum told EUobserver.

The chemicals industry lobbied EU institutions heavily in the lead up to the passage of REACH, legislation that strongly affected the sector

"I would think that a good number of members will be registering in the next few weeks."

The commission launched the new registry in June - which asks participants to reveal who they work for and how much money each client pays - to help prevent abuses such as the US Jack Abramoff bribery scandal from happening in the EU.

As of early this month just 300 lobby groups had signed up to the voluntary list however, representing a fraction of the 15,000 to 20,000 lobbyists estimated to be working in Brussels. The register's voluntary nature has also been mauled by pro-transparency groups.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:58:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
NATO Reaffirms Georgia Part of Expansion Plans | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
NATO's chief said Moscow does not have veto power over Georgia's potential membership in the military alliance, but he also admonished Tbilisi over its slow implementation of democratic reforms.

At the end of a two-day summit in Georgia, NATO chief Jaap de Hoop Scheffer asserted Tuesday, Sept. 16, that the alliance would continue to expand towards Russia's borders and declared Moscow had no veto on former Soviet republics' bids to join NATO.

 

Scheffer led a delegation of ambassadors from the Western alliance's 26 members in a firm show of support for Georgia as Russian troops remained in its rebel regions after the five-day war last month.

 

"NATO enlargement will continue," Scheffer said. "No other country will have a veto over that process, nor will we allow our strong ties to Georgia to be broken by outside military intervention, and pressures."

 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:01:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
NATO chief says Russia cannot block Georgia membership - International Herald Tribune

TBILISI, Georgia: The secretary general of NATO declared Tuesday that Russian tanks and troops cannot block Georgia from joining NATO, but he acknowledged that the alliance was debating over how long the pro-Western nation must wait for membership.

In a strong message of support after Georgia's debilitating war with Russia, Jaap de Hoop Scheffer said Georgia's "road to NATO is still wide open."

In a speech at Tbilisi State University, he said: "The process of NATO enlargement will continue, with due caution but also with a clear purpose - to help create a stable, undivided Europe."

Russia has adamantly opposed NATO membership for Georgia, whose location straddling a key westward energy route for Caspian and Central Asian oil and gas supplies has increased its geopolitical importance.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:06:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The enlargement of NATO is more likely to create an unstable, divided NATO. Why doesn't the US just set up a new treaty organization with the ex-Warsaw Pact nations and leave old democratic Europe to its fairly stable ways?
by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:36:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why don't the Old Europe countries just leave NATO?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:41:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If old Europe leaves NATO, the EU will cease to function. Eastern European countries, above all Poland, will disrupt any decisions based on unity. Insane Russia haters, and in some cases Germany haters will win elections and will try to get as much aligned with the US as possible, weakening the EU as much as possible.

Lich King/Caribou Barbie 08
Pain brings Katharsis
by Martin (weiser.mensch(at)googlemail.com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:51:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think I read those threads - just didn't comment in them. Marek is very likely right about that.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:56:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The US already does its best to weaken the EU as much as possible.

As for the ex-Warsaw states I see a similar scenario as in Italy in the first phase of the republic. The US had de facto veto power over who ran key ministeries and practically appointed the head of the various secret service organizations.

Saakashvili is just another American neocon crooner- as well as an utter fool.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 05:37:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
While I agree that the US relationship with the EU is more ambivalent now than any time since Nixon, saying that the US administration is doing its best to weaken the EU is simply not true.

The EU is very weak at the moment, and if the US really wanted they could probably break it in months. The US needs the EU relatively strong, as without it they have no reliable "Great Power" ally.

What the US administration definitely is doing, in my view, is doing its best to keep the EU and its member states subordinate to the US, economically, politically and militarily. I think the main reason for todays friction between the EU and the US is that the US has lost so much economical and political influence over the last few years because of their own failed policies, something that strains the relationship and leads to US pressure to keep the EU states "in line".

There is however no serious attempt at realignment in Brussels, and therefore no reason for the US to do anything beyond showing who the "boss" is.

by Trond Ove on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:26:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We might not agree on a scale of values, whether the US is "doing its best" to weaken the EU or simply acting as expected between rival powers. I would stress "rival" since Europe- or rather "old Europe"- is neither an antagonist nor a partner of the US on all fronts.

