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European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 23 October

by Nomad Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:21:21 PM EST

 A Daily Review Of International Online Media 


Europe on this date in history:

1958 - The Smurfs make their first appearance in a comics series drawn by Belgian cartoonist Peyo, the pen name for Pierre Culliford

More here and here

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by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:24:16 PM EST
Italian scientists jailed for 'false assurances' before earthquake | World news | The Guardian

An Italian judge sent shockwaves through the scientific world on Monday when he sentenced seven of the country's leading experts on natural disasters to six years each for giving false assurances before the earthquake that hit the city of L'Aquila in 2009.

More than 300 people died after a 6.3-magnitude tremor hit the central Abruzzo region. The earthquake wrecked L'Aquila's historic centre, injured more than 1,000 people and left tens of thousands homeless.

The seven defendants, who belonged to the National Commission for the Forecast and Prevention of Major Risks, were accused of offering an unjustifiably optimistic assessment to the local population a week before the disaster. By then, the area had been hit by some 400 tremors over a period of four months and a local researcher had warned of the risk of a major earthquake, largely on the basis of abnormal radon emissions.

But after an extraordinary meeting of the commission in L'Aquila, one of the experts told a press conference that the situation was "normal" and even "favourable" because potentially destructive energy was being released through the tremors. The prosecution, which brought charges of multiple manslaughter, maintained that lives could have been saved had people not been persuaded by the assurances to remain in the area.

The sentences handed out by judge Marco Billi were higher than those demanded by the prosecution, which had asked for the accused to be given four years each. The judge also imposed lifetime bans from holding public office and ordered the defendants to pay compensation of €7.8m (£6.4m).

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:57:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Italian court finds seismologists guilty of manslaughter : Nature News & Comment
In their final arguments on Monday morning, the defendants' lawyers remarked that the prosecutors had not managed to prove a clear causal link between what happened at the meeting and the deaths. "The minutes of the meeting were not made public before the earthquake. There was no press release, no official statement. So how could those deaths be caused by what scientists said at the meeting?" asked Marcello Melandri, Boschi's advocate. They also noted that the accusation mostly relies on relatives' recollections of the victims' decisions at the time of the earthquake, which can be unreliable.

The sentence came as a surprise even to the public prosecutor, Fabio Picuti, who had requested a prison term of four years. "We'll have to read the judge's motivations to understand why," he says, declining to comment further. In Italy, the judge has up to three months to file the full motivation behind a sentence.

Selvaggi and Dolce were in court during the final hearing, but declined to comment. De Bernardinis said that the sentence will probably "affect the way experts assume responsibilities in crisis situations". Melandri was more explicit. "In Italy you will now see many more false alarms in such situations, because experts will choose to cry wolf when in doubt. In the end they will become less and less credible."


by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:04:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Lessons of the L'Aquila Lawsuit


The L'Aquila court case has prompted much discussion and debate in the scientific community. Many scientists have explained that there is no possibility of offering accurate or useful earthquake forecasts, as was expressed in an open letter to Silvio Berlusconi signed by 5,000 scientists: "Years of research worldwide have shown that there is currently no scientifically accepted method for short-term earthquake prediction that can reliably be used by Civil Protection authorities for rapid and effective emergency actions."4

Yet such a view is not universal in the scientific community. For instance, Stanford University issued a press release discussing the case in Italy and countering that earthquakes could in fact be anticipated in some cases. Greg Beroza, chair of Stanford's Department of Geophysics, has called for more forecasts: "[W]e have to make earthquake forecasting as routine as weather forecasting."5

This context holds several lessons for the scientific community. First, effective communication of nuance and uncertainty is difficult in the best of cases, and there is often a wide range of perspectives on the state of the science. But it becomes even more difficult when messages are being sent to the public via information that may be heard one way among experts and another among the public. When forecasters in Grand Forks intended to send a message of alarm, the public instead received a message of complacency. Similarly, scientists in L'Aquila seemed to want to send a message about authority and proper expertise, but the public received a message of complacency in the face of an ever-present risk.

Another lesson is that debates over forecasts and uncertainty often overshadow knowledge that is far more certain. Paul Somerville and Katharine Haynes of Macquarie University note wryly that "no action has yet been taken against the engineers who designed the buildings that collapsed and caused fatalities, or the government officials who were responsible for enforcing building code compliance."6

The real tragedy of L'Aquila may not be that scientists led the public astray with their bumbled discussion of predictive science but, rather, that our broader obsession with predictions blinds us to the truths right before our eyes.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:41:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is so stupid. Like they take scientists seriously anyway...and as they could prevent anything on Earth.
They are making precedents that can be costly...
by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:03:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
All 'scientific results' apparently need a disclaimer. Anyone reading them and acting on them should sign an end user agreement.


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sapere aude
by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:25:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Exit polls show mixed results for Spanish PM Rajoy - SPAIN - FRANCE 24

Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy secured backing for his austerity drive in a vote in his home region of Galicia on Sunday, but a clear win for nationalist parties in the Basque Country could soon prove a headache for the central government.

According to exit polls, Spain's ruling centre-right People's Party was set to retain its absolute majority and government in Galicia with 39 to 42 seats in the regional parliament compared with 18 to 20 seats for the Socialist Party and 15 to 18 seats for two nationalist parties. Opinion polls before the vote had indicated the PP would win 39 or fewer seats.

In the Basque Country, the Basque nationalist PNV (Partido Nacionalista Vasco) was set to win with 24 to 27 seats, compared with 23 to 26 seats for Bildu, a pro-independence party, 13 to 15 seats for the Socialist Party and 9 to 11 seats for the PP.

The vote in Galicia, where austerity steps were taken by the People's Party even before Rajoy took national office one year ago, had been seen as a referendum on the Spanish government's handling of the euro zone crisis. The PP has ruled in the region for 24 of the past 31 years.

European officials and analysts said Rajoy wanted to wait until after the election before requesting more European aid because he feared conditions, such as a reform of the pension system, could anger voters.

Also see Migeru's results diary.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:06:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
EU plans to tighten visa rules | Europe | DW.DE | 22.10.2012

EU interior ministers are set to discuss strengthening the visa regulations they loosened a few years ago. But following an influx of asylum seekers, many fear those entering the EU might have come to stay long-term.

It is the sheer numbers that are worrying German Interior Minister Hans-Peter Friedrich. In the whole of 2011, some 7,000 people from Serbia and Macedonia requested asylum in Germany, while there were 2,500 such requests this September alone. Serbians and Macedonians are free to travel to Germany without a visa, where they can then apply for asylum. These applicants may reside in Germany while authorities consider the request.

All EU members except for Great Britain, Ireland, Cyprus, Romania and Bulgaria belong to the Schengen area, while non-EU members like Iceland, Switzerland, Liechtenstein and Norway have acceded to it. In all the Schengen countries, citizens may travel freely without visas, and without having their passports checked at the border.

Friedrich believes the fact that many non-EU citizens may enter the EU without a visa is allowing the asylum system to be abused. In theory, citizens from all countries not part of the Schengen area need visas to enter a Schengen country. But in practice, the EU has loosened visa requirements for many non-EU citizens over the last couple of years. Serbians and Macedonians, for instance, have not needed a visa since 2009.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:18:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Icelanders back first `crowdsourced constitution' | EurActiv

Iceland residents voted overwhelmingly in favour of a new Constitution written by a Constitutional Council of 25 citizens who gathered feedback through social media. 

The ballot, which is non-binding, included six questions written by the Constitutional Council, to which voters could either respond `yes' or `no'. The vote was held on Saturday (19 October).

The process to draft a new constitution began after the country's 2008 financial meltdown prompted calls for reforms (see background).

A new basic law is due to replace the existing Constitution from 1944, which is largely inspired by the Danish constitution of the time and is seen as anachronism. Iceland used to be a colony of Denmark.

In July 2011, the Constitutional Council presented its draft to Parliament. The text, consisting of 114 articles, has been put together with feedback gathered via social networking websites Facebook and Twitter. News media have dubbed the new Icelandic basic law as the world's first "crowdsourced constitution".

Backers of change hope that politicians will not ignore the referendum, even though parliament is responsible for adopting a new constitution and the main opposition party has said it opposes proposed changes.

Initial results showed that 66% of participants voted in favour of a Constitution drafted by the Council. Nearly half of the island's 235,000 eligible voters participated. More than 80% voted to declare all non-privately owned natural resources as "national property". Fishing accounts for about 7% of the economy and critics say that fishing rights have benefited a select few. Backers of the system say it has led to sound management of fish stocks.

Residents also voted to allow the Evangelical Lutheran Church to retain its role as state church (see the vote result to all six questions).

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:19:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hehe, 'crowdsourcing'.
I remember when you called it 'participation' or 'voting' or being a 'citizen'.


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sapere aude
by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:26:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EUobserver.com / Economic Affairs / Latvia on track to join euro in 2014, PM says

The first EU country to get a bailout and to implement harsh austerity measures, Latvia is now the bloc's fastest-growing economy and is poised to join the eurozone in 2014 - proof that spending cuts work, its Prime Minister, Valdis Dombrovskis, told this website.

"We still plan to join the eurozone on 1 January 2014. According to the Bank of Latvia already since September we meet almost all criteria," Dombrovskis said in an interview last Thursday (19 October) during the European People's Party congress in Bucharest.

Despite popular opposition to the move, Latvia is obliged to join the euro when it meets all criteria, as are all EU countries except Britain and Denmark.

Its deficit and debt levels are in line with EU demands, with only inflation above the threshold, at 2.9 percent.

Dombrovskis believes adopting the euro will help the country attract foreign investors, ease transaction taxes on businesses and create price transparency, as in neighbouring Estonia, which joined the common currency in 2011.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:22:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
German irritation grows as Britain drifts to margins of Europe | Reuters

Until recently, German officials tended to down play divisions with Britain when pressed about its semi-detached stance on Europe. Not any more. Now they tend to make their irritation plain.

"If someone wants to leave, you can't stop them," said one senior German official, summing up a view in Berlin that the door is open if Britain really wants to quit the European Union.

While Angela Merkel has largely overcome Eurosceptic qualms on the fringes of her centre-right coalition, Britain's David Cameron -- never a committed European in Berlin's view -- appears to be bowing to the isolationist instincts of the bulk of his Conservative lawmakers.

"There's certainly a growing feeling among European partners and also in Berlin that Britain is less interested in any new form of cooperation," said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. "That's a pity, because it is an important partner and we need more integration in the EU."

