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Friday Open Thread

by afew Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:01:47 PM EST

Fifteen men on a dead man's chest


Display:
Get it off yours.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:02:07 PM EST

Je suis venu vous dire que je m'en vais
 Et vos larmes n'y pourront rien changer
 Comme dit si bien Beaudelaire, au vent mauvais
 Je suis venu vous dire que je m'en vais...

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:11:15 PM EST
The race seems to have tightened . The polls are showing 4 and 5 per cent leads for Hollande. It looks like a nail biter.

Hey, Grandma Moses started late!
by LEP on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:48:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have trouble believing that - but then again what do I know?

A Sarkozy win would be devastating to lots of people - not least the right, because he will rightly claim that he won on his own and he will be absolutely insufferable. And the French will deserve what they get if he's elected.

Wind power

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:12:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome a Paris:
he will rightly claim that he won on his own and he will be absolutely insufferable. And the French will deserve what they get if he's elected.

aaargh, berlusconi flashback.

It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:26:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The closest gap in a couple of polls is 5 points. Others show more.

Sarko's side are of course feeding the media with how razor-edge it's going to be. Bruno Jérôme, whom no one heard of before, and who has a model that he says always predicts correctly, seems to be part of that effort. (You know, his model is accurate to one-tenth of a point...)

If Sarko wins, that would be a huge upset for the pollsters, since no poll at any time has shown a smaller gap than 5 points.

It would be a huge upset for France and Europe, too...

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 01:37:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bruno Jérôme, whom no one heard of before, and who has a model that he says always predicts correctly, seems to be part of that effort. (You know, his model is accurate to one-tenth of a point...)

He appears to be very good at think-tanking. He got himself described as very prestigious on the always gullible foreign press.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 02:47:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's the hallmark of a real think tank; let's stand up and take notice </snark>.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 05:06:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The closest gap in a couple of polls is 5 points. Others show more.

Heh. But Sarko can rely on Ifop: their latest shows a gap of 4 points. But the average of the last polls from eight different pollsters is 5.5 points.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:35:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yep. Ifop is in cahoots. But even they don't dare cross the curves...
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 11:10:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
God forbid! -the atheist says.
by PerCLupi on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:56:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bruno Jérôme says that Sarkozy will win by the hairs.
by PerCLupi on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 01:30:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:10:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Google is my friend: Institut de Recherche sur la Gouvernance et l'Economie des Institutions (Universite Pantheon Assas Paris II)
Bruno Jérôme, Directeur Adjoint de l'IRGEI


guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:15:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:42:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
According to El País, a political scientist at the University of Paris II - Panthéon-Assas, one of the most reputed schools of France in the field of Law, Economics, Political Science and Business Management, co-founder of ElectionScope, a center for prospective political-economic analysis. It seems that he is a highly acclaimed specialist in election polls.
by PerCLupi on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 10:10:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Assas is also well-known as the rightwing campus of the Latin Quarter.

The think tank Jérôme assistant-directs does research into, among others, such neoclassical economic theories as Law and Economics, and the Public Choice school.

I think he's part of a media push by the Sarkozists to get the idea across that Sarkozy can win. Which is what you try to do when you're trailing.

I hope it backfires and brings out the anti-Sarko vote. ;)

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 10:34:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I did not it. Thank you. I also hope that Sarkozy does not win.
by PerCLupi on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 11:18:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
[ makes sign to avert evil]
by rootless2 on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 09:01:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I live with my fingers crossed and surrounded by garlic.
by PerCLupi on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 10:14:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There's a beer fest I want to go to tommorw. I normally take the bike on the train, cycle the 3 miles there, then once I've exhausted all the ones I want to try, go on to another pub about a mile away and then meander back to the railway station.

Unfortunately, my bike is still in the repair shop. I put it in 5 months ago, before I broke my wrist (I was riding a loaner) and it's still not done. Yes, I know I'm not paying for it, but it's still annoying.

