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European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 12 July

by dvx Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 04:21:24 PM EST

 A Daily Review Of International Online Media 


Colonialism on this date in history:

1691 - Battle of Aughrim – The decisive victory of William III of England's forces in Ireland.

More here and here

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The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:04:19 PM EST
Spain steps up austerity amid protests - FT.com

Spain has announced a fresh set of public spending cuts and tax increases amounting to €65bn over the next two and a half years as the government of Mariano Rajoy struggles to achieve its budget deficit reduction targets with an economy mired in recession.

As part of the measures, announced on Wednesday by Mr Rajoy in parliament, value added tax will be increased from 18 per cent to 21 per cent, unemployment benefits will be reduced and an attempt will be made to rationalise Spain's sprawling local governments.

"I know that the measures that I have announced are not pleasant but they are necessary," Mr Rajoy said when announcing what is his government's fourth set of austerity measures in the seven months it has held power.

As he spoke, thousands of miners marched through the centre of Madrid in protest at the austerity measures, particularly a 60 per cent cut in coal subsidies which they say will force mines to close. Some had spent weeks walking nearly 300 miles from the north of the country before Wednesday's demonstration in the capital.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:17:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC News - Eurozone crisis: Spain announces budget cuts amid protests

The move coincided with a miners' rally in Madrid, where police fired rubber bullets at crowds of protesters.

Thousands of people joined in the rally to support the miners, who have been campaigning for weeks against major cuts to industry subsidies.

Witnesses said protesters out to support the miners threw fireworks, bottles and stones at riot police.

The officers fired rubber bullets and charged at the demonstrators.

Five people were arrested and three people suffered minor injuries, according to the AFP news agency.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:39:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 05:56:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
(source)

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 05:57:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Running of the Pigs?
by altoid (tom.casadecampanas AT gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 10:29:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Parenteau: Leading PIIGS to Slaughter, Part 2 (March 2, 2010)
It is the height of folly to expect peripheral Eurozone nations to sail their way into the EMU triangle under even the most masterful of policy efforts or price signals. More likely, since reducing trade deficits is likely to prove very challenging (Asia is still reliant on export led growth, while US consumer spending growth is still tentative), the peripheral nations in the Eurozone will find themselves floating somewhere out to the northwest of the EMU triangle. The sharper their fiscal retrenchments, the faster their private sectors will run up their debt to income ratios.

Alternatively, if households and businesses in the peripheral nations stubbornly defend their current net saving positions, the attempt at fiscal retrenchment will be thwarted by a deflationary drop in nominal GDP. Demands to redouble the tax hikes and public expenditure cuts to achieve a 3% of GDP fiscal deficit target will then arise. Private debt distress will also escalate as tax hikes and government expenditure cuts the net flow of income to the private sector. Call it the paradox of public thrift.

As it turns out, pursuing fiscal sustainability as it is currently defined will in all likelihood just lead many nations to further private sector debt destabilization. European economic growth will prove extremely difficult to achieve if the current fiscal "sustainability" plans are carried out. Realistically, policy makers are courting a situation in the region that will beget higher private debt defaults in the quest to reduce the risk of public debt defaults through fiscal retrenchment. European banks, which remain some of the most leveraged banks, will experience higher loan losses, and rating downgrades for banks will substitute for (or more likely accompany) rating downgrades for government debt. A fairly myopic version of fiscal sustainability will be bought at the price of a larger financial instability.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:44:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]


As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:04:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hardly any of the spending cuts and tax rises announced by Rajoy are even related to the Memorandum of Understanding released by the Ecofin last night and which supposedly will be signed next week. It also has nothing to do with Rajoy's election manifesto.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 05:30:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Either there are secret demands from Frankfurt or the PP is implementing an own economic reform programme from last year which never made it into their election manifesto or something. What's clear is that Rajoy goes to the Parliament to bemoan that he doesn't take the decisions any more (!) but doesn't come out and say who actually does. Which basically makes everyone think it's the Ecofin, which at least on paper and above board it isn't yet.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 02:01:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
German court may take its time over European Stability Mechanism | News | DW.DE | 10.07.2012

Germany's constitutional court will likely take its time before ruling on whether the workings of Europe's new last-resort lending mechanism are compatible with the law. The decision may be delayed until the autumn.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble has urged the court to reach a decision soon on the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), but the president of Germany's Constitutional Court, Andreas Vosskuhle, has said the judges will take their time.

A "very thorough examination" was likely he said on Tuesday. Originally, the decision as to whether the ESM and the proposed fiscal pact on national budgets are contrary to the German constitution was expected by the end of July. 0:00:00|0:00:00 German court debates ESM

Schäuble insisted that any delay would trigger "massive uncertainty on the markets" and "significant economic distortions."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:22:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
London 2012: Army reinforcements called in for the Olympics | Sport | guardian.co.uk

The military is poised to provide up to 3,500 extra troops for security duty at the London Olympics, the Guardian can reveal.

The last-ditch move has been forced on ministers only a fortnight before the Games because the security firm G4S has been unable to guarantee it will be able to supply the 10,000 guards it was contracted to deliver.

The home secretary, Theresa May, has been pressing G4S to provide guarantees it can deliver on its commitments, but patience in Whitehall ran out last weekend and talks began over whether the Ministry of Defence could fill the gap.

"The army will provide an insurance policy," said a Whitehall source. The armed forces are already providing up to 13,500 personnel for the Games - split between the venues and back-up for police. Under the contingency plans, this could reach 16,500 - 7,000 more than are being deployed in Afghanistan.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:22:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
London 2012 organisers drawing up wet weather contingency plans | UK news | guardian.co.uk

The government and Olympic organisers are drawing up contingency plans to deal with the inclement British summer, following a series of meetings to predict the extent to which London 2012 could be adversely affected by the dismal weather.

As event organisers in Hyde Park were on Tuesday forced to cancel a major concert with just 24 hours notice after the muddy site was declared unfit, London 2012 organisers are drawing up plans to deal with the potential impact of heavy rain on competitors and spectators.

Organisers have considered how far the Thames would have to rise before the rowing lake at Eton Dorney was adversely affected and how well the mountain biking course in Essex and the BMX track on the Olympic Park will cope with days of rain.

Orders are being placed for thousands of ponchos so that spectators queuing to get through security checks remain dry and schedules examined to determine how hockey and beach volleyball matches could be rescheduled if they are unable to take place due to violent storms.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:22:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Wow, they've only jut realised they're holding the O games in England ? In summer ? And need to prepare for fire, floods, storms and tempests ?

no doubt they've been too busy sorting out the corporate sponsorships and choosing the right wines for the bigwigs to sip as they enjoy big lunches well away from the hoi polloi

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:23:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
dvx:
security firm G4S has been unable to guarantee it will be able to supply the 10,000 guards it was contracted to deliver

Private sector wins again.