The latest cause of tension is Cameron's refusal to envisage any increase beyond the rate of inflation in the EU's seven-year budget -- a package worth around 1 trillion euros ($1.2 trillion) -- at a special budget summit due in late November.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:24:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
David Cameron to use veto over EU budget - UK Politics - UK - The Independent

Prime Minister David Cameron today insisted that Britain will "stick to our guns" over the EU budget, as the scene was set for weeks of wrangling leading up to a crunch summit next month.

The European Commission is seeking a one trillion euro budget for the period 2014-20, equating to 1.1% of the 27-nation bloc's gross income.

But Mr Cameron insists that there must be no increase above inflation, and has made clear he is ready to wield the UK's veto to block a deal which is not in Britain's interest at the Brussels summit on November 22-23.

Germany is understood to be hoping to persuade Mr Cameron to accept a compromise deal which would cap EU spending at 1% of gross income.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:26:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Surely he knows there's no way he'll be re-elected?
Who's he playing to?


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sapere aude
by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:38:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Brexit: Europe loses patience with London - FT.com

Soon after Mr Cameron's coalition was established in the summer of 2010, one of his more stridently eurosceptic ministers was reported to have said that there was no longer a need for Britain to leave Europe because Europe was leaving Britain. The observation has turned out to be more prescient than he imagined.

Europe has tired of London's demands for exemptions and opt-outs from the rules of the Union. Other leaders have serious business to transact to rescue the euro. If Britain wants out, continental politicians are now heard to say, it should get out.

The prime minister promises a "big speech" on the subject sometime soon. He wants to set out the terms for a new relationship. The plan is to negotiate a series of concessions as the price for British consent to the treaty changes the euro group will need for deeper integration. The package could then be put to the British people in a referendum.

There are several snags to this scenario. The most obvious is that the government is running out of things from which to "opt out". It is outside the euro and, unlike say Poland, has no intention ever of joining. It has declined to be part of a fiscal pact or banking union. Mr Cameron wants a two-tier budget to separate Britain's contributions to Brussels from eurozone spending.

Britain has long shunned the Schengen open borders arrangement. Now Mr Cameron plans to withdraw from EU-wide co-operation on matters of crime and justice. Beyond the single market and external trade policy - red lines for everyone else - this leaves precious little left from which Britain can exclude itself.

Another problem lies in the presumption that others will be malleable. In truth, the veto has lost its potency. When Britain deployed it in December last year, eurozone leaders simply created a parallel structure for fiscal co-operation. In France there is positive enthusiasm for such an approach. Germany would once have made an effort to accommodate British exceptionalism. But Ms Merkel has lost patience.

by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:28:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
seen from the continent britain increasingly resembles a mad relative who always complains when visiting, then gets into a huff when not invited.

perfidious albion indeed!

like wasps at a pique-nique.

isn't all this really all about the City facing off against the BUBA for total finance spectrum dominance?

It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 08:31:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed. Same old.
Europe: "In or out, Britain, just close the door."

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sapere aude
by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:39:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ulrike Guerot & Konstanty Gebert: Why Poland is the new France for Germany (ECFR, 19 October 2012)
In 2011, this double Polish u-turn enabled the new Polish-German tandem to be an innovative and leading combination when it came to unlocking hitherto deadlocked EU-Russia relations. In November 2011, Radek Sikorski and Guido Westerwelle suggested closer cooperation with Russia in a common letter to the EU chief of foreign affairs and asked her to focus on modernizing Russia's economy and keeping oil and gas flowing as a top priority. The letter brushed aside concerns on the prospect of Vladimir Putin's non-democratic return to office in 2012 and urged Ashton to help make him a "reliable partner" on international security and energy issues.  "We must stay the course to intensify ties with Russia and overcome political and economic lethargy," the Westerwelle-Sikorski letter said.

...

After having played a decisive role in re-calibrating the geo-strategic orientation of Europe towards Russia, the new tandem is now seeking to tackle Europe from the inside with the same energy, and hopefully better results. The latest example is the joint letter of Guido Westerwelle and Radek Sikorski in the New York Times in September 2012, in which they ask for, and sketch out, a new vision of Europe. This is the continuation of a new - and perhaps game-changing - trend in Poland's attitude towards Germany in the European context and this trend has its own history.

...

Germany meanwhile needs a strong partner in Europe. France is, for many in Germany these days, falling behind. It is not doing enough on the dossier of structural reforms in the economy and adapting to global markets; whereas Poland still has substantial growth and ideologically also buys more into the `liberal' German economic philosophy. Further, and in strong contrast to Poland, currently France has not opted into the market of ideas for a more political Europe and how the new European democracy could be organized. Germany, however, has had the painful experience of isolation when it recently tried to dominate Europe institutionally and to impose its own policy preferences on the eurozone, at least economically. It cannot shape these ideas alone. German institutional ideas for a `more' and a better Europe were always generally well accepted when they came accompanied and thereby, sublimated; usually by France. But they cannot arrive alone and Poland today has already largely replaced France as a German tandem partner, when it comes to institutional ideas for Europe.



I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 08:04:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Eurointelligence Daily Morning Newsbriefing: German court of auditors wants Bundesbank to count gold at Fort Knox (23.10.2012)
Paranoia hit a new extreme in the form of an official report urging the German central bank to have formal audits of its foreign-held gold reserves; report was triggered by MPs acting on rumours that the German gold stock has disappeared, or replace by certificates of unknown gold quality (Greek bonds for example); no, it is not April 1; acting on the criticism, the Bundesbank already audited domestically held reserves; it yesterday released court of auditor report with blacked-out details; Bundesbank says it has no doubt about the integrity of its gold holdings in the US, the UK and France, but seeks to repatriate samples of its gold holding to check for quality; the troika and the Greek government edged further towards an agreement, with some differences remaining over labour market reforms; the two sides have also negotiated a new lower target for privatisation revenues; the troika has relaxed its position on the immediate sacking of Greek civil servants; state-owned Irish Life sold its stake in Nama, which will insure that Nama can remain an off-balance sheet vehicle; Cyprus invites international lenders for a round of talks on an aid package; the European Commission says Portugal needs a plan B if deficit targets are not met next year; the latest data show that the Spanish mortgage market continues in a free fall; Eurostat revises Spain's 2010 and 2011 budget deficit upwards; after the rejection of the Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee, Yves Mersch is now facing the vote of the full assembly of the European Parliament; CLO have made a remarkable come-back this year; Italy has the third highest number of NEETs in the EU  - not in employment, education and training; Massimo Giannini notes that Italian like Mario Monti, but not his policies; an ECB working paper finds that credit rating agencies give better ratings to their clients; Christopher T. Mahoney wonders when southern Europeans will start to revolt; Paul de Grauwe, meanwhile, says the Bundesbank undermines the ECB in order to bring about a German departure from the eurozone.


I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:10:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't know that the occupying powers were holding Germany's gold hostage. Oh, I suppose they're protecting it from the Russians...

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:24:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Münchau writes:
This is the most hilarious story in our area we have come across in a long time. Suddeutsche's front page lead is that the German court of auditors has asked the Bundesbank to weigh all the gold after German MPs acted on rumours that the German gold might no longer be there, or replaced by some certificates. The Bundesbank duly counted and weighed all the 82857 gold bars stored in Frankfurt, some 1100 tons. MPs were even allowed in the cellar to see if the gold is still there. In an ultimate act of desperation, the Bundesbank is even considering to let journalists inside the vaults. The problem is only that the gold held outside Germany has not been audited. There are no official figures, but Suddeutsche estimates about 1500 tonnes are held by the Fed, and about 800 tonnes by the central banks of England and France. The total value is some €133bn. The court of auditors has now demanded regular audits of Germany's foreign gold reserves. The last audits from New York were from 1979/1980. The Bundesbank has since been let into the vault, but not allowed to open the boxes in which the bars are stored, something that has obviously stokes suspicions.

The Bundesbank has released the court of auditors statement, with several parts being blacked out, presumably given the continued official secrecy about the location of Germany's gold reserves. The Bundesbank insisted that there is no doubt about the integrity of the foreign depots warning that the doubt itself could have considerable political implications. As a sign of goodwill, Suddeutsche writes, the Bundesbank wants to repatriate 50m tons from abroad, melt it and test the quality.

In an editorial, Suddeutsche writes that the gates should be opened for inspections. (yes, no kidding!).

(We are just trying to picture Jens Weidmann opening a vault in Fort Knox and discovering an IOU with a smiley on it. It is hard to beat this story in term "we were robbed" type paranoia. It also has a certain Götterdämmerung quality. We wonder how the Fed, the BoE, and the BoF reacts to these allegations, which are, after all, fuelled by the German court of auditors, an official institution of the German state. The Fed may respond by just sending the gold back to Frankfurt - that is if it is still there of course!)



I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:26:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Checked the Swiss lakes recently?

So the European economy is now in the hand of plague doctors wandering the land with aqua regia? Flagellants weren't enough?

(In Anna Russell's summary, Götterdämmerung starts with some gold being found, various things happen, everyone dies and the gold is lost. So everything is back to where it started.)


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sapere aude

by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:50:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Workers find gold bars in Swiss bushes - The Local

Two council workers in Switzerland could be in for an unexpected windfall after finding gold ingots worth 124,000 francs ($126,000) behind a bush, it was reported on Thursday.

    document.write('');

    "I saw a package wrapped in white tissue paper, with lots of adhesive tape around it. It looked like a packet of drugs," said Jean-Marc Wenger, from the Swiss town of Klingnau in the north of the country, near the German border.

    It was only when the men -- who were out grass cutting -- opened the mysterious package on June 28 that they discovered an undisclosed number of gold bars weighing 50-100 grams each, some 2.5 kilograms in total, ATS said.

    by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:05:53 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    A comment by Starvid from an earlier thread:
    Reminds me of Pratchetts Auditors of Reality.


    I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
    by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:42:04 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Lots of countries "let" the U.S. store their gold for them. It's unlikely to be in a box; in fact it may well be mixed up with other countries' gold, with only an identifying mark to say who it belongs to.

    Here's the official explanation.

    Foreign governments nd official international organizations store their gold at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York because of their confidence in its safety, the convenient services the Bank offers, and its location in one of the world's leading financial capitals. Confidence results from the Bank's being part of the Federal Reserve System--the nation's central bank and an independent governmental entity. The political stability and economic strength of the United States, as well as the physical security provided by the Bank's vault, also are important factors.

    Convenience comes from the fact that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, in addition to handling foreign financial transactions for the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Federal Reserve System, executes many other financial transactions in the United States for foreign central banks.

    The attractiveness of the Bank's geographic locations is that gold deposited in the trade and financial capital of the world's largest economy enables countries to engage in transactions of all sizes easily, quickly, and inexpensively.

    [...]

