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by afew Sun Mar 4th, 2012 at 11:39:27 AM EST
USA. Home of the land of the free.
(Not) Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Under the ancien regime in France, steps were taken to ensure that the unwashed masses" were kept out of sight whenever a carriage containing an important aristocrat or church official was passing through. Similarly, H.R. 347 creates for the US president and other top officials a protest-free bubble or "no-free-speech zone" that follows them wherever they go, making sure the discontented multitude is kept out of the picture.
And woe to the unfortunate souls who get on the way of the royal carriage or those of the family or government:
Of course, now that our presidential monarch is campaigning for re-election, and claims to be "one of the people", he's trying again to mingle with the great unwashed; not always a good idea:
Sarkozy booed, chased into cafe by angry mob - The Associated Press
Thu Mar 01, BAYONNE, France -- French President Nicolas Sarkozy took refuge from a crowd of several hundred angry protesters in a cafe, as riot police swarmed in to protect him while he campaigned in the country's southwest Basque country. Riot police surrounded the Bar du Palais in central Bayonne where Sarkozy stayed for about an hour Thursday to get away from the protesters -- some of them Basque nationalists, others carrying posters of rival Socialist candidate Francois Hollande. Even for the unpopular leader, it was a bizarre turn of events. The French president's security is scaled down when he is on the campaign trail, and some observers have noted it has been particularly spare at some recent events, perhaps as part of Sarkozy's effort to connect with voters.
Thu Mar 01, BAYONNE, France -- French President Nicolas Sarkozy took refuge from a crowd of several hundred angry protesters in a cafe, as riot police swarmed in to protect him while he campaigned in the country's southwest Basque country.
Riot police surrounded the Bar du Palais in central Bayonne where Sarkozy stayed for about an hour Thursday to get away from the protesters -- some of them Basque nationalists, others carrying posters of rival Socialist candidate Francois Hollande.
Even for the unpopular leader, it was a bizarre turn of events. The French president's security is scaled down when he is on the campaign trail, and some observers have noted it has been particularly spare at some recent events, perhaps as part of Sarkozy's effort to connect with voters.
Ralph McQuarrie, the artist who helped George Lucas bring Stars Wars to the big screen, has died aged 82. The conceptual designer created the look of characters including Darth Vader, Chewbacca and R2-D2 and C-3PO. He also worked on the original Battlestar Galactica TV series and Steven Spielberg films E.T. and Cocoon, for which he won an Oscar.
Ralph McQuarrie, the artist who helped George Lucas bring Stars Wars to the big screen, has died aged 82.
The conceptual designer created the look of characters including Darth Vader, Chewbacca and R2-D2 and C-3PO.
He also worked on the original Battlestar Galactica TV series and Steven Spielberg films E.T. and Cocoon, for which he won an Oscar.
Mitt Romney 19,111 37.6% Ron Paul 12,594 24.8% Rick Santorum 12,089 23.8% Newt Gingrich 5,221 10.3%
Participation was way up from the 12,000 (and change) who participated in 2008.
Delegates will be assigned at the state convention Wednesday 30 May - Saturday 2 June 2012.
Current delegate standings are (NYT):
Romney - 180 Santorum - 90 Gingrich - 29 Paul - 23
1144 delegates needed to win the nomination 1962 delegates remaining
One thing to note: not all delegates awarded in the above tally are pledged and must always, by law and rule, vote for a specific candidate. Some are unpledged, the rest have a limitation on the number of times they must vote for "their" candidate. Rumors are floating around that the Ron Paul people know this and have been working to become delegates. Thus, in the long haul Romney's count is softer than the numbers indicate and Paul's support firmer. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
zat right ? keep to the Fen Causeway
What this tells me is the GOP primary voters do NOT want Romney to head the ticket but they don't want anybody else in the race to head the ticket either. As an example, Santorum was freaking nowhere until Iowa, he got the support of 150 Evangelical/Con organizations, and Gingrich's flame-out in Florida.
The recent past also tells me I don't know What Is Going On down in the precincts. Blew last Tuesday's primary Big Time, for example.
So, take the following with a lot of reservation.
IMO, it's not a particular state, such as Ohio, that is important but how well Romney across the board. Super Tuesday won't 'pick' the GOP nominee but it's hard to see how Romney won't get it if he is seen to have won March 6th. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
There's still two whole seasons of soap opera time still left before a decision is needed.
