European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 15 October

by Fran
Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:16:50 PM EST

 A Daily Review Of International Online Media 


Europeans on this date in history:

1923 – Italo Calvino, an Italian journalist and writer of short stories and novels, was born. (d. 1985)

More here and here

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by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:56:55 PM EST
37242 Signatures
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:00:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Silvio Berlusconi backs Tony Blair to be President of Europe - Times Online

Tony Blair can count on the support of at least one old ally as he manoeuvres himself into position to become the first President of Europe -- Silvio Berlusconi.

The Italian Prime Minister found time out from his own political battles to write a front-page letter in a right-wing newspaper, declaring his former holiday companion to be the best man for the job.

"Tony Blair has got everything it needs to become the first president of the European Council," he wrote in Il Foglio. "He has everything it needs to be designated to that role, as soon as it will be judicially and politically possible . . .

"In agreement with many other heads of government, and heads of state, and in co-ordination with the powers of the European Parliament, my Government and I will work to ensure we do not lose a great political legacy, made with courage, equilibrium and prudence without uncertainty."

[Murdoch Alert]
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:01:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As one greasy scoundrel to another

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 03:52:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I particularly liked this part
He also played a memorable role in their Italian holidays, treating the Blairs to his legendary hospitality during a visit to his villa in Sardinia in 2004.
I wonder what Cherie Blair thought of Berlusconi's, er, "legendary" hospitality at his Sardinia villa.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 04:46:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | UK | UK Politics | Berlusconi backs Blair for EU job

Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has endorsed Tony Blair as his preferred candidate to be president of the European Union.

Mr Blair had "the right credentials" and should get the job as soon as "legally and politically possible", he wrote to Italian newspaper Il Foglio.

Mr Berlusconi also said changes to the way the EU is run would leave a "great political legacy" for Europe.

Mr Blair, UK prime minister until 2007, is currently a Middle East peace envoy.

The presidency would be created under the terms of the Lisbon Treaty, which still has to be ratified by the Czech Republic.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:11:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The kiss of death?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 04:43:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Talk about knowing people by who their friends are...
by IdiotSavant on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:07:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Irwin Stelzer in the Guardian: Stop hating Tony Blair
Some people hate Tony Blair for what he did in office, most notably assisting in the unseating of Saddam Hussein. Others hate him for what he has done since being forced out of office by Gordon Brown, most notably for making what his former mentor, Neil Kinnock, called "loadsamoney". Still others hate him for what he might become - the president of the European Union, a post created by denying citizens in key European countries a voice in the process by which the Lisbon constitution - er, treaty - was adopted. All the Blair haters are wrong.

[...]

Finally, there is the EU presidency, or the possibility of it. I yield to no one in my dislike of the unaccountable, kleptocratic bureaucracy and its appropriation to itself of the prerogatives of parliament. But you lost that fight when your prime minister reneged on his promise of a referendum and signed the constitution - er, treaty. The EU's interest, which is what the role is all about now, is clearly in appointing (elections are not the thing in the EU) a famous, dynamic leader who can give it instant credibility on the world stage.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:26:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Some people hate Tony Blair for what he did in office, most notably assisting in the unseating of Saddam Hussein

Does he really believe that's how we see it ? Or is his framing so deliberatel;y dishonest that it's just a wind-up.

Anyway, it's just one of Murdoch's goons doing Murdoch's dirty work

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:30:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
See this.

When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:02:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Washington controls the Bosnian game -  Novi List/Presseurop

Europe and America are trying to obtain an agreement between Bosnian leaders on the reform of the constitution of Bosnia-Herzegovina. However, the Croatian daily Novi List reports that the EU appears to be unable to exert much pressure in the negotiations, which may prove crucial to the future of the country.

Should the summit at NATO's Butmir military base [see box below] be interpreted as yet further proof that America, intends to follow its unblocking of stalled negotiations on Croatian accession to the EU, with a renewed drive to stabilize the region and accelerate the development of closer links between NATO and the EU? Croatia is making strides in its bid to join the EU, and Serbia could soon follow in its footsteps. Sadly, the same is not true for Bosnia-Herzegovina, which simply appears to have wasted the last 14 years. In 1995, the Dayton Agreement brought an end to the war, but since then little has been done to prepare Bosnia-Herzegovina for peace. Washington has no doubt understood that the negotiations that are now underway probably represent the sole remaining opportunity to prevent the disintegration of the country.

The United States and the European Union want to present a united front, and to this end, Washington abandoned its plan to appoint Clifford Bond, the former American ambassador to Bosnia-Herzegovina, to the post of special envoy for the application of constitutional change -- which Bosnia needs to implement if it is to present a credible application for membership of the EU -- because Brussels opposed his nomination. But the difference in approach is not easy to hide. The head of the Swedish diplomatic service, Carl Bildt, who was the first High Representative of the international community in Bosnia, from 1995 to 1997, takes the view that the Office of the High Representative (OHR) is now obsolete, while the Americans believe that politicians in the country are still unable to work together without the supervision of a foreign governor.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:01:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Johann Hari: The looming threat of terror that comes from the far right - Johann Hari, Commentators - The Independent

Britain is facing the real risk today of a bombing campaign that targets random civilians for death - but it is being virtually ignored. When its supporters step closer every day to mass murder, nobody notices. When its perpetrators are caught, there is (at best) a little flick of information in News in Brief, before everyone goes back to talking about the Strictly Come Dancing race row. This silence suggests something dark about us - and requires us to change our behaviour, fast.

The campaign I am talking about is not being planned by jihadis or fringe Irish nationalists but by white "neo-Nazis" who want to murder Asians, black people, Jews and gays in the bizarre belief it will trigger a "race war".

They have struck before. Exactly a decade ago, a 22-year-old member of the British National Party called David Copeland planted bombs in Brixton, Brick Lane (where I live), and a gay pub in Old Compton Street. He managed to lodge a nail deep in a baby's skull, and to murder a pregnant woman, her gay best friend, and his partner. He bragged: "My aim was political. It was to cause a racial war in this country. There'd be a backlash from the ethnic minorities, then all the white people would go out and vote BNP."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:02:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Brown expected to announce troop increase in key Afghan address | France 24
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to announce the deployment of additional troops to Afghanistan in an address to parliamentarians Wednesday.

Reuters - British Prime Minister Gordon Brown will make a statement on Afghanistan on Wednesday amid expectations he will announce a modest increase in British troop levels.
 
Worsening violence in the U.S.-led eight-year war with the Taliban has triggered calls for a change of strategy, including the possibility of NATO forces sending more troops to try to stabilise larger areas of Afghanistan.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:03:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | UK | UK Politics | UK sends 500 more to Afghanistan

Gordon Brown says the UK will send 500 more forces personnel to Afghanistan - but only if key conditions are met.

They will be sent as long as they have the necessary equipment, if other Nato allies boost their troop numbers and more Afghan soldiers are trained.

There are currently about 9,000 UK personnel in Afghanistan. Some 221 have been killed there since 2001.

