CO2 causes Ice Age: Fair & Balanced, UK Edition

by DoDo
Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 06:52:58 AM EST

Mis-reporting climate science in the media is known as a speciality of the right-wing echo chamber in the USA. But it happens in Europe, too.

The Daily Telegraph shouted the following into the world on New Year's Day:

Greenhouse gases could have caused an ice age, claim scientists

Filling the atmosphere with Greenhouse gases associated with global warming could push the planet into a new ice age, scientists have warned.

By Richard Alleyne, Science Correspondent
Last Updated: 6:51PM GMT 01 Jan 2009

Whoa, so emitting more CO2 will stop global warming! ...except that wasn't what the scientists really said. Mr. Alleyne mis-interpreted things when lazily re-working an agency report, because he couldn't distinguish greenhouse gases and aerosol.

But what's really interesting about this story is how such a prestigious newspaper failed to come clean with a correction. They failed to publish an LTE by the scientist whose work they mis-represented, while the web editors blocked his comment -- that is, until the affair became a scandal on science blogs, when a half-assed re-edit followed.


Let me explain the actual science in short. According to the ever more solid Snowball Earth Theory, towards the end of the Precambrian, the Earth was in the grip of an extreme ice age, with most of its surface covered in snow. Snow reflects most of the sunlight back into space, thus a Snowball Earth keeps itself cool. But snow also blocks the absorbtion of greenhouse gases by the ground and the seas, thus CO2 from volcanoes can collect up in the air. With greenhouse warming opposed by the snow-reflection-reduced heat input from the Sun, greenhouse gas levels could become high, even higher than today. What the researchers now found was that indeed they did.

:: :: :: :: ::

Now, Tim Lambert @ Deltoid says that Mr. Alleyne may have re-worked this agency report (compare for yourself with the Alleyne version I quote further down):

The Press Association: Ice age atmosphere 'warm'

A warm atmosphere rich in carbon dioxide may have surrounded the Earth in an ancient ice age, new research has suggested.

Scientists at the University of Birmingham studied 630 million-year-old limestones and found evidence that even large amounts of greenhouse gas could not stop severe ice and snow conditions occurring.

This could only have happened if the planet was nearly all covered in ice, researchers said.

Scientists at the university's school of geography, earth and environmental sciences, warned that such glaciation could happen again if technology was wrongly used.

If Earth's atmosphere reflected too much solar radiation - a process that could be triggered by a nuclear war - or if too many particles of sulphate were pumped into the atmosphere through industrial pollution or volcanic activity, similar conditions could occur again, they said.

In other words: Snowball Earth's surface was cold despite, not because of greenhouse gases; and a similar effect may be produced not just by ice, but whatever reflects off sunlight, for example soot.

What became of this when Mr. Alleyne (or a nameless desk editor) re-worked it? Something strange. Various forms of aerial pollution are confused in one paragraph (and the title and summary), even though they are distinguished in the next two paragraphs:

Researchers at the University of Birmingham found that 630 million years ago the earth had a warm atmosphere full of carbon dioxide but was completely covered with ice.

The scientists studied limestone rocks and found evidence that large amounts of greenhouse gas coincided with a prolonged period of freezing temperatures.

Such glaciation could happen again if global warming is not curbed, the university’s school of geography, earth and environmental sciences warned.

While pollution in the air is thought to trap the sun’s heat in the atmosphere, causing the planet to heat up, this new research suggests it could also have the opposite effect reflecting rays back into space.

This effect would be magnified by other forms of pollution in the earth’s atmosphere such as particles of sulphate pumped into the air through industrial pollution or volcanic activity and could create ice age conditions once more, the scientists said.

(My bolding)

:: :: :: :: ::

Now, when the mis-represented scientist's attention was called to this article, he drafted the following LTE, which he sent on 5 January (as quoted by Ben Goldacre @ Bad Science):

Sir,

Contrary to the headline about our scientific work that appeared last week on the Telegraph website, high levels of greenhouse gases did not trigger an ice age. In our paper in Science we provided independent evidence for a theory that a hot atmosphere rich in greenhouse gases could coexist with a cold, glacial Earth surface.  A planet largely covered in ice and snow (a Snowball Earth) would allow carbon dioxide emitted from volcanoes to build up in the atmosphere over millions of years.  We show that this actually happened at a time in the Earth’s history prior to the evolution of animals.

Perhaps it was the prolonged cold snap over Christmas that set the headline writer’s mind racing, but the contemporary relevance of our work is rather different.  A Snowball Earth could be re-created, in spite of greenhouse warming.  For example, a nuclear war would generate a pall of dust, reflecting sunlight away from the Earth.  Also, a proposed technological fix to global warming - launching a mass of tiny sulphate aerosol particles in the atmosphere - could be overdone with the same result.    Barring these horrors, we are left with the physical reality of greenhouse warming, despite the vagaries of our wonderfully capricious British weather.

best wishes,

Ian

Ian J. Fairchild
Professor of Physical Geography

Reaction? Refusal of correction. As Bad Science reports on 7/8 January:

...The Telegraph didn’t speak to Prof Ian Fairchild (they call him Dr), and their authoritative quote from him in the article was copied and pasted out of context.