So tomorrow, I will be walking across wet and sodden fields and probably falling into a muddy puddle on the way back. The things I do for beer...{sigh}

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:43:55 PM EST
I've heard of people walking a mile for a Camel, but you are one dedicated beer drinker to walk 6+ miles for a beer. Have you ever done this before? Muddy puddles aside, you must be in excellent physical condition.
by sgr2 on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 03:47:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, it'll work out 6 miles in all, but it doesn't require excellent physical condition. Just a pathetic and ill-informed belief that it's "doing me good"

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:04:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If you'd seen Helen charging around Paris while I limped along behind down the Blvd. de L'Opera, (and I regularly walk into Berchtesgaden and back, about 7 miles) you wouldn't be worried about her walking 6 miles.  heh.

'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
by Wife of Bath (kareninaustin at g mail dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 07:34:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I was grateful to sit down at the end of it tho'

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 07:54:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well okay then. Have fun!
by sgr2 on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 11:34:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Liberal conspiracy - Richard Exell - The elites don't understand how they've changed at all

There was a wonderful letter in yesterdays Independent in support of Rupert Murdoch. Amongst other things, it said
 

He feeds over 54,000 families every day worldwide.
 

I don't think the writer (someone who "had the pleasure to work with Rupert Murdoch during my career in Australia and London") means that Rupe's the Father Christmas of soup runs, zooming from one time zone to another to reach the needy.

Plainly he's referring to the News International workforce - and my first thought was that it would be more accurate to say that every day 54,000 families worldwide feed him. But it did strike me as giving an insight into a conservative problem that people are finding hard to explain.



keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:47:47 PM EST
You obviously have no idea how hard he works. Must be, compared to the average grunt who makes, say, $50,000 a year, about
$33,000,000 / $50,000 = 660 times as hard.
by asdf on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:16:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Heartland Institute sinks to a new low | Bad Astronomy | Discover Magazine

The Heartland Institute, a far-right climate change denying "thinktank" has put up a series of billboards so disgusting, so vile, that I find it difficult to find words to tell you just how disgusting and vile they are.

So instead, I'll show you one:



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 01:16:06 PM EST
The 1% are steadily converting all of the reporters for popular but apolitical magazines into socialists.
by asdf on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:19:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Really.

The effort to tame the American Legislative Exchange Council, the heart of all the right wing craziness going in in US state governments, and its tentacles, Heartland and all the other state level thinktanks, is succeeding.  Hence the retrenchment. Heartland is getting offensive precisely because they know that they are losing.  

Having been part of the planning of the protest last year that led to the release of the model legislation, it's so surprising seeing ALEC as a huge media story in the US.

ALEC's latest target is renewable energy. Specifically they are attacking Feed in Tariffs and Renewable Portfolio Standards that serve as demand supports for the industry in the US.

Gas is dirt cheap in the US right now, if they can use this brief window of super low prices before the completion of export terminals drives prices back up, they can cripple one of the mechanisms that drive down demand before a global market in LNG, and vastly higher US spot prices, come into effect. Clever little bastards, they are.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:38:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, you're up against the organization my old classmate at FSU, Matt Warner, put together presumably.  He was the head of ALEC's environmental division (whatever it's called).

I was sad to see he'd had fallen in with that crowd.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 07:37:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Popcorn time, even when it's just another round of ritualistic outrage.
by Nomad on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:33:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Ritualistic outrage"? When you're told this?

The people who still believe in man-made global warming are mostly on the radical fringe of society. This is why the most prominent advocates of global warming aren't scientists. They are murderers, tyrants, and madmen.


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:36:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I find it just as insane as anyone else - but it won't change the well-established pattern of blogs screaming bloody murder, followed by talking heads in the media being offended, then some other media dedicating space and time to the motivations of Heartland, then either a retraction will follow (most likely, since even the fringers are offended) or further entrenchment, then everyone gets distracted by a nice game of football or an exploding building.

Then the beat goes on.