The US could next week announce it is sending up to 45,000 extra servicemen and women, the BBC's Newsnight reports.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:18:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Gordon Brown says the UK will send 500 more forces personnel to Afghanistan - but only if key conditions are met.

They will be sent as long as they have the necessary equipment, if other Nato allies boost their troop numbers and more Afghan soldiers are trained the US promises that Gordon Brown will get a photo op with Obama on the WH lawn sometime just before the next General Eelection.



keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:36:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sweden loses its internet connection - Telegraph
The internet connection for the whole of Sweden went down for almost an hour when routine maintenance broke every single .se address.

At 9:45pm local time on Monday 12 October, every Swedish website went down, and no emails to or from Swedish domains could be received. Around 900,000 domains were affected.

The problem was caused by an "incorrectly configured script" in an update of the .se domain, according to Pingdom, a Swedish web monitoring company.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:04:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Russians are coming!!!!!111

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:33:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nope, merely proof of concept

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:37:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Internet kept on working, it was just the DNS-system that handles what name (like eurotrib.com) connects to what server that broke down on the .se domain.

Sweden's Internet broken by DNS mistake | Royal Pingdom

The problem happened during planned maintenance of the .se domain. The .SE registry used an incorrectly configured script to update the .se zone, which introduced an error to every single .se domain name.

We have spoken to a number of industry insiders and what happened is that when updating the data, the script did not add a terminating "." to the DNS records in the .se zone. That trailing dot is necessary in the settings for DNS to understand that ".se" is the top-level domain. It is a seemingly small detail, but without it, the whole DNS lookup chain broke down.

The sites were still up but at wrong adresses. Apparently an extra .se was added making the adress to the swedish Google-page google.se.se instead of just google.se.

As the site feber.se put it:

The cake was delivered (according to the same site) to the .se foundation.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:49:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

EUobserver / Parliament chief reminds EU of historical facts on Stalin

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The Polish head of the EU parliament on Wednesday (14 October) underlined some basic facts about Joseph Stalin at an event held in the context of mounting historical revisionism in Russia.

A Stalin-Hitler pact of 23 August 1939, called "Molotov-Ribbentrop" after the officials who signed it, carved up ownership of Poland, Finland, Romania and the Baltic states, saw millions deported and led to the deaths of 760,000 Poles, "many of them children," he said.

"We can never forget those victims for they are a reminder of where we come from, and show us how much we have achieved."

The parliament president portrayed the EU as a guarantee that great powers will no longer make deals over the heads of smaller countries, including on energy security.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:05:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
EUobserver / Romanian authorities neglect Strasbourg request in dramatic case

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - The head of an association representing the families of young street protesters shot during the Romanian Revolution of 1989 has been on hunger strike for over two months over the refusal of authorities to heed a European Court for Human Rights demand that he be granted access to secret files about the events.

Twenty years after the 1989 events, there still is no justice for the shot protesters

After 72 days on strike, Teodor Maries scored a small victory on Tuesday (13 October), when the Romanian public attorney started to hand over to him all the non-secret files of the violent events surrounding the fall of the Communist regime.

Back in December 1989, more than 1,200 people were killed and over 5,000 were injured and illegally arrested in Bucharest and other Romanian cities. The culprits have still not been put behind bars.

Mr Maries on Tuesday said he would not stop his protest until the secret services de-classify all the remaining files and give him copies, which he intends to make public.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:05:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
EUobserver / Almunia keeps up pressure on Latvia

The EU's economy commissioner, Joaquin Almunia, is keeping up pressure on Latvia to fulfil budget deficit cuts agreed under the terms of a €7.5 billion international loan led by the EU and the International Monetary Fund.

"This will be extremely important to increase confidence in the markets vis-a-vis the Latvian economy," he told a news conference in Riga on Tuesday (13 October) following discussions with parliamentary leaders.

Commissioner Almunia insists the deficit cuts are the best way to get Latvia's economy back on track

"Honestly, I don't see an alternative," he added.

Ongoing squabbling between members of the government's five-party coalition recently caused it to row back from the 500 million lat (€711m) deficit cut agreed for this year.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:05:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What's wrong with the Spanish Socialists? Reducing budget deficits both at home and abroad in the middle of a recession...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 04:45:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The swedish government has a constant drumbeat that Latvia must obey the IMF rules.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:51:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's the WashingtonBrussels Consensus.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 05:58:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"It is necessary to restore law and order in our country" - Elections : news, interview | euronews

October 19th officially marks the beginning of Ukraine's presidential race.

Former Prime Minister and leader of the Party of Regions Viktor Yanukovych, is one candidate.

In 2004 Yanukovych was declared winner in a highly-charged presidential election.

But following allegations of electoral fraud and peaceful protesting, dubbed the "Orange Revolution," the opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko took power.

With three months until the election Yanukovych spoke to euronews about his election campaign and political program.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:07:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
EU pushes member hopefuls to speed up reforms | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 14.10.2009
In a progress report on would-be EU members, the European Commission told Turkey it needed to make more progress on political and civil rights reforms.  

The European Commission's annual progress report, released on Wednesday, called on countries seeking membership to the European Union to work on eliminating corruption, improving their judicial systems and improving their human rights situations.

Most of the countries, including Serbia, Albania, Macedonia, Bosnia, Montenegro and Kosova, were making uneven progress and would not be able to accede to the EU for many years.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:12:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sarkozy `nepotism' row puts country's reputation in the dock | France 24
Pressure is piling up on embattled French President Nicolas Sarkozy, whose 23-year-old undergraduate son looks set to head-up the main business district in Paris. Worryingly, not only have there been howls of disapproval at home, but the international community is now joining in as well.

The imminent appointment of the French president's son to a top post at the country's biggest business district is doing damage to France's international image, according to domestic and international commentators.   Jean Sarkozy - a 23-year-old undergraduate who is married to a wealthy heiress - is tipped to become chairman of the EPAD agency overseeing development in the Paris business area La Defense.   Since the story broke on Thursday, French media have increasingly been questioning his meteoric rise in French politics, with many suggesting is inevitably down to his father's status as the country's head of state - blatant nepotism in other words.   The international media immediately picked up on the story.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:13:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Portfolio season begins | Presseurop

In a bid to satisfy all of the contenders for a place in the future European Commission, President Barroso plans to create four new portfolios. But, as at least one commentator in the European press has humorously remarked, perhaps the real value of a commission post should be determined by counting the number of gifts received by the previous commissioner.

José Manuel Barroso is faced with an onerous task. He has to present a brand new commission at the start of 2010, but, as Handelsblatt reports, in view of the doubts about the final ratification of the Lisbon Treaty, he has no definite information on the identity of candidates for commission portfolios or on the scale of the future executive. Worse still, he will have to find work for everyone, that is to say, for 27 commissioners if the Treaty comes into force. "There simply is not enough work in Brussels to keep 27 commissioners busy," remarks the German business daily. This problem is not a new one: to wit the appointment "of Romania's Leonard Orban to the post of Commissioner for Multilingualism, which is something of a running joke in Brussels."