    The Fed does not charge foreign countries for holding gold, but it does levy a handling fee when gold enters, is moved within, or is shipped out of the vault. Compartments are identified by number, rather than by the countries that own the gold within them, in order to keep each country's gold holdings private. Only a few Bank employees know the identity of the gold owners.

    Need I mention that it's probably not in Fort Knox, but under the Federal Reserve in downtown NY?

    by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:53:13 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Paul de Grauwe says stop this campaign against the ECB

    We always find there is a particular eloquence with which Paul de Grauwe makes his point, and this comment in the FT is a particularly fine example. After the decision by the ECB to act as a lender of last resort, the public criticism of the Bundesbank and its president has undermined the credibility of the policy, he argues. He writes that Jens Weidmann has been actively organising German hostility to the euro  by opposing the OMT. Now comes the kicker of his argument.

    "Here is my hypothesis. The Bundesbank has been an enemy of the eurozone right from the start, for understandable reasons. Before the eurozone's creation, the Bundesbank reigned supreme in Europe, dictating monetary conditions not only in Germany but also in all the European countries that pegged their currencies to the Deutschmark. With the introduction of the euro, the Bundesbank lost its hegemonic power and became a central bank like all the others.

    The eurozone crisis has created a window of opportunity for nostalgic souls in the Bundesbank to restore its hegemonic position in Europe. This opportunity can be realised by a German exit from the eurozone, which now appears possible. If the Bundesbank wishes to precipitate such an exit, a campaign to convince the German public that the ECB's OMT programme will lead to monetary instability could prove to be a lethal weapon."



    I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
    by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:54:40 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Paul de Grauwe: Stop this campaign against ECB policy (FT.com, 22 October 2012)
    This guerrilla warfare by the Bundesbank president is based on a failure to understand the role of a central bank in a modern economy. Central banks were created to deal with the endemic problem of financial capitalism: its instability and the impact this has on the banking system. This has led to the consensus that the central bank should be a lender of last resort in the banking system to ensure that the bubbles and crashes that are part and parcel of capitalism do not bring down the banking system.

    Should this role of lender of last resort also be extended to the government? It must be, if financial stability is to be maintained, because the sovereign and the banks hold each other in a deadly embrace. When the banking system collapses, this threatens the solvency of the sovereign. When the sovereign defaults on its debt, it pulls the banks into default. This means that the banking sector cannot be stabilised if the sovereign is unstable. A central bank that wishes to stabilise the banking sector is condemned to also stabilise the government bond market. Failure to do so leads to a banking crisis, forcing the central bank to provide huge amounts of liquidity to banks that it refuses to provide to the sovereign.

    Standalone countries such as the US and the UK understand this and have an implicit contract between the government and the central bank, whereby the latter will always provide liquidity to the government in times of crisis. Without such a contract, financial stability cannot be guaranteed.

    Paul de Grauwe fails to understand that the Bundesbank doesn't give a toss about financial stability.

    I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
    by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 04:56:28 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    should be tried for treason.

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:18:42 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    What are you talking about?
    Eurointelligence Daily Briefing: Weidmann ascends to the throne
    New Bundesbank president Jens Weidman[n] was official enthroned yesterday; indicates his main focus would be to watch over, and comment on, German government's fiscal policy; says price stability must take precedence over financial stability
    Oh, dear. And this a day after we're told "Merkel's quid-pro-quo on Draghi" (being the next President of the ECB) is to put a German in charge of the European Financial Stability Board.

    Merkel's quid pro quo for Draghi

    Der Spiegel has the story that Angela Merkel's silence on Mario Draghi's candidacy for the ECB presidency is explained by heavy horsetrading behind the scenes. The German chancellor wants to extract substantive concessions for supporting the Italian central bank governor. First she would like Jörg Asmussen, Wolfgang Schäuble's influential state secretary at the finance ministry to head the Economic and Finance Committee (EFC), the powerful steering committee for the Eurogroup and Ecofin meetings. Secondly she wants Jens Weidmann, who is officially inaugurated as the Bundesbank president today, to succeed to Draghi as the chairman of the Financial Stability Board (FSB). Thirdly she wants to impose a very restrictive line in the ongoing technical discussion surrounding practical matters at the ESM such as what majorities are required to take what kind of decisions and whether the ESM can create new rescue instruments for troubled Euro states in its own authority.
    Jean-Claude  Trichet took a swipe at Axel Weber at the ceremony, saying that the ECB  followed Weber's advice to bail out the German Pfandbrief market;
    For more, see here
    the True Finns changed their mind again: they are now categorically ruling out the Portuguese rescue package; Vitor  Constancio says Portugal may be able to push back its targets for  deficit reduction, but EU officials say no deal has been reached on this  issue yet; Nout Wellink says he is open to a rescheduling, but not restructuring, of Greek debt; criticises ESM for moral hazard; the Greeks are asking once again for a cut on the interest rate on their EU/IMF loan; inflation expectations jump back to close to 2.5%; Jean-Marc Vittori, meanwhile, describes the decision to curtail the Schengen agreement as a "great leap backward".


    I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
    by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:39:46 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The story so far :
    2002 : 13 people, including 11 French naval engineers, killed in a bomb blast in Karachi.

    The convoluted theory is that this is Pakistani military getting revenge for the cancelling of kickbacks they had been getting from the sale of French submarines to Pakistan. Slowly, since then, it had emerged that Edouard Balladur, previously Prime Minister, had used this contract to fund his unsuccessful Presidential bid.

    The judicial net is closing on Balladur. Sarkozy has a guest-star role.

    Affaire de Karachi : les juges établissent le rôle central d'Edouard Balladur

    Les juges Renaud Van Ruymbeke et Roger Le Loire, chargés du volet financier de l'affaire de Karachi, en ont acquis la certitude : l'ancien premier ministre Edouard Balladur et l'ex-directeur de son cabinet Nicolas Bazire auraient été les architectes d'un vaste réseau de financement politique occulte, à travers des contrats d'armement. Nicolas Bazire, déjà poursuivi pour "complicité d'abus de biens sociaux", risque une nouvelle mise en examen, pour "recel" de ce même délit.

    Celui qui fut aussi directeur de la campagne présidentielle de M. Balladur en 1995 est convoqué à cette fin, lundi 29 octobre, par les deux juges. Il n'est plus seulement soupçonné d'avoir supervisé la signature de contrats d'armement douteux, mais aussi d'avoir détenu des fonds illicites issus desdits contrats. Fonds qu'il aurait eu pour mission de remettre à M. Balladur...

    DEVANT QUELS JUGES ?

    Ce nouvel épisode d'une enquête portant sur les dessous de ventes d'armes négociées par le gouvernement dirigé, entre 1993 et 1995, par M. Balladur, confirme l'implication de ce dernier et pourrait bientôt le contraindre à répondre judiciairement de ses actes. Mais devant quels juges ? Ceux de la Cour de justice de la République (CJR), seuls compétents pour enquêter sur des faits commis par des ministres pendant l'exercice de leurs fonctions ? Ou ceux du droit commun, en l'occurrence les juges d'instruction qui enquêtent sur l'affaire ? L'ex-premier ministre pourrait en fait devoir répondre devant les deux juridictions.

    En effet, si les actes relatifs aux ventes d'armes conclues par son gouvernement relèvent à l'évidence de la CJR - s'agissant d'Edouard Balladur à Matignon et de son ministre de la défense, François Léotard -, les faits d'enrichissement personnel éventuels, postérieurs à 1995, peuvent continuer à être instruits par les deux juges du pôle financier. Ces derniers enquêtent notamment sur l'acquisition, en 1996, d'une propriété en Normandie par le couple Balladur.

    Judges Renaud Van Ruymbeke and Roger Le Loire, in charge of the financial aspect of the case of Karachi, became convinced: former Prime Minister Edouard Balladur and the former chief of staff Nicolas Bazire were the architects a vast network of secret political financing, through defense contracts. Nicolas Bazire, already charged with "complicity in abuse of corporate assets", now risks indictment for "concealing" the same offense.

    Bazire, who was also director of  Balladur's presidential campaign in 1995  was summoned for this purpose, Monday, Oct. 29, by two judges. He is no longer believed to have merely overseen the signing of contracts dubious weapons, but also to have held illicit funds from such contracts. Funds that would have been passed on to Mr. Balladur ...

    WHAT JUDGES?

    This new episode of a survey on the underbelly of arms sales negotiated by the government led between 1993 and 1995 by Mr Balladur, confirms the involvement of the latter and could soon force him to answer for his acts judicially . But to what judges? Those of the Court of Justice of the Republic (CJR), only competent to investigate offenses committed by ministers for the exercise of their functions? Or those of the common law, in this case the judges investigating the case? The former prime minister might actually have to answer before the two courts.

    Indeed, if the acts relating to arms sales concluded by the government are obvious from the CJR - in the case of Edouard Balladur at Matignon and his defense minister, François Leotard - the possible cases of personal enrichment, after 1995, may continue to be investigated by two judges of the financial center. These include investigating the acquisition in 1996 of a property in Normandy by the Balladur couple.




    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:38:31 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:24:35 PM EST
    Eurozone hopes of crisis easing rise as budget deficits tumble | World news | The Guardian

    The eurozone appeared last night to be in a stronger position to survive the debt crisis after EU figures revealed member governments cut their annual budget deficits last year.

    The EU statistics office, Eurostat, said the aggregate budget deficit in the 17 countries using the currency fell to 4.1% of GDP in 2011 from 6.2% in 2010 - the first year of the sovereign debt crisis.

    Ireland cut its annual deficit from 31% of GDP to 13.4%, while Germany brought the deficit on its annual budget down to 0.8%, Eurostat said.

    The figures were published before a flurry of meetings that culminated in the taoiseach, Enda Kenny, gaining a commitment from François Hollande of France and Angela Merkel of Germany that cheaper funds would be made available to prevent Dublin's bank rescue from bankrupting the country.

    Hollande said after talks with Kenny that he supported calls to treat the Irish banking sector as "a special case" after the Dublin government was almost brought to its knees by the crippling cost of bailing out the Irish Republic's main banks.

    Merkel previously blocked direct recapitalisation of banks with eurozone rescue funds until a banking supervisor is fully operational late next year but issued a joint statement with Kenny on Sunday affirming that Ireland's bank rescue was a "special case".

    "I said Ireland was a special case and should be treated as such," Hollande told reporters after his meeting with Kenny. Asked if recapitalisation could be backdated, he said: "Yes, recapitalisation already took place through their own funds so the Eurogroup will take that into account."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:42:22 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    After all, each country is a special case.

