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by afew Fri May 4th, 2012 at 12:01:47 PM EST
Je suis venu vous dire que je m'en vais Et vos larmes n'y pourront rien changer Comme dit si bien Beaudelaire, au vent mauvais Je suis venu vous dire que je m'en vais... It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
A Sarkozy win would be devastating to lots of people - not least the right, because he will rightly claim that he won on his own and he will be absolutely insufferable. And the French will deserve what they get if he's elected. Wind power
he will rightly claim that he won on his own and he will be absolutely insufferable. And the French will deserve what they get if he's elected.
aaargh, berlusconi flashback. It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
Sarko's side are of course feeding the media with how razor-edge it's going to be. Bruno Jérôme, whom no one heard of before, and who has a model that he says always predicts correctly, seems to be part of that effort. (You know, his model is accurate to one-tenth of a point...)
If Sarko wins, that would be a huge upset for the pollsters, since no poll at any time has shown a smaller gap than 5 points.
It would be a huge upset for France and Europe, too...
He appears to be very good at think-tanking. He got himself described as very prestigious on the always gullible foreign press. guaranteed to evoke a violent reaction from police is to challenge their right to "define the situation." --- David Graeber citing Marc Cooper
Heh. But Sarko can rely on Ifop: their latest shows a gap of 4 points. But the average of the last polls from eight different pollsters is 5.5 points. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Bruno Jérôme, Directeur Adjoint de l'IRGEI
The think tank Jérôme assistant-directs does research into, among others, such neoclassical economic theories as Law and Economics, and the Public Choice school.
I think he's part of a media push by the Sarkozists to get the idea across that Sarkozy can win. Which is what you try to do when you're trailing.
I hope it backfires and brings out the anti-Sarko vote. ;)
Unfortunately, my bike is still in the repair shop. I put it in 5 months ago, before I broke my wrist (I was riding a loaner) and it's still not done. Yes, I know I'm not paying for it, but it's still annoying.
So tomorrow, I will be walking across wet and sodden fields and probably falling into a muddy puddle on the way back. The things I do for beer...{sigh} keep to the Fen Causeway
There was a wonderful letter in yesterdays Independent in support of Rupert Murdoch. Amongst other things, it said He feeds over 54,000 families every day worldwide. I don't think the writer (someone who "had the pleasure to work with Rupert Murdoch during my career in Australia and London") means that Rupe's the Father Christmas of soup runs, zooming from one time zone to another to reach the needy. Plainly he's referring to the News International workforce - and my first thought was that it would be more accurate to say that every day 54,000 families worldwide feed him. But it did strike me as giving an insight into a conservative problem that people are finding hard to explain.
He feeds over 54,000 families every day worldwide.
Plainly he's referring to the News International workforce - and my first thought was that it would be more accurate to say that every day 54,000 families worldwide feed him. But it did strike me as giving an insight into a conservative problem that people are finding hard to explain.
The Heartland Institute, a far-right climate change denying "thinktank" has put up a series of billboards so disgusting, so vile, that I find it difficult to find words to tell you just how disgusting and vile they are. So instead, I'll show you one:
The Heartland Institute, a far-right climate change denying "thinktank" has put up a series of billboards so disgusting, so vile, that I find it difficult to find words to tell you just how disgusting and vile they are.
So instead, I'll show you one:
The effort to tame the American Legislative Exchange Council, the heart of all the right wing craziness going in in US state governments, and its tentacles, Heartland and all the other state level thinktanks, is succeeding. Hence the retrenchment. Heartland is getting offensive precisely because they know that they are losing.
Having been part of the planning of the protest last year that led to the release of the model legislation, it's so surprising seeing ALEC as a huge media story in the US.
ALEC's latest target is renewable energy. Specifically they are attacking Feed in Tariffs and Renewable Portfolio Standards that serve as demand supports for the industry in the US.
