Tuesday Open Thread

by In Wales
Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:14:44 AM EST

Yeah, it's Tuesday.

What have you got to say about that?


Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password

Display:
For some people it's Wednesday. Show some respect for diversity.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:21:18 AM EST
There's no Wednesday in my Tuesdays.

Ad astra per aspera
by In Wales (inwales aaat eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:45:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sorry I spoke. Hmph!
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:51:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I've just cuaght up with the news after being (wonderfully) out of the loop for 5 days. Jeez now I'm depressed. this is more than SAD. This is more than wtf ? This is "we don't have a hope in hell".

Seriously.

I read Johann Hari in the Indepenedent about Mandleson's latest right wing scumbaggery to sell off university research to the highest corporate bidder. No more scientists talking about climate change when they're all owned by big Oil. No more pointing out that certain drugs are poisonous if big Pharma owns 'em. Jeez, at what point did Mandelson ever imagine he had anything in common with Labour and how bad were things in the early 90s that he, blair and their neocon pals could take over ?

Then I read the article via dKos about how deeply screwed California is regarding water and I realise that all the stuff I talk aobut happening in the next few years is actually happening now.

Talking of things I've been warning about, those pictures of pollution in china are distressing. china is just gonna fail catastrophically at some point in the not too distant future and it will be a terrible event.

We've now accepted we're beyond Peak Oil, yet we still cna't get anyone to do a damned thing about changing the way we do things. I read an article today in the paper, (sorry can't be bothered ot find url) about a farmer who did all he could to reduce his crbon footprint, but due to the need for fertilizers and weedkiller, it only reduced by 25%, and this guy did went a long way to get it down.

We. Are. Gonna. Starve. And no bugger with any clout is doing anything to stop it.

So, I'm feeling a little bit depressed and fearful.

the only laugh I got was an article in Saturday's Indy saying michele Bachmann was gonna be the next GOP presidential candidate. Don't these guys do any research ?

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:40:49 AM EST
[Helen's Crystal Ball of Doom™ Technology]
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 10:51:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I read somewhere that Vegas is going to run out of water within the next ten years.  Possibly as early as 2011.  They're actually talking about -- gasp! -- making people ditch their grass lawns for desert landscaping, since it apparently never dawned on them that Las Vegas is, you know, in the middle of the Mojave.

It's apparently not nearly as bad for Phoenix (a shame since I'd take Vegas over Phoenix any day in the water wars), but it's probably just a matter of time.

None of this is new.  We've known the West was getting drier for years.  I suspect a lot of this agriculture is going to wind up moving back to the eastern side of the country.

I'm guessing the fact that California has for years governed its development with incompetence that would make Atlanta blush hasn't helped matters.  A few million $500,000 houses out in an area where farms really need water probably wasn't the brightest move ever.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 11:33:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Las Vegas has been booming over the past 10 to 15 years, with lots of migration from other US regions due to the cheap real estate and the relatively healthy public finances due to revenue from the casino industry... And now you're telling me it will all turn into dust (literally!) for lack of water in the next 5 years, give or take another 5?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 11:53:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Basically.  Lake Mead is down to 43% capacity.  Nevada's already looking to pump water from other areas by 2011.  Problem is: It could be inoperable next year.

Another issue is the Hoover Dam.  If Mead drops below 1,050 ft, the Dam shuts down.  It's currently at about 1,090 ft.

That's my understanding of it anyway, but western ET'ers would likely know better than I.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 12:09:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Drew J Jones:
If Mead drops below 1,050 ft, the Dam shuts down.  It's currently at about 1,090 ft.
[Drew's WHEEEEE™ Technology]

Migeru:

Bloomberg: Venezuela to Save Water, Power as El Nino Curbs Rain (October 22)
Venezuela will impose conservation measures for water and electricity because the El Nino weather pattern has reduced rainfall, affecting hydroelectric stations and drinking-water reservoirs.

...