Who needs the state?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:22:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The army can do many things, but they are no more trained in civilian crowd control than I am. Policing is a specialist function and requires specialist training.

If they just wanted jobsworths to check tickets and be unable to cope in an emergency then I'm sure there's a whole swathe of unemployed people who could do the job, but don't expect the army to perform any better cos that's not what they're trained to do.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:27:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bringing in random jobsworths off the streets would probably be preferable to using the Metropolitan Police these days...

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:54:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That was pretty much the G4S plan.

Jobsworths are easy to find, but apparently even G4S was having some difficulty securing high quality jobsworths with the basic literacy, numeracy and political nous required not to do something stupid, embarrassing and very, very public.

Incidentally this now means that around 20% of the UK's entire military will be in and around London for the games.

Doesn't that make you feel safer?

For the really paranoid there's also this.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 04:55:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Besides any blast effects, wouldn't that generate a localized tsunami of some intensity?

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
by Crazy Horse on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 05:43:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Reading more about this, it seems SS Kielce went boom close to Folkestone some windows were broken and a few chimneys collapsed, and there was alarm and panic on the beach. But no one was hurt. There was a small sea wave but it was a couple of feet tall and the sea wall had no problem with it.

SS Kielce had 2000 tons of TNT. The Montgomery has around 1400 tons of TNT. So it would likely make a smaller and less interesting bang - assuming the sea bed absorbs most of the energy again.

It might be messy, but I don't see how anyone could get a thirty mile blast radius without parking a nuke down there first.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:42:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:06:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I presume that's a worst case analysis under ideally bad conditions - or possibly a simple comparison with a 1.4kT nuke.

<googles>

No, that's silly - FAS don't think a 1.5kT nuke will do that much damage.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:40:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And you wouldn't get the thermal flash from TNT on its own. So I'm not seeing the Montgomery as anything more than a rather unpleasant window-breaking inconvenience.

Conspiracy sites are talking about a stolen German 500kt nuke. That would be less good - maybe 10% of London would disappear instantly, and a large percentage of the rest would be broken and on fire.

There is certainly disturbing weirdness around the Olympics, not least lingering questions about what the fucking point of siting SAMs on rooftops is. Presumably any planes that were shot down would just rain burning debris on other parts of London.

And conspiracy sites - well, hey.

As it happens I'd have no problem with most of London getting nuked as long as everyone is relocated first and it's rebuilt with something better later. Endless miles of rat-dysentry Victorian brickwork aren't all that easy on the eye. Even with the shiny-shiny in the middle, London is one tired-looking and ugly city.

Still - I'm finding it hard to believe that the financial industry and the mil-ind people are really going to nuke themselves in an alleged 9/11 2.0 just to start WWIII, or whatever the reason is supposed to be.

Of course, it could all be Bin Laden's ghost.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 10:53:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Around '88-'89 I wrote an outline for a novel where trrrrsts force the hero to dock his cargo vessel in Barcelona just in time for the opening of the '92 Games. I don't remember what explosives I had the hold packed with, or maybe it was a nuke.

Anyway, it didn't get published and Barcelona is still there.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 11:54:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Too late to call in Romney to save you, I guess... It's too bad, as you could have killed two birds with one stone...

Also, isn't there any rule in the UK about using the Army for civilian purposes? That's pretty rigidly enforced here--or has been up to now...

by asdf on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 11:47:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bosnia mourns victims of Srebrenica massacre - Europe - Al Jazeera English

On the 17th anniversary of Europe's worst massacre since World War II, thousands of people from around Bosnia and the world are gathering in the town of Srebrenica to attend a funeral for 520 newly identified victims.

The remains of the victims, exhumed from several mass graves around Srebrenica and recently identified using DNA analysis, will be laid to rest on Wednesday in the town now synonymous with genocide.

Crowds started gathering in Potocari, near Srebrenica, on Tuesday on the eve of the killing of 8,000 men and boys by Serb forces in July 1995.

The coffins are already at the memorial centre and the burial pits have been dug. A group of marchers reached Srebrenica on Tuesday following three-day march through the hills of eastern Bosnia.

They had been retracing backwards the path some 15,000 Bosnians from Srebrenica took in 1995 in an attempt to escape from Serb forces.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:45:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Twitter / brummytaff: clegg was offered compensa
clegg was offered compensation for AV disaster by Cammo and chose the bloody Lords, He could have saved the ‪#NHS pic.twitter.com/x5EGSJ8t


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 05:56:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
He couldn't save the NHS, that was Danny Alexander's (libDem deputy leader) fault.

the Independent has had an interesting series on how the NHS "reforms" went through and it seems that it's as least as much a LibDem mess as a tory one.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:30:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC - Are Germans really opposed to bailouts?

Germany's painful experience with hyperinflation in the 1920s is often cited as the reason Germany will never support aggressive initiatives by the European Central Bank to ease the euro crisis.

But Germans are more concerned about unemployment (70% say it is a major threat) than they are about inflation (56%). Among the European nations the Pew Research Center surveyed, the Germans are the least fearful of rising prices.

Similarly, the German public is split, not opposed, to helping others - 49% favour financial assistance to other distressed European economies, 48% oppose. And public support for such aid has actually risen slightly from 42% in 2010.

Is Merkel speaking for German voters?
The opposition to such action comes not from the German public, but from Merkel's own conservative political base. About half (53%) of German conservatives oppose bailouts, while just 40% of those on the left oppose them.

by wu ming on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:30:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is quite clear, then, that replacing Merkel in power in Germany is the key to saving Europe.
by paving on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 08:44:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nah. You'd have to get rid of the greatest coalition of every parliamentary party except the Left. At least I now have  hope that the pirates won't be completely useless once they enter parliament:

Ein Pirat zieht sich zurück: Ich gehe: Mein Rücktritt vom Amt - Feuilleton - FAZ A pirate retires: I go: My resignation from the office - feature - FAZ
Punkt. Der politische Geschäftsführer der Piratenpartei ist ein Hartz-IV-Empfänger. Am 9. Mai erhalte ich einen Brief von meinem Jobcenter, dass meine Zahlungen eingestellt werden. Grund: ,,Politischer Geschäftsführer der Piratenpartei". Ein Ehrenamt als Grund, meinen Anspruch auf Sozialleistungen abzuerkennen. Mehr steht dort nicht. Keine Vermutung, ich würde nun ausreichend Einkünfte erzielen. Keine Fragen. Lediglich die Möglichkeit zu widersprechen. Das Schreiben wird später für hinfällig erklärt.Point. The political Director of the Pirate Party is a Hartz IV recipient. On 9 May, I received a letter from my job center that my payments will stop. Reason:"Political secretary of the Pirate Party". An honorary post as reason to withdraw my claim for benefits. Nothing more. No suspicion that I now achieve sufficient income. No questions. Only the option to appeal. The letter is later declared invalid.

