Quiz: what is wealth?

by ChrisCook
Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 07:25:23 AM EST

There's an interesting post in the 'Long Room' walled garden at FT Alphaville blog which I thought I would open up here.


Quiz: What is Wealth

"...a decline in H.P.'s stock price from $46.35 to $40.46 per share, of $6.21 per share, over the period Aug. 5 to Aug. 13 represents a loss in H.P.'s market capitalization of $14,469,300,000. Collectively, H.P.'s shareholders are $14.5 billion poorer than they were on Aug. 5. So here is the quiz: As a result of this event at H.P., is America now really $14.5 billion poorer than it was on Aug. 5, other things being equal? If so, where did that wealth go? Did anyone else get it while H.P.'s shareholders lost it? Does a firm's market capitalization on any given day actually represent real wealth?

In fact, what is "wealth"?  Furthermore, who is to blame for this loss of market capitalization -- Jodie Fisher, Mr. Hurd, H.P.'s board, traders on Wall Street or perhaps anyone else?

How would you answer if your bright and curious teenage offspring asked you these questions?"

One of the more thoughtful Long Room denizens 'Itzman' weighed in after a few comments with the following observation, and off we went.

(Itzman) Another way to look at wealth is in terms of it representing accumulated high density energy. A tank of fuel, a fridge full of food, a low entropy structure like a house - these are all thing that have utility because they have low entropy. Money is the social equivalent. Money can be turned into almost any low entropy product you want, or can buy energy and skill to make it.


(CC) I agree that energy is one of three categories of 'wealth', or 'factors of production' if you like..

The other two are Location and Knowledge.

Firstly, Location/Land - and the use value of Location/Land underpins more than two thirds of money in existence, which came about as credit created as interest bearing loans secured by mortgages over land and buildings. There is a great deal of energy and knowledge embedded in a location of course.

Secondly, 'Knowledge' which in my analysis is both subjective - ie the knowledge, contacts, skills, common sense, experience which dies with us - and objective, in the form of patterns of data representations. Both forms have a value in use, and in fact I distinguish 'Labour' as between 'unqualified' labour aka manpower, which is essentially energy, and the subjective Knowledge with which we put our manpower to best use.

(Itzman) Knowledge is low entropy stuff. Or the ability to deploy low entropy stuff. Location has its entropic component as well.

Life, and civilisation, is a way of swimming against the Universe's entropic tide. Consumption is a way of going with it :-)

If you look at everything in these terms, the most successful forms of life are those that take low entropy resources and most efficiently and successfully turn them into low entropy products. The wealth is expressed in the overall entropic value of the resources at the individual organisms disposal.

In that context, socialism is like growing a field of cabbages to feed rabbits. Net result: More rabbits.

(CC) I would say that considered purely as 3D coordinates location has no entropy, but nevertheless has a use value.

But as I said, energy - which is entropic - may be static and embedded in a location, or dynamic and passing through a location.

Knowledge is just data patterns. In it's subjective form - between our ears - it most certainly is entropic, and dies with us. But in it's objective form (eg intellectual property) one could argue that it has always been out there, and always will be out there - being identified, and sometimes 'lost' or forgotten - but with more or less use value.

One could argue that there is a sort of entropy applying to knowledge, but it is a form of entropy which is reversible ie old ideas can revive (retro fashions is one example)

What do y'all think Wealth is?

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Wealth... interesting...

I think there's a bundle in of interlinked, but definitionally separate issues here.

What does wealth mean?
What does the manifestation/storage/ownership of wealth look like?
What about generation of wealth?
What about extraction/exploitation of wealth?

Owning land is a way of storing wealth, because land is one of the most obvious "finites."

The land can generate wealth because it generates or contains things that sustain life or improve the quality of life. e.g. Food, Raw Materials, Energy.

Food and raw materials cannot (so far) be generated from energy alone.

Knowledge is how you turn land into food, or the raw materials from land into increased quality of life.

So I agree at that level with your categories.

Another one came up in a discussion with friends the other night though.

Complexity, or maybe Sustained Complexity.

You can maybe subsume this under knowledge, but not entirely.

Some part of the wealth of the UK vs, say Somalia is the sustained complexity of our institutions. We have government, companies, civic societies, charities.

This is arguably more than just "tacit knowledge" it's a semi-tangible social construct that facilitates turning Land, Energy and Knowledge into "improved quality of life."

(And also, managing human social interactions to sustain quality of life.)

If we are wealthier than we were a 100 years ago it's partly because we've exploited energy sources more, but also because we built a more complex system that allows us to do various things more efficiently and/or do things we couldn't otherwise do.