Chavez is trying to head off possible political fallout from power disruptions, which have become more common in recent years as growing energy use outstripped expansion in the nation's generation and transmission network.

Water levels in reservoirs on the Caroni River, which generate 70 percent of the country's electricity, are "near the alert level," Chavez said.



En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 12:11:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It would also mean about a million people in Los Angeles lose their electricity.  

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 12:20:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
LA Department of Water and Power receives 6% of its power from Hoover Dam. Loss of that power would only be a problem during peak operation. OTOH, DWP gets 41% of its water from either the Colorado River Aqueduct or the California Aqueduct, which brings water from the Sacramento Delta. About 1.2 million acre feet per year come from the Colorado. I do not know if landscaping accounts for as much consumption as is provided from the Colorado, but losing that water would really hurt. My guess is it supplies about a quarter of LAs water.  

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:16:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The real lesson here is that I think we're approaching the point at which someone has to stand up and say, "Look, this is insane.  We can't support all of this crap in the middle of the desert.  If you want a green lawn and a golf course, go back to the East."  I get that the West is an appealing place.  (Denver ranks high on our household list of Places to Escape to Once We Get the Fuck Out of DC.)  The weather is nice and warm, housing is relatively cheap and incomes (on a COL basis) are relatively high.  And nobody wants to live in New Jersey.  But if Vegas and Phoenix grow to the size of the Big Dogs in the East, it's going to be a problem.

If people don't get that, they're in for a world of hurt down the line, unless they can somehow talk the Midwest into pumping water down there from the Great Lakes (an idea which Midwesterners understandably have no interest in whatsoever).

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:06:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
they're in for a world of hurt down the line, unless they can somehow talk the Midwest into pumping water down there from the Great Lakes

Toke-in' on the Funny Weed there Drew?  THAT ain't gonna happen.  California has already tried to pump water down from British Columbia and the local pols, who were thinking about it, were damn near tarred and feathered by the populace.

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:13:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They're in a pretty bad drought, too, aren't they?

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:17:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes.  

Don't know much about, tho'.

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:25:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Those pot farms in Vancouver don't water themselves, you know!

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:48:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


No one could have predicted
by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:04:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
NYTimes.com: Water Scarce, Barcelona Plans Big Pipe To Tap Rhone (July 19, 1999)
Water shortage is far from anyone's mind on the banks of the mighty Rhone River as it surges from the high glaciers of Switzerland down through eastern France. Along its 500-mile route, it is fed by many tributaries until the river spills, largely untapped, into the Mediterranean Sea.

But along the same sea, scarcity of fresh water is an increasingly nagging issue farther west, in the arid regions of eastern Spain. Planners predict that in the area around Barcelona, Spain's second-largest city and the main seat of industry, the shortage of drinking water may become severe.

So Barcelona has developed a daring plan: to build a pipeline through southern France and the Pyrenees to carry water from the Rhone River to Spain. The 200-mile aqueduct could provide water for more than 4.5 million people, who would pay for the project with higher water bills. Although the plan is still far from approved, it is the first time a pipeline of this scale to carry water from one country to another is being seriously considered in Europe.

This plan was again talked about when Barcelona experienced water rationing a year or two ago. And they had trouble with electrical power, too, about the same time. Looks like a pattern...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:35:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If the French are willing to cooperate, they had better get it done while that remains the case.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:51:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
NO!

Going to need the Rhone valley for food production.

Spain has the entire Atlantic Ocean sitting there.  Better to use the money to build desalinization plants.  Yes it will be more expensive - but the Portuguese, if they get their act together - should be willing to kick-in some of the money as well.  Also some of the costs can be offset with "mining" the sea salt and other minerals that will be left behind once the water is extracted.  

Plus, if things are done right, the operation should be fed electricity from that wind power plant you're going to build next door.  

But then I'm on drugs I think in Systems, not by problems.


No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:17:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Drew J Jones:
someone has to stand up and say, "Look, this is insane

yeah, everyone needs to stand up about a lot of things, but who's listening?

