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by afew Wed Feb 22nd, 2012 at 11:51:26 AM EST
French government report issues renewables warning
The Energy 2050 report notes found increased deployment of wind and solar will require electricity storage on a "massive" scale alongside demand management. .... While the country should continue to develop renewable energies, the commission recommends that "the optimal path" for France is to extend the life of its nuclear plants, as long as the Nuclear Safety Authority permits, and continue working on the next generation reactors.
The report, delivered the other week, unsurprisingly says nukes are the ticket. And trashes renewables - can't possibly produce enough, intermittence (even with a Europe-wide grid) = fail, will increase electricity prices by 50% to 100%, etc.
So, to remain as cheap as possible, prolong the life of existing reactors.
Mostly smoke-blowing ordered up to embarrass the opposition during the electoral period. A waste of time, because the PS bought the Greens out with the promise of parliamentary seats, and Hollande can be basically pro-nuke without any fuss being made.
Most scientists, on achieving high office, keep their public remarks to the bland and reassuring. Last week Nina Fedoroff, the president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), broke ranks in a spectacular manner. ... "We are sliding back into a dark era," she said. "And there seems little we can do about it. I am profoundly depressed at just how difficult it has become merely to get a realistic conversation started on issues such as climate change or genetically modified organisms." ... "Those of us who grew up in the sixties, when we put men on the Moon, now have to watch as every Republican candidate for this year's presidential election denies the science behind climate change and evolution. That is a staggering state of affairs and it is very worrying," said Professor Naomi Oreskes, of the University of California, San Diego.
...
"We are sliding back into a dark era," she said. "And there seems little we can do about it. I am profoundly depressed at just how difficult it has become merely to get a realistic conversation started on issues such as climate change or genetically modified organisms."
"Those of us who grew up in the sixties, when we put men on the Moon, now have to watch as every Republican candidate for this year's presidential election denies the science behind climate change and evolution. That is a staggering state of affairs and it is very worrying," said Professor Naomi Oreskes, of the University of California, San Diego.
The world is ending.
Maybe the way to get science going again is to starve it so that only the truly committed will be involved. That would certainly reduce the number of useless published articles...
Hmm, what I'm seeing right now is starvation leading to an increase in the number of useless articles as the truly committed are swamped by mediocres who can't make better money in the private sector and are quite happy to write, referee, publish and not read useless crap.
I'm also seeing a "Dutch disease" as finance becomes the only sector that pays a decent salary to science types so it hoovers up those who are neither truly committed nor mediocre. tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
I thought there might be some earth-shattering revelation causing an evolutionary jump in human consciousness leading to the beating of swords into plowshares, global equality, fraternity, & all that shit and I was too dense to "Get." Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Naturally talented in that direction, I suppose.
:-) Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
the first guy to do so was at the Butchers Arms in Kent and he inspired a few others nearby to follow him. There are a few others here and there, but if someone wants to talk to the wellspring, you have to go to Kent. Fortunately for me it's only just the other side of the the Thames.
It is a tiny place, but it's absolutely wlecoming and it's comfy, tho' what it's like when there's 20 or so in I don't know.
I spoke with the the guy for about an hour and got a feel for the finances and think I might look at trying something similar here. keep to the Fen Causeway
;-)) "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
But it's beer. Just cask beer. No bottled beer, no wine, no cider (I might change that), no food, no music, no television, no mobile phones. But conversation definitely allowed. keep to the Fen Causeway
Not even the faint sound of Mozart, Bach, Telemann, etc., drifting quietly in the background?
(Agree with the TV. They are a pestiferous plague of intrusive noise here in the states.) Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Technically you can be busted for playing a radio in a public park keep to the Fen Causeway
Wikipedia to the rescue:
PRS for Music - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
PRS for Music manages about 10 million musical works on behalf of its songwriter, composer and publisher members. PRS for Music licenses its members' musical works whenever they are played, performed or reproduced both in the UK and globally through its partner network.[2] A PRS for Music licence gives the user permission to play or use the music it represents in a number of circumstances such as on radio, TV, online or in public premises.
There are often internet radio stations that play music which has been licensed by the copyright holders such that it can be played without paying the PRS. This may include some Creative Commons or Public Domain music. According to these radio stations, there is no need to pay money to the PRS if only these radio stations are played at your workplace. [27][dubious - discuss] There are many radio stations that play creative commons music. [28] There are also various 'licence-free' music streaming services providing background music for businesses that only use music exempt from PRS (and PPL) Public Performance Licences.[29]
Though your micropub might not enjoy trying to set a legal precedent if none exists. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
Of course this means no pop or anything punters might recognise. But that might not be a bad thing.
Not everyone likes music in pubs anyway.