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 02:09:13 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Crisis of Confidence Develops Between Merkel and Hollande - SPIEGEL ONLINE
    One of the age-old exercises in European politics is to transform even the most wonderful news into messages of discord. What is new is that the governments in Paris and Berlin are proving to be especially adept at this strange discipline.

    It was last Thursday evening in the somber government building in Brussels. The leaders of the 27 European Union countries had just convened for a crisis summit when German Chancellor Angela Merkel surprised them with a novel proposal. What if everyone at the summit would fly to Oslo together in December to jointly accept the Nobel Peace Prize, as a sign of European unity?

    The other European leaders' reactions were reserved. Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said that it ought to be sufficient for the heads of the European Commission, European Council and European Parliament to make the trip. British Prime Minister David Cameron proposed sending a child from every member state to Oslo. Finally, though, the issue was decided when French President François Hollande rejected the idea of a joint trip altogether, when he said caustically: "I'm not an extra."

    Europe's most powerful political team is unable to find a common denominator, from the question of who should be picking up prizes or, more tellingly, to the much broader issue of rescuing the euro. At the Brussels summit last week, Merkel and Hollande, after arguing for hours, agreed on a slim formulaic compromise on the banking union, while all other contentious issues remained unresolved.

    Since the days of former German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer and former French President Charles de Gaulle, Germany and France have generally been run by politicians who placed more value on unity than their differences. The axis between former German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt and former French President Valéry d'Estaing axis proved to be just as resilient as the partnership between their successors, Helmut Kohl and Francois Mitterand.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:42:56 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    EUobserver.com / Political Affairs / Parliament is starting to bare its teeth on ECB

    Prior to the 2009 elections the European Central Bank (ECB) did not take the European Parliament very seriously. In its defence, it did not need to.

    The bank's function was just to control price stability through interest rates and - with the first decade of its existence coinciding with a period of prolonged and consistent economic growth - there were relatively few challenges to its work.

    Scrutiny of the ECB was also fairly tame. Compared to the powers that the US Congress has over the Federal Reserve or the UK House of Commons over the Bank of England, scrutiny at European level was palpably weak.

    The accountability of the bank to the parliament consisted of one non-binding report per year responding to the ECB's own annual report, with MEPs giving their verdict on the bank's performance and making a handful of modest demands.

    Meanwhile, the President of the ECB would appear before the economic committee every three months for a "monetary dialogue" which consisted of a presentation followed by questions from MEPs.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:44:09 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    EU Parliament Panel Opposes Mersch Move to ECB Executive Board - Bloomberg

    A European Parliament committee opposed the appointment of Luxembourg's Yves Mersch to the European Central Bank's Executive Board because of unhappiness about a lack of female candidates for the job.

    The non-binding opinion by the European Union assembly's economic and monetary affairs committee today in Strasbourg, France, is a political appeal to euro-area government leaders to put forward women for top ECB posts. The recommendation on Mersch, Luxembourg's central bank governor, now goes to the full EU Parliament for a vote on Oct. 25.

    Two women, Sirkka Haemaelaeinen of Finland and Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell of Austria, previously sat on the ECB's six- member Executive Board. If the five men currently there serve their full terms, another position won't become available until June 2018 when Vice President Vitor Constancio retires.

    "We are objecting to the EU's most powerful institution being run by only men for the next six years," Sharon Bowles, who chairs the 27-nation Parliament's economic and monetary affairs committee, said in an e-mailed statement. "At a time when we are doing all that we can to change the culture of financial services and to avoid a repeat of the financial crisis, it is baffling that member states are not pushing for more women in key finance positions."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:49:43 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Who gives a flying?

    What finance needs is proper regulation that
    a) takes into account things economists have found out since 1930.
    b) is enforced internationally, up to and including prison time.

    Whether it's men or women doing it is immaterial.


    -----
    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 07:21:27 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Short-term bonuses have grown like weeds | Nils Pratley | Business | The Guardian

    What's the point of short-term cash bonuses? John Kay, when he pondered this question in his review into the causes of short-termism in the City, concluded a ban was in order. Judges and surgeons, he noted, would be offended by the notion they would do their job better if large sums of extra cash were on offer every year. Why should directors of large public companies expect different treatment?

    So well done Lloyds Banking Group for at least entertaining the notion that annual boardroom bonuses should be ditched. This is just one proposal being examined by the bank - but it sounds like one that ought to be adopted.

    Within the portfolio of directors' rewards, annual bonuses have grown like weeds in the past couple of decades - it is now common to find levels set at 100% of salary for chief executives, an obvious incitement to short-term decision-making.

    In the world of retail banking, such structures make no sense. The heart of the business involves 25-year mortgages, multi-year personal loans and long-term savings. By definition, incentives should be set to encourage risk to be viewed and measured over similar periods. Lloyds' proposals, in their most radical version, would extend the time frame for the payout of incentives to 10 years. That sounds more like it.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:45:26 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Well said.
    We would mind a lot less if they were actually "bonuses" based on measurable "performance".


    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 07:22:59 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The Dutch Don't Look So Frugal - Businessweek

    When Wilco Drijver bought an apartment in Amsterdam's gentrifying De Pijp neighborhood in 2008, the bank gave him a no-money-down loan of 209,000 euros  ($274,000). That was 24,000 euros more than the sales price. Drijver used the extra cash to renovate the place, figuring it was a good investment.

    He figured wrong. When he put the apartment up for sale five months ago, real estate agents said it would fetch only about 189,000 euros. Even at that price, he hasn't had a nibble. And because his mortgage is interest-only, he still owes the entire 209,000-euro principal to the bank. Had he known what would happen, the 32-year-old self-employed consultant says now, "I wouldn't have bought the house."

    Homeowners like Drijver are part of a worrisome stain on an economy usually seen as one of Europe's strongest. While lecturing their southern neighbors about frugality, the Dutch have run up the highest rate of mortgage debt in Europe. Their borrowing, fueled by generous tax breaks and subprime-style lending practices, now totals 107 percent of the country's gross domestic product, more than twice the European average of 50 percent. "It's one of the big scandals of Dutch policy," says Rick van der Ploeg, an Oxford university economist and former Dutch cabinet minister. "The government has encouraged reckless financial speculation."

    No one worried much about the situation so long as housing prices kept rising--as they did for more than two decades, until 2008. Since then, though, they've slid 16 percent, pushing almost one-fourth of mortgages under water. Royal BAM, the country's biggest homebuilder, expects the decline to continue for another 2 or 3 years, for a total drop of up to 30 percent. Such a scenario would rival Spain's real estate collapse.

    The debt load is already putting strains on the economy. Highly leveraged households have trimmed their consumer spending, helping to push the country into recession. Dutch GDP is forecast to contract 0.5 percent this year, the worst performance of any northern European country. "The high stock of mortgage debt is among today's biggest vulnerabilities of the Dutch economy," Klaas Knot, the country's central bank chief, said in an Oct. 15 speech.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:46:03 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    private debt is a sign of entrepreneurship, public debt is a sin.

    Wind power
    by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:13:31 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    in the article is that Dutch housing prices have now dropped by-and-large to such extent that anyone who bought a house since 2000 has gone 'underwater' - they will lose money by selling the house. The sale of houses has dropped to background noise, likely reducing prices even further.

    What doesn't help is the political factor: there is a reasonable chance that the convoluted tax break on housing mortgages (the most profitable for the wealthiest housing owners) will finally get dismantled. In the long term, this sounds like good news to me, in the short term it may well mean another price drop.

    Of course, all hangs in the balance, because there is still no new government.

    In short: the Dutch housing bubble looks set to continue deflating for a while. Fun times.

    by Nomad on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:06:07 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Greece Austerity Diet Risks 1930s-Style Depression: Euro Credit - Bloomberg
    Greece is spiraling into the kind of decline the U.S. and Germany endured during the Great Depression, showing the scale of the challenge involved in attempting to regain competitiveness through austerity.

    The economy shrank 18.4 percent in the past four years and the International Monetary Fund forecasts it will contract another 4 percent in 2013 as Greece struggles to reduce debt in exchange for its $300 billion rescue programs. That's the biggest cumulative loss of output of a developed-country economy in at least three decades, coming within spitting distance of the 27 percent drop in the U.S. economy between 1929 and 1933, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis in Washington.

    "Austerity has been destroying tax revenue and therefore thwarting the intended effect," said Charles Dumas, chairman of Lombard Street Research, a London-based consulting firm. "There's no avoiding austerity, though, because these people have no borrowing power. The deficits are there."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 04:55:51 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    [...] the scale of the challenge involved in attempting to regain competitiveness through austerity.

    Sisyphus had it easy.


    -----
    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 07:27:03 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Not in Education, Employment or Training: Europe's lost NEET generation detailed | News | guardian.co.uk

    €153,013,053,902. That is the cost to the European Union of the 13,941,264 young people who are not in education, employment or training. The official acronym is NEETs and the number of this 'lost generation' is growing to record levels.

    The amount is worth 1.21% of the EU's GDP, up from 0.96% when the recession hit in 2008. In the UK, this cost €18.4bn (£15bn) in 2011, and includes 1,872,403 15 to 29 year-olds. The number of people is second only to Italy, with 2,157,052 people costing €32.6bn.

    The data is from Eurofound, which is the EU research agency specialising in living and working conditions. Shiv Malik writes today that:

    Europeans aged 15 to 29 who are not in employment, education or training have reached record levels and are costing the EU €3bn a week in state welfare and lost production. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said Europe was "failing in its social contract" with the young and rising political disenchantment could reach levels similar to those that sparked North African uprisings during the Arab spring

    Of those out of education, training and employment, 73% of 15- to 19-year-olds had no experience of work at all, dropping to 43% for those aged 20 to 24 and 28% for 25- to 29-year-olds. In southern European countries such as Italy, Bulgaria and Greece, the figure for Neets aged 25 to 29 with no experience of work rose to over 40%.

    Recommended reading.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:39:01 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Horrific...
    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:23:37 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:24:53 PM EST
    Gunmen, soldiers fight in Lebanon in spillover from Syria | Reuters

    At least seven people were killed and dozens wounded in gunbattles in the Lebanese capital Beirut and coastal Tripoli on Monday in further unrest linked to the conflict in neighboring Syria, security and hospital sources said.

    The clashes have heightened fears that Syria's civil war with its sectarian dimensions is now spreading into Lebanon, pitting local allies and opponents of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad against each other.

    The Lebanese army promised decisive action to quell the violence, which was touched off by the assassination of a senior intelligence officer last week.

    That killing has plunged Lebanon into a political crisis and the army command urged party leaders to be cautious in their public statements so as not to inflame passions further.