..apart from the others who stood up too?

it's way beyond madness, have your change ready.

(miss that sig already!)

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:25:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Be careful when considering the Denver area as part of your retirement plan. While a lot of its water comes from the western slope (a problem in itself), much of the recent development relies on water from a large aquifer (four of them, layered, actually) that is not recharging. There are huge developments in Douglas county, richest and fastest growing county in [mumble, the state? the country? the world?] where the mortgages extend beyond the time when the water will run out.

Talk about being underwater on your loan!

There is also a large subdivision in Colorado Springs where they messed up the water rights and basically don't have any. Be aware when moving west that we have two things you don't have back east--besides sunny days--which are:

- Separable property rights. You only get the surface rights to your building lot. The Union Pacific railroad probably owns the mineral rights, which means that they can come in and put a gas well in your front yard and there is NOTHING you can do about it. Happens all the time.
http://www.hcn.org/issues/328/16489

- A completely separate legal and judicial system controlling water. If you put a stone wall or driveway or cute little pond in your yard, you're almost certainly breaking the law, and the law is enforced. Happens all the time.
http://www.gazette.com/articles/lot-61473-pond-cracks.html

by asdf on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 01:23:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.  Yeah, this would be the kind of concern to watch for, for us.  What is it y'all say out there?  "Whiskey is for drinkin', but water is for fightin'" or something?

Not retirement, though.  There might not be a Denver by then.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 04:24:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And, unfortunately, the huge aquifer to the north of Vegas, in Nye county, has been massively polluted by both aboveground and underground nuclear testing and the pollution is spreading. There is a highly informative interactive illustration at the link.

Here is a view from above of part of the area.

Shortly after I arrived in Tuscon, Az. in 1963 I had a conversation with our neighbor on the corner, who was a hydrologist. He informed me that in the 19th century the water table was at the surface in a great many of the streams and rivers in the area, such as the Santa Cruz, but that by 1963 the City of Tuscon was pumping fossil water from beneath the valley to the west of the Tuscon Mountains, which were the western edge of the city in those days, when the population was ~125,000. The population today is >500,000 and the Central Arizona Project, which was intended to provide an alternative to groundwater pumping, feeds water from the Colorado River, below Hoover Dam. Tuscon has long encouraged low water residential and municipal landscaping, but possibly could better utilize surface run-off from the 10-14" annual rainfall.

A complicating factor is that various records going back hundreds of years, pollen in sediment, tree-ring data, etc, shows that there have been prior episodes of very long El Nino type weather patterns. I love Tuscon and LA, have family in Tuscon and friends in LA but am glad I don't own property in either city, or in Vegas.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:49:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you deliberately spell that Tuscon?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:05:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No! But I find that, due to a neurological deficit in the left radial nerve, letters sometimes come out in an order different than I intended, and i didn't notice. It seems as though there is a considerable lag between the brain issuing the command and the finger executing it, especially for the left pinky and ring finger.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:31:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL. It's just that you might know some old folk spelling that would explain the pronunciation. (I've several times been asked in France if it's really true that a place spelled Tucson can be pronounced Tooson).
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:38:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There was a time when the Border Patrol in Nogales would routinely ask "Where are you going?"  Those who said "Too sahn" were waved through.  Those who said "Tuck son" were asked for papers.

Tucson has been continuously settled for over 12,000 years....
Tucson, too SAHN or TOO sahn, is one of the oldest towns in the United States. Tucson was originally an Indian village called Stook-zone, meaning water at the foot of black mountain. Hugo O'Conor established the Tucson Presidio in 1775. August 20th, 1775 is considered Tucson's birthday. Spanish settlers arrived in the area in 1776. Tucson officially became part of the United States with the Gadsden Purchase of 1854. Tucson served as capital of the Arizona Territory from 1867 to 1877.


As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:21:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yup.