HP reminded me of this - the market cap of HP is clearly not, in the fluctuations, simply related to "wealth" but there is a store of wealth in the sustained complexity of organisation that is the large corporation called HP. If you dismantled HP overnight, overall we'd have less capacity to turn Land, Energy, Knowledge into improved quality of life.

Market Cap itself is really complex - because as Mig has diaried, you can't meaningfully sell a large number of shares in a company at the current share price... so in some ways, it's always an overstatement of value.

But one can borrow against the market cap, so it's not all illusory...

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 08:31:18 AM EST
Sustained Complexity could also be called civic knowledge - but it also has to be applied. I am slightly misusing 'civic' in the sense of the recent Clay Shirky 'Cognitive Surplus' video which distinguished between communal and civic. Communal is by and for the members, Civic is by the members for the greater good - which might include non-members.

In the culture we live in, the complexity is obvious. However, one could imagine perfectly functioning societies that were not civically complex, but nevertheless sophisticated in the sense that a flock of birds is sophisticated, as a complex organization, but the complexity is produced by a few simple rules governing interactions between neighbouring individuals.

And adjacent to this: a friend and colleague of mine, Jon Sundell, ran a block party in Helsinki this last Saturday. 1500 + people showed up. The idea came up 3 or so weeks ago. Jon used his contacts to initiate (mobile) a network of people who would provide free (i.e. civic) services to build the party. I know this network of young speedy media types - websites built in a flash, videographers, people who understand how to stream mobile video to the web, bands, dancers, graphic designers etc etc. The load was spread and the party became a reality.

The budget was zero (or let's say less than a 1000 €). On the day, people got a badge if they bought a ticket. The price of the ticket was up to the buyer. However anyone could roam freely. The price of the ticket was a gesture of support to the 'organizers'. I suggested the badges because I assume people would like to show their support, and if enough were sold to be 'visible', then others might be persuaded to buy a ticket and show their support. (Haven't yet heard how this worked)

But an excellent street party with many bands self-organized itself in 3 weeks. With no arts funding, no media income, and no sponsors. This is civic knowledge and civic action. And we'll be seeing a lot more of it imo.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 09:38:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"Wealth," at its simplest, is the ability to command or create, in a timely and convenient manner, the material objects that make human life survivable, comfortable and enjoyable.

HP's market cap, discounted by the price of it being relatively illiquid, is wealth for any individual shareholder, but not for society as a whole - while it enables individuals to command the necessaries and conveniences of life, it does not enable society as a whole to create or command them. Wealth capture is not wealth creation. On the other hand, HP's organisation, plant and so on are wealth for society as a whole, but not for individual shareholders, since individual shareholders have no effective control over any of those aspects of the company.

If the securities markets behaved the way they behave in the textbooks (or at least in the majority of those books, the majority that curiously omit the capitalists from their analysis of the capitalist economy), HP's market cap - the wealth that it represents for individuals - would be roughly correlated to the wealth that HP represents for society. In that case, the textbook answer to the original question would be "the wealth didn't disappear - it was never there to begin with, and the instrument of measurement just caught up to this fact." (Or, alternatively, "the wealth is still there, but the instrument of measurement is broken." But suggesting that the instrument of measurement, the securities market, is broken - rather than just sluggish to react - is a heresy against the official religion of The WestTM, so that explanation is rarely preferred.)

But of course, the securities markets don't, so the market cap isn't. What actually just happened is that the shareholders got poorer and everybody else got richer, because the shareholders' claims to command of the necessaries and conveniences of life were reduced. Of course, this sudden loss of wealth may lead the shareholders to do something stupid and destructive that will impair HP's actual operations in a way that reduces the wealth it supplies to society, in order to salvage the wealth that HP's market cap provides shareholders. When a lot of shareholders and creditors do that at the same time, you get a serious business depression...

- Jake

Our way of life is a lot more negotiable than the laws of nature.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 08:38:53 AM EST
What something is and what it is measured in (or to, or against) is two - or more ;-) - things.

  1.  Mathematically we know the measurement of the coast line of Britain depends entirely on the length of the measuring stick used to measure it.  The smaller the measuring stick, the longer the coastline; as the measuring stick gets smaller the nearer the closer the measurement of the coastline approaches infinity.  Yet, while the "length of the Coast Line of Britain" has more to do with the measuring device than the length of the coastline of Britain, we can approximate the length to a 'good enough' figure and let the numbers in the mantissa go hang themselves.

  2.  From physics we know the units of measurement of phenomena is arbitrary.  As long as the 'essence' of distance/time is preserved the Force of Gravity can be measured in light-years/millennium or microns/femtominutes; we use meters/sec because it's convenient.  


If you never fail, you're not trying hard enough.
by ATinNM on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 09:43:42 AM EST
And back then to the philosophical distinction between a First Nation tribe's insistence on teaching their children "This is what we call gold", as opposed to our "This is gold". (The former not originally said in English)

"This is what we call a cubit".
"Get away?"