Worse than that, Prof Fairchild has tried to post comments on the article which flatly misrepresents his own research, twice, but his comments have been rejected by the Telegraph’s online comment moderators, while 23 other comments have appeared.

Deltoid brought this in an update, too. Scandal was brewing. So what did The Daily Telegraph do?

As 47th published comment to the web-based article, they brought the professor's second (or third?) comment on 12 January:

Thanks to correspondent Shine - you are correct, we did not say that high carbon dioxide caused the ice age! I'm sorry that the Telegraph didn't get in touch before publication! There's a web-link if you'd like to read about the work:
http://www.gees.bham.ac.uk/staff/fairchildresearchglacial.shtml
I can also supply the original technical article on request.
Ian Fairchild
on January 12, 2009
at 02:47 PM
Report this comment

...and the next day, they re-wrote the article title and the summary of the web version. However, they left the misleading paragraph in the article, as well as the article's HTML title (under which it also appears in Archive searches) unchanged:

Greenhouse gases could have caused an ice age, claim scientists - Telegraph

Ice age atmosphere was 'warm', claim scientists

A warm atmosphere rich in carbon dioxide may have surrounded the Earth in an ancient ice age, new research has suggested.

By Richard Alleyne, Science Correspondent
Last Updated: 5:04PM GMT 13 Jan 2009

...Such glaciation could happen again if global warming is not curbed, the university's school of geography, earth and environmental sciences warned.

:: :: :: :: ::

I'll close this with two links courtesy of Bad Science: you can read a proper lay summary on Fairchild's work, as well as the actual academic journal article.

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I also note that this:

While pollution in the air is thought to trap the sun's heat in the atmosphere, causing the planet to heat up, this new research suggests it could also have the opposite effect reflecting rays back into space.

...while technically correct, is also misleading. Such an effect was long known, not only since this new research: for example, the one-year minor cooling that followed the eruption of the Pinaturbo volcano is widely known even in the MSM.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 06:57:29 AM EST
Media background - Torygraph sales have been slipping recently, so sensationalism is part of a deliberate attempt to go tabloid and capture some of the rabid and frothing angry market more usually served by the Daily Mail.

Stupid people will read this kind of nonsense and take it seriously, but they won't read ET, so it's probably not even worth deconstructing.

I'm reliably depressed by the level of ignorance about basic science among otherwise intelligent people I talk to here.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 07:14:29 AM EST
Reliably intelligent people is one thing -- someone with the title "Science Correspondent", hoopla...

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 01:46:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Media background - Torygraph sales have been slipping recently, so sensationalism is part of a deliberate attempt to go tabloid and capture some of the rabid and frothing angry market more usually served by the Daily Mail.

Said endeavour being ably assisted by the recruitment of senior editorial staff and columnists from the Mail over the past few years. Private Eye tracks this sort of thing in their 'Street of Shame' column and has revised their nickname for the paper to the 'Maily Telegraph' to reflect this development.

The article in question looks to me like sloppiness and misreporting rather than active anti-science propaganda (although the way they responded to being told they were wrong was notably graceless and truculent). There's plenty of anti-science to be found in the Telegraph's back catalogue however - they regularly give a platform to the preposterous Viscount Monckton for instance.

Regards
Luke

-- #include witty_sig.h

by silburnl on Thu Jan 15th, 2009 at 05:47:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Another weasely reaction in the denialosphere:

Quadrant falls victim to its own reasoning - National - smh.com.au

A hoax aimed at Keith Windschuttle and Quadrant was elaborately
planned, writes David Marr.

AFTER a terrible two hours, Keith Windschuttle convinced himself he hadn't been hoaxed at all. He was greatly relieved. How embarrassing such a stumble could have been for this fierce nitpicker, scourge of sloppy academics and current editor of the conservative Quadrant magazine.

"It was a shock when I got the call," Windschuttle told the Herald. It came at 9.30 yesterday morning, warning him that an article in the current issue of his magazine was a fake perpetrated by the non-existent "Sharon Gould" posing as a 41-year-old New Yorker based in Brisbane. His heart sank but he got to work.

He had published "Scare campaigns and science reporting" without checking what he called the "nitty gritty" of its facts, and he had put it in the magazine without showing it to anyone familiar with its subject, genetic engineering. But in two busy hours yesterday he was able to satisfy himself the article was "only 10 to 15 per cent invented. When I discovered that my gloom and embarrassment changed completely."

