Thomas Hoenig For Fed Chairman

by danps
Sat Dec 12th, 2009 at 05:37:22 AM EST

With the renomination of the current Federal Reserve chairman meeting some opposition, now is the time to start thinking about who might be a good replacement.

For more on pruning back executive power see Pruning Shears.


No Associated Press content was harmed in the writing of this post

At Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's reconfirmation hearing last week he offered this stirring defense of his tenure: "We did not - certainly not do a perfect job by any means. But I don't think we stand out as having done a worse job than other regulators."  Personally, I'd like the individual responsible for America's monetary policy to aspire to more than not being the worst regulator alive, but maybe I am too demanding.  

He was grilled in the Senate, where several Senators placed a hold on his nomination.  Holds are one of those inscrutable parliamentary maneuvers that are nearly impossible to game from the outside.  Harry Reid has ignored Democratic holds while being positively reverential of GOP ones; who knows what he will do with this one.  The sponsors might just be posturing, too.  It could be nothing more than the kind of institutional harrumphing the Senate seems to adore indulging in.

Still, the nomination could derail.  He has presided over a disastrous economic period, does not know what the purpose of his job is, and has few defenders.  But it would only cheer those who think he has done a terrible job until the next nominee was announced.  Bernanke's solicitousness of Wall Street is a feature, not a bug; the invisible hand of the financial industry would direct the process to another compliant nominee in short order.  Reformers would need (among other things) an alternate candidate.

It would almost by definition have to be from outside the political and financial centers.  While that would be no guarantee of independence it would be a hedge against it.  Moreover, an outsider would more likely have been a dismayed observer of the meltdown instead of a participant in or enabler of it.  S/he would need an unassailable résumé, though, because such a stranger would be eyed suspiciously as a potential cause of intolerable friction with the ruling class.

With that in mind I think Thomas Hoenig, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, would be a fine choice.  He joined the Fed in 1973 and has been president at Kansas City since 1991.  It is a plumb job: There are only twelve such banks in the country.  Just like being a judge in a Court of Appeals is often a stepping stone to a Supreme Court nomination, the regional Federal Reserve banks seem a reasonable place to look for a new Fed chairman.

He might have broader political appeal than Bernanke.  Right now the Senate seems at best resigned to the latter; no one seems to be coming out with full throated endorsements of him (including the man himself).  A new face would have more credibility than someone associated with economic crisis.  There is also a small chance Hoenig would attract at least some Republican support.  If the nomination was sold as a breath of solid, responsible heartland values being transplanted to the polluted air of Washington it might not be easy for the GOP to rev up the opposition.  If nothing else, Chuck Grassley might pause before trashing a native Iowan or Kit Bond a prominent Missourian.  Stranger things have happened.

Much more importantly, Hoenig appears to be less than impressed with officials' response to the meltdown.  Back in March he gave a speech titled "Too Big Has Failed" sharply criticizing the bailouts (more speeches are published here).  While some details have changed since then, the overall picture has not.  And while much of it seems unexceptional, it would sound downright revolutionary in the capitol, e.g.:

  • Shareholders would be forced to bear the full risk of the positions they have taken and suffer the resulting losses.
  • financial crises continue to occur for the same reasons as always - overoptimism, excessive debt and leverage ratios, and misguided incentives and perspectives - and our solutions must continue to address these basic problems.
  • One other point in resolving "too big to fail" institutions is that public authorities should take care not to worsen our exposure to such institutions going forward. In fact, for failed institutions that have proven to be too big or too complex to manage well, steps must be taken to break up their operations and sell them off in more manageable pieces.
This might be academic since the odds favor Bernanke's reconfirmation.  Still, activists have targeted him and there is always a chance that they will succeed.  If so it would be helpful to have a nominee in mind immediately.  It does not have to be Hoenig, but it would be nice to see some names start bouncing around right now.  If an opportunity presents itself it will probably only do so for a short time.

Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password

Display:
by danps (dan at pruningshears (dot) us) on Sat Dec 12th, 2009 at 05:37:47 AM EST
Can we draft Stiglitz?

- Jake

"Terraforming your own planet to make it uninhabitable hardly counts as epic win." - ThatBritGuy

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sun Dec 13th, 2009 at 04:00:08 AM EST
Or Nouriel Rubini, or Elizabeth Warren, or Paul Volker, or....
by danps (dan at pruningshears (dot) us) on Sun Dec 13th, 2009 at 05:23:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or Paul Allen McCulley who
is a managing director at PIMCO [and] coined the term Minsky moment and Shadow banking system which became famous during the Financial crisis of 2007-2009


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Dec 13th, 2009 at 05:34:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
... he and the Fed did far worse than Australia's regulators ...

... who could have been serious hurt if if one of their big four banks had collapsed, and demolished Iceland style if two of them had gone under, and who worked from just about the bursting of the housing bubble through to the Panic of 2008 to bring banking balance sheets back into reasonable shape to weather a storm ...

... while Bernanke dithered with throwing liquidity at a solvency crisis ...

... that should disqualify him right there.

Utsukushikereba sore de ii

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Jan 9th, 2010 at 08:52:52 PM EST


Display:
Go to: [ European Tribune Homepage : Top of page : Top of comments ]