All the area draining into the Pacific Ocean

depend on snow melt or sub-surface water.  Climate Change is putting paid to the first.  The second is slowly being tapped-out.  The Central Valley in California (for ag areas) and Vegas (for urban areas) are only the first to hit the wall.  Over the next 20 years I expect the entire region to literally dry-up and blow away.  

The short grass prairie region is facing the same problems as the Ogallala Aquifer dries up.  This area has already depopulated, to a large extent, so the humanitarian problems won't be as bad.  

The Good News is this go will a long way to solving the economic and other problems of the Mid-Western region running from, say, the Mississippi river to central New York state.  This area has also depopulated, mostly due to the subsidized competition of California and etc., but is capable of be economically re-vitalized through diverse cropping and an increase in population.  

Europeans need to start taking a good hard look at what is happening in the US and start making some analysis of what the effects of Global Warming will have on Europe.  Given your basic problem is too much rain during the growing season it may turn out to be a net benefit, oddly enough.  But I don't know.


No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:03:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A huge problem is our preferred patterns of agriculture. I dunno but devoting much of our agriculture to growing grain is hurting us bad.

Given your basic problem is too much rain during the growing season

ends up with us developing grains that grow is areas that don't have rain during the growing season and thus are prone to drought at other times of the year. The major problem with this is that fields are left bare after cropping which makes them extremely susceptible to drying out and losing topsoil. Every time you see a farmer ploughing a field and stirring up dust, that's erosion in action. Even in Britain some fields are as much as 2 feet below the level  of surrounding land from dust erosion. And it rains too much here for reliable quality grain production.

We have to switch from grain agriculture. We have to go to permaculture where land is never left open but our diet has to change radically. and yes, I know I'm saying the end of beer too.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:29:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well I do know quite a bit about European agricultural practices and production in the Late Bronze and Early Iron Ages.  Ask me anything about the proper response to the Romans conquering Gaul.  (Feed-out more moo-moo cows for their meat and leather.)

OR about barley and einkorn production in the Jutland peninsula during the Jastdorf culture!  (Don't.  Isn't worth it.  Spend your time raising little piggies.)

LOL

It's looking like you Brits are going to lose the Fens from rising ocean level.  Which which case ag production in England is, as we say, fucked.  BSE wiped-out the flocks and herds in the whatchamacallit (Dorset?) area & etc.  That can recover if the government gets off it's ass ... like Right Now ... and stops wasting the CAP money on maximizing grain production, like you said.

Shouldn't get rid of all of it.  Grains have their place in proper crop rotation.  Hops is a perennial and can be used as part of the basic structure of a farm, in the right area.  (Do they still grow hops in Kent?)  


No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:02:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We grow too much grains because we do too much meat and dairy. It mostly goes into feeding cattle, pigs, chicken, etc., with concentrates in intensive conditions.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:10:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A lot of the grains Europe feeds comes from the maize and soybean (soyabean) growing areas of the US, Canada, Argentina, the Ukraine, and Russia.  Poland is, or was, self-sufficient in animal feeds.

There are lands where the best crop one can "grow" is animals -- New Mexico, for instance -- although the amount of meat/acre is lower than current production practices.

In any case, animals have their place in sustainable agriculture.  Tho' not in the current practice, in the current quantities.


No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:25:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not preaching against extensive animal production on marginal land and grassland, or old-style mixed farming. But those are quite enough to provide us with meat and dairy in sufficient quantity.

The rest is a question of industrial process. Grain farmers are a highly-subsidized "top level", integrated into industrial production of concentrates for intensive animal raising integrated into meat packing and supermarket sales.

We can do without this and be in better health.

The problem with it is that eating meat is a matter of prestige, like driving cars. We may wean ourselves off this kind of consumption (to some extent), but people in developing economies want meat like they want cars.

(Nitpick: Europe produces its own maize. But by decades-old international agreements, it does not produce large amounts of soy (even where it could). Intensive animal production here depends on soy imports for protein.)

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:32:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Nit-pick away, I didn't know the EU was growing enough now, didn't used to.  The soils comprising the North European plain suck for grain production so it's coming from the traditional grain areas of Poland, Hungary, & etc?