That has been the pattern in Climate Wars since I keep a tab on it, and I don't see it changing now.

by Nomad on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 06:35:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
among the venom-dripping things they say, one bit of crazy stands out:
The people who still believe in man-made global warming are mostly on the radical fringe of society. This is why the most prominent advocates of global warming aren't scientists. They are murderers, tyrants, and madmen.
Al Gore is fat.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:07:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So sick of this shit I could scream.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:24:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Just how low can they go? (And just how many Republican voters can they draw with them?)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:13:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]




*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:21:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What they are trying (apparently successfully by reading your next comment) is to make informed and intelligent Public Debate impossible.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:27:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They succeeded in that long ago, and there can be no debate with a propaganda outlet.

BTW the latest is that they'll take the billboard down (and declare it a success).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:32:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And use the "success" in their next round of fund raising.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:37:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually that seems to be the attack line against them: after the leaks of internal documents, they lost some corporate sponsors, and science blogs now attack those who remained.

Heartland Institute compares belief in global warming to mass murder | Leo Hickman | Environment | guardian.co.uk

As a result of the embarrassment caused by the release earlier this year of its internal funding documents, the US car giant GM pulled the plug on its funding for Heartland. Will Microsoft, Pfizer or GlaxoSmithKline, for example, now also choose to cut their funding to this organisation?


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:31:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This is politics. There can be no informed debate.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 02:44:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:29:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Excellent... except it's "believe."

'tis strange I should be old and neither wise nor valiant. From "The Maid's Tragedy" by Beaumont & Fletcher
by Wife of Bath (kareninaustin at g mail dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 02:55:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I suspect the typo was intentional. (Never before have I seen as terrible writing skills as when I first met creationists on the internet. Then again, with the rise of the texting generation, what I have seen back then is much more widespread now.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:40:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC - BBC Internet Blog: BBC Online Briefing Spring 2012: The Participation Choice

One of the defining characteristics of digital media is interaction. It enables us to be active, make choices, build connections, express ourselves and exercise a new level of control over our media experiences.

But how active is the UK online population really? And how might this change in years to come?

With these questions in mind, my team and I conducted a large-scale, long-term investigation into how the UK online population participates using digital media today - from sharing links, to writing blogs and uploading photos. And it revealed a fascinating, and at times, surprising picture.

Like the population itself, the picture is nuanced but six striking themes emerged:

  1. The model which has guided many people's thinking in this area, the 1/9/90 rule, is outmoded. The number of people participating online is significantly higher than 10%.
  2. Participation is now the rule rather than the exception: 77% of the UK online population is now active in some way.


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 01:19:39 PM EST
So the claim is:

The old rule was 90/9/1 running from passive to active.

The new rule is apparently:

Passive 23/16/44/17 Active

I haven't had time to read in depth, but I'm a little suspicious...

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 01:51:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I scanned the linked PDF and it seems to provide no extra information.

Can anyone comment on what ET stats look like these days?

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:03:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hard to answer that, but there's about 150 active commenters of whom 30-odd contribute diary content (the 20-80 law holds good), for maybe 1500 visits on a weekday. That looks to me to pan out, in percent, at 2/8/90.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:22:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
afew:
maybe 1500 visits on a weekday.

is that page hits, or separate visitors?

It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:25:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe if we replace the +4 with a like button we too can increase our share of "active" users.

Von überall könnte das Volk, Urbrut alles Undemokratischen, Zelle des Terrors, über die gewählten Hüter von Wachstum und Wohlstand® kommen. - flatter
by generic on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:25:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Can't do it without re-writing the Scoop source code.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:28:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We have no real reason to fudge user statistics anyway.

Von überall könnte das Volk, Urbrut alles Undemokratischen, Zelle des Terrors, über die gewählten Hüter von Wachstum und Wohlstand® kommen. - flatter
by generic on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 08:21:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
booman's cracked it, wouldn't he share?

It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 01:38:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I believe his embedded FB Likes aren't integrated with his (still existing) SCOOP ratings.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:42:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
They concern diaries, not comments. As with the new ET layout which also lets you tweet.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 06:07:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You guys should be looking here.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 06:05:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The BNP is finished as an electoral force | Matthew Goodwin | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

"Hammered by Labour - same as everyone. No surprise, no disgrace", tweeted BNP chairman Nick Griffin as the scale of his party's total obliteration in the local elections became clear. Griffin and the BNP went into these elections hoping to stem its electoral demise, which was triggered by a combination of infighting and the party's failure to break through at the 2010 general election. Today, the party leaves the contest facing the daunting realisation that it is no longer a significant player in British electoral politics. Put simply, the BNP's electoral challenge is over.

