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by afew Sun Feb 26th, 2012 at 12:08:25 PM EST
which is good, nice memory. "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
Untypically for a gambling wizard with a large house in the most exclusive part of Helsinki, he grew up as a rather outrageous punk musician who called himself called Skinny Rank. In some ways he hasn't changed much. He is loud and opinionated and laughs a lot, but he has a gift though I'm not sure what it is. He has an encyclopedic knowledge of gambling and the statistics thereof, and he thinks and calculates fast , but I don't think he has any synesthetic talents. He has more of a consuming passion coupled with a good memory.
* a syndicate of 3. You can't be me, I'm taken
A lot of these races are fixed, I hate to tell you. The owners race in certain classes depending on how good their horsea are. If they aren't making the big money, they will hold their horse back, so that the horse goes down in the standings, and can win more consistently in the lower class.
You never know who is going to win, place or show, but there are other motives than just winning.
Of course you can never know, the whole point is in reducing the odds against you. If you can be over 50% sure consistently, then you can win in the long term. And often, like other markets we discuss, there are mathematical solutions, or lay offs, that can keep you on the good side of Lady Luck. What one might call the Actuarial Approach. You can't be me, I'm taken
One can deduce the probable winners from looking at the program, but to win consistently like that, one requires luck.
Some people have it, most don't. I had a friend who would always win things - her husband and she counted on winning a trip every year as their vacation and they were seldom wrong. She walked into a home improvement expo and won the house that was the entrance prize.
I know some people who make a living at cards or gambling but these are more of a science, IMHO.
There are many games of pure chance - such as roulette or coin spinning - in which what has happened before has no influence on what will happen next. A shuffled deck of cards has an equal chance at all times of being in a specific order. The pictures printed on the cards are irrelevant or rather perceptual.
But then there are other games where chance can be accommodated by a knowledge of strategy and the ability to count odds - Backgammon for instance. Texas Hold 'Em and 7 card stud poker are other games where knowledge, not luck, produces an advantage. The knowledge is different for every game. You can't be me, I'm taken
The Call for Mass Action against the Suppression of the Occupy Movement, says, "The state planned and unleashed naked and systematic violence and repression against people attempting to exercise rights that are supposed to be legally guaranteed. This response by those who wield power in this society is utterly shameful from a moral standpoint, and thoroughly illegitimate from a legal and political one." 1000 have joined in calling for, including Cornel West, who led Occupy Wall Street to protest the NYPD "stop and frisk" policy; Scott Olsen, the Iraq veteran who was shot in the head by the Oakland police in October; Boots Riley of The Coup; former poet laureate of the United States and U.C. Berkeley professor Robert Hass;, writers Chris Hedges and Rebecca Solnit; attorneys Michael Ratner and Gideon Oliver. Travis Morales, an organizer of the rally, said today, "Now, after these evictions and mass arrests, we're seeing in the press lies about violence, drugs, filth and crime in the Occupy movement used to justify police brutality and destroy Occupy's widespread public support. On February 28 we are calling on thousands to come out publicly say "We Stand with Occupy" and oppose this suppression. We have seen historically that movements grow, and can only grow, by answering repression with even greater and more powerful mobilization."
1000 have joined in calling for, including Cornel West, who led Occupy Wall Street to protest the NYPD "stop and frisk" policy; Scott Olsen, the Iraq veteran who was shot in the head by the Oakland police in October; Boots Riley of The Coup; former poet laureate of the United States and U.C. Berkeley professor Robert Hass;, writers Chris Hedges and Rebecca Solnit; attorneys Michael Ratner and Gideon Oliver.
Travis Morales, an organizer of the rally, said today, "Now, after these evictions and mass arrests, we're seeing in the press lies about violence, drugs, filth and crime in the Occupy movement used to justify police brutality and destroy Occupy's widespread public support. On February 28 we are calling on thousands to come out publicly say "We Stand with Occupy" and oppose this suppression. We have seen historically that movements grow, and can only grow, by answering repression with even greater and more powerful mobilization."
Upside down in a cloud - Dru Marland - The Times they are a changing
What would Sunday morning be like without a thumb through the saucy stuff in the Sunday papers? And what better than to gawp and guffaw at the tranny, looking all ill-at-ease in the grainy photograph taken outside a law court, under the headline "No nobby bobby keeps jobby", or "Sex swap ferry flirt rattles men in engine room". What larks! Thank goodness we're normal. We'd give 'em what-for if they tried that sort of thing round here. And so it's off to the pub while the wife makes dinner, and somewhere out in make-believe land there's another ruined life that the papers intruded into, exploited, and went on their way. Funny things have been going on lately, though. The characters in the Standard Tranny Narrative have been talking back to the newspaper writers (we can hardly call them journalists) whose exclusive domain it has formerly been. Goodness, they have even started writing their own scripts.