Note that the office in question is the office of employment.

Von überall könnte das Volk, Urbrut alles Undemokratischen, Zelle des Terrors, über die gewählten Hüter von Wachstum und Wohlstand® kommen. - flatter

by generic on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 10:11:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The German public, like people everywhere else, wants to have the cake and eat it. Ask whether they are ready to accept spending cuts or tax increases to pay for helping other Europeans and the figures change.
by oliver on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:37:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
... or if they prefer to accept spending cuts or tax increases to pay for dumping other Europeans.

Because that's the options there are.

by Katrin on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 12:33:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, the best way Germans could help other Europeans would be by accepting higher wages and spending increases.

There really is a free lunch out there. Or at least paid for by Deutsche Bank, not by anybody who deserves any sympathy.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat Jul 14th, 2012 at 06:30:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
How would you make employers pay higher wages? You could increase inflation in the Euro zone. But consider that indexing prices and wages to inflation is illegal in Germany. If doubt very much that the southern EU would be better able to prevent a wage-price spiral than Germany.
by oliver on Sun Jul 15th, 2012 at 08:10:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
  • Offer any who shows up at a government office a job paying the new, higher, minimum wage.

  • Roll back Hartz' dismantling of the social security system.

  • Crack down on blacklegging and similar anti-union activities.

  • Index wages and benefits to nominal GDP.

  • Higher government spending in infrastructure and direct subsidies to consumption.

It's not like it's difficult to undump wages. Just do the precise opposite of Merkel/Schröder's delusional catastrophe.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sun Jul 15th, 2012 at 08:37:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Index wages and benefits to nominal GDP.

Or index them to the inflation target, rather than the inflation index. That automatically helps to anchor inflation in the medium term and helps free up the Central Bank for other more useful purposes than price stability.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jul 15th, 2012 at 11:33:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Inflation targets are overrated. You don't need them for anything that you can't do better with fiscal and industrial policy.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sun Jul 15th, 2012 at 12:07:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We may soon find out what the German public wants:

DerStandard.AT: "Deutschland muss sich die Frage stellen: Euro oder D-Mark" (Interview | Regina Bruckner, 12. Juli 2012)

derStandard.at: Was schlagen Sie vor?

Bofinger: Bei der Lösung, die wir als Sachverständigenrat mit dem Schuldentilgungspakt vorschlagen, ermöglichen wir Ländern, die sich anstrengen, wie Spanien und Italien, eine langfristige Finanzierung zu niedrigen Zinsen. Das soll ja gerade das Risiko des Zahlungsausfalls vermeiden. Wir meinen, dass man diese Risiken, die mit diesen Haftungen verbunden sind, begrenzen kann und dass man es auf der anderen Seite mit ungleich höheren Risiken zu tun hat, wenn man den Euro jetzt unkontrolliert auseinanderbrechen lässt.

Bofinger: Was jetzt diese Konstellation zeigt, ist, dass wir in Deutschland, wenn wir ein langfristiges Interesse an einer Währungsunion haben, einen großen Schritt in Richtung Fiskalunion machen müssen. Einen Schritt, bei dem auf der einen Seite eine gemeinsame Haftung steht, aber auf der anderen Seite auch ein Transfer von fiskalischen Kompetenzen auf die europäische Ebene. Konkret würde das bedeuten, dass eine europäische Institution Durchgriffsrechte bekommt auf die Haushalte von Ländern, die keine fiskalische Disziplin aufweisen.

Was die Diskussion über den ESM zeigt, ist, dass wir wahrscheinlich mit kleinen Lösungen nicht in der Lage sein werden, das Problem zu lösen. Dieser Weg wird in Deutschland wohl am besten über den Weg einer Volksabstimmung beschlossen werden müssen. Das Problem, das wir jetzt haben, ist nicht ein Problem des Bundesverfassungsgerichts, sondern ein Problem der Politik, die jetzt seit zwei Jahren versucht, mit kleinteiligen Lösungen eine systemische Krise zu lösen. Und das, ohne die Bevölkerung richtig mitzunehmen.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 10:22:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The paper of Sinn & sinners is less important than the assessment of the 5 "wise men" of whom Bofinger is one. They are warning of the dangers of more cuts. Here is a summary (in German): http://blog.handelsblatt.com/handelsblog/2012/07/08/die-highlights-des-svr-sondergutachtens-teil-1-v on-2/

Sorry, no quotes and translations: my little netbook, which I carry when traveling, isn't made for ET. :-(

by Katrin on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 11:55:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't like the way Bofinger characterises Sinn's position
Bofinger: Herr Sinn sagt, die anderen Länder halten Verträge nicht ein und die Problemländer hätten eine Mehrheit im Euroraum. Das hat ja zur Konsequenz, dass man sagen müsste, wir treten aus dem Euroraum aus. Das Problem der Stellungnahme meiner Kollegen ist, dass sie Probleme beschreibt, die auch da sind, die Frage ist aber: Welche Lösungen streben wir an? Dazu sagt dieses Papier gar nichts. Wenn ich für einen Patienten alle lebenserhaltenden Maßnahmen ablehne, dann ist doch klar, dass ich bereit bin, seinen Tod in Kauf zu nehmen.


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 12:45:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Here is the same argument in an acceptable wording (by Schieritz, http://blog.zeit.de/herdentrieb/2012/07/08/ein-hoch-auf-den-sachverstandigenrat_5024):

Die Professoren und ihr Stab haben ein Papier vorgelegt, mit dem nicht alle einverstanden sein werden. Den Föderalisten wird es beim Thema Vergemeinschaftung nicht weit genug gehen, den Skeptikern schon viel zu weit, der Punkt ist aber: Das Gutachten ist klar, konsistent und vor allem lösungsorientiert.
Das Irritierende am Aufruf der Ökonomen um Hans-Werner Sinn ist ja vor allem, dass kritisiert wird, ohne eine Alternative anzubieten. Dabei ist Ökonomie gerade das Denken in Alternativen. Die Aussage, die Rettung von Land X belastet Deutschland mit Y Milliarden Euro ist wertlos, wenn ich nicht in der Lage bin zu sagen, was die Nichtrettung von Land X bedeutet

Reasonable economists wouldn't get the job of advising the German government anyway. But, considering who the 5 "wise men" are, their paper leaves a remarkable lot of nonsense behind. It's a huge step in the right direction, and it's pressure on the government.