    It issued the warning after troops and gunmen exchanged fire in Beirut's southern suburbs overnight and on Monday morning while protesters blocked roads with burning tires.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:01:31 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Brian Whitaker's blog, October 2012

    On Friday morning Lakhdar Brahimi, the international envoy who is trying to broker a truce in Syria, warned: "This conflict, label it as you wish, if it continues, will not be limited to the Syrian borders."

    By Friday afternoon it appeared that Brahimi's prophecy was being fulfilled when a bomb ripped through a very ordinary residential street in the Lebanese capital, killing eight people and wounding dozens more.

    Regardless of who actually triggered the explosion, given the political context, few had any doubt that the Damascus regime ultimately lay behind it. 

    Coming in mid-afternoon when the streets are usually jammed and with no apparent target other than the inhabitants of Ashrafiyeh, a largely Christian district of Beirut, the bombing at first looked like a crude attempt to inflame tensions and drag Lebanon into the Syrian conflict.

    Almost four hours later, though, news seeped out which changed that picture significantly. While the bombing had been carried out with general disregard for civilian lives, in fact it had a very specific target: Brigadier-General Wissam al-Hassan, the intelligence chief for Lebanon's internal security service, who had been driving through the street at the time.

    Hassan's assassination places the Friday bombing within a very familiar pattern - though one that had been in abeyance for several years. It is a pattern where high-profile Lebanese figures who become a "problem" for the Damascus regime have to be eliminated. Blowing them up as their vehicle passes by has often been a feature of the pattern, and that appears to be what happened in Hassan's case.

    The assumption is that Hassan had crossed a fateful red line (as far as Damascus is concerned) by pursuing former Lebanese information minister Michel Samaha - a well-known ally of the Assad regime - who has been accused of plotting terror attacks in Lebanon and against whom there is substantial prima facie evidence.

    Apparently Robert Fisk is on a break and ponderously reflecting on Europe.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:05:29 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Fighting dims hopes for Syria Eid truce - Middle East - Al Jazeera English

    Fierce fighting continues to rage in the Syrian capital, Damascus, and in Aleppo, the country's commercial hub which has been battered by warfare between troops and rebels for the past three months.

    Clashes erupted on Monday morning when troops tried to storm the rebel-controlled Damascus suburb of Harasta, activists said.

    In Aleppo, violence reportedly flared in the southwest rebel district of Salaheddin, Izaa in the north and the central Old City.

    The London-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that on Sunday alone, 173 people were killed nationwide.

    Ceasefire call

    Joint UN-Arab League envoy Lakhdar Brahimi has been visiting Syria in a bid to establish a ceasefire during this week's four-day Eid al-Adha holiday, which begins on Friday.

    Brahimi said he had contacted political opposition leaders inside and outside Syria and armed groups in the country. "We found them to be very favourable" to the idea of a truce, he said after meeting al-Assad on Sunday.

    "We will return to Syria after Eid and if calm really takes hold during the feast, we will continue to work," he added.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:11:27 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    On Turkey's Syrian frontier, fears of a sectarian spillover | Reuters

    An influx of Syrians fleeing President Bashar al-Assad's military onslaught is stoking tension in an area of Turkey known for religious tolerance and setting Turks who share the Syrian leader's creed against their own government.

    In the Turkish frontier province of Hatay, home to the Antioch of the Bible and a mix of confessional groups rare in an overwhelmingly Sunni Muslim country, Turks of Arab origin who share Assad's Alawite beliefs are increasingly critical of Ankara's open support for rebels fighting the Syrian leader.

    The Syrian refugees, like the insurgents, are overwhelmingly Sunni Muslims, most of whom support the 19-month-old uprising, making for a combustible mix that echoes the increasingly sectarian nature of Syria's civil war.

    While most Alawites said the conflict had not yet divided Hatay's indigenous communities, some fear reprisals and spoke of isolated incidents between Sunnis and Alawites. One man said Alawite villages had begun arming themselves.

    As rebels - some of them foreign Islamists keen to join what they deem a holy struggle - wage war in Syria, the official Syrian narrative of a "terrorist" campaign threatening the existence of minorities resonates deeply with Turkey's Alawites.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:12:09 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    How US Ambassador Chris Stevens May Have Been Linked To Jihadist Rebels In Syria - Business Insider
    The official position is that the US has refused to allow heavy weapons into Syria.

    But there's growing evidence that U.S. agents--particularly murdered ambassador Chris Stevens--were at least aware of heavy weapons moving from Libya to jihadist Syrian rebels.

    In March 2011 Stevens became the official U.S. liaison to the al-Qaeda-linked Libyan opposition, working directly with Abdelhakim Belhadj of the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group--a group that has now disbanded, with some fighters reportedly participating in the attack that took Stevens' life.

    In November 2011 The Telegraph reported that Belhadj, acting as head of the Tripoli Military Council, "met with Free Syrian Army [FSA] leaders in Istanbul and on the border with Turkey" in an effort by the new Libyan government to provide money and weapons to the growing insurgency in Syria.

    Last month The Times of London reported that a Libyan ship "carrying the largest consignment of weapons for Syria ... has docked in Turkey." The shipment reportedly weighed 400 tons and included SA-7 surface-to-air anti-craft missiles and rocket-propelled grenades. 

    Those heavy weapons are most likely from Muammar Gaddafi's stock of about 20,000 portable heat-seeking missiles--the bulk of them SA-7s--that the Libyan leader obtained from the former Eastern bloc. Reuters reports that Syrian rebels have been using those heavy weapons to shoot down Syrian helicopters and fighter jets.

    The ship's captain was "a Libyan from Benghazi and the head of an organization called the Libyan National Council for Relief and Support," which was presumably established by the new government.

    That means that Ambassador Stevens had only one person--Belhadj--between himself and the Benghazi man who brought heavy weapons to Syria.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:12:23 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    What a mess they (USA) made...I am more and more under impression that they do not know what they are doing in the Middle East...everything will come back as a boomerang like Taliban ( that they created to fight Russians etc.),Mess...but in a short run the oil is flowing so they do not care...
    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:31:37 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Or maybe they know exactly what they are doing...let and help them kill each other...
    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 02:44:54 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Somebody has a plan ... we just don't know what it is. Probably not good for us ordinary folks.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wp4O7v5320
    by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:07:36 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Honestly , while we were falling down deeper and deeper in Serbia with Milosevic in power and when things became really serious I was desperate and was talking to a neighbour who was a journalist at Serbian main TV station ( news editor or something like that) and  I told him " This is madness what Milosevic is doing". Being intelligent (but also loyal to any government in power) he had to admit in awe that I am right, but then he told me "Milosevic must have some plan that we do not know about"...He did not have a plan. I am afraid this is the same story... If there was anything like plan at the beginning things did not go according to that plan...USA found itself supporting Islamic extremist governments and Jihadists in the name of democracy...C'mon I do not believe that their love for democracy around the world would go against their interest. Something does not look logical in this story...So if anyone has a plan should come out with it...now.
    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:53:09 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Let's suppose I'm one of a very small group of REALLY wealthy, powerful guys ... I make Willard look like a pauper. What do I care about? Controlling the Earth and immortality ... that's it. Broad stroke goals. So along with that I want to kill off 99.99999.,,,,% of the humans without the humans catching on to what's happening ... the only advantage the average human has is numbers, And I don't want to destroy the planet while getting rid of all of you ... the baby with the bathwater syndrome. So I'll get rid of you by starving you out, destroying your water supplies, and getting you to kill each other. How am I doing so far, me one of the really rich guys?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wp4O7v5320
    by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 03:45:28 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The only thing that rich care about is profit, money...
    Greed has tendency to go out of control and to come to the point of madness...absurd...Politicians are " middle man" between 99% and 1% of rich. But their goal should be the survival and wellbeing of the nation. Nowadays they are either rich or hope to become rich. They were always corrupt, that's not the question. With globalization rich and politicians lost interest for prosperity of their nation (that before globalization was important for them to be able to make profit). Politicians simply have to keep 99% peaceful, by buying them as cheap as possible or by force. Probably it was always the case but they have means to persuade us how we are in power... the illusions like democracy etc. Few days ago I was watching program on TV where they made experiment and succeeded to psychologically influence one man to admit that he killed the other man all tho he did not. I am under impression that we are part of some similar experiment...Look how they persuaded the world's 99% ( Greeks and others) that they/we are to blame for horrific debt that our governments put our countries in. So now we supposedly need to sacrifice willingly to pay that debt of. We haven't seen the money and that little that we have seen just went through our bank accounts straight to the pockets of the rich and we are and will be paying for all our lives great interest on our mortgages and credit cards etc. But they made us feel guilty for our countries being in debt. Now we have to accept to be striped of our basic rights in order to pay debt that rich were and still are benefiting from... What an experiment!  
     
    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 09:16:42 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Hilarity is businessman Romney saying what he thinks people want to hear:
    Romney On Middle East: `We Can't Kill Our Way Out Of This Mess'

    (Not much text.)

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    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:02:37 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    France to send drones to Mali in fight against al-Qaida-backed insurgents | World news | The Guardian

    France is planning to send drones into Mali as part of an international intervention to free the west African country from al-Qaida-backed insurgents who control large swaths of its territory, according to reports.

    A French defence official said the country was moving surveillance drones to the region as part of secretive plans with the US, amid increasing fears that, if left unchecked, the crisis could serve as a launchpad for terrorist attacks on its own soil.

    Speaking to the Associated Press, the official said on Monday that France was discussing plans with the US for drones, intelligence-gathering and security in Africa's Sahel region. The German chancellor, Angela Merkel, said that Germany would be prepared to train Malian security forces and would consider providing "material and logistical support".

    "Free democratic states cannot accept international terrorism gaining a safe refuge in the north of the country," Merkel said at a German military conference near Berlin. A diplomatic source told the Guardian that the international consensus on the need for a concerted action in Mali was unprecedented.

    "I've never seen anything like this level of international co-operation : the United States, the EU - both collectively and its individual states - the UN security council, all are in 100% agreement about what we should do here," said the source, speaking in Mali's capital, Bamako, on condition of anonymity.

    "It is no secret that there is military planning going on. The EU is conducting a scoping mission and looking to send a training team to help train the Malian army. But the French are the nation with the most experience working here, and they see the terrorism threat more acutely than others."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:13:03 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    allAfrica.com: South Africa: 14 Miners Shot in Back - Lawyer

    Fourteen of the 34 Lonmin platinum miners killed by the police in August were shot in the back, a judicial inquiry into the Marikana shooting heard on Monday.

    "All fatal projectile wounds were sustained from the back," advocate Dumisa Ntsebeza told the Farlam commission at the Rustenburg Civic Centre, North West.

