European Tribune

LQD: Loss Wish?

by ChrisCook
Wed Sep 3rd, 2008 at 09:41:34 PM EST

I finally caught up with "Havana Bay" - the one novel of the "Arkady Renko" series by Martin Cruz Smith, of which "Gorky Park" was the first - which I had not read.

Our hero, Arkady Renko, is a Moscow-based policeman who has come from Russia - post Communism - to Cuba in order to establish whether a decomposed body found floating in Havana Bay is that of an old friend.

A passage in the book, between Renko, and one of the protagonists, O'Brien, stimulated some thought on my part as to the nature of gambling and speculation.

My highlights.

"Do you gamble, Arkady?"

"No"

"Why?"

"I don't have the money to lose".

"Everyone has the money to lose. Poor people gamble all the time. What you mean is, you don't like to lose."

"I suppose so".

"Well, you're unusual, most people need to. If they happen to win, they keep on playing until they do lose. Right now around the world more people are gambling than ever in the history of man."

O'Brien shrugged to show that the phenomenon was beyond him.

"Maybe it's the coming millennium. It's as if people want to shed material things, not in a church but in a casino. People are willing to lose everything as long as they have fun. They can't resist. It's human. The worst snub in the world is a casino where they won't take your money".

I would define "investment" - which is arguably a medium and long term and relatively risk averse activity - as the acquisition of ownership of productive assets.

"Speculation" or "Gambling", on the other hand is relatively short term, and transaction based risk taking, whereby something - it doesn't really matter what - is bought and sold (not necessarily in that order) in the expectation of profit.

Is there an increasing propensity to gamble?

And is it an analogy to a "Death Wish"?

A "Loss Wish", maybe?


Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password

Display:
It needed to be said again. For the objectives of financing are now forgotten --lost-- to the benefit of profiteering by financing. Thank you. I've been much disturbed by recent trends in MSM content which defends "speculators" who purportedly assist "price discovery" --of securities-- of securities issuers, corporations, whose commodites' pricing are purportedly defined by quantity supplied and quantity demanded at any point in time. Now:

I would define "investment" ... as the acquisition of ownership of productive assets.

"Speculation" or "Gambling" ... is bought and sold (not necessarily in that order) in the expectation of profit.

In the first instance, security price is the product of the ongoing concern. A security is issued in order to finance a specific, operating purpose. Debenture, which is not ownership, is issued to finance a specific, operating purpose including substitue cash flow from operating revenue. Accordingly, bondholders possess no claim on productive assets aside from principal at "risk" and opportunity cost, or interest, or cost of capital, or "risk rate."

Speculation is an arbitrary market in which securities and their derivatives obtain a price at some time-value equivalent to any pair of counter-party knowledge (perceived value) of the securitized asset, a corporate operation operations in toto.

It is the corporation's operations which buyers must always evaluate, irrespective of security pricing, in order to forcast and retain proceeds from ownership of productive assets. Stiglitz notes here in an OpEd titled "Falling Down" which recalled, in me, the novel Things Fall Apart

If the Great Depression undermined our confidence in macroeconomics (the ability to maintain full employment, price stability, and sustained growth), it is our confidence in microeconomics (the ability of markets and firms to allocate labor and capital efficiently) that is now being destroyed.

His definition of microeconomics is incorrect in so far as it presumes a relationship between "markets" (securities exchanges) and "firms". Microeconomics so far as I am concerned in the study and knowledge of behaviors within a firm in relation to behaviors of a firm's commodity buyers (a market) who behave independent of firm operations. More generously, microeconomic study categorizes similar firms by market size and market value to form an industry.

Consider also this OpEd by Stiglitz

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by MarketTrustee (pbing@estudioinc.com) on Thu Sep 4th, 2008 at 01:35:40 PM EST
I think there are people who like to gamble, irrespective of whether they win or lose, because they enjoy and maybe become addicted to the adrenaline rush of anticipating the result. Just as football supporters return each week because for 90 minutes they can be involved in something they can care passionately about, gamblers use money to create a sense of involvement.

I am not like that. No, I don't like to lose (does anyone ?) but actually I don't enjoy the anticipation either. If I care too much, and here I'm thinking about football where I've experienced it, then it's a genuine angst I wish I was freed from. I have once or twice played pool for money and it spoils my enjoyment. I have once or twice gambled and just felt I was throwing my money away, winning would not have changed that perception.

Having said all that I do buy lottery tickets. I guess I have the same attitude to crime. It's not worth risking jail for less than a million, so I'm "honest" cos nicking petty cash is pathetic. It's only worth it if it's a life-changing possibility. Most gambling isn't remotely life-changing, it's just a 5 minute diversion.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 10:40:46 AM EST
Analyzing mostly stocks, I felt a lot like a gambler as I studied all the fundamentals, angles, odds, probabilities, charts, etc. and then on the best days I had a clear, strong gut feeling of joy or fear.

It´s very strange thinking back on it.  

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. --Charu Saxena.

by metavision on Sat Sep 6th, 2008 at 02:49:04 PM EST
meta my dear, all this time I thought of you as a disembodied bringer of 4 ratings. Now this.  How novel.

McCain/Palin ... total sacks of SHIT!
by THE Twank (paszeski__aaaaaaatttttt__yahoo.com) on Sat Sep 6th, 2008 at 03:40:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]


Display:
Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]