In response to this predicament, Handelsblatt explains that Barroso has decided to redesign the commission and to create "new portfolios, which better reflect the future challenges" faced by Europe. Having already announced a Commissioner for Climate Action to supervise the reduction of CO2 in Europe, and a Commissioner for Fundamental Rights with a mission to safeguard democratic values. He is also planning to appoint a Commissioner for Innovation with a brief to promote the commercial exploitation of the results of European research, and a Commissioner for Financial Services. Four portfolios, which as the daily remarks, "have not sparked any controversy."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:22:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Czeske Noviny: Klaus's "Lisbon" demands raised very late - German government
Berlin - Czech President Vaclav Klaus has raised his additional demands regarding the Lisbon treaty very late, Ulrich Wilhelm, spokesman for the German government, told journalists today, commenting on Klaus's reluctance to sign the Lisbon treaty due to which the Czech Republic is the last EU member not to have ratified it.

Klaus, whose signature under the Lisbon treaty is the last missing, said on Friday he demands an opt-out for Czechs from the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights, incorporated in the Lisbon treaty. His step has surprised both Czech and European politicians.

Klaus said he fears that the charter might enable German deportees to claim their former property on Czech soil, confiscated from them after World War Two on the basis of the Benes decrees.

Opting out of the Charter of Fundamental Rights. Charming.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:15:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"very late"= we're pissed off but won't express it more clearly so not to inflame the Czech, Polish etc publics.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:35:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Any news on the Czech high court trying the treaty (again, as I understand it)?

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:26:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Süddeutsche, 13.10.09
sueddeutsche.de: Warum nennen Sie die Linke PDL?

Schäfer-Gümbel: PDL steht für "Partei Die Linke". Ich weigere mich, eine Partei links zu nennen, die vor allem populistisch ist. Der Name ist ein Etikettenschwindel. Links ist ein Markenzeichen der Aufklärung und die Partei der Aufklärung sind wir, wir sind die linke Volkspartei.

Someone from the SPD refuses to refer to the Left party by their name, since he claims that is fraudulent, as they are really a populist, not a leftist party. Instead he's coined the acronym PDL for "Party of the Left".

Any reference to Berlusconi is a complete coincidence, of course....

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 03:31:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 ECONOMY & FINANCE 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:57:31 PM EST
EUobserver / Several EU states put in 'high-risk' band on public finances

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - A new report by the European Commission on the sustainability of public finances concludes that the health of member state coffers varies considerably across the bloc.

Britain, Spain, Greece, Ireland and Latvia all fell into the high-risk category as soaring public debt may constrict their ability to meet future obligations such as pension payments.

The recession has put a large hole in government finances

Published on Wednesday (14 October), the Commission's communication and accompanying "Sustainability Report 2009" takes into account the impact of the crisis, and is a follow-on from a similar report in 2006.

"The long-term sustainability of public finances is a concern for all EU countries, although to a considerably varying degree across member states," said the EU executive in a statement.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:15:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Wow. Is this the first time Britain is on such a list and Italy is not?
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 04:42:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Al Jazeera English - Business - Lack of scrutiny for Geithner aides

Aides to the US treasury secretary who each earned large pay packets working for some of the country's largest investment companies have been advising the administration on its regulatory policy, despite never having faced senate confirmation.

None of the aides to Timothy Geithner have faced the public scrutiny given to senate-confirmed appointees, despite earning massive sums from Wall Street firms, nor are they required to testify in US congress to defend or explain the treasury's actions.

Geithner's "kitchen cabinet", which wields considerable influence behind the scenes at the treasury department, helped oversee the nation's $700bn banking rescue, as well as helping to draw up executive pay rules and revamp financial regulations.

According to financial disclosure forms obtained by the Bloomberg news agency, advisers including Lee Sachs from Mariner Investment Group, and Gene Sperling, from Goldman Sachs, earned hundreds of thousands of dollars last year.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:20:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Geithner Aides Reaped Millions Working for Banks, Hedge Funds | Bloomberg | 14 Oct 2009

Some of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's closest aides, none of whom faced Senate confirmation, earned millions of dollars a year working for Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and other Wall Street firms, according to financial disclosure forms....

The advisers include Gene Sperling, who last year took in $887,727 from Goldman Sachs and $158,000 for speeches mostly to financial companies....

Lee Sachs, reported more than $3 million in salary and partnership income from Mariner Investment Group, a New York hedge fund....

The title of counselor had been generally reserved for those awaiting confirmation. Some of Geithner's aides now work in that capacity, including Lael Brainard, who has been nominated to be undersecretary for international affairs, and Jeffrey Goldstein, the nominee to be undersecretary for domestic finance....

For example, Geithner's deputy, Neal Wolin, was president and chief operating officer for property and casualty operations at insurer Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. in Hartford, Connecticut. Michael Barr, the assistant secretary for financial institutions, was a professor at the University of Michigan Law School....

Geithner's inner circle also includes counselor Lewis Alexander, the former chief economist at Citigroup; Chief of Staff Mark Patterson, who was a lobbyist at Goldman Sachs, and Matthew Kabaker, a deputy assistant secretary who worked at private equity firm Blackstone Group LP. Patterson's and Kabaker's jobs did not require confirmation.

One counselor who doesn't have a finance background is Jake Siewert, a press secretary for President Bill Clinton who came to the Treasury after working as a vice president at New York- based Alcoa Inc., the largest U.S. aluminum producer....

Al Jazeer was a little short on um copy.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 04:47:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ellen Brown :: Publicly-Owned Banks Can Help States and Residents

The credit crunch is getting worse on Main Street, despite a Wall Street bailout now in the trillions of dollars. The Federal Reserve's charts show that "base money" is rapidly expanding--meaning coins, paper money, and commercial banks' reserves with the central bank. But the money isn't getting where it needs to go to stimulate economic growth: into the bank accounts of American businesses and consumers.  The Fed has been pumping out money to the banks, and their reserves have been growing at unprecedented rates, but the money supply in the real economy has been declining.

According to Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, writing last month in the UK Telegraph, U.S. bank credit and M3 (the broadest measure of the money supply) contracted over the summer at rates comparable to the onset of the Great Depression. In the summer quarter, U.S. bank loans fell at an annual pace of almost 14 percent. "There has been nothing like this in the USA since the 1930s," said Professor Tim Congdon of International Monetary Research. "The rapid destruction of money balances is madness."

Chartered banks are allowed to create credit on their books equal to many times their deposit base, but lately they haven't been doing it. In more normal times, one dollar in base money has been fanned by the banks into $8.50 in loans. Today, one dollar in base money produces only one dollar in loans. Although the Fed has been frantically pushing cash into the banks, it can't make them lend to consumers.