 

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:18:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
By virtue of another long-standing agreement, Spain and Portugal import about 2mn metric tons of US maize. But the EU exports something like that amount elsewhere, so it balances out. Italy and France are the main maize producers.

But I'm not up on the very latest numbers.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 04:19:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
germany, with all her masterful uses of cereals, from the best breads in europe, and beers of international acclaim, was a lousy place to grow grains?

seems a bit off...

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 08:31:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The soils in the Northern European Plain need mucho much fertilizer to 'make a crop.'  I'd have to dig through my references to find the exact soil compositions, the reasons why.

No one could have predicted
by ATinNM on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 11:57:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
1995 SAA Paper

In order to understand how agriculture came to central Europe, it is important to know something of the geography of this region. I prefer to simplify the very complicated patchwork of hills, mountains, plains, and streams into two major landscape zones which have relevance for the study of early European farmers. These are the upland basins drained by the major river systems of central Europe and the flat lowlands of the North European Plain. I am putting aside the mountain chains like the Carpathians, Sudetens, and Harz, and the glacial outwash plains of central Poland and Niedersachsen, for these became of interest to European farming peoples only later. The upland basins of interior central Europe had generally served as traps for wind-blown dust during the last glaciation, which formed the fertile loess soils, while the North European Plain is covered with thinner soils which had been moved around quite a bit by glacial action. In the upland basins, streams formed a dendritic pattern separated by dry watersheds. On the North European Plain, the drainage was the result of glacial action: the bogs and streams that formed in meltwater valleys and kettle lakes, connecting with meandering little rivers and the broad floodplains of major streams like the Oder and Vistula.

Within the upland basins, there was one habitat that was of greatest interest to the early farming populations. This was the valleys of the smaller streams which drained patches of the loess. Loess is fertile but dry, and these stream valleys were oases of moistness from runoff from the adjacent watersheds and from upstream. Early farming populations settled in these habitats along the smaller rivers and creeks. In the lowlands of the North European Plain, there was also one very important habitat. This was among the chains and clusters of lakes left in meltwater valleys and dead-ice features that interrupt patches of ground moraine in several parts of the plain. In some respect, these features are analogues of the upland creeks, in that they are moist habitats in the midst of drier areas of fertile soil.

Physical Geography of Europe

Europe's broad plains curve around the highlands. Scoured by Ice Age glaciers, the North
European Plain
, or Great European Plain, stretches from southeastern England and western France eastward to Poland, Ukraine, and Russia. The plain's fertile soil and wealth of rivers originally drew farmers to the area. The southern edge is especially fertile because deposits of loess, a fine, rich, wind-borne soil, cover it.

Deposits of coal, iron ore, and other minerals found on the North European Plain led to western Europe's industrial development during the 1800s. Today many of Europe's largest cities, such as Paris and Berlin, are located on the plain.

Another fertile plains area, the Great Hungarian Plain, extends from Hungary to Croatia, Serbia, and Romania. Farmers cultivate grains, fruit, and vegetables and raise livestock in the lowlands along the Danube River.

Alemania Historia (english)
Wherever the region's terrain is rolling and drainage is satisfactory, the land is highly productive. This is especially true of the areas that contain a very fertile siltlike loess soil, better than most German soils. Such areas, called Börden (sing., Börde ), are located along the southern edge of the North German Lowland beginning west of the Rhine near the Ruhr Valley and extending eastward and into the Leipzig Basin. The Magdeburg Börde is the best known of these areas. Other Börden are located near Frankfurt am Main, northern Baden-Württemberg, and in an area to the north of Ulm and Munich. Because the areas with loess soil also have a moderate continental climate with a long growing season, they are considered Germany's breadbasket.


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 12:08:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not preaching against extensive animal production on marginal land and grassland, or old-style mixed farming.

Didn't think you were.  