by Katrin on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:26:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm going to throw in Munchau's paraphrase because I have no time for translating... Now we know what an ESM capital injection means: states must still guarantee it (Eurointelligence Daily Briefing, 09.07.2012)
Mark Schieritz applauds the "wise men's" special report

In his Herdentrieb blog Mark Schieritz applauds the special report the German council of economic advisor's published last week. Schieritz concedes that federalists will criticize the report for not being daring enough in terms of mutualisation of debt and risk while eurosceptics will criticize that it goes way too far. But Schieritz thinks the report is "clear, consistent and oriented towards solutions". He argues that the irritating aspect of Hans-Werner Sinn's appeal against the summit results and the banking union is that that it criticizes without proposing any alternative. "The council (of economic advisors) has in the past years often retreated to pointing to liberal (and in a minority vote Keynesian) basic believes. Now it starts making proposals for the dirty reality. That is what it was created for", Schieritz argues.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Jul 13th, 2012 at 01:52:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think we will hear about the immorality of debt after that.
by Katrin on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:28:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Eurointelligence Daily Morning Newsbriefing: Rajoy takes Austerianism to its logical conclusion (12.07.2012)
The Spanish prime minister announces €65bn in new austerity measures until end-2014; El Pais says it is the most Draconian economic package since General Franco's stabilisation plan in 1959; the measures include a 3 point rise in the standard rate of VAT to 21%, and further tax increases; there will be cuts to unemployment benefits, housing benefits, and other social benefits; civil servants wages and holidays will also be cut; a poll suggests a majority of Spaniards oppose the measures, but believe they will end the crisis; austerity protests in Madrid turned violent yesterday; Paul Krugman says this is a lot of pain for what ultimately will be only a small fiscal and competitiveness effect; Xavier Vidal-Folch says Spain's MoU is hardly distinguishable from a normal troika operation; Credit Swiss has a report showing a dramatic capital flight from Spain, with domestic savers starting to take part; Mario Monti gets gloomy about his fight against prejudice; Ignazio Visco says the ECB must do more as the threat of a eurozone breakup remains; the Bank of Italy is now expanding its portfolio to include corporate bonds; Wolfgang Schäuble endorses an idea from a German economic institute to impose a compulsory loan on people earning over €250,000; so does Mark Schieritz; the ratification of the fiscal pact in France poses risks for Francois Hollande; Greece is set to ask the eurogroup for a renegotiation of the target at the forthcoming meeting end of July; Portugal's investors would also welcome a revision of the Portuguese austerity programme; Ireland's Q1 contraction in Ireland is worse than expected; of the 31 banks that failed the EBA capital requirements, 27 banks now do; the euro's status as a global currency, meanwhile, has suffered over the last year, according to an ECB report.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:33:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Eurointelligence:
El Pais reports of a poll according to which 76% think the measures will end the crisis - even though a majority of Spaniards are opposed to them.
The article actually says
Un 76% cree que hacen falta otras medidas para superar la crisis
meaning "76% believes other/further measures will be needed to overcome the crisis" - the meaning of "otras" is ambiguous. In the body of the article:
Pero las medidas, además de impopulares, son consideradas insuficientes para superar la crisis económica. Así lo estima el 76% de los ciudadanos. En esta ocasión, la distancia entre socialistas y populares es mucho menor, con un 81% y 66% respectivamente. Además, un 62% cree que las medidas no van en buena dirección y un 74% --un 70% entre votantes del PSOE y un 69% entre los del PP-- consideran que responden más a presiones externas sobre el Gobierno que a decisiones autónomas.
"But the measures, in addition to impopular, are considered insufficient to overcome the crisis (76%). ... In addition, 62% believe the measures do not go in a good direction and 74% ... believe that they respond more to external pressures on the government than to autonomous decisions."
I think Eurointelligence abuses Google translate.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:41:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Spain's conservative prime minister yesterday took Austerianism to its logical conclusion with a programme of €65bn in savings and higher taxes until 2014. As El Pais points out in its front page lead story, this is the most Draconian economic package during Democracy, in fact since General Franco's stabilisation plan of 1959. The measures include:

on the revenue side:

  • a three-point rise in the standard rate of VAT to 21%,
  • a two point rise in the reduced rate from 8 to 10%
  • a 1pp reduction in social contributions in 2013 and again in 2014
  • increase in environmental taxes
  • increase in certain excise duties
  • elimination of tax credit for home purchases

on the expenditure side:

  • reductions in unemployment benefit for those who have been unemployed for over six months, a large and rising portion of the Spanish population
  • reductions in housing benefits.
  • elimination of Christmas bonus for civil servants (another way of saying a cut in salaries)
  • reductions in the number of holidays for civil servants
  • reductions in benefits for people who temporarily disabled
  • cuts in the costs of ministries
  • cuts in subsidies for political parties and social organisations
  • a review of social benefits with a view to enact further cuts
  • abolishment of recruitment bonuses

The measures will be adopted by the parliament this Friday, when they become immediately effective. Rajoy himself admitted in parliament that the measures will prolong the recession in 2013.

(We assumed that this would have happened even under the previous regime. We think this plan will prolong the downturn until 2014/15. We also think that the budgetary impact will be much lower due to the strong consumption effect that results from higher consumption taxes; wage cuts, and other public expenditure cuts; Spain is likely to miss even the revised 6.4% deficit target because of this dynamics.)



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:44:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The measures will be adopted by the parliament this Friday, when they become immediately effective. Rajoy himself admitted in parliament that the measures will prolong the recession in 2013.
A detail that has escaped Münchau is that, symbolically, the King will preside a ceremonial Council of Ministers on Friday morning, to be followed by an ordinary Council of Ministers without his presence in which the decree on Rajoy's measures will be issued. It is an inconsequencial detail that the parliament is unlikely to vote on this immediately, but the decree will be in force immediately.

Here's a good source.

The King can preside a Council of Ministers "at the Prime Minister's request". The tradition is that the King presides a "deliberative" Council of Ministers on the first Council of Ministers after an election is held and the government is formed. Thus, the last one was in May 2008 as Rajoy didn't ask the King to preside a Council of Ministers last December. Traditionally, too, the King opens the Council of Ministers with an address to the assembled ministers, and the content of the speech is distributed to the media. According to ABC it is not expected that the King's speech will be released to the public this time around.

The always candid PSOE "hopes that this is nor a manoeuvre to 'burden' the King with the cuts".

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:58:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 04:06:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Can this sort of trick really work in a parliamentary democracy?
by IM on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:28:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Is Spain a parliamentary democracy?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:29:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I would classify it so, like the UK or the Netherlands etc.
It is a bit odd that a former absolute monarch heads a parliamentary monarchy, true, but as long Rajoy doesn't demands that the king dons a uniform...