Chris Christie called it "the dumbest idea anybody ever had." Mitch Daniels has criticized it. And according to the chairman of the Vermont Republican Party, it's "water torture." The slow-burning Republican presidential nominating process is facing scrutiny and sharp criticism as the increasingly bitter GOP primary fight threatens to drag on into the spring and perhaps the summer. The anxiety is coming from Republicans, many of them supporters of front-runner Mitt Romney, who worry that the drawn-out fight for delegates has forced the GOP candidates into costly intra-party warfare, while President Barack Obama is free to raise vast sums of money and strategize for the general election.
Mitch Daniels has criticized it.
And according to the chairman of the Vermont Republican Party, it's "water torture."
The slow-burning Republican presidential nominating process is facing scrutiny and sharp criticism as the increasingly bitter GOP primary fight threatens to drag on into the spring and perhaps the summer.
The anxiety is coming from Republicans, many of them supporters of front-runner Mitt Romney, who worry that the drawn-out fight for delegates has forced the GOP candidates into costly intra-party warfare, while President Barack Obama is free to raise vast sums of money and strategize for the general election.
http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/04/politics/gop-nominating-calendar/?hpt=hp_c1
There was a time when Helsinki was full of little grillibaari (grill bars) which did a working man's traditional lunch. A major item was the Weinerleike, as we call it, where the anchovy with capers on a slice of boiled egg was rather crucial.
Sadly, most of these grill bars have disappeared. In Porvoo, during the summer, there's an old converted bus cafe parked in the market square, which serves a mean Finnish meat pie or lihapiirakka. If you fancy mince and rice in a doughnut cover - deep fried - you'll love it. Their coffee too would wake the dead. However there is a choice now: a trendy little caravan serves coffee any way you like it, with some more fashionable nibbles.
For greater sophistication there's Cafe Cabriole.
But I have digressed... You can't be me, I'm taken
By the by, at a St.Patrick's parade in the New Orleans area many years ago, I discovered that the "throws" (the free things tossed from the parade floats... a "must" in any Louisiana parade) were cabbages and potatoes.
I took my daughter to Macy's Thanksgiving parade in NYC when she was 9 years old and she looked at me like WTF? and asked "when are they going to start throwing things?" 'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
One of the first engineering jokes I learned was that St. Patrick was the patron saint of engineers as he had driven the snakes out of Ireland, thereby inventing the worm drive. As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
But I don't think I could re-read the latter books again. keep to the Fen Causeway
Bored I am. Care not, I do.
Ditto for that interminable "Fire and Ice" series by George R. R. Martin.
Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Based on spice-stained notes by the Great Man himself!
Actually they're not bad. But they're also not good: lots of interesting ideas, average writing.
I understand why he continued to slog on. None of his books before or after Dune & Other Dunes sold as many copies so Why Not? He made a niche, filled it, and gave a good deal of pleasure to millions of readers.
Good on You, Frank!
Which is why I gave up reading science fiction. About the time I read the third Dune book, I think. Cute ideas abound, the writing was average, and there were holes in the plot you could fly an ornithopter through.
I worked out that cute ideas are a dime a dozen, and that I preferred good writing, whatever the genre.
Actually, even with the very best writers, I tend to get bored after a couple of books. Once you've worked out what makes them tick, I guess. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Martin's problem is his conception outweighs his Talent and Ability. Compare to Bujold and the Admiral Naismith series which is much less ambitious but well within her skills. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
<cue oft-written rant>
I got the feeling that GRRM is actually another Neal Stephenson, he doesn't know how to write resolution, so for now he's delaying and at best he'll jerry-rig something together at the end of the series, but odds are by then it'll feel so foreshadowed and so pocked with lazy plot twists (like obvious deaths that are not deaths of the few characters that people care about) that it becomes tedious ... so at the very least I'm not coming back until the whole thing is finished - and probably not even then.
</rant>
I gave Herbert a pass somewhere above for doing the same because he was a darn good writer and wrote a damn good piece of Science Fiction first and then went on to "mine his readership." Martin wrote a piece of standard schlock that had potential - War of the Roses set in a Fantasy universe is a nice idea - and then promptly failed to make anything out of it ... in book after book after book. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
I still suspect his problem is not a general inability to write endings but just the high failure rate of multi volume series catching up. Von überall könnte das Volk, Urbrut alles Undemokratischen, Zelle des Terrors, über die gewählten Hüter von Wachstum und Wohlstand® kommen. - flatter
Commenting on the companion thread, I've never been attracted to epic, intrigue filled series like Martin's Song of Fire and Ice. I do, however, quite like the genre. Two recent standouts are Abercrombie's First Law Trilogy, and Patrick Rothfuss' Name of the Wind.