 

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:41:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
and the feeding of grains to animals is entirely driven by profit, which would be less if we took "total cost" into account. After all, force-feeding animals has costs that aren't yet accounted for, however cheap the price.

Also, carbon costing would involve all the extra flatulence from animals digesting feed their digestions cannot process properly.

In the long run, more people are going to have to return to the land and growing their own food, we need to depopulate cities, the south east of england is a joke. But that's gonna need legislation and landowners in Scotland who have stolen good agricultural land to turn into grouse or deer moors will suffer most.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:48:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
that's why changing your diet is one of the most incrementally powerful political actions you can take.

...and you feel better physically, once you're 'over the hump'!

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 12:50:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Helen:
We have to switch from grain agriculture.

It's more like we need to switch how we farm our grains:

The future is Green: Perennial Polyculture Farming

For three decades, the Land Institute has been working to create a sustainable system of agriculture that is patterned after nature itself, that is, in the words of Director Wes Jackson, "more resilient to human folly."

In Jackson's eyes, modern agriculture wages war on nature. Every year erosion eats away 5.5 tons of soil for every acre of farmland in the U.S. Petrochemical based fertilizers and pesticides kill the soils fertility.

The land Institute's Kansas farm is working to reverse this damage by developing cropping systems that mimic the prairie. Rather than planting annual crops, Jackson and the Institute are developing perennial crops that need no plowing or planting. A farm that looked like the prairie would require fewer inputs by farmers, allowing them to keep more of the profit. It would feature a mixture of crops that could be harvested from the early spring to late fall; and perhaps most importantly, it would regenerate the soil into a thriving ecosystem.

The main problem farming with perennials is that they must devote more energy into building a larger root system and have less energy for growing seeds, thus have a lower food yield. Researchers at the Land Institute and several universities are searching for varieties of perennials whose yields can compete with annual crops. The Land Institute has had some success with wheat, sorghum, and sunflowers by cross breeding perennial strains with annual strains. Some lines of wheat have been developed that yield 70% of the best annual varieties. Perennials are hardier than annuals and more resistant to weeds once they are established. In addition they contain stronger resistance to disease. A polycrop field, imitating the prairie, further increases resistance to disease since each type of plant is further separated making the spread of disease more difficult.



Jesus died for somebody's sins but not mine - Patti Smith
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:16:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
One reason I keep harping on food value rather than total food production.  Inter-planting annuals amidst the perennials will lower tonnage of food production.  Not going to be able to tucker-down to a 12 ounce steak every night.  

It will raise the total amount of nutrition per acre (hectare) by raising the amount of fruit, vegetables, berries, etc. produced. And you don't need a 12 ounce steak every night.  4 ounces of animal protein per meal is enough.

No one could have predicted

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 02:32:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
england should plant loads of walnuts, they can be very productive, and an excellent oil can be made from their meats.

i bet many excellent products could be created from them, and the wood is great.

also edible bamboo, wonderfully productive plant

200 apple varieties in england 50 years ago...

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 12:54:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Here's the equivalent diagram for Europe (source: wiki):

and here is the whirl'd...


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:14:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Looking at the map and deserts I remembered a cool thing I once learned: Rainforests cause rain to fall on them.

IIRC, the large dark surface collects the suns heat, warms the air that then goes upwards, sucking in wind from the the sea, carrying moisture. The moist air floats upwards and drops the rain on the forest.

Cut down the rainforest and the weather patterns change and you might even get desert instead.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:48:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We have rivers in Ireland too! And perversely, global warming seems to be giving us more rain than ever - whilst Spain is desertifying....
Let's do a deal - we'll give you 100 litres of water for every litre of wine...

notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 06:36:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The map is of the river basins that adjoin the great European Watershed between the Atlantic and the Mediterranean and the watersheds between the major seas (North Sea, Baltic Sea, Caspian, Black...). All of Ireland's rivers go to the Atlantic.