Only Lichtenstein is in Europe still a genuine constitutional monarchy .

by IM on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:48:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The concept of "figurehead head of state" doesn't enter into your analysis?

How about

symbolically, the King will preside a ceremonial Council of Ministers on Friday morning, to be followed by an ordinary Council of Ministers without his presence in which the decree on Rajoy's measures will be issued
No, when I ask whether Spain is a Parliamentary democracy I'm referring to Rajoy's words that he "has no choice" but to announce measures contrary to what he wants to do, as well as other features of the situation.

For instance, in a parliamentary democracy the Parliament holds "the power of the purse", and the government is accountable to it. In Spain today, the ECB holds the power of the purse and the government is accountable to the Troika. While the riot police bashes people's heads in liberally.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:55:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Don't know. Sounds to me like Rajoy and co are busily using the cover of the ECB and Troika to do a quick bit of shock therapy that they would always like to have done.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 07:00:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's my suspicion. You should see the ovation he got from his backbench. Usually when periphery governments have announced biting cuts it's been a sombre occasion. Maybe this is what the ECBankers mean when they talk about "political ownership" of the adjustment plans?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 08:34:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Fine Gael - with Labour's craven acquiescence - are pretty much doing the same here.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:07:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Speaking of craven aquiescence, Rubalcaba's counter to Rajoy in Parliament yesterday was not so much about criticising the policy but about offering a "spate agreement". He's so eager to be in the photo it's almost comical.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:21:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That is my analysis. In a parliamentary democracy the king is clearly purely ceremonial. So hiding behind him can't work.

As for you other point, this only makes hiding behind the king working even less: They should have Juncker (or Merkel) preside over the cabinet meeting.

by IM on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 07:01:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't know what "to work" means in this case, but the King needlessly, and apparently of his own accord, "congratulated" Rajoy on the "rescue" a month ago after Rajoy came out to a press conference and said that he had just won the lottery.

This is the historical parallel Rajoy is playing with:

Alfonso XIII, in an attempt to return gradually to the previous system and restore his prestige, called on General Dámaso Berenguer to form a government. This failed utterly, as the King was considered a supporter of the dictatorship, and more and more political forces called for the establishment of a republic. Berenguer resigned and the King gave the government to Admiral Aznar. Aznar called for local elections on April 12, 1931 in order to satisfy the democrats and republicans, to replace the dictatorship's local governments and to gradually re-introduce the restoration.

Although the monarchists had not lost all their support, the republican and socialist parties won a major victory. Street riots ensued, calling for the removal of the monarchy. The army declared that they would not defend the King and he fled Spain. The Second Spanish Republic was immediately established under a provisional government led by Niceto Alcalá-Zamora.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 08:31:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
>I don't know what "to work" means in this case,>

Making the measures and/or rajoy more popular by borrowing the popularity/institutional authority of the king.

I don't know what you are talking about, though: A clever plan of Rajoy to abolish the monarchy? Or that because of the chairing of this meeting the king will be so chained to the PP that he has to abdicate after the next electoral defeat of the PP? Sounds rather far-fetched.

by IM on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:23:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Rajoy is playing with fire and the king is stupid, that's why I'm talking about putting the albatross around the King's neck.

It's not about making Rajoy more popular but about sharing the blame around. And about making shows of institutional support and we're all in this together and so on.

As for Rajoy's theatrics, last week an illuminated manuscript stolen from a Cathedral was found by the police. So on Sunday, Rajoy went to the Cathedral to return the book personally, to much hilarity. Just like he thinks the manuscript photo op will be good for him, he thinks that asking the King to lend his image to the rescue will be good, too.

I don't know what he's thinking. He's a clown who gave an impromptu press conference (after only giving 2 in 6 months!) to announce that the "rescue" was like winning the lottery, and that he was going to the Euro Cup because "it's all resolved now".

And he has a parliamentary supermajority and a disciplined parliamentary group.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 09:40:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Check out the two videos here.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:13:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 ECONOMY & FINANCE 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:04:41 PM EST
Monti: Italy bailout can't be ruled out | News | DW.DE | 10.07.2012

Mario Monti has indicated that Italy may one day need to draw on European funds to save his country's ailing economy. The IMF had equally cautionary comments about Rome's predicament.

Italy's Prime Minister Mario Monti on Tuesday admitted that the prospect of Italy turning to eurozone rescue funds in the future to bring down the nation's borrowing costs could not be ruled out.

"It is very difficult to say that Italy will never need help from one fund or another and caution compels me not to talk about such things," Monti said to reporters following the second day of a eurozone finance ministers' meeting in Brussels.

The 17 finance ministers of the eurozone countries met for their two-day summit in Brussels on Monday to reach an agreement on how best to prop up Spain's struggling banking sector.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:23:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
dvx:
caution compels me not to talk about such things

But that's what you're doing, Mario. And those people are reporters.

Oh, you didn't realize?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:27:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC News - ILO warns eurozone risks losing 4.5 million more jobs

he eurozone could lose 4.5 million more jobs in the next four years unless the region shifts away from austerity, the International Labour Organization (ILO) has warned.

That rise would take unemployment in the 17-nation bloc to 22 million.

The ILO said a concerted policy shift away from austerity towards job creation was needed.

"It's not only the eurozone that's in trouble, the entire global economy is at risk of contagion," it said.

The report said that all 17 countries in the eurozone would suffer, both those currently under stress and their healthier counterparts.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:26:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Dollar Drops Versus Commodity Currencies Amid Fed Speculation - Bloomberg

The dollar weakened against currencies of commodity-exporting nations amid speculation minutes of June's Federal Open Market Committee meeting will show the central bank is moving closer to adding more stimulus.

The yen erased gains versus the euro and dollar as haven demand ebbed and Bank of Japan policy makers met. The greenback dropped the most versus Australia's dollar, while reaching a two-year high against the euro. The Federal Reserve bought $2.3 trillion of bonds from 2008 to 2011 in two rounds of a tactic called quantitative easing to spur economic growth.

"The market is anticipating the FOMC minutes to see if there are any hints at further easing," Eric Viloria, senior currency strategist at Gain Capital Group LLC in New York, said in a telephone interview. "They downgraded their economic assessment and data has been coming in weaker, raising speculation that there could be more coming from them."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:28:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BofA Give-Away Has Few Takers Among Homeowners: Mortgages - Bloomberg

When Bank of America Corp. sent letters to 60,000 struggling homeowners offering to slice an average $150,000 off their loans, the lender got an unusual response from most of them: silence.

Homeowners who fell behind on their payments began receiving the mailings in May, part of the bank's effort to meet terms of the $25 billion industry settlement over foreclosure abuses. More than half haven't responded as "borrower fatigue" causes them to tune out the offers, said Dan Frahm, a spokesman for the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank.