For sheer crazy inventiveness, I want to plug The Court of the Air, by Stephen Hunt. For his setting, the author put the English Civil War, French Revolution, Russian Revolution, the Aztecs, and Cthulhu into a blender, gave it a steampunk sprinkling, and spread the mixture on a nice firm slab of The Roast Beef of Olde England.
In my illness of last week, I sat down and watched Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy, and quite enjoyed it. I then decided to read the book, having never read anything by LeCarre, or anything spy-related in general. I'm quite liking the book, and oddly enough, I don't find it problematic at all that I generally know where things are going.
I haven't read O'Brian, but I enjoyed the film, in fact I've watched it several times. It makes me wish ah, I see there has been a series of Hornblower films-for-TV made around the turn of the century. I must check them out. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
For his setting, the author put the English Civil War, French Revolution, Russian Revolution, the Aztecs, and Cthulhu into a blender, gave it a steampunk sprinkling, and spread the mixture on a nice firm slab of The Roast Beef of Olde England.
that was ace... It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
BBC News - Russia election: Vladimir Putin declares victory
Vladimir Putin has declared victory in Russia's presidential elections, returning for a third term after spending the last four years as the country's PM. Exit polls and preliminary results gave him about 60% of the vote. Mr Putin told supporters at a rally in central Moscow they had won in an open and honest battle. But opposition groups have reported widespread fraud, with many people said to have voted more than once. They have called for mass protests in central Moscow on Monday.
Vladimir Putin has declared victory in Russia's presidential elections, returning for a third term after spending the last four years as the country's PM.
Exit polls and preliminary results gave him about 60% of the vote.
Mr Putin told supporters at a rally in central Moscow they had won in an open and honest battle.
But opposition groups have reported widespread fraud, with many people said to have voted more than once.
They have called for mass protests in central Moscow on Monday.
U.S. Federal Dist. Judge Naomi Buchwald ruled Friday to dismiss the case brought by organic farmers to stop patent infringement lawsuits brought by seed giant Monsanto. The suit, called OSGATA et al. vs. Monsanto, was brought by the Organic Seed Growers and Trade Assn. (OSGATA), as well as 82 other plaintiffs representing as many as 300,000 farmers."We're Americans. We believe in the system. But we're disappointed in the judge," said Jim Gerritsen, an organic seed farmer in Maine and OSGATA president.The farmers had sought a declaratory judgment against Monsanto to stop the agribusiness giant from suing farmers who ended up with patented genes in their seed crops through cross-contamination via wind or other accidental methods. Monsanto has said for years that it would not sue farmers who inadvertently acquired their patented genes, yet there have been over a hundred such lawsuits, including several against farmers who proved they had no intention of using Monsanto genes, and an unknown number of settlements that have not been disclosed. The farmers contend that this amounts to harassment, and that many of them have stopped growing profitable crops such as corn because of fear of contamination by Monsanto crops.
U.S. Federal Dist. Judge Naomi Buchwald ruled Friday to dismiss the case brought by organic farmers to stop patent infringement lawsuits brought by seed giant Monsanto. The suit, called OSGATA et al. vs. Monsanto, was brought by the Organic Seed Growers and Trade Assn. (OSGATA), as well as 82 other plaintiffs representing as many as 300,000 farmers.
"We're Americans. We believe in the system. But we're disappointed in the judge," said Jim Gerritsen, an organic seed farmer in Maine and OSGATA president.
The farmers had sought a declaratory judgment against Monsanto to stop the agribusiness giant from suing farmers who ended up with patented genes in their seed crops through cross-contamination via wind or other accidental methods. Monsanto has said for years that it would not sue farmers who inadvertently acquired their patented genes, yet there have been over a hundred such lawsuits, including several against farmers who proved they had no intention of using Monsanto genes, and an unknown number of settlements that have not been disclosed. The farmers contend that this amounts to harassment, and that many of them have stopped growing profitable crops such as corn because of fear of contamination by Monsanto crops.
We're Americans. We believe in the system.
So does Monsanto, on somewhat stronger grounds.
I presume I'm not the only denizen around here who's read it? The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
I also have a soft spot for Ursula K. Le Guin: The Lathe of Heaven is my favorite. Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
Ursula used the genre to explore Big Ideas. Politics, sex, lots of good stuff.