I do not consider Europe "very weak" despite the Irish referendum or rare political flares. It's institutions and administration simply plow on at an unrelenting pace. Time will tell.

I do feel that the US is trying to force the hand of NATO (Brussels) through the new members who are "economically, politically and militarily" subordinate to the US. Fortunately, many of these states also belong to the EU which does set severe transitional standards towards full admission. We can always trust in a modicum of democracy on that front.

Shackling the NATO with crackpot satrapis run by mafia like demagogues is adventurism at its worst. If America thinks it can shift the balance of power within the NATO by admitting them, we will likely end up with Rumsfeld's "New Europe." We don't want America's imbeciles in the room.

 

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 07:00:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
are certainly not economically subordinate to the US. US economic influence on them is minimal, compared to that of the EU and other European countries.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 07:46:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree totally. I just thought it was a bit hyperbole to claim that the US was acting actively antagonistic towards the EU, when the opposite has been the traditional american policy, and the current one seems to be based more on political expedency than any grand strategy one way or the other.
by Trond Ove on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 09:38:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Is the US really willing to go to war over Abkhazia and South Ossetia?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:43:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No.
by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 05:39:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And Russia knows it. Please someone tell the Georgians.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 07:04:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by not acting when Georgia begged for it.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:39:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
With What?

Life should consist in at least fifty percent pure waste of time, and the rest doing what you please.
by ceebs (bunchofwankers (at) gmail (dot) com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 05:52:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
With the military they have, not the one they'd like to have.

Or, if you want a serious answer, with the militaries of its NATO allies...

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 07:02:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bush/Cheney would like to, but know they can't.

Obama/Biden probably wouldn't.

McCain/Palin would be 'bring it on'. The lack of a functional military would mean nukes would have to be used more quickly.

I'm not convinced either would see this as a bad thing.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:22:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
History repeating

Violent attacks on Gypsies in Italy this summer, along with attempts to remove Travellers' homes across Europe, have struck fear into the heart of the Roma community. Novelist Louise Doughty who has Romany ancestors, reports on the sinister new wave of persecution against Europe's fastest-growing ethnic minority

By Louise Doughty, The Guardian

This is an article my father would rather I didn't write. "You want to watch it, you know," he has said to me, more than once. "If you're not careful, you'll get a brick through your window." In the working-class area of Peterborough where my father grew up during the 20s and 30s, it probably wasn't wise to mention that you had Romany blood, however distant.

At that time, my father and his family had no idea about the horrors about to be perpetrated against the Roma and Sinti in Europe under Nazi occupation but prejudice they understood, all right, even from within their own family. "My mother used to hit me when I was bad," one of my aunts once told me, "and she always said to me, 'I'll beat the Gypsy out of you, my girl.'" When my father first told me about our Romany ancestry, he asked me not to mention it to neighbours or friends at school - a suggestion no doubt at the root of my abiding fascination with what is, after all, only a small part of our family history. Even so, he finds it hard to accept that had Germany successfully invaded Britain during the second world war, he and his family would have qualified for shipping to the gas chambers alongside British Jews.

This would have happened despite our family having been settled since the turn of the 20th century...

by Magnifico on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:04:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Belarus opposition leader urges EU caution - EUobserver

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The EU should not be fooled by cosmetic political reforms in Belarus, opposition leader Alexander Kazulin warned on Tuesday (16 September), one day after EU foreign ministers expressed readiness to relax sanctions.

"Today we have every proof that there have been no important changes concerning the democratisation of Belarus. They are only facade changes, not fundamental ones," Mr Kazulin told press after holding meetings in the European Parliament in Brussels.

Familiar scenes from Minsk: there have only been "facade changes" in Belarus, Mr Kozulin says

The fact that Minsk in August freed three political prisoners - including Mr Kazulin himself who had spent two and a half years in jail - is not enough to warrant a shift in EU policy as not much has actually changed in the country, the dissident added.

"We [still] have no elections, but appointments by [Belarus president] Mr Lukashenko," Mr Kazulin explained, saying that his own daughter who is running for parliament in upcoming elections has no chance "because of her last name."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:04:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Europe | EU urges action to integrate Roma

The poverty and discrimination that blight the lives of many Roma (Gypsies) across Europe have dominated an EU conference in Brussels.

