You Are Old, Father William - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

"You are old, Father William," the young man said,
"And your hair has become very white;
And yet you incessantly stand on your head--
Do you think, at your age, it is right?"

"In my youth," Father William replied to his son,
"I feared it might injure the brain;
But now that I'm perfectly sure I have none,
Why, I do it again and again."

San Francisco burns to the ground

keep to the Fen Causeway

Meanwhile in global baseball...

The Jiangsu Hope Stars tasted first victory for Chinese teams on Friday, at the Cross-Strait Baseball Challenge tourney taking place in Taipei City this past week. This  annual tournament is a joint effort for baseball development and exchange between China and Chinese Taipei. It is organized by CTBA of Chinese Taipei, and CBL (Chinese Baseball League) of China. For the adult baseball division, four teams from China are challenging four Taiwanese teams.

http://www.ibaf.org/en/

Two points.

the animation actually isn't funny at all, nor technically good.

2nd, the "riots" in san fran aren't related to baseball fans at all. it's related to people's struggles, or gangbangers fucking up the system, or, or, or.

and half the reports on twitter never happened. Don't all it Frisco had real riots before, such as when Dan White and Mayor George Moscone were gunned down.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin

It's not like no homeless people die in the street in the summer, but at those times the press ignores them...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères

And if all this is not enough, today is full moon, meaning spring tides.

DailyKos and Sandy

The Daily Kos servers live in New York City. Any major outages in that city could cause Daily Kos to go down

Any disruption to the telecomms network in the NE region is gonna hurt them, and a week before the election too. Poor contingency planning

keep to the Fen Causeway

Sandy picked up energy when it cross the abnormally warm Gulf Stream and is picking up energy as it moves along a cold/warm front.  Generally it's hard to point to a weather event and conclude it is the result of Global Warming.  Think there is a good case for using Sandy as such.

Nomad might disagree.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

Mitt Romney In GOP Debate: Shut Down Federal Disaster Agency, Send Responsibility To The States

During a CNN debate at the height of the GOP primary, Mitt Romney was asked, in the context of the Joplin disaster and FEMA's cash crunch, whether the agency should be shuttered so that states can individually take over responsibility for disaster response.

"Absolutely," he said. "Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that's the right direction. And if you can go even further, and send it back to the private sector, that's even better. Instead of thinking, in the federal budget, what we should cut, we should ask the opposite question, what should we keep?"

"Including disaster relief, though?" debate moderator John King asked Romney.

"We cannot -- we cannot afford to do those things without jeopardizing the future for our kids," Romney replied. "It is simply immoral, in my view, for us to continue to rack up larger and larger debts and pass them on to our kids, knowing full well that we'll all be dead and gone before it's paid off. It makes no sense at all."

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

I think a version of this was posted on ET in the past, but just in case...

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/03/extremely-hot/

You can listen to the ham radio network related to Sandy. It's a Skywarn net associated with the National Hurricane Center. Its a raw feed, not edited for easy to understand...

http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?feedId=9559

Despite the lovely anecdote, Laden is not up to date with the scientific consensus when it comes to tropical cyclones and climate change when he writes sentences like: "The truth is, we experience more Atlantic severe storms because of global warming, though we are still working out the details of which features of which kinds of storms are affected most. Beyond this, it may well also be possible that something I hinted at above is true: We may be experiencing kinds of storms today that were very rare in recent centuries, because of global warming."

Laden can't write that based on the Grinsted paper, because that data goes only back to 1923. And there is certainly no agreement yet that 'we experience more Atlantic severe storms because of global warming'.

The truth is, we might. We actually don't know.

I refer you to this Nature paper from 2010, about which I wrote in this diary. And there is SREX (pdf, 31 MB), which writes, amongst many other subjects:

The uncertainties in the historical tropical cyclone records, the incomplete understanding of the physical mechanisms linking tropical cyclone metrics to climate change, and the degree of tropical cyclone variability provide
only low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences. Attribution of single extreme events to anthropogenic climate change is challenging.

As for the recent Grinsted paper, a copy of the whole paper here for the avid readers, its findings agree with model projections of increased larger storms with rising temperatures, but runs exactly counter with other findings. Interesting study, yes, but it will hardly have the final word on this topic.

Sunk and two people missing according latest news reports.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

Speaking of stupid, Brigatine Island off the coast of New Jersey was supposed to be evacuated but only 30% of the inhabitants got off.  Now the island is flooded and ~7,500 are trapped.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

apparently, when you lift the last flap on the Mayan advent calendar you get a picture of Obama being re-elected

keep to the Fen Causeway

"Somehow i was making connections"

You shouldn't. It's subversive and so.

I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS

He kinda has a point that decisions of this nature should be taken by Cabinet, and if he has that written into the coalition agreement then Hammond is definitely wrong to jump the gun on such a contentious decision.

But I doubt Hammond did it without Cameron's say so, and that means Dave is sending a message "you wanna force an election ? Go ahead, you'll suffer far more than I will"

keep to the Fen Causeway

Fortunately, however much he imagines otherwise, I think his reputation is far too damaged for this attempt to fly.

Still, no harm in helping him down the chute into inconsequence

keep to the Fen Causeway