Here are some facts that will be facing Griffin this afternoon, as he sits down to consider how he might possibly sustain the morale of a dwindling and disgruntled base of foot soldiers. At the time of writing, the BNP has lost 10 of the 12 seats that it was defending.

Long gone are the days when the party could claim dozens of local councillors. Furthermore, gone are the days when the party could point to local bastions of support. Perhaps most significant of all, for the first time in 10 years there is not a single BNP councillor on Burnley borough council. The home of the party's initial breakthroughs over 2002-03 is now officially BNP free.



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 01:43:58 PM EST
Alas, it seems that the BNP is basically being superseded by the EDL, who haven't yet gone beyond by-election type activity (they won the Doncaster mayor a couple of years ago) but they are web-savvy and they are the new face of the far right...
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:02:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Also while UKIP are primarily anti-EU they do make plenty of general anti-immigrant and borderline racist remarks.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:08:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not far from the situation the LibDems find themselves in...
by asdf on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:20:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jesus, the LibDems got crushed.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:40:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Local elections: Liberal Democrats 'might not be able to fight 2015 election as independent force' - Telegraph

Lord Oakeshott, the LibDems' former Treasury spokesman, warned the party might not be able to fight the 2015 general election effectively if it suffered another "hammering" on the scale of the local elections.

By late-afternoon on Friday, the LibDems had lost control of Cambridge and more than 300 seats on councils across the country.

Overall the Liberal Democrats dropped below 3,000 councillors for the first time in their history - the lowest number of councillors since the party was formed in 1988.

Lord Oakeshott, an ally of Business secretary Vince Cable, said: "We have got to face it - we have had another very substantial swathe of our crucial activist base wiped away.



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:49:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And London is  very very close. already there were talks of recounts and then a few minutes ago...

Twitter / @DPJHodges: Just found a couple of new ...

Just found a couple of new ballot boxes in Brent. It's like Florida.


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:54:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Couldn't have happened to a nicer bunch.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:05:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Boris Johnson 'wins London mayoral election': Politics live blog | Politics | guardian.co.uk
10.46pm: We're focusing on the contest between Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone, but the London mayoral elections have also seen the Lib Dems do dreadfully. Brian Paddick, the Lib Dem candidate, seems to have been pushed into fourth place, behind the Greens, on less than 5% of the vote.


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:00:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yea, funny how that happens. You screw the electorate over and they just don't like you any more

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:49:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Aparently  yesterday there were some Lib Dem activists saying that "we always get an extra 4% to 5% in midterm elections"  Gallows humour methinks

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 04:55:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Twitter / @JonathanHaynes: 'A 6ft man dressed as a pe ...
'A 6ft man dressed as a penguin beat the Lib Dems in Edinburgh.' What a political epitaph there on #Newsnight


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:53:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Tory candidate in the Liverpool mayoral election came 7th. Behind a candidate dressed as a Polar Bear.... | Frrole
The Tory candidate in the Liverpool mayoral election came 7th. Behind a candidate dressed as a Polar Bear....

Twitter / @abelardinelli: RT @FurlongA: Penguin who ...

RT @FurlongA: Penguin who beat LibDems in Edinburgh & polar bear who beat Tories in Liverpool now in coalition talks. Said to be poles apart


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:04:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Twitter / @beaubodor: So, if you dress like a pe ...
So, if you dress like a penguin & get more votes, why did The Tories get the Bullingdon Club picture banned?


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:24:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, yeah, we all predicted it would happen.  But, still, actually seeing the numbers it's quite an impressive beating they took.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:00:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Alas, Boris will win in London and the press will lead with it - and that will be the story of the election - Tory wins, austerity continues.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:07:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From the admittedly few polls I've seen a Johnson win (if it happens) would be do to Livington's unpopularity.  IIRC, Livington is running 8 points, or so, behind Labour support.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:11:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
well to win after first preference results, Boris needs 1/3 of second preference votes.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:19:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Can you vote 1st and 2nd for the same dude?