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 10:01:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Light-years per millennium would be a speed, not a force.

</PN>

- Jake

Our way of life is a lot more negotiable than the laws of nature.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 10:16:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Check.

(I've been getting about 5 hours a night sleep for the past 6 weeks, or so, & my brain is fried.  Time to AFC for a couple of days.)


If you never fail, you're not trying hard enough.

by ATinNM on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 10:22:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You guys have got it all upside down.
Wealth is... LOVE.
by vladimir on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 11:29:23 AM EST
well said!

tomorrow i may say different, but today wealth is confidence, confidence born of a convalidation by the world of personal choices made with difficulty, and which get easier, the more people get on board.

seeing necessities and services that are perennial, food, shelter, relief from pain, tight energy cycles through waste reductions and growing awareness of undervalued resources right under one's nose, so to speak.

example, we are weaving a duck house out of elder saplings, and i am attending a course on cob building that uses similar weaving techniques to create the frame for filling with cob later.

i have been trying to cut back the elder for years, it always grows back stronger. now i use it instead, and the fact that it regrows so vigourously has become a feature instead of a bug, as i realise how the same system and materials can serve for rabbit hutches, poultry coops, dog kennel, and with cob, a pizza oven!

planting bamboo for its beauty, then realising later its value as winter evergreen animal fodder, tomato vine support, and now the duckhouse frame.

the elegance of finding ones needs met right outside the door, like growing one's own food, tightening the cycles, less driving, less need for money, more sense of energy self sufficiency. this is wealth.

but as vladimir infers so wisely, all this is nothing without the true love of sincere friends, be it ever so few.

Hopeful pessimist, hopeless optimist, it's a fine line

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 12:30:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
  1. Enough money to cover basic needs (food, shelter, health care, bills)  . . . plus a little extra;

  2. Good health;

  3. The ability to enjoy life in the present moment; and

  4. Love.
by sgr2 on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 04:30:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is a state of mind, realizing that this process called life is very brief for all individuals, that you're lucky if you're short on $/luxuries but not on basics like air/oxygen, that no one knows what's REALLY GOING ON, or as we used to say in my pot smoking days, What Is Reality ?!, not even us gung-ho scientists. If you're blogging at ET, chances are, you are wealthy whether you realize it or not.

I love the smell of roast chicken in the morning!
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 03:42:56 PM EST
If so, where did that wealth go?
That was the question, referring to H.P.'s recent $14 billion decrease in capitalization.

The best answer is: "Down the hype hole!"  Following Nitzan and Bichler from Capital as Power:

Capitalization, at any point in time, is the Expected Earnings, in perpetuity, divided by the discount rate:

Kt = EE/r.

But the expected earnings cannot be accurately known in  the present. So Expected Earnings are decomposed into Earnings at this time multiplied by H, the coefficient of hype, where hype can range from 0 to infinity, but, ideally is 1:

Kt = EH/r.

Of course this is for the simplified situation where a constant stream of earnings can be assumed. :-)

So what likely happened is that H.P. lost control over the coefficient of hype. Hopefully, insiders sensed this in time to sell and then sell short their stock - without triggering any alarms at the SEC, which seems to have the alarm threshold set high to prevent false alarms.

A good CEO, such as Steve Jobs, will be able to turn up the hype until there is feedback, and then will play the stockholders a tune.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Mon Aug 23rd, 2010 at 07:17:58 PM EST
If we switch to thermodynamics... Knowledge, of course, has its own non-Newtonian dynamics - while the knowers and thinkers are well fed. Ditto money - while the valuers are in comfort.

What got lost with HP's decapitalization is a portion of future expectations. The world got some billions of illusions poorer.

by das monde on Wed Aug 25th, 2010 at 03:25:12 AM EST
Wealth is a social construct whereby particular social signifiers help social elites maintain a relative monopoly on high-value goods, whatever those may be.

Wealth is enabled by power.  In exceptionally stable systems governed by law with a high degree of social obedience to that law, wealth may be used to gain power.  More typically, though, power is used to gain wealth.  Lack of power = lack of wealth.

by Zwackus on Fri Aug 27th, 2010 at 05:59:16 AM EST
I'm late to the game but it interests me that someone who has abstracted a concept like wealth into its component parts would then reduce that knowledge into a reductive metaphor about cabbage and rabbits, a metaphor that allows no access for knowledge into more productive space/locations. In other words, his argument about knowledge/energy/space enacts the exact opposite dynamic that he hopes to get across.

Yes, I've always been a formalist.

by Upstate NY on Sun Aug 29th, 2010 at 09:35:43 AM EST


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