The special meeting on Tuesday was called to encourage EU member states to give Roma the access to education and welfare that other citizens enjoy.

About 10 million Roma live in the EU - and the European Commission says they face deeply embedded discrimination.

The Commission president issued an urgent appeal to help them.

"The problem which we are facing together... is one of great urgency," Jose Manuel Barroso said.

More than 400 officials, Roma representatives and civil society activists attended the conference, the first such EU summit.

Some Roma delegates wore T-shirts saying "No to ethnic profiling," the AFP news agency reported.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:05:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Letter from Munich: Trouble Ahead for Bavaria's Hapless Conservatives - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

Bavaria's ruling conservatives are running a clueless election campaign that could cost them their absolute majority in a September 28 state election. That would spell trouble for Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Bavaria's conservatives have had an absolute majority in the Alpine state, one of Germany's most prosperous regions, for half a century but that may change in the upcoming state election on September 28.

The Christian Social Union, the Bavarian sister party of Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats, has run a tepid campaign so far and opinion polls show that governor Günther Beckstein and CSU leader Erwin Huber are failing to mobilize their traditional supporters.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:11:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Al Jazeera English - Europe - Gurkhas demonstrate in London

Former Gurkha soldiers from Nepal have demonstrated outside the London high court before the latest round of their legal bid to win the right to retire in Britain.

To the sound of bagpipes, they carried a portrait of Queen Elizabeth and waved Union Jack flags and banners demanding 'Justice and Equality' as they gathered on Tuesday with hundreds of supporters.

The famed regiment of Nepalese soldiers has fought for Britain since 1815, most recently in Iraq, Afghanistan and the former Yugoslavia.

The soldiers, first recruited by colonial rulers in India in the 19th century as a "martial race" known for their bravery, have mounted a challenge against a ruling that means those who retired before 1997 have no automatic right to live in Britain.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:17:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
FT | Russia halts trading after 17% share price fall

Russian shares suffered their steepest one-day fall in more than a decade on Tuesday, losing up to 20 per cent, as a sharp slide in oil prices and difficult money market conditions triggered a rush to sell.

Margin calls forced domestic traders to liquidate positions and brokers pulled credit lines. At least one Moscow bank failed to meet payments.

... market players said banks were ceasing to lend to second and third-tier companies and brokers were pulling credit lines. KIT Finance, big Moscow investment house confirmed rumours that it had been unable to make payment on a series of short-term loans.

It said: "In connection with the fact that a series of our clients did not meet their obligations to our bank, we have not met our obligations to our counterparties.

Shares in Russia's biggest state-controlled banks led the slide with Sberbank, the state-controlled savings bank, closing 21.72 per cent down and VTB losing 29.26 per cent. The bank was suffered on investor fears about its securities portfolio, which makes up about 10 per cent of its assets.

This is starting to look like a global meltdown.

Och nu den svenska kocken bakar en Alaskan älg jägare. Bonk! Bonk! Bonk!

by ATinNM on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 12:18:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Russia's back to living and dying by commodity prices. If anyone is taking a roller coaster ride over the next decade, it's them.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 01:00:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
(and possibly writing, but I haven't googled it), as prices reached $50 or $60, that Russia's next crisis would be when oil prices fell from $150 to $80.

So there IS a silver lining to prices going down, for me!

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:15:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL, are you never wrong?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:20:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sarkozy: Avast ye scoundrels! | FP Passport

With the forceful gallantry of a modern-day Errol Flynn, French President Nicolas Sarkozy sent in a unit of French troops to rescue two French natives who were captured by pirates while vacationing on their yacht earlier this month. This is the second such rescue operation France has initiated in the last five months.

Even more rousing than Sarkozy's heroic flair was his loud call for a crackdown on global piracy. Sarkozy's announcement of the sailors' safe return came with a stern warning and a little dig:


Dig the pose on the picture. Now for Sarkozy to shoot a bear, or something.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:01:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
WORLD
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:51:32 PM EST
UN Agrees to Open Negotiations on Security Council Enlargement | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 16.09.2008
Members of the United Nations General Assembly finally passed a resolution approving "inter-governmental negotiations" on expanding the Security Council.