"The number of customers responding is lower than we expected, given the significant assistance available," Frahm said in an interview. "We are working very hard to determine why response rates are lower than expectations."

Bank of America, which pledged almost half of the fines and assistance in the February settlement with state and federal officials, is critical to determining how many U.S. homeowners are helped by the landmark deal. Housing advocates say that relying on the same companies that committed loan servicing abuses to avert foreclosures may result in yet another program that helps fewer people than intended.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:28:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BofA Give-Away Has Few Takers Among Homeowners: Mortgages - Bloomberg

Borrowers have lost faith in Bank of America and other servicers, said Lisa Sitkin, managing attorney at Housing and Economic Rights Advocates in Oakland, California. Those seeking modifications have had their paperwork misplaced, been told conflicting messages and have had applications rejected based on incorrect information, she said.

"There's incredible dysfunction in the way they set up their systems to handle this, and when mistakes happen, which is constant, they have very little ability to correct them," Sitkin said. "If Bank of America is complaining about borrower fatigue, they can look to themselves for the reason."

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:35:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Fascinating interview with Yanis Varoufakis on his becoming economist-in-residence for an anarcho-syndichalist game company.

HERE

(begins at 33' 40"; (is this the same Doug Henwood who was involved with me in the years of establishing the first regulations for utilities accepting/contracting with Independent Power Producers?)

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin

by Crazy Horse on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:03:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
@quatremer
Les banques commerciales déposent moitié moins de cash aux guichets de la ‪#BCE‬ depuis qu'elle a ramené son taux de dépôt à zéro.


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:05:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What will they do with it instead?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:41:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
@SonyKapoor
If I have 1 more policymaker telling me how this is all the fault of the Anglo-Saxon financial system I may accidently spill hot coffee!


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:15:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We rightly criticize short-termism of financial sector but my God they look like paragons of virtue compared 2 short-sighted politicians!

I don't say this lightly- if citizens knew how incompetently critical ‪#Eurocrisis‬ decisions have been made there'd b blood on the streets

Really pissed off that we will be paying 4 2 generations for the financial illiteracy & timidity of our leaders & deviousness of bankers!

When the hell will the ‪#EU‬ realize that it's not a fixed set of losses that need 2 b shared but that the size of losses is growing everyday?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:51:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
@SonyKapoor
Feel sad to be saying this but ‪#Spain‬ is in big trouble. How long before the social fabric starts rupturing? Policies regressive & stupid!


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 06:57:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 WORLD 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:05:02 PM EST
Romney booed by NAACP as he jabs Obama, health care

Mitt Romney told the NAACP today that he has the "best interest" of all Americans at heart and outlined why he believes President Obama has failed blacks on issues such as the economy and education.

GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney. CAPTIONBy Evan Vucci, APBut he drew boos from the crowd in Houston at his first mention of wanting to repeal the national health care law he calls "Obamacare."

"If you want a president who will make things better in the African-American community, you are looking at him," Romney said.

The presumptive GOP presidential nominee was applauded at times in his remarks, which included references to Martin Luther King Jr. and Frederick Douglass. But the polite reception changed when he said was "going to eliminate every non-essential, expensive program that I can find -- and that includes Obamacare."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:46:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This was political theater to comfort the Council of Conservative Citizens (replacing the C with a K, and I think that the message should be clear) that in fact it is the NAACP that is racist and not them.

Cue Herr Limbaugh.

Rush Limbaugh said Mitt Romney's speech Wednesday to the NAACP fell flat because it was "over these people's heads" and that the group booed the Republican candidate, who "sounded like Snow White with testicles," simply because he's white.

Limbaugh, who regularly refers to the NAACP as the "NAALCP" -- the extra L is for "liberal" -- claimed that President Barack Obama insulted the group by sending Vice President Joe Biden instead.

"He's confident they'll boo Romney, simply because Romney's white," Limbaugh said. "He's confident of that. But he knows that he's gonna have hell to pay in private meetings with these people. He's not gonna get anywhere near it. So what an insult. Here's Obama sending Biden, not going himself."

By going to the NAACP and being booed, Romney is able to comfort those with white supremacist tendencies with  a narrative about how they tried to reach out but were shot down. As a significant part of the Romney campaign's strategy for victory includes disenfranchising voters without a state-issued photo id (disproportionately poor and of color as they are) this effort is part of a broader effort to invite attacks on people of color and pretend that they didn't start the fire.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:47:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You're basically right.  By getting booed by the NAACP Romney appears "strong" to his base.  They hate the NAACP and if the NAACP hates you, well then you're one of them.
by paving on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 08:49:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Assad loses envoy in first diplomatic defection | Reuters

(Reuters) - Syria's ambassador to Iraq defected on Wednesday in protest at the military crackdown by President Bashar al-Assad's forces against a 16-month uprising, Syrian opposition sources said.

Nawaf al-Fares, who has close ties to Syrian security, would be the first senior diplomat to quit the embattled government. There has been no comment from Damascus or Baghdad.

A veteran of Assad's rule who held senior positions under the late president Hafez al-Assad, Fares is from Deir al-Zor, the eastern city on the road to Iraq which has been the scene of a ferocious military onslaught by Assad forces.

"This is just the beginning of a series of defections on the diplomatic level. We are in touch with several ambassadors," said Mohamed Sermini, a member of the main opposition umbrella group, the Syrian National Council.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:46:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bolivia to revoke mine licence after protests - Americas - Al Jazeera English

Bolivia's president said he would revoke a mining concession from Canada's South American Silver Corporation and give the state control of the site due to violent protests over the company's plans.

The announcement on Wednesday is the second time in less than a month that President Evo Morales has given in to protesters' demands for him to step up a drive to increase state control over natural resources in the poor Andean country.

Violence flared last week at South American Silver's Malku Khota project after protesters held five Bolivian employees hostage to demand the Canadian company leave.

They hailed the president's decision as a definitive solution to the conflict in which one protester was killed and a dozen more injured.

"The company [South American Silver] put brothers, brothers-in-law, cousins and neighbours at odds with one another," Morales said at the presidential palace as he explained the deal between protesters and his government.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:48:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Tensions rise over South Sea island dispute - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English
A new diplomatic row has flared between Japan and China over a remote chain of islands, after Beijing moved to assert an "indisputable sovereignty" over the uninhabited territories.

Three Chinese patrol boats approached the islands claimed by Japan in the East China Sea on Wednesday morning, prompting Japanese Foreign Minister Koichiro Gemba to formally complain to his Chinese counterpart during talks in Cambodia.

Gemba "strongly lodged a protest with the Chinese government with respect to the incident which took place this morning," a foreign ministry spokeswoman told the AFP news agency in Phnom Penh.