Gas is dirt cheap in the US right now, if they can use this brief window of super low prices before the completion of export terminals drives prices back up, they can cripple one of the mechanisms that drive down demand before a global market in LNG, and vastly higher US spot prices, come into effect. Clever little bastards, they are. And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
I was sad to see he'd had fallen in with that crowd. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
The people who still believe in man-made global warming are mostly on the radical fringe of society. This is why the most prominent advocates of global warming aren't scientists. They are murderers, tyrants, and madmen.
Then the beat goes on.
That has been the pattern in Climate Wars since I keep a tab on it, and I don't see it changing now.
among the venom-dripping things they say, one bit of crazy stands out:The people who still believe in man-made global warming are mostly on the radical fringe of society. This is why the most prominent advocates of global warming aren't scientists. They are murderers, tyrants, and madmen.
Just how low can they go? (And just how many Republican voters can they draw with them?) *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
BTW the latest is that they'll take the billboard down (and declare it a success). *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Heartland Institute compares belief in global warming to mass murder | Leo Hickman | Environment | guardian.co.uk
As a result of the embarrassment caused by the release earlier this year of its internal funding documents, the US car giant GM pulled the plug on its funding for Heartland. Will Microsoft, Pfizer or GlaxoSmithKline, for example, now also choose to cut their funding to this organisation?
One of the defining characteristics of digital media is interaction. It enables us to be active, make choices, build connections, express ourselves and exercise a new level of control over our media experiences. But how active is the UK online population really? And how might this change in years to come? With these questions in mind, my team and I conducted a large-scale, long-term investigation into how the UK online population participates using digital media today - from sharing links, to writing blogs and uploading photos. And it revealed a fascinating, and at times, surprising picture. Like the population itself, the picture is nuanced but six striking themes emerged: The model which has guided many people's thinking in this area, the 1/9/90 rule, is outmoded. The number of people participating online is significantly higher than 10%. Participation is now the rule rather than the exception: 77% of the UK online population is now active in some way.
One of the defining characteristics of digital media is interaction. It enables us to be active, make choices, build connections, express ourselves and exercise a new level of control over our media experiences.
But how active is the UK online population really? And how might this change in years to come?
With these questions in mind, my team and I conducted a large-scale, long-term investigation into how the UK online population participates using digital media today - from sharing links, to writing blogs and uploading photos. And it revealed a fascinating, and at times, surprising picture.
Like the population itself, the picture is nuanced but six striking themes emerged:
The old rule was 90/9/1 running from passive to active.
The new rule is apparently:
Passive 23/16/44/17 Active
I haven't had time to read in depth, but I'm a little suspicious...
Can anyone comment on what ET stats look like these days?
maybe 1500 visits on a weekday.
is that page hits, or separate visitors? It's a fine line between homage, parody, and consumer opportunism. Jess Walter
"Hammered by Labour - same as everyone. No surprise, no disgrace", tweeted BNP chairman Nick Griffin as the scale of his party's total obliteration in the local elections became clear. Griffin and the BNP went into these elections hoping to stem its electoral demise, which was triggered by a combination of infighting and the party's failure to break through at the 2010 general election. Today, the party leaves the contest facing the daunting realisation that it is no longer a significant player in British electoral politics. Put simply, the BNP's electoral challenge is over.Here are some facts that will be facing Griffin this afternoon, as he sits down to consider how he might possibly sustain the morale of a dwindling and disgruntled base of foot soldiers. At the time of writing, the BNP has lost 10 of the 12 seats that it was defending.Long gone are the days when the party could claim dozens of local councillors. Furthermore, gone are the days when the party could point to local bastions of support. Perhaps most significant of all, for the first time in 10 years there is not a single BNP councillor on Burnley borough council. The home of the party's initial breakthroughs over 2002-03 is now officially BNP free.
"Hammered by Labour - same as everyone. No surprise, no disgrace", tweeted BNP chairman Nick Griffin as the scale of his party's total obliteration in the local elections became clear. Griffin and the BNP went into these elections hoping to stem its electoral demise, which was triggered by a combination of infighting and the party's failure to break through at the 2010 general election. Today, the party leaves the contest facing the daunting realisation that it is no longer a significant player in British electoral politics. Put simply, the BNP's electoral challenge is over.