Modern conservatives engage in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy: the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.Galbraith
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 07:43:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What happened to the global economy and what we can do about it
  James Kwak  Baseline Scenario

Calvin Trillin's Theory

According to Calvin Trillin (or, more accurately, the probably-at-least-semi-fictional interlocutor he meets at a bar in Midtown), the financial crisis was caused by smart people going to work on Wall Street. In the old days, the story goes, it was the lower third of the class that went to Wall Street, and "by the standards that came later, they weren't really greedy. They just wanted a nice house in Greenwich and maybe a sailboat. A lot of them were from families that had always been on Wall Street, so they were accustomed to nice houses in Greenwich. They didn't feel the need to leverage the entire business so they could make the sort of money that easily supports the second oceangoing yacht."

Then, however, as college debts and Wall Street pay grew in tandem, the smart kids started going to Wall Street to make the money, leading to derivatives and securitization, until finally: "When the smart guys started this business of securitizing things that didn't even exist in the first place, who was running the firms they worked for? Our guys! The lower third of the class! Guys who didn't have the foggiest notion of what a credit default swap was."

It's a cute story. But there may be an element of truth to it. In their well-known paper, "Wages and Human Capital in the U.S. Financial Industry: 1909-2006," Thomas Philippon and Ariell Reshef measured the relative wage and relative educational levels of workers in the financial sector over the last century. The picture looks like this:


.....

I read somewhere that of the CEOs of the largest banks, only Vikram Pandit at Citi was a true "quant," and he only came in when Citi bought his hedge fund in 2007, after the bulk of the damage was done. (I'm not endorsing Pandit's job as CEO, only saying that the mess was there before he arrived.) So there probably was this situation where the executive ranks were filled with old-style relationship-builders and dealmakers, and the increasingly quantitative traders were doing things they didn't understand. A similar story has been told about Salomon under John Gutfreund in the 1980s (and LTCM under John Meriweather in the 1990s).

Technology firms also face a similar problem. In technology, as in most businesses, the way to make it to the top is through sales, so you end up with a situation where the CEO is a sales guy who has no understanding of technology and, for example, thinks that you can cut the development time of a project in half by adding twice as many people. I have seen this have catastrophic results. Even when you don't have the generational issue that Trillin talks about, the problem is that the sociology of corporations leads to a certain kind of CEO, and as corporations become increasingly dependent on complex technology or complex business processes (for example, the kind of data-driven marketing that consumer packaged companies do), you end up with CEOs who don't understand the key aspects of the companies they are managing. And the underlying problem is that, for all the blather that CEOs and boards spit out about succession planning and the importance of people, the fact remains that the market for CEOs is deeply flawed, as shown for example by Rakesh Khurana.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 09:50:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What is this thing they speak of?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 02:18:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think what is what!  Kwak's Trillin story focuses on how we got here from the point of view of a knowledgeable observer or a representative of the class that formerly supplied CEOs for the financial industry. Jake focuses on how the new guys did it.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 12:35:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Massachusetts Land Court Upholds Ruling Reversing Thousands of Foreclosures

This is starting to get interesting, although it is far from conclusive.

Massachusetts Land Court judge Keith Long reaffirmed a 2009 ruling (Ibanez) that invalidated foreclosures on two properties because the lenders did not hold clear title to them at the time of the foreclosure sale. Now this decision is still subject to appeal, and Richard Vetstein of the Massachusetts Law Blog (hat tip reader Barbara W) thinks the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court might hear the case directly, given the potential significance of the ruling.

I am still gobsmacked that this issue is even in dispute. Who has ownership is the foundation of commercial law, and it permeates our life in ways most people do not recognize. The reason you get a receipt at the grocery store is that it is evidence that the title of the goods transferred from the store to you. The idea that banks were too lazy to do a decent job of keeping on top of title instruments, when that was the SOLE basis for their ownership interest in the collateral underlying their loans, is equally stunning. I have seen all sorts of deals in other areas founder (water rights is a biggie) because investors were unable to "perfect" certain rights they sought. This is a well established area of law, but the banks couldn't be bothered to spend the money and time to do things correctly. And now they think they can go to banks and assert, "Yeah, we really do own this stuff" and get away with it it is brazen. If you lost a $1000 bill or a bearer bond, no one would take "yeah I really do own this stuff" claims seriously either.

From Ralph Vetstein:

   When mortgages are packaged to Wall Street investors, the ownership of a mortgage loan may be divided and freely transferred numerous times on the lenders' books. But the documentation (i.e., the assignments) actually on file at the Registry of Deeds often lags far behind....

    Despite the lender's attempt to convince him otherwise, Judge Long came out (again) in favor of consumers:

       The issues in this case are not merely problems with paperwork or a matter of dotting i's and crossing t's. Instead, they lie at the heart of the protections given to homeowners and borrowers by the Massachusetts legislature. To accept the plaintiffs' arguments is to allow them to take someone's home without any demonstrable right to do so, based upon the assumption that they ultimately will be able to show that they have that right and the further assumption that potential bidders will be undeterred by the lack of a demonstrable legal foundation for the sale and will nonetheless bid full value in the expectation that that foundation will ultimately be produced, even if it takes a year or more. The law recognizes the troubling nature of these assumptions, the harm caused if those assumptions prove erroneous, and commands otherwise.

    Judge Long also had some choice words for lenders:

       [T]he problem the [lenders] face (the present title defect) is entirely of their own making as a result of their failure to comply with the statute and the directives in their own securitization documents... What the plaintiffs truly seek is a change in the foreclosure sale statute (G.L. c. 244, § 14), which can only come from the legislature.



Representative Marcy Kaptur, Progressive Democrat from Ohio representing the Cleveland area, has publicly urged her constituents to refuse to vacate their homes when threatened with foreclosure and to fight the process in court, demanding that the banks show that they have clear title.  She has also endorsed, in an interview included in Michael More's movie, Capitalism, a Love Story, the assertion that there has been a "financial coup d'état" in the USA.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 10:38:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If I correctly understand the problem, it may be necessary for the loan servicing agencies who are responsible for collecting the money or foreclosing to reassemble the interests dispersed to all of the various tranches for a package of loans for each loan that is in default.  But before it could come to that they would first actually have to find the original loan documents, documents such as the signed copies of which I have in my files for each home I have owned or do own. Very many of these loans were made by "mortgage broker" boiler room operations back in 2003-2005, and records keeping does not seem to have been their forté.

The other interesting factor in this is that the further one gets from Wall Street and Washington, the less sympathy there is for the banksters and their problems.  The best bet for the banksters might be in the venue of the Supreme Court of the United States. However, were I the attorneys for the defendants, I would go to any lengths possible to keep the cases in state courts up to the level of State Supreme Courts.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 10:55:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe you are right. But I think that it would take a lot of SC Justices twisting a lot of law to make this go away.