After Margaret Simons broke the story in the online newsletter Crikey yesterday, Windschuttle hit back on his own website declaring the "Gould" article "simply a piece of fraudulent journalism submitted to Quadrant under false pretences". After a bit more thought he added that Crikey's editor, Jonathan Green, "should be aware that his publication's involvement in the manufacture of this story is unethica

The hoax was beautifully done. Provoked by Quadrant's embrace of global warming sceptics, the unidentified hoaxer concocted the article early last year and sent it to Windschuttle. The aim was to "employ some of Quadrant's sleight-of-hand reasoning devices to argue something ludicrous", the hoaxer later wrote. "Something like the importance of putting human genes into food crops to save civilisation from its own ills, and how this sort of science shouldn't be scrutinised by the media because, you know, it's empirical."

Only 10 to 15 per cent invented, LOL...

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 07:42:54 AM EST
Remember Clare Chapman and her January 2005 article about Germany "'If you don't take a job as a prostitute, we can stop your benefits"?

Got lots of attention except the article was total nonsense.

by Detlef (Detlef1961_at_yahoo_dot_de) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 08:04:09 AM EST
Yeah... though, the taz article that was plagiarised at least threwsup some thoughts in that direction, even if at the philosophical level. E.g.,

  • So is prostitution now really a job like any other?

  • What about other jobs? Is being forced to work for an unethical company, or to work in an extremely stressful environment (say, heh, collecting trays in the food court of a mall) that much less bad?

  • Or, in general, aint' these shiny new reformed labour labs that blame the unemployed for unemployment and give jobs like punishment not a return to some form of slavery?


*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 01:57:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Mis-reporting climate science in the media is known as a speciality of the right-wing echo chamber in the USA. But it happens in Europe, too.

Are we still counting the 51st state as part of Europe?

The ignorance is impressive, but as you know, DoDo, all this proves is that Al Gore is fat.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 08:23:57 AM EST
I've always thought the Telecrap actually is part of the right-wing echo chamber.
by rifek on Fri Jan 16th, 2009 at 08:09:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, but not in the USA.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Sat Jan 17th, 2009 at 01:23:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
Stupid people will read this kind of nonsense and take it seriously, but they won't read ET, so it's probably not even worth deconstructing.
And I do think it is worth deconstructing because:

  1. It's what we do
  2. Many people on ET are not climate change experts and might be confused by confusing headlines if they don't have time to do the deconstructing themselves
  3. Its a good concrete example of the media bias we all have to live with.
  4. It's helps to undermine what remains of the Torygraph's reputation as a serious paper
  5. It nicely clarifies some aspects of earth science theory I was not familiar with - that the snowball earth actually occurred in the Precambrian era.
  6. It underlines the ridiculousness of the popular conflation of long term climate change and short term weather.  The Precambrian Eon consisted of several geological eras and lasted thousands of millions of years .  That such long term processes could be confused with the current debates about weather or even the climate change of recent decades shows just how vacuous is the Torygraph''s claim to have a science correspondent at all.


notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 08:47:16 AM EST
The Precambrian Eon consisted of several geological eras and lasted thousands of millions of years .

Just to be really really precise: while Snowball Earth periods were long, they did not last but a small part of the Precambrian.

The one Snowball Earth era we can be reasonbly certain about was maybe between c. 800 and 580, but certainly between 745 and 635 million years Before Present (BP), and was actually 2-5 successive Snowball Earth periods (e.g. freezing and thawing up), each a few to a few dozen million years long.

There is a hypothetised earlier Snowball Earth period 2.3-2.2 billion years ago. (The Earth is 4.567 billion years old.)

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.

by DoDo on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 10:14:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The sloppy deconstructing here is also getting a bit tiring.


(The Earth is 4.567 billion years old.)

The earth is 4,567 years old.  Don't you read your bibble?  DoDo, you ain't gonna make it in amurka.

/snark

But thanks for this diary.

Skennah Kowa

by Crazy Horse on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 11:54:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This all true. And yet - if people don't read ET, none of this matters.

We do need - again - wider coverage for this kind of debunking. But it's particularly hard in the UK because the scientific culture here is so appallingly backward that it's a monumental effort to get people to consider the realities.

Most people who think about climate change at all are at the 'It's been a cold winter - so that proves there's no global warming' level.

I'd rather be more positive about it, but the reality seems to be that many people don't care, and the minority who might be interested don't get it because 'it's just a plot to make people pay more taxes.' (Sic)

Certainly in the debates I've had it seems to be impossible not to be labelled either a DFH or an old-style fist-waving Trotskyist just for taking climate change seriously at all.

Solution? None that I can see.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 11:21:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's basically the way it works here.  The coverage has improved, but it's still pathetic, and the talking heads are all teh stoopit.  "It's cold, so there can't be global warming, and, anyway, Al Gore is fat.  HAHAHAHAHA!"

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 11:49:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I really enjoy Ben Goldacre's articles cos I freely admit to having been duped by some of the things he debunks. Probably one of the most valuable (and sadly necessary) columns in the UK media.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jan 14th, 2009 at 01:20:30 PM EST


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