    "Those who were killed were unlawfully killed by SAPS [the SA Police Service]," he said in his opening remarks.

    On August 16 the police opened fire while trying to disperse a group of striking mineworkers encamped on a hill in Nkaneng, killing 34 and wounding 78.

    The workers had been carrying knobkerries, pangas, sticks, and iron rods.

    The miners went on strike on August 10, demanding a monthly salary of R12,500. Within four days, 10 people had been killed, two of them policemen and two of them security guards.

    Ntsebeza represents the Eastern Cape families of 20 of the men who died.

    The family members, many of the women wearing black and blue mourning clothes, sat in the first two front rows of the auditorium at the hearing.

    Ntsebeza said the police had claimed the mineworkers charged at officers because they had taken muti (traditional medicine) which made them feel invincible. This was the police's justification for killing them.

    "For us, the subtext of this justification... is that the miners, according to them [police], acted like possessed men, that they had to be destroyed like vermin and that they were destroyed like vermin," he said.

    "Whatever the truth of that tragic day, it cannot be that the SAPS could not have acted differently. [They] could and should have brought the gathering to an end peacefully and without loss of life," Ntsebeza said.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:14:28 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Obama, Romney now tied in presidential race: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters

    Republican Mitt Romney has closed the gap with President Barack Obama and the two candidates are now tied in the November 6 presidential race, according to a Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll released on Monday.

    The online survey of likely voters found Obama and Romney were each supported by 46 percent of the electorate as they prepare for their final televised debate on Monday night.

    Romney trailed by 1 percentage point when the poll was last published on Saturday. The two candidates have remained within three percentage points of each other since shortly after their first debate on October 3.

    "Today's number emphasizes the fact that the race is very close. We enter the final debate with the candidates literally neck and neck," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

    However, Obama still holds a substantial advantage in the battleground states that will determine the outcome of the election. Ipsos projects Obama will carry hotly contested states such as Florida, Ohio and Virginia, for a relatively comfortable electoral college victory.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:20:58 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Terrorism's global decline, explained in charts

    One issue likely to come up during tonight's presidential foreign policy debate is the U.S. effort to curb international terrorism. While President Obama will probably focus on his administration's success in killing Osama bin Laden and Mitt Romney on its failure to prevent the September attack in Benghazi, Libya, it's worth looking at the data. Here are some numbers from the National Counterterrorism Center, which released its most recent report in June. 

    First, here's the data on the number of terrorist attacks from 2007 through 2011:

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:22:10 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Memo to Julia Clark: Stop saying "literally".

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    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:04:09 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Here is the really important thing.

    Michelle: For her A-line dress, the first lady repeated a gray, short-sleeve number with a black lace overlay by Thom Browne. She gets points for recycling (+5), and points for wearing an American! designer (+7), but loses a few because this debate was about foreign policy, and she should have incorporated a beret (-3). Speaking of accessories, the Cut liked her ribbon pin (+2); however we couldn't find any photographs of her footwear. Maybe she opted to go shoeless -- it is Boca, after all (+-10).

    Ann: For her A-line dress, Ann chose a green-to-white ombre piece with a floral skirt (+6 points for seamlessly combining so many trends) by Oscar de la Renta, who is an American! designer (+4) and foreign (+4). Her outfit looks a lot like this Resort 2013 gown, if she took the fabric and tilted it, sewing it into a new silhouette, which she didn't -- and she probably makes clothes on the regular for Rafalca (-4). Her nude pumps are v. Kate Middleton (+3), but we can't tell if she has on the mandatory sheer pantyhose (+-15).

    http://nymag.com/thecut/2012/10/michelle-obama-ann-romney-debate-outfits-style.html

    by asdf on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:23:43 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Ann: What about magic underwear?

    (I love how Magic Underwear forwards to the correct page.)

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    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:33:03 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    It is a big issue in the conservative Mormon community. Ann Romney was (nominally) an Episcopalian--one of the radical mainline Protestant churches over here that embraces gays and women and all that socialistical stuff. She supposedly converted to the LDS church when she married Mitt, but it seems as if she has not completely embraced the full teachings of the church.

    Also, the fashion community is not very supportive of Romney, there is the question of why none of his five sons was in the military, etc. This whole election is about social issues, and the topic of dress designs is, unfortunately, important.

    The fact that the GOP is running a Mormon as its candidate is quite a bit more shocking that it may appear after having been homogenized by the various campaigns and the media. The racist and misogynist factions of the American right have gone completely off the cliff...and people have not noticed...

    http://www.mormonthink.com/mittromney.htm

    by asdf on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:59:14 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Brazil's evangelical churches rewrite the rules of politics - latimes.com

    As euphoric rock music played, dozens of men in suits swarmed the aisles with hand-held credit card machines to take donations from the faithful.

    The pastor smiled at the crowd in the downtown headquarters of the mega-church and, as cameras rolled, belted out: "We all voted already, right? Who voted today?"

    In the spotlight, he made no mention of whom he hoped his flock had cast ballots for. But for most in the crowd, and those watching the election for the mayor of Latin America's largest city, it was clear which candidate Brazil's increasingly influential evangelical churches were throwing their weight behind.

    Television personality Celso Russomanno took Brazil's political establishment by surprise when he shot to the top of the polls in the run-up to the election. Although he is Roman Catholic, his relatively new Brazilian Republican Party is backed by the powerful Igreja Universal do Reino de Deus, or Universal Church of the Kingdom of God.

    In the world's largest Catholic country, a group of well-organized evangelical churches is rewriting the rules of politics here. In the process, the evangelicals have dismayed Brazilians uneasy with such blatant mixing of religion and politics.

    Amid a surge in Latin America in recent years, more than 20% of Brazilians are now evangelical Christian. Followers make up one of the largest voting blocs in Congress, and use their money, influence and media power to press a small set of socially conservative issues, as well as to maintain favorable conditions for their often very profitable enterprises.

    "They don't yet have quite as unified an agenda as the evangelical movement in the U.S.," said David Fleischer, a political scientist at the University of Brasilia. "But they are growing, and are far more effective than the Catholic Church at convincing people to vote one way or another."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:23:46 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Oh, crap.


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    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:56:12 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The debate over whether the term "apartheid" is appropriate for Israel is now officially over. 58% agree with the use of the term - and approve of it.
    There was an interesting part in the survey about the use of the term apartheid. While some people who responded didn't know it so well, only 31 percent objected to Israel being called an apartheid state (58 supported the use of the term), and 50 percent said apartheid is practiced in a few or in many fields. If the use of the term apartheid is anti-Semitic, as some of Israel's PR agencies claim - then most Israelis are guilty of anti-Semitism.
    by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 07:54:10 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Interesting.

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    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:06:36 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Cleveland.com
    The growing popularity of early voting raises the question of what happens when someone who casts an absentee ballot dies before Election Day.

    Does the vote still count?

    The answer, it seems, is yes, though Ohio election law does not specifically address the question and the Ohio Secretary of State's office issued a ruling only after receiving inquiries last week from The Plain Dealer. A survey by the newspaper found differing opinions among elections officials in some Northeast Ohio counties. The elections director in Medina County believed the ballot should be invalidated, while the Lorain elections chief said the vote should count.

    Cuyahoga County Elections Director Jane Platten sought advice from the Ohio Secretary of State's office, and said she received conflicting opinions. At first, an attorney for the state office advised her that a ballot must not be counted if cast by someone who is not a qualified voter on Election Day.

    But later another state election official overruled that and told her the ballot counts.

    by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:18:18 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    I think it's an important principle that the votes of the dead should be counted.

    Otherwise it creates an incentive for influencing the result through mass murder.

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:29:49 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:25:11 PM EST
    Pesticides put bumblebee colonies at risk of failure, study finds | Environment | guardian.co.uk

    Pesticides used in farming are also killing worker bumblebees and damaging their ability to gather food, meaning colonies that are vital for plant pollination are more likely to fail when they are used, a study showed on Sunday.

    The United Nations has estimated that one-third of all plant-based foods eaten by people depend on bee pollination and scientists have been baffled by plummeting numbers of bees, mainly in North America and Europe, in recent years.

    British scientists said they exposed colonies of 40 bumblebees, which are bigger than the more common honeybee, to the pesticides neonicotinoid and pyrethroid over four weeks at levels similar to those in fields.

    Neonicotinoids are nicotine-like chemicals used to protect various crops from locusts, aphids and other pests.

    "Chronic exposure ... impairs natural foraging behaviour and increases worker mortality, leading to significant reductions in brood development and colony success," the scientists wrote in the report in the journal Nature on Sunday.

    Exposure to a combination of the two pesticides "increases the propensity of colonies to fail", according to the researchers at Royal Holloway, University of London.

    A 2011 UN report estimated that bees and other pollinators such as butterflies, beetles or birds do work worth €153bn ($200bn) a year to the human economy and are in decline in many nations.

    The findings underscored the importance of wider testing of pesticides to ensure they do not also target bees, it said.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:56:07 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Doubling spending to fight extinction | Environment | DW.DE | 22.10.2012

    Scientists estimate that the Earth is losing species at 100 to 1,000 times the historical average. The international community addressed this largely man-made disaster at the 11th biodiversity summit in Hyderabad.

    At times, the United Nations conference on the protection of endangered species looked a little like a tug-of-war. In the end, representatives of the developed nations pledged to double their support for developing countries to better protect biodiversity - agreeing to pay a total of almost eight billion euros ($10.5 million) per year until 2015. Representatives of 190 states took part in the conference.

    Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh summed up the spirit of the discussions. "Particularly over the past couple of years it has become increasingly difficult to define common environmental protection goals. And that's despite us knowing a lot more about this global threat now than we did in the past."

    The 11th "Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity" was a forum for around 14,000 international delegates to exchange their knowledge and opinions. During the discussions it quickly emerged that the protection of species is facing sharp competition from other interests. Emerging economies want economic growth, akin to the development of western industrialized nations - including sacrificing natural resources on the way.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:56:47 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    IPS - Palau Proves Sharks Worth More Alive Than Dead | Inter Press Service

    Sharks have a safe haven the size of France, and the Republic of Palau that protects them is making millions of dollars from shark tourism.

    The South Pacific nation of Palau was lauded for this smart government policy in Hyderabad, India this week, winning the prestigious Future Policy Award for 2012. This year's award is for the country with the best ocean policies.

    "Palau is a global leader in protecting marine ecosystems," said Alexandra Wandel, director of the World Future Council, which administers the Future Policy Awards.

    "Other countries like Honduras, Maldives, Bahamas and Costa Rica are following suit, establishing their own shark sanctuaries or banning shark fishing," Wandel told IPS on the sidelines of the Convention on Biodiversity conference of the parties in Hyderabad.

