We really don't understand

by Jerome a Paris
Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 08:50:03 AM EST

Judging by the number of new tycoons, the rich have rebounded from the 2009 doldrums. “What was shocking to me was how much the global economy has recovered,” said Matthew Miller, senior editor of Forbes, who added that recovery was seen across nearly all sectors.

"If you look at the number of billionaires a country has and how the country is faring, they go hand in hand. The number of billionaires a country has is a leading indicator in how the country will fare in the coming year.

Russia, although overtaken this year by China, sure will be a great place to be this year, as it has the third highest number of billionaires (of course the US tops the list).

Of course, my question is about which word I don't understand: is it the word "country" or is it the verb "fare" that I somehow interpret differently from the Forbes editor?


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Wait... the rich have rebounded - and that magically equals "the global economy has seen recovery across nearly all sectors" ???
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 11:35:31 AM EST
I was about to say that I don't understand the term "global economy".

Or "economy".

"The economy is faring surprisingly well" = "the wealthy still find opportunities to make financial gains".

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 11:43:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"The economy is faring surprisingly well" = "the wealthy still find opportunities for looting".

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer at eurotrib.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 12:53:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You really don't understand!

Wind power
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 12:49:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"the country" = "select market indicators" (possibly including GDP, but focused on asset values)

or

"the country" = "the top 0.1% within it and their pals and flunkies"

= =

"fare" = the narrow indicators above are going up (it doesn't matter what other indicators do)

Wind power

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 12:51:17 PM EST
Jerome a Paris:
possibly including GDP

That's for propaganda purposes. We have underlings who deal with that.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 03:19:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
from statistical point of view what Forbes editor said is not true, Russian GDP shrinked by record 8% while the number of billionaires doubled.

However billionaires are bred not in real economy but in stock market, and Russian indices became strangely the world champions last year, even ahead of Brazil's Bovespa (maybe less than Pakistan or some other exotic places).

As for GDP decline in last year I think it was mostly due to decline in Europe's consumption of Gazprom's gas and anticipated fall in prices of gas (which most dramatically fell in 2008). This is consequence of overdependence on one company and one product.

Recent boom in Russian market and currency I would attribute to the lack of capital flow control, other three BRICs I think have some irritating barriers like tax on purchase of local stocks or bonds. That's why roughly half of hot speculative money which going now to BRICs and emerging markets end its way in Russian market.

by FarEasterner (avdavydov@yandex.ru) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 12:51:41 PM EST
The Economist has a fawning leader about Germany as Europe's engine


Germany's impressive flexibility is the consequence of old virtues combined with new ones. The old consensus-building management system helped employers keep unions on side when costs needed to be held down. The famous Mittelstand (small and medium-sized firms, often family-owned) went through its operations, step by step, judging what to do in Germany, what to send abroad and what to outsource.

At the same time, economic policy took a new, liberalising, direction. The Schröder government introduced reforms to the labour market and welfare systems in 2003-04; spurred on by those, and by competitive pressures from Europe's single currency, German business ruthlessly held down real wages. Unit labour costs fell by an annual average of 1.4% in 2000-08 in Germany, compared with a decline of 0.7% in America and rises of 0.8% and 0.9% in France and Britain respectively. Although last year's recession hit Germany hard, its economy is in much better shape now than it was a decade ago

In other words: Germany was a neo-lib wet dream for the past 10 years.

But there were imbalances and things are not right:


Imbalances cannot be sustained for ever, whether they are deficits or surpluses. Yet surplus countries tend to see themselves as virtuous and deficit countries as venal--the implication being that the burden of adjustment should fall on the borrowers. Germany's response to the troubles of Greece, Spain and other euro-area countries has followed just such a line. A bail-out for Greece, once taboo, is now being debated--and German ministers have even come out in favour of a putative European Monetary Fund (see article). But the idea that Germany should itself seek to adjust, through lower saving and higher consumption and investment, still seems unacceptable to Angela Merkel's government.

So, guess what Germany should do?


It is certainly true that Germany's neighbours have a great deal of work to do. France, Italy and Spain need to follow Germany in loosening up their labour markets; Italy, Spain and Greece need to tighten their public finances. But Germany also needs to push ahead with liberalisation.

(...)

A bold programme of German structural reforms would do much to boost consumption and investment--and, in turn, to raise Germany's GDP growth, which remains disturbingly feeble. Germany can also afford growth-boosting tax cuts without ruining its public finances.

Yes! More of the revenue-depressing policies that have done so much to limit spending and ensuring "competitiveness" is exactly what is needed!

Germany obviously doesn't have enough billionaires yet.

Wind power

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 12:58:43 PM EST
I'm going back to my gardening before my head detonates.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 01:39:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Anybody have any historical data so we can compare this with how the "economy" "fared" in 1930?
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 02:09:54 PM EST
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat Mar 13th, 2010 at 02:18:50 PM EST
So many questions, so little time:  

How many billionaires have earned it ethically? ...
Is the number of billionaires proportionally inversed  to the quality of democracy/human rights in their country?  
Should $billion fortunes be allowed while people die of hunger?
Do billionaires have social responsibilities, or can they just carry insurance?  

How many in Africa?

http://tinyurl.com/ye2p5co

What heads of governments?

http://tinyurl.com/34pkfd

Is Jimmy Carter still in debt?  

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.

by metavision on Mon Mar 15th, 2010 at 05:16:16 PM EST


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