The on-going process regarding the expansion of the Security Council almost collapsed during discussions on Monday, Sept. 15, but after hours of tense bargaining, the assembly unanimously agreed on full-scale negotiations which could lead to the addition of new members to the United Nations' most powerful body, which has the power to authorize sanctions, trade embargoes and military action.

Describing the breakthrough as "historic," some diplomats present said that the agreement opened the door for the council to become larger and more representative of the world of the 21st century.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 03:53:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Special Reports | Cuban storms damage 'worst ever'

Hurricanes Gustav and Ike have between them inflicted the worst storm damage in Cuba's history, the government says.

The storms - which hit within two weeks of each other - have caused some $5bn (£2.8bn) of damage, affecting nearly 450,000 homes, officials said.

At least 200,000 Cubans lost their homes and crops have been destroyed.

Analysts say the impact of the storms will make it difficult for President Raul Castro to fulfill his pledge to improve living conditions in Cuba.

The Cuban sugar ministry had already reported that Hurricane Ike had destroyed 340,000 hectares of sugar cane - nearly half the annual crop.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:05:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Manila Times Internet Edition | TOP STORIES > Muslims in Philippines looking for a homeland

It is mid-morning and the muezzin's call at Manila's Blue Mosque in suburban Maharlika echoes across the run-down tenement blocks as men slowly walk toward its sky blue onion-shaped dome.

Across the road, goats graze and women gather under trees, their heads covered by white or black scarves.

A placard taped to the mosque wall reads: "Peace for MindaNOW."

The latest attempt to bring peace to the southern island of Mindanao and give the minority Muslims a homeland has been officially scrapped after 11 years of negotiations between the government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF).

Both sides have struggled for a settlement through peace negotiations punctuated by bouts of bloodshed that had displaced more than a million people and left more than 120,000 dead over the past 40 years.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:10:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
AIG 'has under 24 hours to raise $80bn and avoid collapse' - Telegraph

The world's largest insurance company has less than 24 hours to raise $80bn (£45bn) or face collapse, a leading US politician has warned.

The dire diagnosis for American International Group (AIG), made by New York State Governor David Paterson, came amid another day of continued turbulence on the global stock markets.

However despite the turmoil, the US central bank - the Federal Reserve - sprang a surprise by failing to cut interest rates.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:15:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Fed's $85 Billion Loan Rescues Insurer | NY Times

WASHINGTON -- Fearing a financial crisis worldwide, the Federal Reserve reversed course on Tuesday and agreed to an $85 billion bailout that would give the government control of the troubled insurance giant American International Group.

The decision, only two weeks after the Treasury took over the federally chartered mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is the most radical intervention in private business in the central bank's history.

With time running out after A.I.G. failed to get a bank loan to avoid bankruptcy, Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. and the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, convened a meeting with House and Senate leaders on Capitol Hill about 6:30 p.m. Tuesday to explain the rescue plan. They emerged just after 7:30 p.m. with Mr. Paulson and Mr. Bernanke looking grim, but with top lawmakers initially expressing support for the plan. But the bailout is likely to prove controversial, because it effectively puts taxpayer money at risk while protecting bad investments made by A.I.G. and other institutions it does business with.

What frightened Fed and Treasury officials was not simply the prospect of another giant corporate bankruptcy, but A.I.G.'s role as an enormous provider of esoteric financial insurance contracts to investors who bought complex debt securities. They effectively required A.I.G. to cover losses suffered by the buyers in the event the securities defaulted. It meant A.I.G. was potentially on the hook for billions of dollars' worth of risky securities that were once considered safe.

by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 01:03:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
McCain Embraces Regulation After Many Years of Opposition | Washington Post

A decade ago, Sen. John McCain embraced legislation to broadly deregulate the banking and insurance industries, helping to sweep aside a thicket of rules established over decades in favor of a less restricted financial marketplace that proponents said would result in greater economic growth.

Now, as the Bush administration scrambles to prevent the collapse of the American International Group (AIG), the nation's largest insurance company, and stabilize a tumultuous Wall Street, the Republican presidential nominee is scrambling to recast himself as a champion of regulation to end "reckless conduct, corruption and unbridled greed" on Wall Street.

by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 01:05:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
AIG was looking for $40bn yesterday. How did this double in size so quickly?
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 04:24:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Their credit rating got downgraded so suddenly it's more expensive to roll over Damocles' loan.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:02:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Is there any detail on what the $85bn will be spent on?
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:19:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
plugging the hole of that size created by assets now worthless.