OTH: The effects of such a game would be fun to watch. Land of the Free would turn into the Wild West, with the rich of China/Germany/Netherlands/England owning all of the USians and our/their Commons.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:54:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
siegestate:
the rich of China/Germany/Netherlands/England owning all of the USians and our/their Commons
That might end up being a more enlightened set of owners than Wall Street...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:57:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A 5 to 4 decision FOR THE BANKS on an issue like this would be the final step in the consolidation of the power of finance over the society. A 5 to 4 decision FOR THE MORTGAGE HOLDERS would likely end the current situation, as it would take out, at a minimum, BOA, Citi and WF, along with numerous smaller banks.  With GS and Morgan it would depend on the balance of their CDSs and other derivative positions at the time.

For the SC it would be like the old Jack Benny routine where he is being held up at gunpoint:

Robber: "Your money or your life!"

Benny: "I'm thinking!  I'm thinking!"

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 11:50:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Perfect analysis. Like I said, fun to watch as the house of cards either implodes or explodes.

History says that JPMorgan and GS have enough inside info to merely sell off at advantageous times and survive even stronger - being able to watch their moves would be the key. Anyone in ET want to be the mole?

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Fri Oct 16th, 2009 at 04:00:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A while back, I asked why someone with no financial problems could not simply stop making mortgage payments. The best explanation I saw is that the loan documents in cases like this are still valid, but the lender does not have title to the property. So they could still sue for the loan, but it would be more work, and they would not have the other advantages they would usually have such as getting ahead of other creditors, and being able to collect even in case of bankruptcy.

Can anyone confirm that such is the case. If what you say is correct, the only thing that will prevent most people in the U.S. from stopping payments on their mortgages is their own individual moral sense. Given what the banks have been up to lately, I'm not sure I'd want to bet on that...

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 07:17:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
gk:
If what you say is correct, the only thing that will prevent most people in the U.S. from stopping payments on their mortgages is their own individual moral sense.
See The Poor Are Honest by Chris Cook:
I learned the reality a few years ago in London, talking to a commercial bank strategist there. "We've had an intellectual breakthrough," he said. "It's changed our credit philosophy."

...

"The poor are honest," he said, accompanying his words with his jaw dropping open as if to say, "Who could have guessed?"

The meaning was clear enough. The poor pay their debts as a matter of honor, even at great personal expense. Unlike Donald Trump, the poor are less likely to walk away from their homes when market prices sink below the mortgage level. In today's neoliberal Chicago School language, the poor behave "uneconomically." That is, they make choices that do not make economic sense, but rather reflect a group morality. This sociological gullibility is what made them rich pickings for predatory lenders such as Countrywide, Wachovia and Citibank.

I remember reading that in the US people were beginning to worry about the change in average behaviour where simply walking away from a mortgage was becoming socially acceptable. This is not something that people in credit risk analysis have taken into account, but it is an understandable consequence of the public perception that they have been punked by the banks and that the government is in cahoots with them.

See "Jingle mail:" The Awful Sound Of "Voluntary" Foreclosure - Couric & Co. - CBS News

When I posted a poll asking whether walking away from a bad mortgage is "irresponsible" or "the smart thing to do," 63 percent agreed with "condoblue" - that walking away is the smart choice. And that's a scary trend for banks and lenders.


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 08:33:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And that's a scary trend for banks and lenders.

But nowhere near as scary as people ceasing to make payments on a perfectly good mortgage if there's nothing anybody can do to them.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 08:39:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A similar case was pointed out last September (21st? 22nd?) in ET:
* [new] Re: Economy and Finance (4.00 / 5)
Ellen Brown: Landmark Decision Promises Massive Relief for Homeowners and Trouble for Banks
A landmark ruling in a recent Kansas Supreme Court case may have given millions of distressed homeowners the legal wedge they need to avoid foreclosure. In Landmark National Bank v. Kesler, 2009 Kan. LEXIS 834, the Kansas Supreme Court held that a nominee company called MERS has no right or standing to bring an action for foreclosure. MERS is an acronym for Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems, a private company that registers mortgages electronically and tracks changes in ownership. The significance of the holding is that if MERS has no standing to foreclose, then nobody has standing to foreclose -- on 60 million mortgages. That is the number of American mortgages currently reported to be held by MERS. Over half of all new U.S. residential mortgage loans are registered with MERS and recorded in its name. Holdings of the Kansas Supreme Court are not binding on the rest of the country, but they are dicta of which other courts take note; and the reasoning behind the decision is sound.



Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:50:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I suspect the issue here is that foreclosures are being attempted without the necessary loan documents.

Eventually someone acting on behalf of some lender is going to start researching the Wall Street Mortgage Chop Shops. It should have been done years ago

The FBI has been warning of an "epidemic" of mortgage fraud since September 2004. It also reports that lenders initiated 80% of these frauds.

but better late than never.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 06:55:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Almost wish I had a mortgage on a house I couldn't afford, provided that the servicing agent had changed a couple of times, especially if the mortgage had originated from one of the So. Cal. mortgage boiler room operations from whom I used to get calls. Just stop making payments.  The biggest downside likely would be that I couldn't use the home for collateral and couldn't sell it, but as a retirement plan when your mortgage is deeply underwater, it is not bad.

In the '70-71 downturn in L.A. a kid I was employing at minimum wage to help wire a console and studio in Hollywood managed to con his parents out of $4,000 for a down on a $40,000 house at the top of a canyon overlooking the SFV, with a view!  The seller, probably an agent for an estate, self financed the loan.  The house had a state park above, between it and the Mullholland Hwy. and had a glass enclosed atrium with a statue of The Buddha recumbent and displaying a mudra that was reputed to have stopped a charging elephant.  The neighbor across the street was Gene Cerwinski, founder of Cerwin Vega.  Very nice place!

The kid and his girlfriend lived in the house for a year or more without making another payment!  It took owners that had all their paperwork in order that long to get him out.  So, best of luck to all of the new "homeowners" out there.

I consider that mortgage holders who do this are, in many ways, being patriotic!  After all, the bought and paid for US Government and Congress will not do anything about the current situation other than try to prop up the vampires.  If we are ever to see an end to years of walking dead banks and other financial institutions and the dominance they hold over US society, this might be the best hope.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 12:19:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And the Best Analysis Tied To A Great Story Award goes to...

goes to....

ARGeezer~! Wow; that's a surprise. Sven, next year...what a great competition this has been.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Fri Oct 16th, 2009 at 04:05:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the award, Seigestate!  But I fear that the comment is a bit too raw for the MSM, or even for many at ET.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Fri Oct 16th, 2009 at 10:29:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I forgot to mention that in addition to the Kansas case, I seem to remember a big Florida case that ended the same way; no ticket, no wash.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 08:15:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Then And Now: Top Ten DJIA Leaders By Market Cap  Tyler Durden,   Zero Hedge

With everyone cheering the US economy finally completing its first lost decade, and likely the first of many, it is worthwhile to compare the top ten Dow Jones stocks by market cap today and ten years ago. What is notable is the rotation out of pharma companies, with both Merck and Pfizer dropping out of the ranking, and their replacement with taxpayer capital proxies, in the face of JP Morgan (#4) and Bank of America (#9). As both of these companies have achieved phenomenal profitability (and a resulting stock price appreciation) almost exclusively courtesy of the inverted yield curve and numerous other boons from the Fed, their market cap contribution should be carefully considered for whether it is sustainable or is one-time item (assuming the QE 1.0-xxxx.0 liquidity pump ever runs out). Also notable is CNBC parent GE's fall from grace, and its over $200 billion loss in market capitalization.