Another tactic would be to vote 1st and then not vote second at all, or for a hopeless candidate.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:23:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
well apparently at the last election 300,000 voted first preference for Ken or Boris, and second for the other of the two.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:53:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Boris wins by 60,000 votes

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:57:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Boris actually finished his speach with "May the forth be with you!" ... on what is now 5 May.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 07:03:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Even if Livingstone is disliked for whatever reason (I didn't follow how this sentiment arose) the victory of such an idiotic incumbent is an ominous result. If you dislike Livingstone, you could still protest-vote.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:44:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Boris hasn't been that bad as a mayor. If there's obvious corruption he has kept most of it well hidden. And he's managed to distance himself from Tory HQ.

He is a bit of a clown, but to many people that makes him more approachable.

So he hasn't been obviously ideological or idiotic in a Sarkozy/Merkel kind of a way.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:59:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Back in March Richard Seymour argued that Boris's image as harmless clown is false, kind of an act, with other acts to deceive his voters with different backgrounds, though he says Boris achieved and can achieve little of the Tory programme.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 05:10:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
From the data on the Wikipedia election page, Boris beat Ken 44-40% on first preference votes for a 90-thousand vote lead. Ken picked up 100 thousand second preference votes to Boris' 80 thousand. There were about 140 thousand second preference votes for third candidates.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 05:25:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This has nothing to do with Cleggsy bear and his coalition. If you look at the longer term, the Lib Dems have been doing steadily worse in London for a decade.

Mayoral election:

2012  4.16% (Paddick)
2008  9.63% (Paddick)
2004 14.8%  (Hughes)
2000 13.1%  (Kramer)

Assembly election (london-wide votes):

2012  6.8% (2 seats)
2008 11.2% (3 seats)
2004 18.4% (5 seats)
2000 14.8% (4 seats)
The Lib Dems have lost 2/3 of their support in London since 2004 and are now fourth the the Green Party.

guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 05:36:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Power Law strikes again.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:30:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That was supposed to be attached to ceeb's BBC comment, above.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:32:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What's the word out of Scotland?

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:08:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Labour held Glasgow, which they were expected to lose to the SNP, and made slight gains elsewhere.

Essentially, what change there was ws made at the expense of the LibDems, who seem to be careering downhill towards the cliff of oblivion all across the UK

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 03:18:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Nomad on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 02:56:31 PM EST
Damn, how could we have forgotten ? It's Star Wars Day !!!

May the Fourth be with you

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 03:19:50 PM EST
(groans)

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:05:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Krugman calls bullshit on the Economist and the FT.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:17:28 PM EST
Recent popular Music in the Style of the Golden Oldies:



Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:25:36 PM EST

There's a whole spit load of unknown thus unplayed South American Baroque music.  

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 05:33:18 PM EST
More:

Hard to believe this was written in 1649.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:45:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Reminds me of the movie The Mission.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 04:47:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Apparently they used as much South/Latin American baroque music in the sound track as they could.  


Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 11:06:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yep, Morricone did his research.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 12:06:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And he coupled research with musical ability.  His score for The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly re-invented music/visual interaction and presentation in and for film.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 12:43:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Listen to

and

I don't think Poledouris would have composed, or the Director (Milieus) would have approved, the Conan score if it hadn't been for Morricone.  Even though Conan is widely regarded as one of THE best music tracks for a film.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 12:52:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I was going to ask what was specifically South American, because it sounds a lot like the Spanish baroque I listen to, but then came the Amara bit at around 10 minutes...

There's a rich vein that I now wish to mine.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Sat May 5th, 2012 at 05:54:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
-->

Time to step away from the keyboard.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Fri May 4th, 2012 at 06:53:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A little late to the party, but 'kiitos paljon' for posting all these lovely pieces, AT. This Nocturno was especially relaxing. The perfect prelude to sleepytime dreaming!
by sgr2 on Mon May 7th, 2012 at 04:55:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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