And so it's off to the pub while the wife makes dinner, and somewhere out in make-believe land there's another ruined life that the papers intruded into, exploited, and went on their way.
Funny things have been going on lately, though. The characters in the Standard Tranny Narrative have been talking back to the newspaper writers (we can hardly call them journalists) whose exclusive domain it has formerly been. Goodness, they have even started writing their own scripts.
New York Magazine - John Heilemann - The Lost Party
[T]he Democratic tussle in 2008, which featured two undisputed heavyweights with few ideological discrepancies between them, may be an exception that proves the rule. Certainly Republican history suggests as much: Think of 1964 and the scrap between the forces aligned with Barry Goldwater and Nelson Rockefeller, or 1976, between backers of Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan. On both occasions, the result was identical: a party disunited, a nominee debilitated, a general election down the crapper. With such precedents in mind, many Republicans are already looking past 2012. If either Romney or Santorum gains the nomination and then falls before Obama, flubbing an election that just months ago seemed eminently winnable, it will unleash a GOP apocalypse on November 7 - followed by an epic struggle between the regulars and red-hots to refashion the party. And make no mistake: A loss is what the GOP's political class now expects. "Six months before this thing got going, every Republican I know was saying, 'We're gonna win, we're gonna beat Obama,'" says former Reagan strategist Ed Rollins. "Now even those who've endorsed Romney say, 'My God, what a fucking mess.'"
With such precedents in mind, many Republicans are already looking past 2012. If either Romney or Santorum gains the nomination and then falls before Obama, flubbing an election that just months ago seemed eminently winnable, it will unleash a GOP apocalypse on November 7 - followed by an epic struggle between the regulars and red-hots to refashion the party. And make no mistake: A loss is what the GOP's political class now expects. "Six months before this thing got going, every Republican I know was saying, 'We're gonna win, we're gonna beat Obama,'" says former Reagan strategist Ed Rollins. "Now even those who've endorsed Romney say, 'My God, what a fucking mess.'"
Goldberg points out that this is what happened in 1976, when the party stuck with Ford over Reagan, was beaten by Carter, and went on to embrace the Gipper's brand of movement conservatism four years later. So who does Goldberg think might be ascendant in the aftermath of a Romney licking? "Sarah Palin," he replies. "She's an outsider, she has no Washington or Wall Street baggage, she's electric--and she's waiting, because if Romney doesn't win, she will be welcomed in." But if it's Santorum who is the standard-bearer and then he suffers an epic loss, a different analogy will be apt: Goldwater in 1964. (And, given the degree of the challenges Santorum would face in attracting female voters, epic it might well be.) As Kearns Goodwin points out, the rejection of the Arizona senator's ideology and policies led the GOP to turn back in 1968 to Nixon, "a much more moderate figure, despite the incredible corruption of his time in office." For Republicans after 2012, a similar repudiation of the populist, culture-warrior coalition that is fueling Santorum's surge would open the door to the many talented party leaders--Daniels, Christie, Bush, Ryan, Bobby Jindal--waiting in the wings for 2016, each offering the possibility of refashioning the GOP into a serious and forward-thinking enterprise.
But if it's Santorum who is the standard-bearer and then he suffers an epic loss, a different analogy will be apt: Goldwater in 1964. (And, given the degree of the challenges Santorum would face in attracting female voters, epic it might well be.) As Kearns Goodwin points out, the rejection of the Arizona senator's ideology and policies led the GOP to turn back in 1968 to Nixon, "a much more moderate figure, despite the incredible corruption of his time in office." For Republicans after 2012, a similar repudiation of the populist, culture-warrior coalition that is fueling Santorum's surge would open the door to the many talented party leaders--Daniels, Christie, Bush, Ryan, Bobby Jindal--waiting in the wings for 2016, each offering the possibility of refashioning the GOP into a serious and forward-thinking enterprise.
If that happens, the implications for the Republican Party will be straightforward: It will be reshaped in the image of whichever of the candidates becomes president-elect. A Romney victory would signal the resurgence of the regulars, while one by Santorum would usher in an era of red-hot regnancy.
But if it's Santorum who is the standard-bearer and then he suffers an epic loss, a different analogy will be apt: Goldwater in 1964.
Goldwater was the start, the symptom, of the right-ening of the Republican Party. If Santorum is Goldwater Mk II, God help America.
But it's not (yet) a continuous campaign, so the ad placements are limited by the number of slots. There is a limited number of TV channels and a limited number of hours per day.
Problem for the student is to analyze this in terms of economics and predict the result. Not for this election--it's too late to save this one. For the long term...