Lastly, over half a trillion in market cap (21%) has been lost by the top 10 companies, even with the Dow at the same level.



If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 12:01:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ARGeezer:
Lastly, over half a trillion in market cap (21%) has been lost by the top 10 companies, even with the Dow at the same level.
That's not wealth, it's collateral.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 03:34:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's not wealth, it's collateral.

It needs to be both but turned out to be neither.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 12:22:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is a tendentious comparison: 1999 was the peak of the .com bubble, and 2009 may be the trough of the subprime crash. But still...

In terms of who's dropped form the top 10 and who's taken their place...

Losers: Intel, Cisco, Merck, Pfizer.

Winners: JP Morgan, Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, Bank of America.

Interesting how after a banking crisis there are two banks among the top 10 companies whereas there weren't any at the peak of a technology bubble. But not unexplainable. At the peak of the bubble the banks have lent bucketloads of money to people to buy speculative stock, whereas after the banking crisis 1) investors have taken their money out of stocks; 2) the banks that have survived are the ones that were in better shape (or, in this case, the ones that were bailed out).

Also, Merck and Pfizer are pharmaceutical tech stocks whereas J&J and P&G sell consumer staples.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 03:43:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Migeru:
2009 may be the trough of the subprime crash

Or it may be the peak of QE/bailout bubble.

Does anyone see a return to normal finance after this?

The banks are running on public cash without public ownership. When the cash runs out, they crash.

The only way they can avoid a crash is by lending some of that public cash back to the public, with the full understanding that a higher-than-usual proportion of those loans will go sour, because most of the public aren't particularly creditworthy.

If they demand more cash, public finances will crash.

How do we get from here to a happy ending?

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 07:39:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Does anyone see a return to normal finance after this?

No, but it's extraordinary the extent to which this presumption holds, even amongst otherwise well-informed commentators. It's as if they dare not admit, even to themselves, the depth of the problem.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 08:11:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by ThatBritGuy
How do we get from here to a happy ending?

Well, as noted way above, it is Italo Calvino's birthday. So we should be able to contemplate such abilities capabilities condition(s) as "a happy ending."

Which is, what? exactly. Perhaps it is some twist upon where the US was heading in that flukey time of single working parent families (though without the implied sexism), union jobs that paid well enough for a real middle class rise (but without using the backs of the lower classes), the hope of the Freedom Marches, the trend toward personal computers (I'm thinking of the high enabling quotient of both the last two), and inexpensive education for all from a variety of different techniques to reach into a variety of different groups. Such a group in such a condition would naturally trend science based, not invisible-god based, would trend world-view, not nationalism-restricted, and even the eye-candy TV would have elevated themes.

People would be educated enough to call bullshit on the Limbaughs and other bent air-raid horns which the corporatists and nationalists use to persuade the drones which they would prefer. People's native respect for the Commons wouldn't allow the conditions that the leaches thrive upon. All would respect the need to care for each others needs.

Good beer, of course. May as well bring in the ponies. And I want a cigar with great sunsets over a sparkling rose sea. (The latter of which I actually often have.)

Ramping down on the rant, the happy financial ending comes after many years of pain, which come many years after the excesses of all the recent past's bubbles are squeezed out. Some research says that the average time for this is 13 years, and we are in year 3. So, just in time for my retirement, Social Security will be ready for me, the dollar will be worth something, and I will be seen whistling down the Promenade...in my skates...with my pony.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 09:14:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
How do we get from here to a happy ending?

the 1% whose interest is to remain in denial will be on a shrinking floe, and the fact that they own the tradmedia will gradually count less, as more and more formerly comatose corn-sumers connect the dots and fel their gorges rising at the necessarily more absurdist arguments to buttress the Big Illusion, think berlusconi levels all over.

i'm betting on a few major strikes and/or uprisings similar to paris '68 or the thatcher era, as services are cut, and the best case scenario is that very few will be enough to make governments quake, and even rule of law quail.

at this point cool heads intervene to avoid massive bloodshed, and that is the moment when folks like those here at ET will be there to redesign capitalism from the ground up.

the worst case, well better not to go there...

as long as there's a chance of the former emerging from incipient chaos, i'll bet on that, long odds it would seem, lol.

the majority of people are reasonable and would like nothing more than to get on with their lives of needing, seeding, feeding each other in peace.

they don't need no stinking ideologies that can't fit on one page, understandable by the average 8 year old.

the turning point would be when the media loons like limbaugh are run out on a rail for being frenzy whippers, and right wing corporate attitudes about war, land, capital and privilege are dismantled beyond recognition, cognition kindled in the kind of numbers that presently show up for the lottery, or a michael jackson retro network special.

distractions like that will not suffice pretty soon.

Massage people, not numbers.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 01:12:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You say dystopia, I say utopia...

the majority of people are reasonable and would like nothing more than to get on with their lives of needing, seeding, feeding each other in peace.

That should be saved to the Pearls folder.

It should also be polynomially graphed. The majority which is made up by those who can do, those who fear they can't (and would vote against their class), those who don't care either way but try someother things...

they don't need no stinking ideologies that can't fit on one page, understandable by the average 8 year old.

the turning point would be when the media loons like limbaugh are run out on a rail for being frenzy whippers, and right wing corporate attitudes about war, land, capital and privilege are dismantled beyond recognition, cognition kindled in the kind of numbers that presently show up for the lottery, or a michael jackson retro network special.

distractions like that will not suffice pretty soon.


The amazing thing is looking at the profit points that make the nickel cigar 15 dollars these days. All the money in playing out or printing those ads, in creating those ads, in paying the limbaughs with 400 million dollar contracts (which implies that there are those above him who are making more), the gigantic sums that are swirling in the sports cage, the cosmetics and other drug cages...

I suppose you are saying that having a nother few wars aren't  distracting enough any more either?

Imagine the profit he makes in order to have a contract for 400 million dollars.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Fri Oct 16th, 2009 at 04:35:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
he has to be paid that much, or they wouldn't be able to point to him as the future of the GOP on fux noos

Massage people, not numbers.
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sat Oct 17th, 2009 at 07:40:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"This is a tendentious comparison: 1999 was the peak of the .com bubble, and 2009 may be the trough of the subprime crash. But still..."

Good point, but I think that the smart people use the same criteria for measuring the JapanLostDecadesTM [now coming to theaters near you], which as you point out is a false measure.

The true measure is to look at trends from decades before. In the case of the US it would have to be decades and decades and decades and decades and decades before - for the reason that one has to go back to the 50s/60s to see where the post-war trend was going, but before RunningSelfishDogsTM of the Republic of Reagan began. During that period it was scandal after scandal, liberal use of the country's credit card and the re-amp of hegemony. I would bet that examination would show it as also the beginning of the FalseDrug of The GreatFinanceEconomy TheoryTM probably started.