Lathe of Heaven was the nightmarish one, if I recall correctly... It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
I'm kind of ambivalent about Heinlein these days. He was an awful libertarian sometimes, and Starship Troopers is plain cryptofascist. The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
Star Ship Troopers is thought-provoking IF one bothers to carefully read the thing giving equal weight to what is said on every page AND probing beneath the surface story. Heinlein is attempting to demonstrate the best electorate is one where all of the members have demonstrated the ability to sacrifice for the common good¹.
Whether he succeeds in said demonstration is up to the reader; I think he failed both artistically - if you will - and dialectically.
Similar with Farnham's Freehold. It's a book about racism so ... duh ... there are racists in the thing. Farnham is himself a racist, albeit of the 'Country Club' variety; they don't go out an lynch Blacks but neither do they accept in as human beings, equal to themselves and they DAMN sure don't want them admitted to the Country Club. FF, IMO, succeeds more-better since the semi-libertarian goofballs ignore it when getting all fluffy-eyed o'er Heinlein.
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¹ To prove that contention one must delve deep into the Heinlein Correspondence, now being held semi-hostage at UC Santa Cruz. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
However, I was very impressed with the sympathy and understanding he showed of trans issues in the book The number of the beast and always wondered if this came from a personal insight. That might explain some of the other politics a bit. keep to the Fen Causeway
I know he would be VERY interested. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Speaking about politics, one thing I like about Heinlein is that he is not afraid of slaughtering his utopia. In Coventry he paints a picture of a world with liberty for all, and for those that hurt others the choice of mind-altering treatment to stop hurting others or banishment to Coventry - an area rich with natural resources, but also filled with other psychos like you. Sounds like libertarian utopia right?
So then in Methuselah's Children when a group that are extremely long-lived outs themselves, the protections break down as the need to get the secret of eternal youth outweighs everything. The social advances are just tossed out the window. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
Another political utopia I like is the description of the octospider society in Garden of Rama by Arthur C Clarke. This is sort of like the reverse of Coventry: a highly regimented, rational society which banishes "deviants" to an outside colony where they make a living as a tourist attraction (doing arts and crafts) for the members of the mainstream colony. The description of the human society is that book is distinctly dystopian, too. Humans are incapable of organizing a good society for themselves. There are three stories about the euro crisis: the Republican story, the German story, and the truth. -- Paul Krugman
My top three would probably be:
The Gameplayers of Zan, by MA Foster. Which is pretty much unknown except for the few people who have read it. It does an excellent line in aliens who happen to be almost - but not quite - human.
Dune.
And I have no idea about number three. There are too many good books to choose from, and I don't think I can pick one above the others.
If I did it would probably be something by Philip K Dick - likely one of the short story collections.
And then it was the 80s and Hollywood turned SF into a cliched round of marines in drop ships, giant dripping dystopias, and navies in space.
It became harder to find clever and original new things after that. (Greg Bear and David Brin were good in the next generation. Then William Gibson. After that, not so much - except maybe Charlie Stross now.)
RA Laferty is an "acquired" taste, methinks. He is a brilliantly flawed storyteller, with both adjectives of equal weight. I've never been less than enthralled and less than massively irked when reading one of his tales. He was 1/2 Cherokee and 1/2 Irish taking equally from both storytelling traditions. Which explains ... something ... and I've been waiting 30 years for someone to tell me what it is! ;-)
If you are into Space Opera - unlikely given your author list - or are looking for time-wasting mind diverting fluff check out the Vatta War series by Elizabeth Moon. Not E. E. 'Doc' Smith with "meter-thick busbars clearing their grisly shorts" and planets smashing into planets AND the casual misogyny but well into the sub-genre. And she can tell a straightforward story, straightforwardly.
In this day and age, a relief.
I've only read a couple of works by Bear and nothing by Brin or Gibson. Gone off SF due to the load of tripe being committed under the rubric. It is said the Golden Age of Science Fiction is thirteen ... and I'm well past my Due Date. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
For me, that book was Ursula Le guin's The Dispossessed. I read it when I was 13/14 or so and was quite amazed to find out how much of Shevek's philosophy I'd assimilated into my own when I re-read it 10 years later. keep to the Fen Causeway
I can't recall The Dispossessed offhand right now, but Lathe of Heaven is a brilliant book. The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
Asimov and Bradbury were my earliest SF influences I think...
Loved Something Wicked This Way Comes and Martian Chronicles, Dandelion Wine, not so much.