The crews of the vessels, which have since left the islands' immediate vicinity, initially rebuffed Japanese orders to leave.

"We are conducting official duty in Chinese waters. Do not interfere. Leave China's territorial waters," the crews said, according to the Japanese coastguard.


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:49:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING OFF THE PLANET 
 Environment, Energy, Agriculture, Food 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:05:22 PM EST
Warm 2011 Weather Shows Climate Change Despite La Nina - Bloomberg

Last year was among the 15 warmest since record keeping began in the late 19th century, despite a La Nina weather pattern that should have cooled global temperatures, according to an annual climate assessment.

La Nina's failure to cause significantly cooler global temperatures is one of many indications of long-term climate warming, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's State of the Climate report compiled by 378 scientists from 48 nations. La Nina was responsible for droughts in eastern Africa and North America, the scientists reported.

Last year "will be remembered as a year of extreme events, both in the United States and around the world," Deputy NOAA Administrator Kathryn D. Sullivan said in a statement today. "Every weather event that happens now takes place in the context of a changing global environment."

Texas had the hottest summer since data collection began in 1895 and extreme heat may be more common in the future.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:28:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"Texas had the hottest summer since data collection began in 1895."

Normally, the preferred way to phrase this is "Texas had the hottest summer since data collection began in 1895." You want to obscure the fact that it was the hottest ever.

by asdf on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:19:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hot, Dry June Broke an Array of Temperature Records: Scientific American

Extreme heat in the second half of June helped make the first six months of this year the hottest January to June ever recorded in the lower 48 United States, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said yesterday.

Eighty-six locations set temperature records in June, with another 87 tying existing marks. That helped push the average temperature in the contiguous United States to 71.2 degrees Fahrenheit, 2 degrees above the 20th-century average.

The sizzling heat capped the warmest 12 months since record-keeping began in 1895, NOAA said, inching out the previous record-holder -- June 2011 to May 2012 -- by just 0.05 degree Fahrenheit.

The scorching temperatures, combined with dry conditions in parts of the West, created ideal conditions for the wildfires that have ravaged Colorado, Wyoming and Utah, according to the analysis by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:55:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Midwest Corn Crop Likely to Suffer Due to Heat Wave and Drought: Scientific American

Even though the recent heat wave has ended, weeks of drought and days of 100-degree temperatures have already taken a toll on this year's corn crop in a large part of the Midwestern United States.

The corn crisis from several weeks ago is now becoming a disaster.

Many farmers in parts of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and Kansas are facing a crop failure and financial impact. Ultimately, the consumer will likely feel the heat from the upcoming corn shortfall.

First, it was the southern part of the corn belt from Kansas to the Ohio Valley. However, during late June and early July, the drought and heat spread into the central part of the corn belt from portions of Nebraska and Iowa to southern Wisconsin.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:55:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's been incredibly dry here in the Ohio River Valley. I walked up to the library this morning, and I was sort of surprised because the grass was so dry that it just crumbled when I stepped on it. It hasn't been this dry since 1988.  The corn came up strong early on, getting to knees height by the end of May, a full month before normal, because of the abnormally warm weather this spring.  

I transplanted a great deal of stuff this spring at my mother's house thinking it would be fine, but some of it just isn't going to make it.  I think I succeeded in killing a yew bush and some black eyed susans (Rudebeckia). The yew bush I can understand, but black eyed susans are generally indestructible around here.  They will overtake most any flower bed unless you regularly go in and dig them up at the root.  One of the water reservoirs for the city of Indianapolis is down 5 feet (on a 15 foot average depth) for the year.  We need rain.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 10:56:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Haven't had a week of temps > 100 F for a couple of years ... should do wonders for the tomatoes at this Sunday's farmers' market.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wp4O7v5320
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 07:31:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Climate change may lead to fewer but more violent thunderstorms

ScienceDaily (July 10, 2012) -- Researchers are working to identify exactly how a changing climate will impact specific elements of weather, such as clouds, rainfall, and lightning. A Tel Aviv University researcher has predicted that for every one degree Celsius of warming, there will be approximately a 10 percent increase in lightning activity.

This could have negative consequences in the form of flash floods, wild fires, or damage to power lines and other infrastructure, says Prof. Colin Price, Head of the Department of Geophysics, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences at Tel Aviv University. In an ongoing project to determine the impact of climate change on the world's lightning and thunderstorm patterns, he and his colleagues have run computer climate models and studied real-life examples of climate change, such as the El Nino cycle in Indonesia and Southeast Asia, to determine how changing weather conditions impact storms.

An increase in lightning activity will have particular impact in areas that become warmer and drier as global warming progresses, including the Mediterranean and the Southern United States, according to the 2007 United Nations report on climate change. This research has been reported in the Journal of Geophysical Research and Atmospheric Research, and has been presented at the International Conference on Lightning Protection.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:55:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING ON THE PLANET 
 Society, Culture, History, Information 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:05:47 PM EST
BBC News - Costa Concordia captain 'sorry' for sinking

he captain of Italian cruise ship Costa Concordia, which ran aground killing more than 30 people in January, has said he is sorry for the disaster.

In an interview on Italian TV, Francesco Schettino said he thought constantly about the victims. [But hey, this shit could happen to anyone, right? -ed.]

But he insisted others should also share the blame, saying the ship had been under the command of another officer at the time.

Mr Schettino denies charges including manslaughter and causing a shipwreck.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:27:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
he insisted others should also share the blame, saying the ship had been under the command of another officer at the time.

Evidently nobody explained what being a Ship's Captain means

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:39:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But he has (sort of) apologised. Shouldn't that be enough compensation for the families of the dead?

Actually he sounds like a classic narcissist - someone with no empathy and no true concern for others, who invariably plays the sympathy card when asked to take responsibility for harmful actions.

What on Earth the business owners were doing putting someone like him at the helm of a passenger liner is more relevant than his predictable whining.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 05:40:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What on Earth the business owners were doing ...

Making profits The only relevant yardstick of any current business.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wp4O7v5320

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 07:34:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sounds like a typical cruise ship captain. Most of the job is rubbing elbows with the passengers--the actual driving of the ship is pretty standardized.

The real point is that he's getting the blame for the company's irregular procedures about diverting from approved channels...

by asdf on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 01:21:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Whitening cream: Fair deal for India's women? - Features - Al Jazeera English

A recent Indian advertisement for Clean and Dry, a vaginal wash which promises women fairer private parts, has led to an outcry among many in the country.

The television ad shows a woman unhappy in the company of her husband, as he seems more interested in the morning paper than her. After a liberal use of the vaginal wash, the woman appears in shorts and beckons the man who swings her in his arms, suggesting happiness.