As usual, I bring up the Heroin Causality Principle; one can always apply "What similarities would we see if we substituted the selling of heroin - would it change or not change this picture?" Exactly as in the case of the last few decades, the US GDP was elevated upon an amazingly lucrative bubble based upon an industry which created a benefit for individuals at a multiple far outstripping the benefit (if any) for the group or groups that they ravaged, polluted and distanced themselves from.

"Also, Merck and Pfizer are pharmaceutical tech stocks whereas J&J and P&G sell consumer staples."

I don't understand Merck and Pfizer (though they rise and fall on the market's view of how their patents portfolio gained or expired), though they could be lurking, only pushed down by Bush'sLastSurge: Financing the financials.

In fact, JNJ reported their earnings a couple days ago. Just like so many companies, they have increase profits (1%) on lower sales (5.3%). If I'm not mistaken, the J&J types did well even during the Great Depression era.

I ran into this while looking that up:
It's Already Worse Than the Depression


According to Ibbotson Associates, of the 74 rolling 10-year periods since 1926 (i.e., 1926-1935, 1927-1936, and so on), U.S. large-cap stocks posted negative returns in just three of them. The first two were 1929-1938 (-0.89% compound annual return) and 1930-1939 (-0.05% compound annual return), and involved the Depression. The third loser decade was the most recent -- and the worst. From 1999-2008, U.S. large-cap stocks "returned" a compound annual average of negative 1.38%.


Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 08:11:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This is a tendentious comparison:

It is the first time in almost a year that the comparison has been even this favorable. If they manage to keep the levitation going until March '10 and after, then the comparison will improve. But I have my doubts.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Thu Oct 15th, 2009 at 10:34:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 WORLD 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:57:59 PM EST
After the bombing, drug addiction strikes Gaza - Middle East, World - The Independent
Under siege and grappling with joblessness, factional violence and the aftermath of war, Gazans are turning to pills as they seek to escape reality. Donald Macintyre speaks to a mental health group struggling to help addicts

Abu Ahmed lived through last winter's Gaza war in a daze. Though the district where he lives was invaded by Israeli ground forces and came under heavy fire, including the use of white phosphorus shells, he felt little fear. For by then, the 45-year-old unemployed father of 10 was popping tablets of the painkiller Tramadol to feed an ever more dangerous habit."Of course you care about the children but [with the drugs] you forget about yourself," he explains. "You feel less frightened."

Manufacturers warn the maximum daily dose of the synthetic opioid should be no more 300mg per day; Abu Ahmed was taking as much as 800mg - in the grip of an addiction which has rapidly spread throughout Gaza over the last two years. As the population struggles to cope with Israel closing their home to the outside world, the sometimes violent power struggles between Fatah and Hamas, and then the aftermath of Operation Cast Lead, the Tramadol pills - smuggled in through tunnels from Egypt - have provided a welcome escape from reality.

Mental health professionals say there has been a rise in the drug's usage in Gaza since the war. The Hamas authorities have tried to crack down on it, but the drug's severe withdrawal symptoms means it is a seriously hard habit to break. Hasan Shaban Zeyada, a senior psychologist at the Gaza Community Mental Health Programme (GCMHP) is convinced that many of the psychological problems underlying the addiction are "the consequence of living in this situation: the siege, internal division and the war".

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:15:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Al Jazeera English - Middle East - Israel 'holding hundreds illegally'

Israel is violating international law by detaining hundreds of Palestinians, some of them for years without charge or trial, two leading human rights groups in the country have said.   

B'Tsalem and HaMoked released a report on Wednesday, saying that 335 Palestinians are being illegally detained by the Israeli military.

"Israel holds hundreds of Palestinians in prolonged detention based on undisclosed suspicions, without informing them what these suspicions are, without giving them an opportunity to defend themselves, and without notifying them when they will be released," the report said.

The prisoners are being held in legal limbo under a practice known in Israel as "administrative detention", which authorises the army to order the arrest and detention of Palestinians without allowing them access to the legal rights they could expect under civilian law.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:19:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Tomorrow is our day!
Puerto Rico is getting ready for the national strike on Thursday, October 15. Since governor Luis Fortuño layed-off about 17,000 government employees the first week of October, there has been tremendous mobilization from different sectors of the civil society: workers and members of trade unions, women, environmentalists, students, and professors, among others. There have been multiple demonstrations and acts of civil disobedience to protest the economic policies that the government has assured are necessary due to the financial crisis. In total this year, the recently elected government has laid off around 25,000 public employees.

In the last months hostility has grown between the government and different civil society groups: eviction orders in socially and economically disadvantaged communities, police brutality, and the dismantlement of community initiatives such as the Fideicomiso del Caño Martín Peña. There have also been a string of comments from government officials considered offensive and insensitive, such as the now sadly famous "such is life", and more recently, when the Governor's designated Chief off Staff Marcos Rodríguez Ema compared demonstrators to terrorists.

The island is literally going to be shut down (we may not even have electricity or water for spells, so I may not be "around" here).

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne

by maracatu on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:47:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If possible, a diary on the political situation would be very much appreciated. Who is Luis Fortuño? Who does he formally and actually represent? To what extent is he accountable to elected representatives, etc. Puerto Rico is a Commonwealth. How does that enter into this situation?

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 08:16:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING OFF THE PLANET 
 Environment, Energy, Agriculture, Food 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:58:27 PM EST
'Skunk whisperer' in peanut butter rescue - Telegraph
A skunk in Oklahoma who got his head stuck in a jar of peanut butter was rescued with the help of a passer-by and a man known as the "skunk whisperer."

Teresa Vick was delivering newspapers when she noticed the disorientated creature with the jar stuck on its head outside a Community Centre in Bixby, Oklahoma.

Ms Vick enlisted the help of Ned "The Skunk Whisperer" Bruha, who used chloroform to sedate the animal before easing the jar off its head, and the grateful skunk even refrained from spraying him as it ran away unharmed.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:09:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING ON THE PLANET 
 Society, Culture, History, Information 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:58:55 PM EST
Italian dictator Benito Mussolini 'was recruited by MI5' - Telegraph
Benito Mussolini, the Italian dictator and founder of the original Axis of Evil, worked as a British agent for MI5 at the start of his career, it has emerged.

Archived documents have revealed that Mussolini, who ruled his country with fear and forged a disastrous alliance with Nazi Germany, got his start in politics in 1917 with the help of a £100 weekly wage from MI5.

Mussolini, then a 34-year-old journalist, worked to ensure that Italy continued to fight alongside the allies in the First World War by publishing propaganda in his paper, the Guardian reports. He was also willing to send Italian army veterans to beat up peace protesters in Milan.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:03:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Unsafe abortions kill 70,000 a year | Life and style | The Guardian
* Countries with restrictive laws most affected

* Global report shows overall fall in terminations

About 70,000 women die every year and many more suffer harm as a result of unsafe abortions in countries with restrictive laws on ending a pregnancy, according to a report.

