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by DoDo
In January this year, the German state of Hessen held regional elections. Back then, I emphasized its special importance far beyond its borders in several diaries.
The outcome was an impasse: five parties came into parliament, but strong animosities prevented any combination with a parliamentary majority. Then attempts to form a minority government led to a crisis of the entire SPD (Social Democrats). However, after almost nine months (and as many points lost in opinion polls), it seems that the minority government option will get the green light at last: in secret test ballots, there were enough votes. What's more: for once, I can quote some fair reporting on the Hessen SPD.
To recap the precendents (skip it if you remember)
The diaries heralding the Hessen elections in January were:
Ypsilanti's strategy was successful enough for everyone to talk of a left swing, as covered in these diaries: After the failure of attempts by both big parties to get both the FDP and the Greens into a triple coalition, only two choices remained: new elections, or an SPD-Greens minority government with Left Party outside support. Now many in the traditional West German parties have trouble with not seeing the Left Party as anything but a bunch of evil commies - and some troubles in the new Left Party regional parliament factions played into that. When Ypsilanti decided to lead the Hessen SPD in the minority government direction, thereby abandoning election promises of no cooperation in any form with the Left Party, discontent within and outside the party rattled and damaged the entire SPD across Germany, ultimately leading to the resignation of its boss. In Hessen itself, the appearance of one SPD rebel put an end to the first attempts, and strong attacks from the media and negative public reception drove poll numbers into the basement.
Some diaries (or their comment threads) that covered these developments:
New government on the horizon Ypsilanti never gave up on the minority government option. After marathon talks with members within the Hessen SPD, Ypsilanti's supporters initiated a long step-by-step process (which they should have had done six months ago): getting formal approvals of various party bodies, talks with the Greens and the Left party, approvals by their bodies too. As the last and most important step, at the explicit request of the Greens, all three parties held secret test ballots yesterday. The result: the one MP from the SPD's right wing who earlier declared her dissent abstained, everyone else voted for Ypsilanti -- so she seems to have secured a one-vote majority to be elected PM. I note her weakness was her strength: no Hessen SPD MP wants new elections now... The actual vote in the Hessen parliament will be only in November. Such a position of influence for the Left Party was unthinkable for West German politicians until now, so it will be a 'test run'. But Ypsilanti's government (if there'll be no backstabber) will definitely face an uphill struggle, with the present low poll numbers, and polls showing heavy discontent with their choice even among SPD voters.
In the last few months, the German MSM was not simply hostile, but used the narrative of "Miss Ypsilanti's lust for power", and played up the broken election promise theme (see this and this comment). For my partisan self, it seemed obvious that other election promises must be more important for the SPD and Greens. Above all, ending Koch's government (which would likely continue if they had thrown in the towel and new elections would have been held: Koch had enough lust for power to not resign). Now at last I find SPIEGEL asking an actual Hessen SPD MP in support of the minority government option, so that we hear their actual motivations:
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"Koch must go. Period. End. Off." | 14 comments (14 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
"Koch must go. Period. End. Off." | 14 comments (14 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
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