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Portuguese Elections Open Thread

by nanne Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 10:05:06 AM EST

For all your Portuguese elections news and results

Recent coverage:
Upcoming Portuguese Elections by Torres


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Socialists tipped for narrow win in Portugal vote | World | Reuters

LISBON (Reuters) - Portuguese voted Sunday in an election that that the ruling Socialists were expected to win but without an absolute majority, producing greater political uncertainty at a time of serious economic challenges.

Prime Minister Jose Socrates, an energetic 52-year-old, is expected to win about 38 percent of the vote, according to the last opinion polls, meaning his centre-left Socialists would be unable to replicate their current majority rule.

His challenger is Manuela Ferreira Leite, 68, leader of the centre-right Social Democrats, who has campaigned for vigorous public sector spending cuts to reduce growing debt caused by the worst economic recession in decades.

With unemployment at 9.1 percent and rising -- the highest since the 1980s -- many Portuguese appear to be turning to left-wing parties, which could post the biggest gains since the 2005 election.

by In Wales (inwales aaat eurotrib.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 11:35:23 AM EST
When do results start coming in, do we know?

"Once in awhile we get shown the light, in the strangest of places, if we look at it right" - Hunter/Garcia
by whataboutbob on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 12:11:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
19h localtime, that's 20h CET.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 12:47:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
At 19h local time, the continente and Madeira polls close. However, only after the Azores polls close can any results or projections start being broadcast. So, oficial results and/or last hour surveys, only at 21 CET.

At 16.00h local, participation was quite a bit lower than last 2005 elections, with 43,3 % now and over 50% then. However there over 600.000 new voters, which can eventually produce a bigger liquid turnout.

by Torres on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 01:12:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Continente: Continental Portugal. :P
by Torres on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 01:12:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
PS vence sem maioria absoluta - PUBLICO.PT

PS 36-40%
PSD 26.3-30.3
CDS 8.6-11.6 por cento
BE 8.5-11.5
PCP-PEV 4.6-7.6

Asexpected, the Socialists won but lost the absolute majority.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 03:31:02 PM EST
Thank you, was going to post the early projections myself.
Let's hope PS takes this as a signal that people realize the crisis needs left wing solutions.
by Torres on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 03:40:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Official results here:

http://www.legislativas2009.mj.pt/index.html

Updated in real time. "Freguesia" is the smallest administrative unit.
If you press "ver resultados 2005" you have a side by side with current vote count vs the results of last election.

by Torres on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 03:48:45 PM EST
Turnout falls, center-let loses votes,smaller parties grow -- today's European trend :-)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 04:42:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
center-left loses votes,smaller parties grow -- today's European trend

We need a new hegemonic party of the left, I suppose.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 05:03:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 05:20:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Out with the PES, see who replaces them.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 05:45:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
France 24 | Socialists win election but fail to retain parliamentary majority | France 24
The Portuguese Socialist, led by Prime Minister Jose Socrates (pictured), have won the country's general election but have failed to retain their majority, according to television exit polls.

REUTERS - Portuguese Socialist Prime Minister Jose Socrates won a second term in a general election on Sunday but, as expected, his centre-left party fell short of an absolute majority in parliament, exit polls showed. 

Socrates, 52, won about 38 percent of the vote, cutting his share of the ballot from 45 percent in 2005, which had given him a solid absolute majority in parliament during his first term. 

SIC television projected the result would give the Socialists between 99 and 103 seats in the 230-seat parliament.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 04:12:25 PM EST
Portugal set to return Socialist Government to power - Times Online

Portugal is set to return the Socialist Government to power despite the country suffering one of the worst economic downturns in 20 years.

As polls closed last night, José Sócrates, the Portuguese Prime Minister, looked likely to win the parliamentary elections but with the loss of the Socialists' absolute majority.

With more than 98 per cent of the votes counted, the Socialists were on 38 per cent, against the 29 per cent for the opposition centre-right Socialist Democratic Party (PSD).

Mr Sócrates's Government would be only the second socialist administration in Europe, after Norway, to be returned in the midst of the global economic recession.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 06:12:35 PM EST
Good morning everyone,

This is what we are looking at (in number of parliament members):

PS  - 96
PSD - 77
CDS - 21
BE  - 16
CDU - 16

Majority is reached with 116 seats in a 230 members parliament. 4 seats are left to be attributed but shouldn't change the overall picture.

PS can only form a majority government with either CDS or PSD, the parties at its right. A third option might be a all-left coalition with BE and CDU, but I see that as very unlikely, given the wide range of philosophies the 3 parties represent (from scientific socialism to liberalism).

Only two outcomes seem likely to me:

. PS tries to form government alone to last just a few months;

. PS makes a coalition with PSD, which although presenting a rather different political programme is the closest party in ideologic terms;

Anyway, I think the days of alternating democracy between PS and PSD are over, they still get 2/3 of the votes but the smaller parties are too strong to let only one of them get the majority of seats.

The coming years should be interesting here.

You might find me At The Edge Of Time.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Mon Sep 28th, 2009 at 04:22:05 AM EST


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