    Last month, four of the Federated States of Micronesia announced an end to commercial shark fishing in their waters and intend to join with other nations to create the five-million-square-kilometre Micronesia Regional Shark Sanctuary.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:57:25 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Bison are home on the range in Russia - The Washington Post

    Four startled bison backed out of their traveling crates here, looked around suspiciously for a moment, then strolled contentedly across the field. Finally, they were home, home on the range where they had been declared nearly extinct.

    The big shaggy 2-year-olds, who look much like the American buffalo, had been driven 1,000 miles from a nature reserve in the Moscow region to southwest Russia, where the European bison had roamed for centuries in the woodlands of the North Caucasus mountains.

    They had been raised by the World Wildlife Fund, known simply as WWF in Russia, and brought here on a rainy day in October in yet another attempt by man to undo the damage he has done to the world around him. The European bison had disappeared here in 1927, was brought back in the 1970s, then killed off again in the 1990s when the people of this region, called the Republic of Karachay-Cherkessia, were thrown into poverty after the collapse of the Soviet Union. This bison meat is no gift to the palate. But people were hungry and ate them.

    Only 13 bison remained here in the Teberdinsky Nature Reserve, said Igor Chestin, director of WWF Russia. At that number, the bison will not breed, he said. But the four just released, and another four brought here in September, are expected to provide enough choice of mates to get some serious courting underway.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:58:03 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Scientists link deadly 2011 quake in Spain to decades of groundwater extraction - The Washington Post

    Farmers drilling ever deeper wells over decades to water their crops likely contributed to a deadly earthquake in southern Spain last year, a new study suggests. The findings may add to concerns about the effects of new energy extraction and waste disposal technologies.

    Nine people died and nearly 300 were injured when an unusually shallow magnitude-5.1 quake hit the town of Lorca on May 11, 2011. It was the country's worst quake in more than 50 years, causing millions of euros in damage to a region with an already fragile economy.

    Using satellite images, scientists from Canada, Italy and Spain found the quake ruptured a fault running near a basin that had been weakened by 50 years of groundwater extraction in the area.

    During this period, the water table dropped by 250 meters (274 yards) as farmers bored ever deeper wells to help produce the fruit, vegetables and meat that are exported from Lorca to the rest of Europe. In other words, the industry that propped up the local economy in southern Spain may have undermined the very ground on which Lorca is built.

    The researchers noted that even without the strain caused by water extraction, a quake would likely have occurred at some point.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:58:53 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    No Life Buried Antarctic Lake Vostok - Business Insider
    In February, a team of Russian scientists made headlines when they reached the surface of a lake buried two miles beneath the Antarctic Ice sheet

    The icy body of water, which had not been exposed to air for some 20 million years, is called Lake Vostok. 

    There were nearly a dozen theories about what Lake Vostok may hold. But mainly, researchers were excited about finding new lifeforms. The microbes found in Lake Vostok could provide clues about life on Jupiter's moon Europa since scientists believe the two entities have similar environments.

    So far, no dice. 

    An analysis of some water that froze in a drill bit back in February reveals no signs of life -- at least not yet. This conclusion is based on "very preliminary results" announced at the 12th European Workshop on Astrobiology, reports Brian Owens of Nature News Blog

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:59:12 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Siemens pulls out of loss-making solar power business | Business | guardian.co.uk

    German industrial group Siemens is pulling out of its loss-making solar power business, in the latest sign of difficulties in the renewable energy market.

    The company said on Monday it would concentrate its renewable energy business on wind and hydroelectric power in a bid to increase productivity. It hopes to sell the unit and is in talks with possible buyers.

    Siemens said the solar business had not been as profitable as hoped. "Due to the changed framework conditions, lower growth and strong price pressure in the solar markets, the company's expectations for its solar energy activities have not been met." It said the solar and hydro division generated sales "in the low triple-digit millions" in the year to September and has "roughly 800 employees".

    Growing competition from manufacturers in Asia has caused the cost of solar panels to plummet. The industry has also been hit by weaker sales and falling government subsidies. Bruce Jenkyn-Jones, managing director at Impax, an environmental investor with £1.8bn of assets under management, said: "The cost has come down dramatically. There has been an influx of capital. It's very, very competitive; it's only going to be the lowest-cost producers that survive in the middle of this downturn." Various German solar manufacturers have filed for bankruptcy in the past 12 months, including QE Cells and Solar Millennium.

    The news comes shortly after General Electric said a poor performance at its wind unit contributed to disappointing third-quarter results. Wind-turbine orders at the industrial conglomerate plunged because a key US subsidy for wind power is scheduled to expire at the end of the year. The chief executive, Jeff Immelt, said GE is assuming "no market" in the US for wind turbines next year without the subsidy. He expects wind revenue to drop 40% next year.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 05:59:39 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Arizona Claims Grand Canyon as Fires Fuel Sovereignty Push - Bloomberg

    Arizona lawmakers want to take back the Grand Canyon and use one of the seven natural wonders of the world to generate more revenue for the state.

    A referendum placed on the Nov. 6 ballot by the Legislature would amend the Arizona Constitution to declare sovereign control over air, water, minerals, wildlife and public land including national parks -- a move to sidestep federal environmental laws and open up 25 million acres of public space to more livestock grazing, logging and mining.

    Supporters say the proposition -- which follows a Utah law signed in March by Governor Gary Herbert demanding some U.S. land be handed over by 2014 -- sends an important message in a battle against an overreaching federal government, which controls more than half of the land in the West. Opponents say the plan is unenforceable, unconstitutional, environmentally irresponsible and typical of a state known for high-profile confrontations with national authorities on illegal immigration.

    It amounts to a "partial secession," said Paul Bender, a constitutional law professor at Arizona State University.

    "If you want to start a war, this is the way," Bender, dean emeritus of the Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law, said by telephone. "When the state passes its own immigration law, people say, `Well, that is crazy Arizona.' But if people go to the Grand Canyon and find a uranium mine there, they are going to be very upset."

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:02:28 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    BBC News - Beluga whale 'makes human-like sounds'

    Researchers in the US have been shocked to discover a beluga whale whose vocalisations were remarkably close to human speech.

    While dolphins have been taught to mimic the pattern and durations of sounds in human speech, no animal has spontaneously tried such mimicry.

    But researchers heard a nine-year-old whale named NOC make sounds octaves below normal, in clipped bursts.

    The researchers outline in Current Biology just how NOC did it.

    But the first mystery was figuring out where the sound was coming from. The whales are known as "canaries of the sea" for their high-pitched chirps, and while a number of anecdotal reports of whales making human-like speech, none had ever been recorded.

    When a diver at the National Marine Mammal Foundation in California surfaced saying, "Who told me to get out?" the researchers there knew they had another example on their hands.

    Once they identified NOC as the culprit, they made the first-ever recordings of the behaviour.

    (!)

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:08:53 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:25:29 PM EST
    Russian Conservatives Target Gays and Lesbians - SPIEGEL ONLINE
    Russia's self-proclaimed morality police have discovered a new danger to the people's health and values, and it is to be found in the country's supermarkets -- in the form of dairy products from the American company PepsiCo. Activists from the Orthodox group called the People's Council have even gotten Russia prosecutors involved.

    "The packaging of these dairy products with the label 'Vesyoly Molochnik' have long been a thorn in my side," says Anatoly Artyuch, of the People's Council. The brand means "happy milkman" in English.

    Pepsi uses the brand to sell all manner of dairy products, including milk, yoghurt and kefir. Packages portray a smiling, slightly rotund milkman wearing a chef's hat. Behind him is a green meadow with a rainbow stretching across the sky. Artyuch believes that the rainbow isn't quite as innocent as it might seem. He thinks it is "the global symbol of the sodomite movement." Russia's judiciary is currently looking into the claims.

    The grotesque offensive against the dairy brand is part of a conservative campaign in Russia aimed at gays and lesbians in the country. In their view, homosexuality isn't merely a sin, but also a symbol of damaging "Westernization."

    The happy milkman isn't the only target. A court in the metropolis of St. Petersburg, once called the "window to the West" by Czar Peter the Great, has subpoenaed US pop icon Madonna for allegedly disseminating "homosexual propaganda" during her concert in the city at the beginning of August.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:04:20 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Invention of cooking made having a bigger brain an asset for humans | Science | The Guardian

    If human beings had not invented cooking as a way of increasing the number of calories they consumed, they could only have supported the 86bn neurons in their big brains by spending an impossible nine hours or more each day eating raw food, according to a scientific paper published on Monday.

    The research, the authors suggest, explains why great apes such as gorillas, which can have bodies three times the size of humans, have considerably smaller brains. Though gorillas typically spend up to eight hours feeding, their diet influenced an evolutionary tradeoff between body and brain size; supporting both big bodies and big brains would be impossible on a raw food diet.

    The brain is so energy-hungry that in humans it represents 20% of the resting metabolic rate, even though it only represents 2% of body mass, suggest Professor Suzana Herculano-Houzel and Karina Fonseca-Azevedo of the Institute of Biomedical Sciences at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro.

    "Why are the largest primates not those endowed with the largest brains as well? Rather than evidence that humans are an exception among primates, we consider this disparity to be a clue that, in primate evolution, developing a very large body and a very large brain have been mutually excluding strategies, probably because of metabolic reasons."

    Gorillas, they suggest, already live on the limit of viability, foraging and eating for 8.8 hours a day, and in extreme conditions increasing this to as much as 10 hours a day.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:09:43 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Cities That Are Shrinking - Business Insider
    Despite the global wave of urbanization, some cities are shrinking.

    Among nearly 600 major cities listed in a UN report, 28 cities are on track to shrink between 1990 and 2025.

    Russia dominates the list, along with many cities in former Soviet states. There are some surprises on there too, like Rome, Milan, and Turin in Italy.

    We also published a list of the fastest-growing cities, which was dominated by China.


    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:13:15 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    BBC News - Antoni Dobrowolski, oldest Auschwitz survivor, dies

    The oldest known survivor of the Auschwitz-Birkenau concentration camp has died aged 108 in Debno, north-west Poland, officials say.

    A teacher, Antoni Dobrowolski was imprisoned for giving secret lessons during Germany's occupation of Poland.

    Mr Dobrowolski was arrested by the Gestapo and sent to the Polish concentration camp in 1942.

    He was later transferred to the Gross Rosen and Sachsenhausen camps in Germany, before being freed in 1945.

    "Auschwitz was worse than Dante's hell," he said in a video made when he was 103.

    Education for Poles was restricted to just four years during the Nazi occupation, in an effort to suppress Polish culture.