But that might not be a bad thing.
ruddy saving grace, harumph splutter It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
No signs like that, but... keep to the Fen Causeway
I would love to go there, but I'll wait for Helen. 'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
How many different beers can you do, do justice to, and economically speaking?
No more than four, at a wild guess? It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
the second one I visited had 3 on, but would probably have 5 on at weekends. keep to the Fen Causeway
apparently it has kept its charm, though that's what they'd want me to think, obviously...
just to make a point about a little place, if authentic enough, becoming a really nice community focus point as people gradually gravitate there in a low key way, being able to rely on its sustained quality. it bit off what it could chew. i wish your enterprise similar success, even if the visions may be different, the intention seems good, and i bet it will attract some good political discussions over the brewskis. nothing nicer than to see a long held dream moving towards realising itself. It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
That's what a good pub should be. Pubs should be quiet so you talk shit with your neighbors and enjoy a good beer.
Maybe not quite as bare-bones as the guy in Kent has it (I do occasionally enjoy playing pool and hearing some classic rock with my beer), but he's got it a lot more right than wrong. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
I was in a chain hamburger outfit last night and they had Laughing Lab beer on tap, which is I suppose not up to real beer-drinker standards but is pretty popular here and was in addition to a list of bottled and draft choices, including Guinness and several others. Just a regular generic low-class 100%-kitsch family place...filled with Army dudes from Fort Carson and their (mostly pretty noisy) young families.
By the way, one of the opposed side's points is to dismiss an expert opinion by a professor, for using a program of his own rather than a certain high-level environment for simulation programs. Yes, in effect, confusing programming language and application... *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
I always had the same feeling when I'd watch a story (several on the news show "60 minutes" for instance) that dealt with a matter with regard to which I had personal knowledge and experience. I couldn't help but be disillusioned when the available information was used for the sole purpose, apparently, of supporting a viewpoint rather than providing the truth.
With legal cases (lawsuits) unfortunately, the real purpose is to present that which wins for one's clients, not that which reveals the truth or creates any real understanding. Then there's the fact that some people just don't mind doing a shoddy job when they know they're going to make the big bucks anyway.
Well, that's enough out of me for one night. 'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
NY Times: Reason Seen More as Weapon Than Path to Truth
"Reasoning doesn't have this function of helping us to get better beliefs and make better decisions," said Hugo Mercier, who is a co-author of the journal article, with Dan Sperber. "It was a purely social phenomenon. It evolved to help us convince others and to be careful when others try to convince us." Truth and accuracy were beside the point.
I had a similar experience when I helped an attorney friend of mine fight a noise complaint for one of his clients. As I had done acoustic measurements as an engineer, I tried to explain to him various scientific concepts but he only wanted scientific texts which he could present, also in the nicer format.
He won the case as I pointed out that all the measurements from the complainant were taken without adequate protection from the wind.
I was asked to look through all of the evidence that had resulted in his ejection and see if it all stood up for the organisations lawyers. after several hours of investigation, I had a report that said the initial ejection was rock solid, Chummy was absolutely bang to rights on the initial charges.
Lawyer initially asked if I could rewrite the report in a more "Friendly" font, and then asked that seeing as the case would cost starting at £20,000 if It was thrown out, and £200,000 if it went to court and went badly, and there would be legal costs on top of that, would there be anything I could do to the complainants website to make it stop working permanently. Had to question him about if he knew how much trouble he could be in If I tried this. Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
It's about persuasion, not technical accuracy or truth. Nonsense, lies, misdirections and drama are all part of the process.
Then again - conspiracy to commit an obvious crime is evidence of epic fail, even by the usual standards of the legal profession.
I can't find anything to disagree with in the analysis. Only the claims of motivation, planning and agency are unverifiable and equally amenable to explanation by incompetence or blindness. But the picture is too consistent for comfort. tens of millions of people stand to see their lives ruined because the bureaucrats at the ECB don't understand introductory economics -- Dean Baker
There was a basic element that allow unions to work
Should be "What was missing was a basic element..." etc.
OTOH, the description of the current situation, "It's the "Asia(n)ization" of the EU", "debt cures the labour problem", seems to me perfectly right.
The Machiavellian intention ascribed to Merkel of supporting Sarkozy to help Hollande win so France can then be market-blitzed and reduced to a quivering jelly (that's what I understand, give or take a bit of language) is... Hmmmm.
