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by dvx Fri Oct 12th, 2012 at 11:14:55 AM EST
The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
A starting point: It is a truth not universally acknowledged that it's possible to be a highly successful academic and still have a somewhat fragile sense of self-worth. You get your papers published, you get tenure, maybe you win some prizes; all this says that your colleagues believe that your stuff is right, that you really do know something about your subject. But do you really? Or are you just good at self-marketing?
Well, events provided an acid test. If you believed in the little models I and others were using, you made some very striking predictions about how the world would work post-crisis - predictions that were very much at odds with what other people were saying. You predicted that trillion-dollar deficits would not drive up interest rates; that tripling the monetary base would not be inflationary; that cuts in government spending, rather than helping the economy by increasing confidence, would hurt by depressing demand, with bigger effects than in normal, non-liquidity trap times. ... So that's great - except that it turns out that one form of anxiety has just been replaced with another. It's great to have confirmation that you weren't just playing career games; it is, however, not just frustrating but terrifying to watch decision-makers ignore all the hard-won evidence and knowledge, and repeat the mistakes of the 1930s. The good news is that I'm not Sammy Glick; the bad news is that I'm Cassandra.
...
So that's great - except that it turns out that one form of anxiety has just been replaced with another. It's great to have confirmation that you weren't just playing career games; it is, however, not just frustrating but terrifying to watch decision-makers ignore all the hard-won evidence and knowledge, and repeat the mistakes of the 1930s. The good news is that I'm not Sammy Glick; the bad news is that I'm Cassandra.
You think? I came across a NZ economics blog where one economist compared their profession to doctors, in the sense that one wouldn't dare challenge a doctor's medical opinion, lacking the science to do so, yet people dare to disagree with economists... I made a joke comparing them with 17th century doctors, blood-letting and leeches etc.
It was poorly received. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
I will admit to some curiosity as to which of those he will take the greater exception to.
- Jake If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
Let's give it another couple of hours until they're awake in that time zone.
I'll try not to spend too much time baiting those guys. One of these "young gun" economists, it turns out, recently attacked my sister on one of her pet public-health subjects (harm reduction with respect to alcohol). However this guy, who is in bed with alcohol-industry interests, based his attack on a misquote, and ended up looking like six tins of cat food. As the saying goes. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Of course, you have to harvest the wind first.
Wouldn't surprise me, though.
But I liked Bill Maher's comment "Call 911, there's an old guy beating up a kid on my TV" keep to the Fen Causeway
It was early on in last night's vice presidential debate -- indeed, it was after Paul Ryan's very first answer -- that Joe Biden went on the offensive. BIDEN: With all due respect, that's a bunch of malarkey. RADDATZ: And why is that so? BIDEN: Because not a single thing he said is accurate. And it was at that moment when it became clear that this week's debate would not be anything like last week's debate.
BIDEN: With all due respect, that's a bunch of malarkey. RADDATZ: And why is that so? BIDEN: Because not a single thing he said is accurate.
RADDATZ: And why is that so?
BIDEN: Because not a single thing he said is accurate.
1 week ago: President Obama is calm, unflustered, respectful and solid. Conservatives pan his performance, he was "destroyed" in the debate! Romney was aggressive, confident, energetic, forceful -- he showed true leadership! 1 week later: Paul Ryan was calm, unflustered, respectful and solid. Conservatives say this is just what we need in a leader! Biden was far too aggressive, far too confident, too energetic and too forceful -- not what America needs in a leader!
1 week later: Paul Ryan was calm, unflustered, respectful and solid. Conservatives say this is just what we need in a leader! Biden was far too aggressive, far too confident, too energetic and too forceful -- not what America needs in a leader!
The reality is that Obama did badly in the last debate, but the media spun it into a bigger win for Romney. Now Obama will do better in the next two debates, but both will be called for Romney.
Is this even parody!? *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Same with the Obama-Romney debate. Race trumphs position, so the audience bought Romney being the bigger ape. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
romney, natch, was rampant, loins good and girded, all mission to obama's cub-mission.
sure made for discomfiting viewing... It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
My lady and I have been discussing what to wear to the upcoming Coroner's Ball, a halloween costume party, where anything goes, and one idea was to go as Perseus and Medusa. What a splendid suggestion here on Eurotrib. What I save on fabric, I can spend on the helmet !
And wine does not age well in pipelines, though there are varieties like Chateau 99, aged enroute in our finest tanker-trucks. Lined with Limousin Oak, I hear...
No one was injured, though people were inside the office when the incident occurred, said Denver police spokeswoman Raquel Lopez.
How fun. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
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