    Mr Dobrowolski was part of an underground effort to continue education for children.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:13:46 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Amazon wipes customer's Kindle and deletes account with no explanation | Money | guardian.co.uk

    An Amazon Kindle user has had her account wiped and all her paid-for books deleted by Amazon without warning or explanation.

    The Norwegian woman, identified only as Linn on media commentator Martin Bekkelund's blog, approached Amazon when she realised her Kindle had been wiped.

    She was informed by a customer relations executive that her account had been closed, all open orders had been cancelled and all her content had been removed, but has been unable to find out why.

    The move, which will shock ebook fans, highlights the power digital rights management (DRM) offers blue-chip companies. DRM is used by hardware manufacturers and publishers to limit the use of digital content once it has been purchased by consumers; in Amazon's case, it means the company can prevent you from reading content you have bought at the Kindle store on a rival device.

    Linn was told by Amazon: "We have found your account is directly related to another which has been previously closed for abuse of our policies. As such, your Amazon.co.uk account has been closed and any open orders have been cancelled. Please understand that the closure of an account is a permanent action. Any subsequent accounts that are opened will be closed as well. Thank you for your understanding with our decision."

    When Linn queried to which "directly related" account Amazon was referring, what had happened, and whether there was anything she could do to get her access reinstated, the online giant replied by saying it was "unable to provide detailed information" and reiterated her account would not be reopened.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:14:29 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    is sufficient to make one avoid such devices permanently (and the same thing for cloud storage).

    I use cloud storage for static backup of certain files, but absolutely refuse any kind of synchronisation. You cannot ever control what information you get to keep with these systems, and such 'incidents' prove that the worry is very real.

    Wind power

    by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:19:20 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    I use syncing of all sorts, but I keep  backups: my Kindle books are all un-DRMed and saved locally, for example and sucked into my baroque back-up system. I buy Kindle in preference to iBook precisely because they're currently easily unDRMed.

    I'm not concerned about industrial espionage, mind you. I might be more concerned if I was you.  I'm not even concerned about blackmail.

    by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:13:12 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    as such, only backup for my contacts and calendar (which does not even work properly with iCloud). I have various filevaulted hard disk drives for backup of files

    My email is with a French company, but then I'm not sure where their servers are. I save on my computer and then delete attachments from email systematically.

    But as I say to clients: I don't sell information (although I have lots more than competitor), I sell how to make good use of it...


    Wind power

    by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 08:10:56 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Also applies to the processing:
    "Cloud computing was built for suckers by hustlers."

    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:47:26 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Unless you have  a massively bursty application, in which case you'd be paying for huge amounts of capacity that you almost never use.

    "Cloud" is a marketing term.

    by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:50:39 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    True.
    Feels vary "Flavour of the month."

    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 09:28:35 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Cloud is Time Sharing.  But "Time Sharing" Sooooo 1960 so they came up with a groovy new name concealed in a nice fog of techno-babble to appeal to the technologically challenged.

    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
    by ATinNM on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:48:33 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    "Cloud" is a matter of commoditized externalised hosting of your IT.

    A lot of big companies externalised their hosting. In the past decade, this often meant offshoring it (so the operators are Indian, central European or whatever). This is invariably a painful exercise, because the anonymous operators have no added value with respect to the applications they operate, which are poorly industrialised, so they tend to break a lot.

    "Cloud", as far as I can see, covers outsourcing using a standardised, presumably robust, technical model, which presumably enables smaller companies to make use of it, as long as their IT uses a reduced palette of standard options that the "cloud" providers are capable of providing.

    More than you wanted to know, eh?

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:59:54 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    "Cloud", as far as I can see, covers outsourcing using a standardised, presumably robust, technical model, which presumably enables smaller companies to make use of it, as long as their IT uses a reduced palette of standard options that the "cloud" providers are capable of providing.

    From the link I provided:

    By allowing a large number of users to interact concurrently with a single computer, time-sharing dramatically lowered the cost of providing computing capability, made it possible for individuals and organizations to use a computer without owning one, and promoted the interactive use of computers and the development of new interactive applications.

    Corporations are off-loading storage of the petrabytes of data they are producing because it's cheaper to pay people in India and etc. to do the work.  

    Cost of the physical plant cost is just about the same.  More or less.  Give or take.

    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

    by ATinNM on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:48:30 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The physical Cloud exists because the internet is as secure as a pile of unguarded money sitting in downtown Berlin during a wind storm.

    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
    by ATinNM on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:50:04 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    "The internet" is only plumbing. What is, or is not, secure is the devices and software you connect to it. Everyone uses the same pipes to move their data around; some of it is relatively secure, and some isn't.

    The virtual private networks that connect users to their applications don't become less secure if the applications are on "the cloud" rather than in their company's data centre ten/a hundred/a thousand km away. Arguably, they may be more secure if they are in the same building as the users, but nobody does that any more, if they are a bigger organisation than a dentist's office.

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:09:48 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    The internet cannot be made secure as long as program memory of machines hooked to the internet is accessible from the internet.  We learned this the hard way back in the BBS days.


    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
    by ATinNM on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 02:39:46 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    yeh, there are technical fixes for any known vulnerability though. The problem is that there seems to be no limit to the unknown vulnerabilities.

    The guy I was working for around 2001 is a left-wing libertarian, and he had no security  on his web servers. This was a political statement : the internet is about sharing resources, co-operation not exclusion. He had to change this policy when his domain got blacklisted by mail servers, because his servers were infected by spambots. He was bitterly disappointed.

    It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

    by eurogreen on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 05:46:31 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Cooperation and sharing based on the 'honor system' doesn't combine well with anonymity and large numbers.

    Let AHf be the probability of a person acting in self interest only and using up or destroying shared resources.
    Let N be the number of people with access to the resources.
    Let P be the probability that the resources are destroyed or appropriated by a handful of individuals to the exclusion of others.

    P = AHf * N.

    It doesn't matter how low AHf is: as N increases, P will approach 1.


    -----
    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Wed Oct 24th, 2012 at 05:14:40 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Well, time sharing gave us The Cuckoo's Egg, so I'm all for that.


    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:13:16 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    I don't understand why anyone with valuable information would consider keeping it on a remote server run by any corporation.

    We know for a fact that the US has a habit of pilfering tech secrets from competitors. It's been doing this since the days of the telegraph.

    So 'cloud' isn't just a word hustlers use - it's also a word that appeals to thieves.

    by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 07:06:34 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    If Kafka was alive, he wouldn't be getting published.


    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:48:07 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 03:25:46 PM EST
    Savile Scandal Claims BBC Editor - WSJ.com

    The British Broadcasting Corp. faced a ballooning crisis Monday as a scandal over late BBC host Jimmy Savile's alleged pedophilia pivoted to focus on why the BBC's flagship "Newsnight" program scrapped an explosive report on the topic last year.

    The BBC announced Monday that "Newsnight" Editor Peter Rippon would "step aside" while an independent investigation examines why "Newsnight" scrapped the report.

    The British broadcaster also assailed Mr. Rippon's explanation of what happened as "inaccurate or incomplete in some respects," issuing three corrections to an Oct. 2 blog post that Mr. Rippon, 47 years old, wrote to explain his reasons for killing the report.

    The moves came hours before another BBC program, "Panorama," was scheduled to broadcast a show accusing Mr. Rippon and others at the BBC of misleading the public about the scrapped "Newsnight" segment.

    "The developments today are concerning because the BBC has effectively changed its story about why it dropped the 'Newsnight' program about Jimmy Savile," U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron said Monday. Mr. Cameron described the allegations against Mr. Savile as "appalling" and called on the BBC to answer "serious questions" about its behavior.

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:14:48 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    A large part of the problem is that the editor who cancelled the programme covered their backside, as is the way of management, with an inventive version of events that made them look wise and decisive. This version bubbled up through the management chain, being endorsed all the way until the chair of the BBC Trust found himself signing it as the true record of events.

    As is the way with these things, nobody ever thought to ask the person on the other side of the decision if they agreed with that version or if there were any inconvenient facts that should be considered alongside it.

    So, finally the truth comes out and the whole management tree looks stupid. Because they never thought to ask anyone if the management version was really true (which it rarely is).

    I've personal experience of this having received a verbal warning at the BBC over an incident where my version of events was neither sought nor required before management passed judgement to suit themselves. Needless to say, I felt they were not only wrong, but missed an opportunity to learn a wider lesson about a system. But hey, pace Scott Adams, managers are egotistical know-nothing clueless f..wits for whom a little knowledge makes them dangerous to be around and it's important to remember that.

    keep to the Fen Causeway

    by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 06:47:54 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Much like the terrorism prosecutions for using twitter: Could have been prevented if anyone had backbone or common sense.
    But that's not why we have organisations.

    (Not going to cast any stones today: "Following the process" and "escalating as required" certainly takes a lot of unnecessary thinking out of my job. A decade ago I would have linked to a Dilbert.)


    -----
    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 09:32:45 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Yes, it's kinda hard to like dilbert these days now we know what a misogynist twerp Adams is

    keep to the Fen Causeway
    by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:27:19 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Never mind the creator, the strip stopped being funny or new around the time the internet took off.


    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:05:55 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    There's only so many ways to same the same thing

    keep to the Fen Causeway
    by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:22:11 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Let's hear it for Larson and Watterson, who know when to quit.


    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:30:12 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Being a "clueless f..wit" is a necessary condition for being hired or promoted into upper management.

    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
    by ATinNM on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:58:34 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    how does that work exactly?
    by njh on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 10:12:49 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Side note:
    With the new "smaller" BBC we're being promised ... any bets on who will stay on the "inside"?

    As they say: "the lady or the tiger"?

    -----
    sapere aude

    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 11:28:18 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Autumn colours around the world - in pictures | Environment | guardian.co.uk
    Trees lay on a spectacle in Britain and around the northern hemisphere, with leaves turning vivid shades of copper, yellow and red


    A robin shelters in an Acer japonicum tree, which is turning red and dropping its autumn leaves in Belstone, Dartmoor


    A woman walks under trees in a park in Moscow, Russia


    Autumn leaves in the trees in Vondelpark as commuters ride their bicycles to work in Amsterdam, the Netherlands

    by Nomad on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 06:19:39 PM EST
    [ Parent ]

    by vbo on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 12:53:10 AM EST
    [ Parent ]


    Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
    by ATinNM on Mon Oct 22nd, 2012 at 07:49:08 PM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Late 1970s: Trond Viggo Torgersen releases "Tramp På En Smurf" (step on a smurf.)

    -----
    sapere aude
    by Number 6 on Tue Oct 23rd, 2012 at 09:51:18 AM EST
    [ Parent ]


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