The total number of abortions across the globe has fallen, the influential Guttmacher Institute says, but that drop relates only to legal abortions and is mostly the result of changes in eastern Europe.

There were 41.6m terminations worldwide in 2003, compared with 45.5m in 1995. But in 2003, says the report, 19.7m of these were unsafe, clandestine abortions. The numbers of those have hardly changed from 1995, when there were 19.9m.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:04:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Policy of Avoidance: How Blunt Can One Be about Integration? - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

Bluntness and bitterness have long been elements of integration debates in Germany. But emotion often obscures an important question: Why do many ethnic groups integrate well into German society while others do not?

It took a while, but by last Thursday the controversy had finally reached a cafe on Hobrechtstrasse in Berlin's Neukölln neighborhood, a place frequented by fans of the Turkish football club FC Phönix 56 Ayyildiz. A group of men with little else to do -- because they are either retired or unemployed -- usually meets there in the afternoon. The men sit in the sparsely furnished room under a ceiling fan, drinking tea from elegantly curved glasses and discussing politics over the electronic blubber of video games coming from the back room.

Servet Kulaksiz starts the conversation on Thursday. A 50-year-old early retiree, he taps his finger against a photo of Thilo Sarrazin on the cover of the Turkish daily newspaper Sabah and launches into a tirade. "The man is right. Many foreigners don't even want to become integrated here. They collect their unemployment payments, but aside from that, they do nothing."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:06:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Taking a Hard Look at Integration: 'Can We Confront Others with Principles We Don't Even Uphold?' - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

Many would argue that the integration of immigrants in Europe has been a failure. Dutch sociologist Paul Scheffer, 55, spoke with SPIEGEL about cultural reciprocity, the need for self-criticism and why tolerance cannot be based on fear.

SPIEGEL: Mr. Scheffer, immigrants are widely seen as a problem in Europe today. Or can you name a country that is dealing successfully with immigration?

Scheffer: In the past few years, I have visited the areas where most of the immigrants live, cities like Lyon, Rotterdam, Berlin, Birmingham and Malmö. I see the same social problems everywhere: segregation, high unemployment, cultural alienation.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:06:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The World from Berlin: 'We Cannot Afford to Let an Underclass Continue to Grow' - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

The Bundesbank has sanctioned its controversial board member Thilo Sarrazin over disparaging remarks he made about immigrants in a recent magazine interview. German commentators are split about the wisdom of the decision but welcome the new impetetus Sarrazin has inadvertently given to the integration debate.

The German central bank, the Bundesbank, may not have been able to fire outspoken board member Thilo Sarrazin, but it managed nonetheless to punish him for controversial remarks he made about immigrants in a recent interview. On Tuesday, the Bundesbank stripped Sarrazin of some of his key responsibilities in what amounted to a public humiliation. He will no longer be in charge of cash management, but gets to retain responsibility for risk control and information technology.

Politicians from the center-right Christian Democrats and the center-left Social Democrats have criticized the decision. Otto Bernhardt, the CDU's financial expert, told the Wednesday edition of the mass circulation Bild newspaper that the move was "not transparent and not justifiable because (Sarrazin) was stripped of responsibilities that had nothing to do with his statements."

"You can certainly discuss (Sarrazin's) statements," said Peter Danckert, a Bundestag member for the SPD. "But stripping him of his responsibilities, as the Bundesbank has now done, is not the right sanction."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:07:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thousands say 'I do' in global mass 'Moonie' wedding - Times Online

Brides in white wedding gowns and Japanese kimonos joined bridegrooms in black suits and red ties today for one of the biggest mass weddings in a decade -- a spectacle officials that said involved some 40,000 people around the world from São Paulo and New York to Seoul.

It was the largest "blessing ceremony" by the Unification Church since 1999, and may well be the last on such a grand scale officiated by the 89-year-old Korean religious leader the Reverend Sun Myung Moon, the controversial founder of the church, whose followers are known as Moonies.

Nearly a half-century after arranging the marriages of 24 couples in his first mass wedding, the Mr Moon today blessed more than 10,000 couples who had gathered at the Sun Moon University, the school that he founded in Asan, south of Seoul.

About half were marrying for the first time, some in marriages arranged by Mr Moon himself; while the rest were renewing their wedding vows. Officials said that the Rev Moon also blessed 10,000 couples from Sweden to Brazil taking part in simultaneous ceremonies around the world.

[Murdoch Alert]
by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:08:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 PEOPLE AND KLATSCH 

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 02:59:21 PM EST
BBC NEWS | South Asia | India rejects Mother Teresa claim

India has rejected a demand by the Albanian government for the return of the remains of Nobel laureate Mother Teresa, buried in the city of Calcutta.

"Mother Teresa was an Indian citizen and she is resting in her own country, her own land," Foreign Ministry spokesman Vishnu Prakash said.

A spokeswoman for the nun's Missionaries of Charity described the Albanian request as "absurd".

Mother Teresa, an ethnic Albanian, was born in Skopje, now part of Macedonia.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:08:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Polanski is finishing latest film from his cell, says Robert Harris - Times Online

Roman Polanski is putting the finishing touches to his forthcoming film from his prison cell in Switzerland, his friend and colleague Robert Harris said yesterday at The Times Cheltenham Literature Festival.

Harris, who wrote the screenplay for the film, said that the director is making decisions about The Ghost so that it will be ready for its scheduled premiere at the Berlin Film Festival in February. Polanski, who is fighting extradition to America where he is wanted for raping a 13-year-old girl in 1977, recently gave instructions about the film score to Alexandre Desplat, the composer best known for writing music for The Queen and The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.

The director, 76, was arrested in Zurich on September 26 after 31 years on the run from the American authorities. He admitted having sex with Samantha Gailey, a model he hired for a photoshoot, but jumped bail in February 1978 when he discovered that he would face a lengthy prison sentence despite negotiating a plea bargain. Harris, who was in Cheltenham to publicise his book Lustrum, said that The Ghost would be completed in accordance with Polanski's wishes. The director had finished editing the film, which stars Pierce Brosnan as a British prime minister accused of war crimes, on the day of his arrest.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:08:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Vladimir Putin plots rival to Eurovision - Telegraph
Vladimir Putin has defied his famously macho image by suggesting that Russia and its military allies set up a rival version of the Eurovision song contest.

In comments as odd as they were unexpected, the Russian prime minister spoke out in favour of a new international modern song competition that he said should be called "Intervision".

Speaking in Beijing, Mr Putin suggested the new song contest should be set up in the incongruous framework of the Shanghai Co-operation Organisation (SCO), a six-nation defence bloc that is more accustomed to conducting joint military exercises than giving each others' crooners nul points.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 03:10:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Boratvision.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Oct 14th, 2009 at 06:38:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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