In exchange, the US Treasurey gets 80% of a company valued at $20bn or so by the stock market as of yesterday.

Hmmm.... sounds like a great deal!

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 05:41:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

WSJ

$15.2 billion
The amount of excess capital AIG had going into the second quarter, after a $20.2 billion capital raising that helped fund a $5 billion shortfall.

0
The amount of excess capital now on hand.

$14.5 billion
The amount of money AIG needs to pay to its trading partners as a result of Monday night's credit-rating downgrades by Moody's Investors Service, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services and Fitch. AIG Financial Products may need to put up another $5 billion to $10 billion of collateral on its debt, which would bring the total to $20 billion-$25 billion, according to Credit Suisse Group estimates.

$20 billion
The amount of cash AIG could pull from its own insurance subsidiaries as a result of a change in New York State insurance regulations announced Monday. Friedman Billings Ramsey analyst Bijan Moazami argued today that AIG could make a bridge loan to itself with that money.

$23.8 billion
Year to date unrealized losses on AIG's total portfolio, according to Morgan Stanley estimates last week. Morgan Stanley said deteriorating residential mortgage-backed securities and commercial mortgage-backed securities have likely led to an escalation in these losses in the third quarter.

As much as $42 billion
What AIG could raise from the sale of a handful of businesses, according to Citigroup analyst Joshua Shanker. It includes $2 billion for the transatlantic reinsurance business, $1 billion for its investment in the Property Insurance Co. of China, $10 billion for the ILFC aircraft leasing businesses, $5 billion for the value of $100 billion in third-party investments managed under AIG Investments, $5 billion to $15 billion for VALIC and other annuities in the U.S. including 21st Century, $7 billion for its personal insurance lines, and just under $2 billion for its Blackstone Group assets and investments.

10%
The odds Shanker put on AIG being able to sell assets in time to boost its short-term liquidity.




In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:42:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bolivia strengthens relations with Russia after US fall-out - Telegraph
Bolivia may look towards Russia for funding if the United States decides to withdraw its £14 million in annual aid.

Relations between America and the South American state are at an all-time low after Bolivia expelled the US ambassador amid civil unrest which has left more than 30 dead.

Whilst long range Russian bombers now streak across the skies of the Caribbean from a base in Venezuela, and Moscow seeks to strengthen relations with its old ally Cuba, Bolivia may be the latest recruit in expanding Russian influence in Washington's "back yard".

Last week the US ambassador to La Paz was expelled accused of fomenting civil unrest and Washington swiftly reciprocated with the ejection of the Bolivian ambassador.

Now Evo Morales is looking to get help, military and antinarcotics, to make up the shortfall if and when the US cuts off aid.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:16:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Um . . . they're looking to Russia for anti-narcotics aid?  Wasn't the whole war on drugs thing pushed exclusively by the US to begin with?

Now, since that aid was probably military in nature, then it would make sense to replace that with military aid from Russia.  But calling it anti-narcotics is just silly.

by Zwackus on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:57:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
After all, if they really wanted to get back at the US, they could always just legalize the production of coca for export.
by Zwackus on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 06:58:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Asia Times Online :: Middle East News, Iraq, Iran current affairs
One week ahead of the annual gathering of world leaders at the United Nations in New York, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has issued a new report that while confirming the agency's full-scope inspection and verification of Iran's nuclear activities, discovering no evidence of any military diversion, is permeated with "serious concerns" and "outstanding questions".

These questions relate to certain "alleged studies" and the overall effect could be a shot in the arm for the flagging "Iran Six" multilateral diplomacy on Iran involving the United States, Britain, France, Russia and China plus Germany. This could lead to even more sanctions on Iran, or worse, an Israeli or American strike against Iran's nuclear infrastructure.

The IAEA describes a collection of weaponization designs and documents that suggest Iran has tried to develop a nuclear warhead as "alleged studies" and wants Tehran to identify the factually corrects parts of the documents and those it considers fabricated.

"Iran so far has not been forthcoming in replying to our questions and we seem to be at a dead end there," a senior United Nations official was quoted as saying on Monday.