It is a coup de théâtre in a show that will not have a long run. You can't be me, I'm taken
-- The Sun "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
But as you always say, those words were said in analogue times. "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
Proper figures will not be available till distributors get the returns tomorrow (Newspapers are sold to shops on a sale or return basis, and When the delivery drivers drop Monday mornings papers they pick up last weeks wrapped returns that are then counted at the depots), and they wont be collated till at least Tuesday by the sales watchdogs. Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
At least Two senior police officers may be exposed, one who is under investigation by the IPCC for leaking the investigation to Rebekah Brooks, and another who it is reported has been in reciept of cash delivered by News International drivers whilst at work.
and thats before anyone else starts providing evidence, and Im sure there will be a few points of entertainment there.
It won't all be plain sailing for the Met either. they have lots of things still to explain. Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
There has been regular comment here in the Salon. It's enough. But the next segment of Leveson could raise questions in which we should be interested.
To my mind, the press in its current form is, if you will, in its death throes. I can think of very few print business models that will survive the shift to digital. You can't be me, I'm taken
Independent on Sunday deputy editor James Hanning probably doubled the ratings of this coming week's Leveson hearings when he wrote, in today's edition, that `Dramatic new evidence to the Leveson inquiry is expected to unleash a "bloodbath" of bitter recriminations between police and prosecution officials arguing over failings in a series of investigations into allegations of phone hacking, computer hacking and bribery by journalists.' Hanning - a chap as well clued into the Hackgate saga as anyone - has used an army of News International moles to piece together an entirely convincing story about the Sun on Sunday launch being brought forward....to avoid being spoiled (or even ruined) by some of the evidence of Newscorp criminality about to spill out into the media. I am now well behind the music on this area - police and judiciary - of Hackgate, but given Mr Hanning is one of the more scrupulous and careful professionals around in the business today, I suspect a rearrangement of the furniture around our telly might be called for, starting tomorrow.
Independent on Sunday deputy editor James Hanning probably doubled the ratings of this coming week's Leveson hearings when he wrote, in today's edition, that `Dramatic new evidence to the Leveson inquiry is expected to unleash a "bloodbath" of bitter recriminations between police and prosecution officials arguing over failings in a series of investigations into allegations of phone hacking, computer hacking and bribery by journalists.'
Hanning - a chap as well clued into the Hackgate saga as anyone - has used an army of News International moles to piece together an entirely convincing story about the Sun on Sunday launch being brought forward....to avoid being spoiled (or even ruined) by some of the evidence of Newscorp criminality about to spill out into the media. I am now well behind the music on this area - police and judiciary - of Hackgate, but given Mr Hanning is one of the more scrupulous and careful professionals around in the business today, I suspect a rearrangement of the furniture around our telly might be called for, starting tomorrow.
Who or what is the "Aged P."?
Maybe your next one will be better. Fingers crossed. 'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
Amir Hussein Ali-Zadeh spent five years working going through the necessary motions needed to obtain the permits, but it probably was worth it. This week he opened the first Iranian branch of Kentucky Fried Chicken, the bread crumb coated deep-fried chicken, served with a side of fries and coleslaw, one of the culture symbols of the "Great Satan." Ali-Zadeh emphasized his is an Iranian company, not American, and that it is called "Kentucky Fried Chicken - Iran." He added that he plans to add an additional 32 dishes to his menu to suit the Iranian taste.
Ali-Zadeh emphasized his is an Iranian company, not American, and that it is called "Kentucky Fried Chicken - Iran." He added that he plans to add an additional 32 dishes to his menu to suit the Iranian taste.
When 200 gms is tender (up to 1 hour), add two dessert spoons of tomato ketchup, two large garlic cloves, liberal sprinkling of dried mint, plenty of fresh-ground black pepper, salt and two dessert spoons of Canola (or more - depending on desired consistency). Then zap into a thick paste.
Great on good bread. The sophisticated cousin of peanut butter You can't be me, I'm taken
Sounds like an Asian version of hummus!
The stock can be anything to your taste that adds flavour to the beans. I use these Vietnamese stock cubes. (available in a variety of flavours). You can't be me, I'm taken
But who?
The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
BEST PICTURE: The Artist
BEST DIRECTOR : Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
BEST ACTOR: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
BEST ACTRESS: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
(Good for Plummer)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Octavia Spencer, The Help
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Midnight in Paris
(The other ones must have really sucked, Allen mailed it in.)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Descendants
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Rango
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: A Separation
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Undefeated
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Hugo
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: The Artist
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "Man or Muppet" from The Muppets
(Give me a break.)
BEST EDITING: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
BEST ART DIRECTION: Hugo
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: The Artist
BEST MAKEUP: The Iron Lady
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Hugo
BEST SOUND MIXING: Hugo
BEST SOUND EDITING: Hugo
BEST ANIMATED SHORT: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: The Shore
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Saving Face Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
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