Unless you insist on considering the Irish Sea basin... :P

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 04:14:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You forget the great watershed in the bog beside my home town which separates the Boyne - into the Irish Sea - and the Figile which flows into the Barrow and then the Celtic Sea.

And what about the Shannon - the Greatest river in North West Europe?

notes from no w here

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 05:40:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ignorance knows no watersheds.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 05:42:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Let's not mention the possible failure of the Labrador Sink and the 2 or 3 years after that when glaciers are scraping Santa's Finnish birthplace and workshop down in the direction of Germany.

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:14:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Helen:
I read Johann Hari in the Indepenedent about Mandleson's latest right wing scumbaggery to sell off university research to the highest corporate bidder.
See Subverting universities for business needs from November 3rd, 2009.

Helen:

We've now accepted we're beyond Peak Oil, yet we still can't get anyone to do a damned thing about changing the way we do things.
See also The Peak Oil Whistle frontpageg on November 12th, 2009.

Finally, take Nomad's

... a touch of anecodetal despair: A month or so there was (another) newspaper special on people whose work, in some way, aim to address climate change issues. What struck me was that, while every interviewee agreed on the importance of addressing climate change effects, not one of them had even remotely considered to introduce significant lifestyle changes. The basic argument was: they could not do their job otherwise.

In short: climate change isn't even a problem for those who made it their job to care...



En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 11:39:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
El Salvador honored on Monday six Jesuit priests killed by the army 20 years ago in one of the most notorious atrocities of the country's long and vicious civil war.


"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 11:07:03 AM EST
It's easy to apologise to people when their death is nothing to do with you personally. I just wish politicians could get with the honesty when it is their fault, but I want a pony as well

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 12:32:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, it is quite probable that the current leftist President of El Salvador could have been on the receiving end of those threats because of his views.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:23:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Chomsky was in Ireland recently arguing that those murders killed the Liberation Theology movement in the RC Church.  (Personally I blame the Pope)

notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 06:38:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A large-scale look at debt - Debtor's prison -
We all know that governments around the world have undertaken huge bailout packages to support their economies and financial systems.    To do so, they have all needed to borrow heavily.    Fiscal and monetary packages alike have resulted in a greatly increased need to finance them, leading to an extremely high level of public debt issuance.   In effect, to support the crumbling financial and economic infrastructure, the world has reacted by borrowing more from itself.  

As the 7 most important economies, the heaviest borrowers and the core issuers of the total global foreign exchange reserves, it is mind-boggling that these countries can continue to borrow such enormous amounts with absolutely no indication of where the money to pay for it will come from.   Of course, this is the age-old problem that we habitually and blindly relegate to the future.   The future is now folks.   

The System is not linearly infinite, it has breaking points, and the scale of what we are approaching warrants all attention.   The explosion of debt that has spread to the foundations of the economic and financial system not only thwarts all magnitudes ever before seen, but it is crossing paradigms that had yet to be crossed.    

From 2008-2012, gross government debt as percentage of GDP will grow from 63% to 75% in Canada, 67% to 90% in France and Germany, from 105% to 126% in Italy, from 197% to 237% in Japan, from 52% to 94% in England and from 70% to 101% in the US.     These are astounding numbers; the world, at its largest scale, is saturating with debt.   (continues)



Modern conservatives engage in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy: the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.Galbraith
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 12:10:22 PM EST
Maybe our serious world leaders can pay their way by baby sitting.

At least they'd be doing something useful, for a change.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:20:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
either that or have a world jubilee.

or both...

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:28:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
for a change.

You're not kidding....lol

Modern conservatives engage in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy: the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.Galbraith

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:36:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have trouble taking seriously anyone who posts table with macro-economic numbers with two-digit-after-the-comma precision for 2012.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:23:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
rotflmao

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:29:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If you were a banker you might have more faith in forecasting precision, even to the ninth digit after the decimal point.