A senior Iranian official quoted by Reuters retorted that the IAEA was to blame for the impasse and that the nuclear agency should work in a "legal and logical" manner.
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:30:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
US Plans To Sell Israel 1,000 Bunker-Busting Bombs

The U.S. plans to sell Israel 1,000 buster-bunker bombs which Israeli military experts said Monday could provide a powerful new weapon against underground arsenals in Lebanon or Gaza.

The experts said they doubted, however, that the bombs could be used to deliver a crippling blow against Iran's nuclear program.

In announcing the proposed $77 million deal, which still needs Congressional approval, the U.S. Defense Department said the sale of the Boeing GBU-39 smart bombs would be consistent with the U.S. interest of assisting Israel "to develop and maintain a strong and ready self-defense capability." The Pentagon issued a release on the planned sale on Sept. 9.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:32:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]


A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:38:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
More likely these bombs have been sold to the Israeli Air Force to be used against the Hezbullah fortifications in Lebanon.

Och nu den svenska kocken bakar en Alaskan älg jägare. Bonk! Bonk! Bonk!
by ATinNM on Wed Sep 17th, 2008 at 12:38:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Researchers link BPA exposure to health concerns
BPA

Don Bartletti / Los Angeles Times
Baby bottle manufacturers are already looking for replacements for the chemical.
In the first large-scale human study of the chemical, some found with bisphenol A in their urine had more than double the normal risk of heart disease and diabetes.
By Thomas H. Maugh II, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 17, 2008
The first large-scale human study of a chemical widely used in plastic products, including baby bottles and tin can linings, found double the risk of cardiovascular disease, diabetes and liver problems in people with the highest concentrations in their urine, British researchers reported Tuesday.

The findings confirm earlier results obtained in animals, increasing pressure on the Food and Drug Administration to limit use of the chemical Bisphenol A, commonly called BPA.

The chemical is the primary ingredient of polycarbonate plastics, which are found in myriad modern products, such DVDs, drinking bottles and lenses of sunglasses.

There have been growing concerns about its safety as studies in rodents have linked it to diabetes, brain damage, developmental abnormalities, pre-cancerous changes in the prostate and breast and a variety of other health problems.

About 7 billion pounds of the chemical are produced worldwide each year and studies by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have found that 93% of Americans have detectable levels of the chemical in their urine.

The new findings are published in this week's edition of the Journal of the American Medical Assn., but were released early to coincide with an FDA hearing on BPA in Washington.

"This is a human study that really calls into question FDA's assertion that BPA is safe," said Dr. Anila Jacob of the Environmental Working Group, an activist group.

An FDA representative, however, defended the agency's actions at the Tuesday hearing. "A margin of safety exists that is adequate to protect consumers, including infants and children, at the current levels of exposure, said Laura Tarentino, a senior FDA scientist.



If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Tue Sep 16th, 2008 at 04:42:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
China, Russia and the New World Disorder

This LA Times article by Guardian regular Timothy Garton Ash probably deserves an LQD, but I can't be arsed.

Here's a selection...


The seven years since 9/11 reveal an old truth: Problems are usually not solved, they are just overtaken by other problems.

Those of 8/8, for example. On Aug. 8, 2008, two mighty nations announced their return. Russia, invading Georgia, did it with tanks. China, launching the Beijing Olympics, did it with acrobats. The message was the same: World, we're back.

So we of the FLIO (friends of liberal international order) must now soberly confront the prospect of a new world disorder. Or rather old-new, for disorder is the more natural condition of international society. International order, which may also be called peace, is always a fragile achievement.

Russia and China are not simply great powers challenging the West. They also represent two alternative versions of authoritarian capitalism, or capitalist authoritarianism. Here is the biggest potential ideological competitor to liberal democratic capitalism since the end of communism.

Radical Islamism may appeal to millions of Muslims, but it cannot reach beyond the faithful, except by conversion. More important, it cannot plausibly claim to be associated with economic, technological or cultural modernity.

For close to 500 years, modernity has come to the world from the West.

Historically, both modernity and liberalism have come from the West. But the future of freedom depends on new versions of modernity evolving -- whether in India, China or the Muslim world -- that are distinctly non-Western yet also recognizably liberal, in the core sense of cherishing individual freedom. I wouldn't bet on this outcome, but working toward it is the best long-term chance we have. Pessimism of the intellect must be matched by optimism of the will.