(Darned if I remember why.) Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
The Heinlein juveniles, like Space Ship Galileo, and Space Cadet, were my particular favorites, although I do not think I was really up to actually identifying a particular author at that point - I was really young. Their combination of optimistic can-do heorism and simply presented yet quite deep SF concepts was compelling. Oh, how I longed for my own rocket ship! Other, more dubious, favorites included the Tom Swift books, the Doc Savage stories, and Star Trek novelizations.
Recently, I've gone back to some of these Heinlein stories, from a new perspective as an English teacher. Space Cadet, Have Space Suit will Travel, Citizen of the Galaxy, etc., these stories hold up. They're anachronistic in some ways, but in others the science is barely softer than it was at the time (orbital mechanics still being much the same). It's not the imagination of today, by any means, but it's not totally laughable, either. Further, Heinlein also dealt with larger social issues in each of his books, and his ideas are just as relevant and worth engaging today. Space Cadet proposes a space based UN with total control of humanity's nuclear weapons, and a mandate to use them if necessary to preserve the peace. Citizen of the Galaxy deals with issues of development, lawlessness in a sparsely populated galaxy, and the issues of slavery and freedom in a variety of social settings. Have Space Suit strongly argues for everyone to take a pro-active approach to their education, and uses an odd and rather silly situation to show how such an approach paid off for one unfortunate young man.
Mistake.
It wasn't upchuckingly bad, mind you, but I found I had no interest in finishing the last couple of ounces either. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
But, whilst I personally have gone right off weisse beers in the last few years so wouldn't drink any, I don't remember Franzikaner being terrible keep to the Fen Causeway
Too sweet for my taste. And it had enough orange-citrus in the basic beer so the orange slice they added to rim, and I stupidly put in the glass, jumped the shark. It went OK with our very mediocre Fish-n-Chips but nothing I wanted to drink post-food. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Of course the Republicans are doing what they can to try to ruin it.
Beer industry experts point to Colorado's alcohol laws -- some of which are vestiges of the Prohibition era -- as crucial to the success of breweries here. Colorado is one of a small number of states that allow convenience stores to sell only low-alcohol beer (maximum 3.2 percent by weight). Supermarket chains like Safeway and King Soopers are permitted to sell full strength beer at a single branch statewide. This allows independent liquor stores -- who happily sell full-strength craft beer from local breweries -- to thrive. Denver brewers can also haul kegs of their latest pale ales, coffee stouts and other creations to a seemingly endless selection of city bars to serve on tap. Past efforts by the supermarket and convenience store industries to change the laws have been defeated in the Colorado legislature. "If you have a quality product and you have another means of marketing and distributing it, why wouldn't you want to tap into that?" said State Representative Larry Liston, a Republican from Colorado Springs, who has tried unsuccessfully to pass legislation allowing supermarkets and convenience stores to sell full-strength beer. But the Colorado craft brewing industry says it would be impossible for chain stores to sufficiently feature the ever-growing array of craft products. And it has a powerful ally in Gov. John W. Hickenlooper, an old brewer himself, who helped found Denver's Wynkoop Brewing Company in 1988. "The bottom line is that this is one of the fastest growing industries in the state, and we don't want to see it change," said Steve Kurowski, a spokesman for the Colorado Brewers Guild.
Colorado is one of a small number of states that allow convenience stores to sell only low-alcohol beer (maximum 3.2 percent by weight). Supermarket chains like Safeway and King Soopers are permitted to sell full strength beer at a single branch statewide.
This allows independent liquor stores -- who happily sell full-strength craft beer from local breweries -- to thrive. Denver brewers can also haul kegs of their latest pale ales, coffee stouts and other creations to a seemingly endless selection of city bars to serve on tap.
Past efforts by the supermarket and convenience store industries to change the laws have been defeated in the Colorado legislature.
"If you have a quality product and you have another means of marketing and distributing it, why wouldn't you want to tap into that?" said State Representative Larry Liston, a Republican from Colorado Springs, who has tried unsuccessfully to pass legislation allowing supermarkets and convenience stores to sell full-strength beer.
But the Colorado craft brewing industry says it would be impossible for chain stores to sufficiently feature the ever-growing array of craft products. And it has a powerful ally in Gov. John W. Hickenlooper, an old brewer himself, who helped found Denver's Wynkoop Brewing Company in 1988.
"The bottom line is that this is one of the fastest growing industries in the state, and we don't want to see it change," said Steve Kurowski, a spokesman for the Colorado Brewers Guild.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/03/us/craft-brewing-finds-a-welcoming-atmosphere.html?_r=1
Then they'll flood the market with cheap product from the big brewers and ignore the locals. keep to the Fen Causeway
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