But you're just a blogger.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:42:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
lol

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:43:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 01:38:31 PM EST
Women always saw through Palin in ways that men didn't. That was most evident in the vice-presidential debate. Because many (straight) men found it hard to see past the boobs. Let's face it: if Palin looked like Golda Meir, there's no chance McCain would have picked her. And no one would currently give a damn

 - Andrew Sullivan

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 03:30:33 PM EST
How are breasts of a woman with a mind so vile even appetizing?
by Nomad on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:00:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's something that's worth saying because there is something true in that analysis. But it actually misses the point that an awful lot of people actually respond to the message she was delivering, however bonkers. There are female birthers, deathers, evangelicals, born agains, anti-abortion people y'know. Lots and lots of them, stupidity and madness are not exclusively male traits.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:10:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I doubt that her looks gained the ticket many votes. Sullivan is throwing out the old "look at me, I'm smarter than all the other people in this country" line that everyone from unread bloggers to famous pundits like to throw out there.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:48:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I mean, lipstick on a pigpit bull...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 04:50:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't even think the psychology is very good. Sex doesn't sell unless the sell involves an increased possibility of sex - "buy this sportscar and women will come calling." Voting for someone could increase your odds of getting laid, I suppose, but the attractiveness of the politicians involved has no impact on that.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:06:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's not so much MILF appeal as the fuck-yeah attitude - the semi-comatose but pointedly self-righteous defiance of honesty, truth, morality, decency, and intelligent awareness.

She's a walking narrative - the idea that all you have to do is believe in yourself hard enough, and wish mightily enough, and you can tell any lie, put up any front, rant any rant, and you can still make it to the top, against small-minded naysayers who don't appreciate your own personal asteroid of awesome.

Plus, guns.

Also.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 07:58:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
the idea that all you have to do is believe in yourself hard enough, and wish mightily enough, and you can tell any lie, put up any front, rant any rant, and you can still make it to the top

lol, so true...

don't forget her moose rack.

she takes over from bush in the 'politics for dummies' dept, seems like a portion of the american public wants to see 'take-charge' women who still look like women to um er well, take charge.

strict mommy, dress her up like a dominatrix in your mind, and there's a click of yes, the stuff about eating raw moose brains in the snow while giving birth and undoing the bridge to nowhere and waving to vlad the i'm palin from her igloo and bringing integrity back to washington while modelling high fashion and elastic moral codes.

you coudn't make her up, and because the universe is generous in reflections, they don't have to invent her, she comes locked and loaded with the ultimate in specious corn-fusion, served up in gingham, hoistinga betty crock'o you know what, steaming fresh from hell's kitchen.

sarah can chop your wood, sarah can stomp your wood, there's nothing supersarah can't do...

except string two considered opinions in a row.

as if they'd fit in their cups anyway, lol.

with sarah, you don't even need satnitelive, she's the real wang-doodle, there to make you chuckle at her downhome awfulness, and squirm as she proceeds to make bush look like albert einstein!

comedy gold, born to run, go girl, goddess of retrokitsch goodness, you can taste the apple pie just looking at her.

coulter for VP!

"Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do." Jim Hightower

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 01:19:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Andrew Sullivan has no business talking about what (straight) men see in Sarah Palin.

She is physically attractive to a certain type of person.  "Caribou Barbie" is probably the most apt nickname for her.  While she's absolutely useless if she's unattractive I think her looks are vastly overstated in terms of her appeal.  What she says, and how she says it, is what people like about it.  To the men who agree with those ideas, she's irresistable.  Fortunately those men are not even close to a majority.

by paving on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 06:47:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why are so many old diaries popping up on the rec-list? Some bug?

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 05:52:02 PM EST
Just mig catching up on his bedtime reading........

Modern conservatives engage in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy: the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.Galbraith
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 06:19:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There are few recommends for new diaries, and a user is reading through old diaries -- thus one new recommend can bring those old diaries up.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 06:42:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ooooops?

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.
by metavision on Wed Nov 18th, 2009 at 04:23:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
First public drumming performance



If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue Nov 17th, 2009 at 07:51:58 PM EST


Display:
Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]