Last week I got the answer when I had occasion to meet with a high-level EU official. There is no economic reasoning behind the troika's positions. For practical purposes, Greece and the other debt-burdened countries are dealing with crazy people. The pain being imposed is not a route to economic health; rather it is a gruesome bleeding process that will only leave the patient worse off. The economic doctors at the troika are clueless when it comes to understanding a modern economy. ... But the core countries have zero intention of allowing their inflation rate to increase from the current 1-3 percent range. As I learned from my conversations with this EU official, low inflation is viewed as the equivalent of a commandment from God. He could not even see the logic of deliberately allowing the inflation rate to rise. ... The country that some proponents of this route hold up as a model is Latvia. Latvia has seen its economy contract by more than 20 percent, although it is now seeing respectable growth. Still, its unemployment rate is well into the double-digits. Furthermore, Latvia's unemployment rate would undoubtedly be much higher if close to 10 percent of its workforce had not emigrated to other countries in search of work.
But the core countries have zero intention of allowing their inflation rate to increase from the current 1-3 percent range. As I learned from my conversations with this EU official, low inflation is viewed as the equivalent of a commandment from God. He could not even see the logic of deliberately allowing the inflation rate to rise.
The country that some proponents of this route hold up as a model is Latvia. Latvia has seen its economy contract by more than 20 percent, although it is now seeing respectable growth. Still, its unemployment rate is well into the double-digits. Furthermore, Latvia's unemployment rate would undoubtedly be much higher if close to 10 percent of its workforce had not emigrated to other countries in search of work.
Why Germany does not care In an ECFR paper, Sebastian Dullien and Ulrike Guerot take a closer look at the German position, in which they say that Berlin is determined to force a German solution to the crisis. They argue that Germany's rigidity is not just about simple national interest and the psychological scars of Weimar-era hyperinflation. It is about a broadly-held belief in the foundations for economic success, as shown by German historical success. Austerity is not just about teaching others a lesson: it is about building the foundations for sustainable economic growth. And attacking excessive austerity and demanding a renegotiation of the new fiscal treaty will simply fall on deaf ears. Instead, a more promising strategy might be to demand pan-European growth and investment programmes with more spending and taxation power shifted towards the EU level.
In an ECFR paper, Sebastian Dullien and Ulrike Guerot take a closer look at the German position, in which they say that Berlin is determined to force a German solution to the crisis. They argue that Germany's rigidity is not just about simple national interest and the psychological scars of Weimar-era hyperinflation. It is about a broadly-held belief in the foundations for economic success, as shown by German historical success. Austerity is not just about teaching others a lesson: it is about building the foundations for sustainable economic growth. And attacking excessive austerity and demanding a renegotiation of the new fiscal treaty will simply fall on deaf ears. Instead, a more promising strategy might be to demand pan-European growth and investment programmes with more spending and taxation power shifted towards the EU level.
In summary, from the late 1940s to 1971, the United States actively played the role of SRM, recycling wilfully its own surpluses to Europe and Japan. No market mechanism could do this. It was a mechanism that was run, administered and finetuned constantly by skilled officials. Of course, by the 1960s it run out of steam, as the USA turned into a deficit country. From that moment onwards the Global Plan`s days were numbered. And when it crashed on 15th August 1971. ... Today I am posting here Chapter 3 of my forthcoming Global Minotaur, as a contribution to our discussion of what the SRM is and how it worked, at a global scale, from the late 1940s to 1971.
cohn-bendit can take over barroso's gig, while we're at it! It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
A new ECFR paper by Sebastian Dullien and Ulrike Guerot - `The long shadow of ordoliberalism: Germany's approach to the euro crisis' - argues that: Germany's rigidity is not just about simple national interest and the psychological scars of Weimar-era hyperinflation. It is about a broadly-held belief in the foundations for economic success, as shown by German historical success. Austerity is not just about teaching others a lesson: it is about building the foundations for sustainable economic growth (and Germans believe that this view is substantiated by their country's post-war and post-reunification experience). This is not up for negotiation. Attacking excessive austerity and demanding a renegotiation of the new fiscal treaty will simply fall on deaf ears. Instead, a more promising strategy might be to demand pan-European growth and investment programmes with more spending and taxation power shifted towards the EU level.
As Robert Zimmerman once said, "Even Swabian housewives must sometimes have to stand naked." "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
but that would be assuming, said the other voice, that they actually want this european experiment to actually work, in hard times as well as good, thin and thick.
if austerity really meant cutting out waste, start with bankster bonuses, fatcat politicians and work down through the ranks from there.
the gap between the obvious and public ignorance of it has never in all of history been so vast, can anyone think of a more dramatic one.
if it takes 5 planets' resources to power up america, we must be good for 2 or 3, and china... but the other side of the change, the new paradigm, is infinite electricity for everyone, limited only by how many units we choose to install. home energy systems should be as common as telephones, dishwashers, prams and pushbikes...if only entrepreneurs could make as much money off doing that as they can blowing property bubbles, price and market fixing, and blowing shit up, we'd be there already!
head meet keyboard It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
Mother Jones
You scored 6 out of a possible 14You're clearly very confused about the difference between Left and Right. Are you perhaps Tony Blair?
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