Here are some facts that will be facing Griffin this afternoon, as he sits down to consider how he might possibly sustain the morale of a dwindling and disgruntled base of foot soldiers. At the time of writing, the BNP has lost 10 of the 12 seats that it was defending.
Long gone are the days when the party could claim dozens of local councillors. Furthermore, gone are the days when the party could point to local bastions of support. Perhaps most significant of all, for the first time in 10 years there is not a single BNP councillor on Burnley borough council. The home of the party's initial breakthroughs over 2002-03 is now officially BNP free.
Lord Oakeshott, the LibDems' former Treasury spokesman, warned the party might not be able to fight the 2015 general election effectively if it suffered another "hammering" on the scale of the local elections. By late-afternoon on Friday, the LibDems had lost control of Cambridge and more than 300 seats on councils across the country. Overall the Liberal Democrats dropped below 3,000 councillors for the first time in their history - the lowest number of councillors since the party was formed in 1988. Lord Oakeshott, an ally of Business secretary Vince Cable, said: "We have got to face it - we have had another very substantial swathe of our crucial activist base wiped away.
Lord Oakeshott, the LibDems' former Treasury spokesman, warned the party might not be able to fight the 2015 general election effectively if it suffered another "hammering" on the scale of the local elections.
By late-afternoon on Friday, the LibDems had lost control of Cambridge and more than 300 seats on councils across the country.
Overall the Liberal Democrats dropped below 3,000 councillors for the first time in their history - the lowest number of councillors since the party was formed in 1988.
Lord Oakeshott, an ally of Business secretary Vince Cable, said: "We have got to face it - we have had another very substantial swathe of our crucial activist base wiped away.
Twitter / @DPJHodges: Just found a couple of new ...
Just found a couple of new ballot boxes in Brent. It's like Florida.
10.46pm: We're focusing on the contest between Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone, but the London mayoral elections have also seen the Lib Dems do dreadfully. Brian Paddick, the Lib Dem candidate, seems to have been pushed into fourth place, behind the Greens, on less than 5% of the vote.
'A 6ft man dressed as a penguin beat the Lib Dems in Edinburgh.' What a political epitaph there on #Newsnight
The Tory candidate in the Liverpool mayoral election came 7th. Behind a candidate dressed as a Polar Bear....
Twitter / @abelardinelli: RT @FurlongA: Penguin who ...
RT @FurlongA: Penguin who beat LibDems in Edinburgh & polar bear who beat Tories in Liverpool now in coalition talks. Said to be poles apart
So, if you dress like a penguin & get more votes, why did The Tories get the Bullingdon Club picture banned?
Another tactic would be to vote 1st and then not vote second at all, or for a hopeless candidate. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
He is a bit of a clown, but to many people that makes him more approachable.
So he hasn't been obviously ideological or idiotic in a Sarkozy/Merkel kind of a way.
Mayoral election:
2012 4.16% (Paddick) 2008 9.63% (Paddick) 2004 14.8% (Hughes) 2000 13.1% (Kramer)
Assembly election (london-wide votes):
2012 6.8% (2 seats) 2008 11.2% (3 seats) 2004 18.4% (5 seats) 2000 14.8% (4 seats)
Power Law strikes again. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Essentially, what change there was ws made at the expense of the LibDems, who seem to be careering downhill towards the cliff of oblivion all across the UK keep to the Fen Causeway
May the Fourth be with you keep to the Fen Causeway
Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
There's a whole spit load of unknown thus unplayed South American Baroque music. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Hard to believe this was written in 1649. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
and
I don't think Poledouris would have composed, or the Director (Milieus) would have approved, the Conan score if it hadn't been for Morricone. Even though Conan is widely regarded as one of THE best music tracks for a film. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
There's a rich vein that I now wish to mine. It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
Time to step away from the keyboard. Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
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