The tagline of the ad says: "Life for women will now be fresher, cleaner and more importantly fairer and more intimate."

Blogs and tweets have decried the controversial advertisement, as have columnists and physicians. Rupa Subramanya, popular on Twitter, called the 25-second TV commercial, "the ultimate insult" to the Indian woman. Columnist Deepanjana Pal wrote, "While Fair and Lovely tapped in on our inherent racism with its early ad campaigns, the intent of products like whitening deodorants, moisturisers and 'hygiene products' seems more insidious now."

Fair and Lovely is an Indian face cream that promises to make dark-skinned women more white. It has been a huge hit since its launch in the country in 1978. The product-makers said, "Indian women finally found hope in a tube," and claim to have discovered the "skin lightening action of niacinamide" that led to the development of their product.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:47:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's also a caste thing. Due to the the fact of where India's various invaders originated, lighter skin indicates higher caste. Tis snobbery.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:42:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Considering that practically everybody in the West shaves themselves in various locations, and plenty (maybe not a majority, but close) dye their hair, and since "spray tans" and tanning booths are extremely popular, what's surprising about this?
by asdf on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 02:17:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Rare Gene Mutation Is Found to Stave Off Alzheimer's - NYTimes.com

Two decades ago, researchers began discovering rare gene mutations that cause Alzheimer's disease in all who inherit them. Now, they have found the opposite: a mutation that prevents the devastating brain disorder. The protective mutation also is very rare -- it is not the reason most people do not develop Alzheimer's disease. But what intrigues researchers is how it protects the brain. It does the reverse of what the mutations that cause Alzheimer's do. Those mutations lead to excessive amounts of a normal substance, beta amyloid, in the brain. The protective mutation slows beta amyloid production, so people make much less.

The discovery, published online on Wednesday in the journal Nature, provides strong evidence that beta amyloid buildup is a driving force in this destructive brain disease. It also bolsters the hopes of drug companies that have zealously developed drugs to reduce amyloid levels with the expectation they might alter the course of the disease or even prevent it. So far, the drugs have not succeeded, but companies and many researchers have argued that there are reasons for that and that it is too soon to give up on them.

If for no other reason, the discovery's implication for drug development "is hugely important," said Dr. David Altshuler, a genomics expert at Harvard Medical School and the Broad Institute of Harvard and M.I.T. who was not involved with the research.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:48:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How the U.S. Accidentally Nuked Its Own Communications Satellite: Scientific American

Fifty years ago, a small spherical satellite weighing about 170 lbs. (77 kg) was launched from Cape Canaveral.  Its name was Telstar 1, and it was the first commercial communications satellite--the first in a long line of telecommunications satellites that have led to the digitally connected world of today, where television programs from one country are easily accessible at locations across the globe.

By the following February, though, Telstar 1 had been completely fried by energetic electrons from a U.S. high-altitude nuclear test.

Walter Brown, a Bell Labs engineer who worked on the project, recalls Telstar 1's triumphs and untimely demise. Currently a professor of materials science and engineering at Lehigh University, he says it was his job to "examine how radiation in space affects solar cells and semiconductors." He got rather more than he bargained for.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:56:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Melinda Gates challenges Vatican by vowing to improve contraception | World news | guardian.co.uk

The billionaire philanthropist Melinda Gates, a practising Catholic, has thrown down the gauntlet to the Vatican and vowed to dedicate the rest of her life to improving access to contraception across the globe.

Gates, who with her husband, Bill, the founder of Microsoft, is one of the world's biggest players on development issues, predicted that women in Africa and Asia would soon be "voting with their feet", as women in the west have done, and would ignore the church's ban on artificial birth control.

Gates, who was a speaker at the London Summit on Family Planning organised by her foundation in conjunction with the UK government and the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), said that since she announced her new direction a few weeks ago she had been inundated with messages of support from Catholic women, including nuns.

"A church is made up of its members, and one of the things this campaign might do is help women speak out. I've had thousands of women come on to websites and say" 'I'm a Catholic, but I believe in contraception.' It's going to be women voting with their feet."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 02:00:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Will the Vatican respond by switching to Apple?
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 04:48:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Vatican only authorizes the use of the abacus.
by Andhakari on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 04:50:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe so.
http://www.amazon.com/Abacus-Cross-Story-Brought-Science/dp/1459606302

Napier's bones are out, though, as he was an anti-Papist.

by asdf on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 02:24:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's not true. I once worked with a computer scientist who was on leave from the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, and I can assure you that they had nothing against computers.

He was a militant atheist. I once asked him what was the difference between Catholic computer science and the usual version, and he explained that they use computation in base 3 instead of 2.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2012 at 03:09:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 PEOPLE AND KLATSCH 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:06:05 PM EST


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:12:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
New parasitic coral reef crustacean named after late reggae performer Bob Marley

ScienceDaily (July 10, 2012) -- President Barack Obama has one. Comedian Stephen Colbert has one. Elvis Presley has one. Even computer software magnate Bill Gates has one. And now, Bob Marley--the late popular Jamaican singer and guitarist--also has one. So what is it that each of these luminaries have? The answer: they each have a biological species that has been named after them.

Paul Sikkel, an assistant professor of marine ecology and a field marine biologist at Arkansas State University, discovered and just named after Marley a "gnathiid isopod"--a small parasitic crustacean blood feeder that infests certain fish that inhabit the coral reefs of the shallow eastern Caribbean. Sikkel named the species Gnathia marleyi.

All of the life stages of Gnathia marleyi are described by Sikkel and his research team in the June 6th issue of Zootaxia. This research was partly funded by the National Science Foundation (NSF).

Sikkel said, "I named this species, which is truly a natural wonder, after Marley because of my respect and admiration for Marley's music. Plus, this species is as uniquely Caribbean as was Marley.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:57:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Eva Rausing may have died a week before she was found, police believe | UK news | The Guardian

Detectives are investigating whether one of the heirs to the Tetra Pak drinks carton fortune lived with his wife's body for up to a week after her death in their Belgravia mansion in London.

Hans Kristian Rausing was being treated in hospital on Wednesday after being arrested when detectives discovered the body of 48-year-old Eva Rausing in a bedroom during a search of the couple's home.

It emerged on Wednesday that part of the investigation into what detectives are describing as her "unexplained" death is examining how long she might have lain in her home before police arrived. A postmortem on Tuesday proved inconclusive and further tests are being carried out to establish the cause of death, which could have taken place up to a week ago.

Police from the Met's homicide and serious crime command have yet to interview Mr Rausing, 49. Scotland Yard said he remained under arrest but had been transferred to a hospital for treatment, and police officers were present. His condition is not thought to be life-threatening and it is believed he is being treated in the Maudsley hospital for drug-related issues.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 11th, 2012 at 01:58:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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